Handicappers' Race Results
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Thistledown
Thursday - August 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
TDN-2   Win (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $7.40 $7.40 1.40
TDN-3   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $5.60 $5.60  
TDN-4   Win (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $11.80  
TDN-5   Win (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $5.20  
TDN-6   Win (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $7.20  
TDN-7   Win (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $11.20 $11.20 5.20
TDN-8   Win (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.3K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:23 :46 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GEHRIG 1 5 1½ 12½   11½ 14 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 119 2.00 52% 0.90 0.80 W
4  PAT DADDY 3 3 41½ 22½   21½ 24 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.50 27% 2.70 1.60 P
2  CUGINE 2 4 51¾ 56¾   58 314 (casalinova tina)GUERERE ANGEL 119 8.00 7.90  
6  DIAMONDS ENJOY 5 1 2½ 42¾   36½ 414¾ (galloway kha)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 5.00 5.60  
5  UHAVETOBEKITTENME 4 2 3½ 32½   47 521¾ (casalinova t)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 12.00 5% 19.00 27.50  
SCR  THE COOKIE MAN               (rivera nestor)TAPARA BRANDON 119 1.80    
 
TDN-2   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:224 :462 :591     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  NO BANG NO BOOM (IRE) 3 2 32 22   2½ 11½ (cannon stev)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50 23% 3.30 2.70 W
2  JOHNNY U 2 3 1½ 12   1½ 21½ (johnson l)DIAZ I 123 3.00 25% 3.00 2.80 P
1  CALL WEST 1 5 56½ 54¼   43½ 32½ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 123 6.00 7.20  
6  MR. TRIPLEDOUBLE 5 4 42½ 42¼   31½ 42½ (johnson gary)RIVERA R 118 2.00 30% 2.30 1.00  
5  POWERFUL MOON 4 1 2½ 32   56 515¾ (ray kevin)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.50 11.60  
SCR  GUCCISSIMO               (bailey ricardo)GUERERE ANGEL 123 15.00    
 
TDN-3   08/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:13     1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GRAND DEAL 3 3 36 38½ 24 11½ 12¼ (schuster robin)BRACHO A 119 2.50 15% 5.70 1.50 DQ↓2
2  ST. LUKES 2 4 48½ 49 47 34 22¼ (trevino g)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 51% 1.00 1.80 W
5  EL SICARIO 5 1 13 15 14 21½ 35½ (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 4.50 3.10  
1  AT THE BEACH 1 5 514 512½ 58 57½ 410½ (szczepanski emily)BAEZ M 114 10.00 6.50  
4  STRONG AGAIN 4 2 23 25 36½ 46½ 512¾ (mckanas )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 9% 10.00 7.90  
SCR  ARMOR PIERCING               (diehl candace)DIAZ I 115 3.50    
 
TDN-4   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :46 :581     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GOOD ON YA 1 2 12 11½   1½ 12 (londono j)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 5.00 4.90  
5  WOODLAND WALK 3 1 22 21½   2½ 22 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 36% 1.80 2.50 P
4  DIVINE LEADER 2 4 32½ 33½   35½ 310 (shirer a)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80 41% 1.40 0.40 S
6  WHISTLEWHILEYOUMOW 4 3 42½ 44   46 411¾ (salcedo ramon)DIAZ I 119 12.00 9.00  
SCR  AUGER               (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 8.00    
SCR  DREAMING OF KONA               (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 115 2.00    
 
TDN-5   08/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:223 :463 :594     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRIKE ONE 1 4 11 11½   13 11¼ (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 4.00 1.60  
4  UNBRIDLED CAUSE 3 5 46 46   36½ 21¼ (morales m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 39% 1.60 1.30 P
6  PRIMITIVO 5 1 36 36   46½ 32½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 117 3.00 31% 2.20 2.60 S
3  COUNTRY RUCKUS 2 2 21 21½   23 42¾ (maddox rachael)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 12.00 5% 19.00 14.30  
5  IMA BELIEVER 4 3 57½ 57½   58½ 54¼ (tumblin andr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 8.00 13.90  
SCR  AWESOMELY INSPIRED               (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 115 2.00    
 
TDN-6   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:224 :46 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  YEARS AGO 5 1 21 2½   1½ 14 (trevino g)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.00 2.60  
3  PROSPECTIVE FORUM 3 3 11 1½   2½ 24 (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 52% 0.90 0.80 P
2  MAGICGIRL 2 4 64 69½   46½ 37¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 8.00 19.90  
1  JEN'S BATTLE 1 5 42½ 32   32½ 47¼ (casalinova tina)GUERERE ANGEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00 4.90  
1A  SIERRA DIAMOND 4 2 53 58½   58 510½ (casalino)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00 ★ 4.90  
5  QUEENOFCATNIPHILL 6 6 32 46   69 613½ (johnson gary)RIVERA R 114 5.00 17% 5.00 4.50  
SCR  DIVINE MARTHA               (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 1.60    
 
TDN-7   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :46 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PENNY SHOTS 2 5 33 33   3.2 1½ (faul)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 20% 4.10 4.60 W
3  HIGH FIRE 3 3 54¾ 47   44¼ 2½ (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 119 2.00 36% 1.80 3.40 P
1  EXACTITUDE 1 4 2nk 2nk   1nk 31½ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 3.50 2.30  
4  THE DEVIL'S DREAM 4 2 1nk 1nk   2nk 45¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.50 17% 4.80 1.10  
6  CATABOUT 5 1 44½ 58   58¼ 513½ (faulkner )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00 19.50  
SCR  ROLLIN ALL THE WAY               (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00    
 
TDN-8   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:222 :452 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SECRET FIX 5 1 1nk 1nk   12½ 11½ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 1.80 36% 1.80 0.30 W
1  PASSIONFORTREASURE 1 5 53¼ 43½   32½ 21½ (meyers shane)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 3.50 28% 2.60 5.00 P
4  PULPIT'S PURRFECT 4 4 31½ 31   42¾ 33 (galloway khadeem)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00 14% 6.10 5.50 S
2  BAREBACK FUN 2 3 2nk 2nk   22½ 46¼ (urieta johanna)GUERERE ANGEL 119 8.00 8.50  
3  HASTY LADY 3 2 43 57½   57¾ 514 (genovese l)VELEZ J 119 12.00 27.60  
SCR  TIVIS               (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.