Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Thursday - August 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(6/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(6/2/4)-(2/3/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-2   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(2/3/4)-(4/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-3   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(4/5)-(4/6/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-4   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(4/6/3)-(3/5/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-5   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(3/5/1)-(3/2/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-6   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(3/2/4)-(6/1/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-7   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(6/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.3K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GEHRIG Jun10 May08 Apr04 Mar01 Jan18 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 2.00 52% 0.90    
2  CUGINE Aug01 Jul11 Jun13 Feb07 Jan12 (casalinova ti)GUERERE ANGEL 119 8.00    
SCR  THE COOKIE MAN Jul31 Jun24 Jun01 May21 May08 (rivera nesto)TAPARA BRANDON 119 1.80    
4  PAT DADDY Jul20 Jun26 Jun10 May15 Apr15 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.50 27% 2.70    
5  UHAVETOBEKITTENME Aug01 Jun10 May22 May09 Mar30 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  DIAMONDS ENJOY Jul20 Jun24 May29 May01 Mar02 (galloway k)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 5.00    
 
TDN-2   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALL WEST Jul31 Jun24 Jun07 May15 May03 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 123 6.00    
2  JOHNNY U Aug07 Jul06 Jun21 May20 May03 (johnson l)DIAZ I 123 3.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  GUCCISSIMO May16 May03 Aug25 Aug10 Jul18 (bailey ricard)GUERERE ANGEL 123 15.00    
4  NO BANG NO BOOM (IRE) Jul26 Jul06 Jun06 May22 May05 (cannon st)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50 23% 3.30    
5  POWERFUL MOON Jul04 Jun21 Dec08 Nov14 Oct27 (ray kev)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.50    
6  MR. TRIPLEDOUBLE Jul27 Jul12 Jun07 May20 Nov22 (johnson ga)RIVERA R 118 2.00 30% 2.30    
 
TDN-3   08/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AT THE BEACH Jul31 Jun24 Nov03 Oct24 Sep26 (szczepanski emil)BAEZ M 114 10.00    
2  ST. LUKES Jul24 Oct24 Oct11     (trevino stephen)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 51% 1.00    
3  GRAND DEAL Jul31 Jul19 Jun15 May30 May17 (schuster robi)BRACHO A 119 2.50 15% 5.70    
4  STRONG AGAIN Jul24 Jul10 Jun18 Jun04 Apr07 (mckana)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 9% 10.00    
5  EL SICARIO Jul27 May30 May17 Mar30 Mar21 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 4.50    
SCR  ARMOR PIERCING Aug09 Jul10 Jun06 May05 Jan12 (diehl candace)DIAZ I 115 3.50    
 
TDN-4   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DREAMING OF KONA Jul07 Jun05 Mar11 Feb11 Jan01 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 115 2.00    
SCR  AUGER Jul31 Jul12 Jun24 Jun15 Jun01 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 8.00    
3  GOOD ON YA Jul19 Jul05 May23 Feb08 Jan28 (londono odin)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 5.00    
4  DIVINE LEADER Jun01 May12 Apr26 Apr16 Feb17 (shirer a)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80 41% 1.40    
5  WOODLAND WALK Jul10 Jun21 May08 Oct22 Aug23 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 36% 1.80    
6  WHISTLEWHILEYOUMOW Aug02 Jul17 Jul07 Jun05 Apr16 (salcedo ramon)DIAZ I 119 12.00    
 
TDN-5   08/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRIKE ONE Jul17 Jun20 Jun06 May20   (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 121 4.00    
SCR  AWESOMELY INSPIRED Jul22 Jun27 Jun02 Apr27 Aug02 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 115 2.00    
3  COUNTRY RUCKUS Jul27 Jun20 Apr06 Mar22 Mar06 (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  UNBRIDLED CAUSE Jul27 Jul12 Jun27 Jun06 Feb15 (morales saul )BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 39% 1.60    
5  IMA BELIEVER Jul12 Jun20 May24 Jan17 Dec14 (tumblin an)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 8.00    
6  PRIMITIVO Aug01 Jul04 Jun06 Apr27 Mar29 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 117 3.00 31% 2.20    
 
TDN-6   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEN'S BATTLE Oct20 Sep23 Sep18 Aug11 Jun26 (casalinova ti)GUERERE ANGEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
1A  SIERRA DIAMOND Jul25 Jul03 May30 Apr24 Mar02 (casali)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00 ★    
2  MAGICGIRL Jun21 May22 May15 Mar19 Mar01 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 8.00    
3  PROSPECTIVE FORUM Jul25 Jun19 May30 Oct11 Sep08 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 52% 0.90    
4  YEARS AGO Jul27 Jul17 Jul03 Jun10 May10 (trevino stephen)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.00    
5  QUEENOFCATNIPHILL Jul10 Jun01 May22 Dec08 Nov03 (johnson ga)RIVERA R 114 5.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  DIVINE MARTHA Jul27 Jul10 Jun21 May30 May06 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 1.60    
 
TDN-7   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXACTITUDE Jul24 Jun24 May24 May03 Apr26 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 3.50    
2  PENNY SHOTS Aug01 Jul13 Jun26 Jun01 May13 (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 20% 4.10    
3  HIGH FIRE Jul25 Jul03 Jun12 Sep23 Aug13 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 2.00 36% 1.80    
4  THE DEVIL'S DREAM Aug03 Jul06 May30 Feb15 Jan19 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.50 17% 4.80    
SCR  ROLLIN ALL THE WAY Feb23 Feb14 Jan28 Dec30 Dec20 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00    
6  CATABOUT Jul13 Jun26 Jun06 May13 May03 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00    
 
TDN-8   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PASSIONFORTREASURE Jul25 Jul12 Jun07 May15 Apr27 (meyers shane)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 3.50 28% 2.60    
2  BAREBACK FUN Jul04 Mar28 Mar15 Feb20 Jan28 (urieta johann)GUERERE ANGEL 119 8.00    
3  HASTY LADY Aug16 Aug03 Apr01 Mar13   (genovese richard )VELEZ J 119 12.00    
4  PULPIT'S PURRFECT Jul25 Jun26 Jun07 May15 Apr27 (galloway khadee)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00 14% 6.10    
SCR  TIVIS Jun02 May20 Apr11 Nov21 Oct29 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00    
6  SECRET FIX Jul20 Jun27 May22 Mar24 Mar10 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 1.80 36% 1.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.