Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Tuesday - August 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $8.80 $2.80 47%
TDN-6   TRI (3/2/6/7)-(3/2/6/7)-(3/2/6/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00  3-6-2 $28.60 $4.60 19%
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   08/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:133     1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CONTESSINA 2 3 42½ 32½ 22 21 14¼ (johnson ga)RIVERA R 114 1.80 39% 1.60 3.40 W
4  BANK BUSTER 4 1 11 11½ 12 11 24¼ (morales )FERNANDEZ R 117 1.50 0.90  
5  LADY GIULIANA 5 2 21 21½ 33½ 32½ 37¼ (skerrett jef)ROSARIO L 115 3.00 17% 4.70 3.00 S
3  MANGORITA 3 4 32½ 43½ 45½ 46½ 411 (diehl candace)DIAZ I 119 5.00 20% 4.00 4.30  
1  CONDUTTORE 1 5 54 55 510 510½ 517¼ (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 21.30  
 
TDN-2   08/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:00     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MARSICO 2 2 1nk 11   14 1¾ (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 1.80 31% 2.20 0.50 W
5  INSACIABLE PRINCE 4 4 52¼ 43½   24 2¾ (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.50 26% 2.80 1.80 P
2  EL BANDIDO 1 3 41¼ 58   59 34½ (tumblin an)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 3.50 10.20  
4  FEVER DREAM 3 5 3.2 33½   46½ 410¼ (rotunno sydney)DIAZ I 119 10.00 15.50  
6  HEART OF AN ANGEL 5 1 2nk 21   36½ 511 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 12.00 11% 7.80 16.80  
SCR  LOCKDOWN LOVER               (morales saul)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 2.00    
 
TDN-3   08/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:222 :452 :574     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRIG 1 1 11½ 13½   13½ 13¼ (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 123 1.60 59% 0.70 0.20 W
4  MO DONT NO 4 3 32 33½   33½ 23¼ (johnson l)FELICIANO R 119 5.00 9.40  
3  TOTELLYOUTHETRUTH 3 2 21½ 23½   23½ 34 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 4.10  
2  IT'S YOUR CALL 2 4 42 4100   4100 4100 (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.00 15% 5.70 9.00  
SCR  OL' NED               (cline c)PAUCAR E 121 5.00    
 
TDN-4   08/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:00     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE 5 2 42¼ 31   1nk 12¼ (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00 3.50  
3  CARMEN OHIO 3 4 2nk 1nk   2nk 22¼ (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 4.50 27% 2.70 4.90 P
7  PISTOL PACKIN BOS 7 1 1nk 2nk   32 34½ (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 4.00 5.30  
1  MY BELLE MICHELLE 1 7 67¾ 69   66 46½ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 16.30  
4  HERE COMES JIGS 4 3 53¾ 55   55 56½ (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 10.00 5% 19.00 3.90  
6  CHECK OUT LINE 6 6 32 41½   43½ 68¼ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 121 2.50 21% 3.80 2.00  
2  JERSEY BOUNCE 2 5 78¼ 712   711 715¾ (miller arizona)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 26% 2.80 10.40  
 
TDN-5   08/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:00     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CONGRATS JENSEN 4 1 1½ 12   14 17 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 119 3.50 23% 3.30 2.00 W
3  HIGH CUPPER 3 6 65¼ 55½   56½ 27 (brown glenro)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 8.00 21.50  
2  NORTHERN JOURNEY 2 5 42½ 32½   24 37¼ (calderon)FERNANDEZ R 119 6.00 17% 5.00 7.60 S
1  CRISTALINDA 1 4 55 65½   67½ 48 (johnson ga)RIVERA R 114 5.00 3.70  
6  SWEET EMPIRE 6 2 2½ 43   46½ 511 (radcliff donald )RIVERA R 119 2.50 23% 3.40 7.60  
5  SWINDLE 5 3 3½ 22   36 615 (severin rob)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.00 1.50  
 
TDN-6   08/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:223 :461 :59     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  RIVERBOAT GAMBLER 3 6 53¼ 42¼   2nk 12 (johnson ga)RIVERA R 114 2.00 64% 0.60 1.40 W
6  KOSCIUSZKO 6 1 2nk 1nk   3½ 22 (brown glenroy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 4.30 P
2  DAD'S YANKEES 2 3 1nk 2nk   1nk 32 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00 9% 10.30 3.00 S
1  KHALFANI 1 5 41¾ 53¾   53¼ 44 (pattah sha)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00 31.10  
7  SNAP HOOK 7 2 78¼ 66¼   63¼ 56¼ (canegata james)DIAZ I 119 10.00 5% 19.00 10.70  
5  TUFF ATTACK 5 4 31½ 32   43 67¾ (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 5.00 12.80  
4  LEOMBRUNO 4 7 66¾ 77¼   76¼ 710¼ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 3.50 4.00  
 
TDN-7   08/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :454 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TAKE CHARGE CHLOE 4 2 21 2nk   13½ 13½ (skeens jerem)MARCANO Y 119 6.00 14% 6.10 0.50 W
6  GRACIE DANCE 5 1 42½ 34   23½ 23½ (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 4.50 4.00  
1  CHARLOTTES WAY 1 4 11 1nk   33½ 39¼ (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 32% 2.20 7.10 S
4  MY D'VALENTINE 3 3 32½ 44¼   46½ 49¼ (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00 34.70  
3  FLASH OF CHEROKEE 2 5 55½ 56¾   511 517¼ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50 29% 2.50 3.60  
SCR  MISS EASY               (hamm timot)RIVERA R 110 2.00    
 
TDN-8   08/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:003     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  COLOR BEARER 6 1 31 2nk   13½ 17½ (skerrett jeffrey)RIVERA R 119 1.80 25% 2.90 1.10 W
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of BELLA TRELLA by CHEROKEE RUN)
4  WHY KENNY WHY 4 3 65 66¼   48½ 27½ (casalinova ti)GUERERE ANGEL 119 12.00 50.90  
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
1  WAR ON THE RIVER 1 5 1½ 3½   36½ 39 (flores christi)DIAZ I 119 15.00 22% 3.50 9.80 S
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of WAR PLAY by WAR IMAGE)
2  MY TICKET 2 8 88 79¾   710½ 411¼ (cline robert)ROSARIO L 123 8.00 5% 19.00 4.50  
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SWEET LOLINDA by MARQUETRY)
3  MOMENT IN THE DARK 3 4 2½ 1nk   23½ 512¾ (bo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 7.60  
  (by DARK KESTREL out of LOVE FIRST SIGHT by ALKE)
8  MARQUITOS M 8 2 54 54¾   59½ 615½ (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 10.00 14.80  
  (by WESTERN PRIDE out of MALI by BWANA CHARLIE)
7  RAISE YOU ONE 7 6 76½ 810¾   812½ 719¾ (mavec kat)GONZALES J 118 4.50 13.50  
  (by MUCH THE BEST out of FRANCIE MAE by LAC OUIMET)
5  ROCKET LAUNCHER 5 7 44 44½   610½ 823½ (kerr n)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 28% 2.60 3.70  
  (by FACTUM out of AUNT SIS by STRAVINSKY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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