Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - August 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(3/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(3/5/6)-(1/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-2   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(1/2)-(3/2/6/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-3   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(3/2/6/4)-(4/6/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-4   WIN (3/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/6/4)-(3/2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/6/4)-(3/2/6/4)-(3/2/6/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6/4)-(4/6/2)-(3/2/6/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-5   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2)-(3/2/6/7)-(1/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-6   WIN (3/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/6/7)-(3/2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/6/7)-(3/2/6/7)-(3/2/6/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6/7)-(1/3/5)-(5/6/1/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-7   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(5/6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (5/6/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/1/2)-(5/6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/1/2)-(5/6/1/2)-(5/6/1/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   08/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONDUTTORE Jun10 May20 May03 Mar22 Mar09 (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00    
2  CONTESSINA Jul13 Jun20 Nov21 Nov07 Oct10 (johnson ga)RIVERA R 114 1.80 39% 1.60    
3  MANGORITA Jul20 May06 Mar29 Mar21 Feb10 (diehl candace)DIAZ I 119 5.00 20% 4.00    
4  BANK BUSTER Jul26 Jul11 Jun26 Jun07 May25 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 117 1.50    
5  LADY GIULIANA Jul20 Jul11 Jun20 May25 May10 (skerrett jef)ROSARIO L 115 3.00 17% 4.70    
 
TDN-2   08/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LOCKDOWN LOVER Jul25 Jul12 Jun27 Mar29 Aug03 (morales saul)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 2.00    
2  EL BANDIDO Jul25 Jul12 Jun27     (tumblin an)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 3.50    
3  MARSICO Jul31 Jul12 Mar18 Feb18 Jul01 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 1.80 31% 2.20    
4  FEVER DREAM Jul12 Jun21       (rotunno sydney)DIAZ I 119 10.00    
5  INSACIABLE PRINCE Jul17 Jun19 Jun06 May23 May06 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.50 26% 2.80    
6  HEART OF AN ANGEL Jul11         (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 12.00 11% 7.80    
 
TDN-3   08/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRIG Jul10 Jun15 May20 Sep01 Aug16 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 123 1.60 59% 0.70    
2  IT'S YOUR CALL Jul10 Jun06 May10 Apr04 Mar20 (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.00 15% 5.70    
3  TOTELLYOUTHETRUTH May22 Feb28 Nov28 Nov09 Oct04 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50    
4  MO DONT NO Jun26 Jun06 May10 Apr04 Jan10 (johnson l)FELICIANO R 119 5.00    
SCR  OL' NED Jul08 Jun21 Jun07 May17 Nov10 (cline c)PAUCAR E 121 5.00    
 
TDN-4   08/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY BELLE MICHELLE Jun13 May23 May09 Mar16 Feb28 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00    
2  JERSEY BOUNCE Sep21 Sep06 Aug22 Aug01 Jun28 (miller arizona)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 26% 2.80    
3  CARMEN OHIO Jul04 May29 May10 Jan16 Jan05 (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 4.50 27% 2.70    
4  HERE COMES JIGS Jul11 May09 Sep06 Aug15 Jul21 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE Jul17 Jun13 May23 May10 Mar08 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00    
6  CHECK OUT LINE Jul17 Jun26 Jun13 May09 Apr04 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 121 2.50 21% 3.80    
7  PISTOL PACKIN BOS Jul19 Jul04 Jun13 May23 May09 (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 4.00    
 
TDN-5   08/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRISTALINDA Jun26 Jun13 May23 May09 Apr04 (johnson ga)RIVERA R 114 5.00    
2  NORTHERN JOURNEY Jul17 May23 May09 Apr12 Mar27 (calderon)FERNANDEZ R 119 6.00 17% 5.00    
3  HIGH CUPPER Jul24 Jul05 Jun12 May29 Oct06 (brown glenro)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 8.00    
4  CONGRATS JENSEN Jul17 Jun24 Jun13 May26 May17 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 119 3.50 23% 3.30    
5  SWINDLE Oct05 Sep08 Aug29 Aug08 Jul21 (severin rob)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.00    
6  SWEET EMPIRE Jun26 Jun12 May24 Apr12 Apr04 (radcliff donald )RIVERA R 119 2.50 23% 3.40    
 
TDN-6   08/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KHALFANI Jul03 Jun10 May15 Apr15 Mar28 (pattah sha)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00    
2  DAD'S YANKEES Jul26 Jul06 Dec08 Nov09 Oct04 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00 9% 10.30    
3  RIVERBOAT GAMBLER Jun01 May16 Apr25 Mar28 Feb20 (johnson ga)RIVERA R 114 2.00 64% 0.60    
4  LEOMBRUNO Jul24 Jul10 Jun15 May29 May03 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 3.50    
5  TUFF ATTACK Jul20 Jul03 Jun10 May20 Mar24 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 5.00    
6  KOSCIUSZKO Jul26 Sep21 Sep12 Aug15 Aug03 (brown glenroy)GUERERE ANGEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  SNAP HOOK Jul24 Jun06 Jan06 Dec09 Sep30 (canegata james)DIAZ I 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-7   08/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARLOTTES WAY Jul26 May23 Apr15 Mar24 Mar12 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 32% 2.20    
SCR  MISS EASY Jul13 Jun20 May31 Nov01 Oct13 (hamm timot)RIVERA R 110 2.00    
3  FLASH OF CHEROKEE Jul26 Jul12 Jun26 Jun07 May11 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50 29% 2.50    
4  MY D'VALENTINE Jul26 Jul13 Nov09 Oct31 Oct16 (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00    
5  TAKE CHARGE CHLOE Jul27 Jul29 Jul13 Jun09 May16 (skeens jeremy)PANAIJO JORGE 119 6.00 14% 6.10    
6  GRACIE DANCE Jul26 Jul03 Jun10 May25 Dec07 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 4.50    
 
TDN-8   08/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAR ON THE RIVER         (flores christi)DIAZ I 119 15.00 22% 3.50    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of WAR PLAY by WAR IMAGE)
2  MY TICKET Jul20 Jul05 Mar29 Feb23 Feb08 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SWEET LOLINDA by MARQUETRY)
3  MOMENT IN THE DARK Jul20         (bo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00    
  (by DARK KESTREL out of LOVE FIRST SIGHT by ALKE)
4  WHY KENNY WHY Jul20 Jul05 Jun14 May25 May10 (casalinova ti)GUERERE ANGEL 119 12.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
5  ROCKET LAUNCHER         (kerr n)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 28% 2.60    
  (by FACTUM out of AUNT SIS by STRAVINSKY)
6  COLOR BEARER Jul20 Jul05 Jun14 May25   (skerrett jeffrey)RIVERA R 119 1.80 25% 2.90    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of BELLA TRELLA by CHEROKEE RUN)
7  RAISE YOU ONE Jul20 Jul05       (mavec kat)GONZALES J 118 4.50    
  (by MUCH THE BEST out of FRANCIE MAE by LAC OUIMET)
8  MARQUITOS M Jul20         (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 10.00    
  (by WESTERN PRIDE out of MALI by BWANA CHARLIE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.