Handicappers' Race Results
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Thistledown
Wednesday - August 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $4.20  
TDN-2   Win (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $20.60 $20.60 14.60
TDN-3   Win (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $14.40  
TDN-4   Win (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $2.40 $2.40  
TDN-5   Win (4/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
TDN-6   Win (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  
TDN-7   Win (1/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
TDN-8   Win (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   08/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:124     1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHELL FIRE 1 4 57½ 55½ 3½ 1½ 12¼ (castillo jab)RIVERA R 116 2.50 1.10  
4  DEBDURITE 4 1 2nk 2nk 1½ 2½ 22¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 3.00 44% 1.30 2.60 P
2  ROSAS WAY 2 6 69 67 64½ 65 33¾ (calderon i)FERNANDEZ R 121 4.50 16% 5.30 8.50 S
3  IT'S FATE 3 5 46 45 52½ 33½ 43¾ (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 1.80 5.30  
6  ALGORIX 6 2 34 33½ 41½ 54½ 59¼ (bracho j)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 8.00 11% 7.80 16.80  
5  SKIDSTREAM 5 3 1nk 1nk 2½ 43½ 612½ (faulkner )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00 4.80  
 
TDN-2   08/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:23 :462 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DIVA POWER 2 2 12 14   16 17¾ (vecchio cary)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 5.00 33% 2.10 9.30 W
5  BOOGIE BOOGEE 5 3 22 24   26 27¾ (wolochuk )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 2.00 10% 9.00 1.00 P
6  BOSSY LADY 6 1 43½ 35½   38½ 312¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 10.00 9.70  
1A  PERFECTINGTHEVIEW 3 6 53½ 56½   511½ 413 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 1.80 2.90  
4  CITY SIGNS 4 4 32½ 45½   410½ 514 (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 119 15.00 42.80  
2  LARSA 1 5 64½ 69½   612½ 614½ (doering )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.00 31% 2.30 2.60  
SCR  SARAH JANE               (rivera nesto)RIVERA R 116 1.80    
 
TDN-3   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:23 :463 :591     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CASCABRIA 4 2 2½ 2½   21 1hd (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 119 3.00 6.20  
6  CAROL'S ROYALTY 5 1 1½ 1½   11 2hd (romero a)ROSARIO L 119 2.50 37% 1.70 1.80 P
4  BLACK BUTTE 3 3 42½ 44   33½ 31½ (patton luke)DIAZ I 119 4.00 15% 5.80 3.60 S
3  MAMBO DANCER (CHI) 2 4 31½ 33½   45 45 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 27% 2.70 1.40  
1  LA MUNECA 1 5 54½ 57   58 58¼ (zielinski ric)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 119 10.00 8.60  
SCR  SWEET BELEN               (murillo-)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00    
 
TDN-4   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:222 :452 :572     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIT TO FLY 1 4 1½ 12½   16 14¼ (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 117 1.60 55% 0.80 0.20 W
2  SPEIGHTY WAR 2 5 64¼ 54¼   36 24¼ (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 5.00 5% 19.00 9.90 P
4  AGNELLO'S DREAM 4 3 32½ 44   56¾ 35½ (skerrett jeffre)BARBARAN ERIK 117 6.00 13.30  
6  AMERICAN PRINCE 6 1 2½ 22½   26 47¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.50 18% 4.60 3.30  
5  LUCKY NINETEEN 5 2 42½ 34   46¼ 59¼ (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 119 15.00 42.50  
3  DOCTOR WU 3 6 54 65¾   68¼ 69½ (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 3.50 26.00  
 
TDN-5   08/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:13     1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RAISON KARTER 2 3 2½ 2½ 11 12½ 14¼ (estvanko richar)BRACHO A 123 2.50 52% 0.90 1.00 W
5  BOURBON WISDOM 3 5 42 51¾ 31½ 22½ 24¼ (sker)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.00 24% 3.20 1.40 P
6  LAUDA SPEED 4 1 32 61¾ 41½ 32½ 35½ (trevino )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 11.50  
2  AULD LANGE SYNE 1 4 1½ 1½ 21 42¾ 46¼ (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 12.00 20.60  
8  TOE TAPPIN LUKE 6 2 54 41½ 64 55¾ 56¾ (sweeting cra)RIVERA R 114 6.00 5% 19.00 6.20  
7  LEXATOGA 5 6 66½ 31½ 53½ 65¾ 614 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 121 10.00 14.60  
SCR  AUGER               (rivera ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 4.00    
SCR  WHISKEY ROAN               (sweeting craig)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00    
 
TDN-6   08/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:25 :49 1:133     1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  HENRY MAC 2 1 1nk 1nk 1nk 11 11¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 2.00 50% 1.00 0.30 W
6  SEND ME ON 5 5 41¼ 43 42¾ 43½ 21¼ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 7% 12.60 3.60 P
5  VISUAL MISSION 4 2 3.2 2nk 2nk 21 32½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 6.00 8.20  
4  OAKEN 3 3 2nk 32 32½ 31½ 45 (urieta johanna)GUERERE ANGEL 119 10.00 7% 12.70 28.70  
1  RAVEN MOON 1 4 53¾ 55½ 55¼ 57 58¾ (hobson doug)PAUCAR E 119 3.50 8.10  
SCR  RECKLESS L J               (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 2.50    
 
TDN-7   08/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :46 :583     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  HAPPILEA 7 1 3.2 2nk   11 1½ (wolochuk dav)RIVERA R 118 3.00 22% 3.50 1.10 W
4  WILE E PEYOTE 4 6 75¾ 65¼   64 2½ (zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 123 4.50 4.50  
2  LAZARUS PROJECT 2 7 52¾ 51¾   32 3½ (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 2.00 12% 7.10 6.90 S
3  BOURBON OVER ICE 3 4 1nk 1nk   21 4¾ (urieta johanna)HALDAR J 123 12.00 33.80  
5  ROCK ON KITTEN 5 3 42¼ 41½   42½ 52¼ (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 6.00 4.00  
1  MONTAUK COVE 1 5 2nk 3½   52½ 65 (trevino )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00 35% 1.80 6.00  
6  MORE THAN GOOD 6 2 63¼ 75¼   710 717¾ (poole m)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 8.00 9% 10.70 10.80  
 
TDN-8   08/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:113     1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  JOHN'S ROCK 4 1 47 48½ 24 14 16½ (vecchio caryn)TAPARA BRANDON 119 2.50 46% 1.20 1.60 W
7  COMPLY (NZ) 6 3 69½ 511 58½ 24 26½ (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 4.00 11% 8.40 7.70 P
3  AZURE SKY 2 6 59½ 612½ 611½ 57½ 310 (salcedo ramo)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 10.00 18.50  
1  NIGHT TIME RULER 1 5 35 27 47½ 610 413¾ (urie)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 7.70  
6  SO DIALED IN 5 2 13½ 17 14 35 516¼ (skerrett jef)RIVERA R 114 6.00 19% 4.20 3.10  
4  DREAM KEEPER 3 4 23½ 37 34 47 616¾ (cowans william )BRACHO A 119 2.00 2.10  
SCR  GOOD ON YA               (londono j)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.