Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Wednesday - August 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(3/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(3/2/5)-(6/3/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-2   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(6/3/4)-(1/6/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-3   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(1/6/2)-(4/5/8) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-4   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(4/5/8)-(3/6/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-5   WIN (4/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/8)-(4/5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/8)-(4/5/8)-(4/5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5/8)-(3/6/4)-(1/7/2/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-6   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(1/7/2/6)-(5/6/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-7   WIN (1/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/2/6)-(1/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/2/6)-(1/7/2/6)-(1/7/2/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/7/2/6)-(5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/7)-(5/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/7)-(5/6/7)-(5/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   08/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHELL FIRE Jul24 Jul12 Jun24 Jun14 May06 (castillo j)RIVERA R 116 2.50    
2  ROSAS WAY Jul10 May28 May17 May06 Apr03 (calderon)FERNANDEZ R 121 4.50 16% 5.30    
3  IT'S FATE Jul15 Jun24 May06 Apr26 Apr05 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 1.80    
4  DEBDURITE Jul27 Jul18 Apr15 Apr03 Mar07 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 3.00 44% 1.30    
5  SKIDSTREAM May23 Mar14 Mar01 Jan02 Dec13 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00    
6  ALGORIX Jul24 Jul03 Jun14 May16 Apr13 (bracho jose)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 8.00 11% 7.80    
 
TDN-2   08/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  PERFECTINGTHEVIEW Aug07 Jul22 Jun07 Apr27 Apr05 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 1.80    
SCR  SARAH JANE Aug02 Jul14 Jun19 May20 Apr12 (rivera nes)RIVERA R 116 1.80    
2  LARSA Aug02 Jul05 Jun26 Jun06 May24 (doerin)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.00 31% 2.30    
3  DIVA POWER Aug02 Jul17 Jun15 May20 Apr27 (vecchio ca)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 5.00 33% 2.10    
4  CITY SIGNS Jul19 Jul04 Jun06 May22 May03 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 119 15.00    
5  BOOGIE BOOGEE Jul19 Jun19 May20 Apr26 Mar27 (wolochu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 2.00 10% 9.00    
6  BOSSY LADY Aug01 Jul06 May17 Apr27 Nov16 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 10.00    
 
TDN-3   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA MUNECA Jul26 Jun26 Jun14 May29 Mar29 (zielinski r)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 119 10.00    
SCR  SWEET BELEN Jul26 Jun20 Jun04 May23 Apr30 (murill)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00    
3  MAMBO DANCER (CHI) Jul10 Jun01 May15 Mar29 Feb03 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 27% 2.70    
4  BLACK BUTTE Jul26 Jun26 Jun05 May24 May02 (patton luke)DIAZ I 119 4.00 15% 5.80    
5  CASCABRIA Jul26 Jun12 May29 Apr26 Apr15 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 119 3.00    
6  CAROL'S ROYALTY Jul17 Dec08 Nov17 Oct25 Oct04 (romero jose )ROSARIO L 119 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
TDN-4   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIT TO FLY Jun24 May31 May08 Sep06 Jul18 (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 117 1.60 55% 0.80    
2  SPEIGHTY WAR Jul19 May28 May14 Dec05 Nov22 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  DOCTOR WU Jul25 Jul01 Jun15 May14 Apr11 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 3.50    
4  AGNELLO'S DREAM Jul10 Jun24 May30 May16 Apr27 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 117 6.00    
5  LUCKY NINETEEN Aug06 Jun24 Oct25 Oct12 Sep21 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 119 15.00    
6  AMERICAN PRINCE Jul25 May20 May05 Apr09 Feb25 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.50 18% 4.60    
 
TDN-5   08/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AUGER Jul31 Jul12 Jun24 Jun15 Jun01 (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 4.00    
2  AULD LANGE SYNE Aug03 Jul10 Jun14 May24 May16 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 12.00    
SCR  WHISKEY ROAN Aug03 Jun15 May27 Apr29 Apr15 (sweeting craig)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00    
4  RAISON KARTER Jul29 Jul14 Jun21 Jun08 May10 (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 123 2.50 52% 0.90    
5  BOURBON WISDOM Aug02 Jul05 Jun24 Jun15 May16 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.00 24% 3.20    
6  LAUDA SPEED Jul12 Jun24 Jun05 May08 Apr12 (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00    
7  LEXATOGA Jul26 Jun21 Jan18 Dec27 Dec15 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 121 10.00    
8  TOE TAPPIN LUKE Jul08 Jun15 May25 May08 Mar30 (sweeting c)RIVERA R 114 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-6   08/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAVEN MOON Jul22 Jul08 Jun02 Oct29 Aug13 (hobson doug)PAUCAR E 119 3.50    
SCR  RECKLESS L J Aug03 Jul11 May24 Apr26 Mar09 (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 2.50    
3  HENRY MAC Jul22 Jul05 Jun13 Nov28 Oct29 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 2.00 50% 1.00    
4  OAKEN Jul31 Jul12 Jun27 Mar23 Mar09 (urieta johann)GUERERE ANGEL 119 10.00 7% 12.70    
5  VISUAL MISSION Aug02 Jul11 Jun13 Jun02 May16 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 6.00    
6  SEND ME ON Jul11 Jun02 May08 Nov15 Sep05 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 7% 12.60    
 
TDN-7   08/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONTAUK COVE Aug01 Jun24 Jun05 May09 Apr15 (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00 35% 1.80    
2  LAZARUS PROJECT Jul18 Jul05 Jun21 Jun13 May31 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 2.00 12% 7.10    
3  BOURBON OVER ICE Jul26 Jul11 Apr08 Mar10 Feb08 (urieta johan)HALDAR J 123 12.00    
4  WILE E PEYOTE Aug15 Jul10 May16 Feb19 Jan29 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 123 4.50    
5  ROCK ON KITTEN Aug01 Jul13 Jun15 May15 May03 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 6.00    
6  MORE THAN GOOD Jul18 Jun27 Jun07 May17 Nov08 (poole m)AVILES YAN 123 8.00 9% 10.70    
7  HAPPILEA Jul18 Jun27 Jun07 Mar23 Feb28 (wolochuk d)RIVERA R 118 3.00 22% 3.50    
 
TDN-8   08/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NIGHT TIME RULER Jul18 Jun21 May30 May10 Apr11 (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00    
SCR  GOOD ON YA Jul19 Jul05 May23 Feb08 Jan28 (londono odin)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 6.00    
3  AZURE SKY Jul27 Jul06 Jun24 Jun06 May20 (salcedo ra)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 10.00    
4  DREAM KEEPER Jul24 Jun04 Apr16 Mar23 Dec30 (cowans willia)BRACHO A 119 2.00    
5  JOHN'S ROCK Jul24 Jul05 Jun15 May31 May16 (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 119 2.50 46% 1.20    
6  SO DIALED IN Jul20 Jul10 Jun26 May30 May08 (skerrett j)RIVERA R 114 6.00 19% 4.20    
7  COMPLY (NZ) Jul20 May10 Apr11 Mar13 Jan28 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 4.00 11% 8.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.