Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Belterra Park
Thursday - August 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $8.40 $2.40 40%
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-1 $11.80 $5.80 97%
Simulator Race results
 
BTP-1   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:25
See original race card.
:22 :453 :59     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MERRY OF SOUL 5 1 21 12   15 11 (thomas mark)MCKEE J 120 2.00 16% 5.20 3.20 W
1  HONEYBELL 1 5 44 53¾   25 21 (donjuan sergi)CANUTO THIAGO 116 3.50 20% 4.00 4.90 P
2  ARKLAHOMA SOUL 2 3 31 32   35 36 (mcvickers la)MARCANO Y 113 4.00 3.40  
4  WENDY'S SONG 4 4 55½ 43½   46 47¾ (voorhees i)BUSH V 120 3.00 26% 2.90 3.20  
3  ZUPITA 3 2 11 22   57½ 515¾ (esquivel )CORREA L 116 4.50 1.70  
 
BTP-2   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:55
See original race card.
:223 :464 :60     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHYNAUGHTY 3 5 32 32½   1nk 11¼ (reed r)MCKEE J 118 2.50 25% 3.00 0.60 W
4  OUR LAST SONG 2 4 2nk 1½   2nk 21¼ (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 122 2.00 55% 0.80 1.10 P
1A  SWEET AS MERRIE 5 2 1nk 2½   31 310½ (reed r)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 2.50 ★ 0.60 S
3  JUST ZOEY 1 3 42¼ 47   46 413¾ (lowry kathlee)LEBRON VICTOR 122 4.00 5% 19.00 10.30  
5  GIMME CLEARANCE 4 1 53¾ 59   58½ 518 (silva ferna)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 4.50 19.70  
SCR  SWEET MOBILTEE               (smith larry)OUZTS W 118 3.50    
 
BTP-3   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
See original race card.
:22 :453 :582     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PINKY TUSCADERO 6 1 21 2nk   12½ 17 (smith larry)OUZTS W 116 2.50 72% 0.40 1.50 W
3  BEACH KITTEN 3 4 11 1nk   22½ 27 (miller jero)PETERSON FERRIN 120 3.00 0.60  
1  COMPETITIVE FIRE 1 6 56½ 47½   47½ 37¼ (tomlinson e)BUSH V 120 4.00 14.90  
5  MARKET OF STOCKS 5 2 43½ 33½   35½ 410 (rodak geraldi)LEBRON VICTOR 120 5.00 5% 19.00 13.50  
4  MI ENLACE 4 3 67 610   513½ 519¼ (thompson )CORREA L 120 4.50 15.90  
2  WINDOW SHAKER 2 5 32½ 59   615 629¼ (bends p)MOJICA JR 120 6.00 5% 19.00 25.50  
 
BTP-4   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:221 :46 :59     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MY ANGELICA 2 4 1nk 11   11 11¼ (pinzon maria)MARCANO Y 115 4.00 5.80  
4  HOLDONTOYOURTIARA 4 1 31½ 32½   31½ 21¼ (cook b)MILLER CHASE 120 3.50 1.20  
3  MY ROSIE 3 5 2nk 21   21 34½ (riley barbara)OUZTS W 120 4.50 5.40  
6  OUT ATTHE SPEEDWAY 6 3 53½ 45   44 49¼ (haehn r)BUSH V 120 8.00 5% 19.00 15.20  
1  AND I KNOW 1 6 42½ 55   55½ 511½ (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 1.60 73% 0.40 1.70  
5  EIDA'S STORM 5 2 63¾ 66½   68½ 612 (aguirre jua)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 5.00 5% 19.00 23.20  
 
BTP-5   08/10/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($17.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:214 :452       :573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  TROUBLE MAKING 6 6 75¼ 54½   43 11¼ (meah m)HEARD TYLER 122 4.00 40% 1.50 3.00 W
4  MORNIN' BOSS 3 3 2nk 2½   11½ 21¼ (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 118 2.50 1.50  
1  HARTFUL HOPE 1 1 53¾ 43½   32 31¾ (smith larry)OUZTS W 118 3.50 4.50  
5  ONE MORE NIGHT 4 7 43½ 65½   74½ 43¾ (acevedo israel)MCKEE J 118 8.00 30% 2.30 10.60  
8  MY HEAD HURTS 7 5 64¾ 76½   64½ 54 (alessi ja)CORREA L 122 12.00 5% 19.00 24.70  
6  FAST TRANSIT 5 4 32 32   53½ 65½ (huffman pat)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 12.00 5% 19.00 9.30  
3  MOTOWN MISCHIEF 2 2 1nk 1½   21½ 76½ (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 4.50 4.30  
SCR  HAPPYSECRET               (alessi james)LEBRON VICTOR 118 8.00    
SCR  STELLA TERESA               (wojczynski ju)CANUTO THIAGO 122 5.00    
 
BTP-6   08/10/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:25 :494 1:143 1:423   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  OLIVIA'S JOY 4 4 42 42½ 34 32 1½ (alvarez nery)CRUZ JUAN 122 6.00 4.00  
3  AUNT RUTH 3 1 2½ 21 22 22 2½ (riley barbara)OUZTS W 120 2.50 1.90  
2  WHAT'S SO FUNNY 2 3 31½ 32 46 43 32¾ (gorham ro)CORREA L 120 3.50 43% 1.30 3.70 S
1  I SAID HEY 1 2 1½ 11 12 12 43 (lopez carlos)MARCANO Y 115 4.00 25% 3.10 1.10  
SCR  BANNED FROM MIDWAY               (caramori edua)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 5.00    
SCR  PELLETIER               (hernandez jav)CANUTO THIAGO 120 4.50    
 
BTP-7   08/10/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:222 :46       :573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HARMONICA 5 5 1½ 1nk   2½ 1¼ (drury jr)MCKEE J 120 2.00 38% 1.60 0.50 W
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SINGING KITTY by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
6  MISS BEE HAPPY 6 3 2½ 2nk   1½ 2¼ (west w)LEBRON VICTOR 120 8.00 6.80  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of BETROTHAL by TIMELESS MOMENT)
3  HAZANNE 3 1 52½ 55¾   35 35¼ (engler jeff)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 3.50 17% 4.90 5.50 S
  (by TAPIT out of YSTERIC by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
1  HOLD MY CROWN 1 6 75½ 78¼   69 410¼ (laugherty joe)OUZTS W 120 4.50 22% 3.60 4.40  
  (by MUNNINGS out of BEAUTIFUL PRINCESS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
7  AMATTEROFPRINCIPLE 7 2 31½ 33½   45½ 512¼ (johnston rebe)CANUTO THIAGO 125 5.00 30.20  
  (by DOMINUS out of SOCIAL SAVVY by DEPUTY MINISTER)
2  WILL VIRGINIA DARE 2 7 63½ 67¼   79¼ 615 (decker anna)MOJICA JR 120 6.00 30.50  
  (by GET STORMY out of WILL GRACIE SHINE by WILL HE SHINE)
4  HOPEFUL SPIRIT 4 4 41½ 43¾   59 718¼ (butcher james)PANAIJO JORGE 120 8.00 5% 19.00 35.20  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of HOPE TO WIN by MARIA'S MON)
 
BTP-8   08/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:252 :494 1:143 1:272   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  FEELING IT 6 3 31½ 31½ 21 13 16¾ (sherman j)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 119 2.50 3.20  
1  EMPEROR'S GOLD 1 1 2½ 2½ 32½ 35 26¾ (lopez carlos)MARCANO Y 119 5.00 31% 2.20 7.20 P
3  FULCO 3 6 1½ 1½ 11 23 38 (esquivel )CORREA L 124 3.50 9% 10.30 3.00 S
4  BRODYTHEOXMAN 4 2 42 53½ 77½ 69½ 49 (lopez carlos )LEBRON VICTOR 124 4.00 38% 1.60 2.80  
5  LONG BEACH KID 5 7 74 64 66 47 59¼ (figueroa cesar)REYES R 124 6.00 3.30  
7  TORNADO BOY 7 4 53 42½ 44½ 59½ 610½ (melancon paul)BUSH V 124 12.00 5% 19.00 51.20  
8  SHAKEM N BREAKEM 8 5 84½ 74 54½ 711 712½ (dominguez )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 124 8.00 12.30  
2  ALTERNATE NIGHTS 2 8 63 86 812½ 816 819¾ (lauer michael)MOJICA JR 124 12.00 38.00  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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