Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Thursday - August 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(4/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(4/1/3)-(6/5/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-2   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(6/5/2)-(1/6/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-3   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(1/6/5)-(7/5/6/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-4   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(7/5/6/8)-(2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-5   WIN (7/5/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/6/8)-(7/5/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/6/8)-(7/5/6/8)-(7/5/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/6/8)-(2/1)-(5/1/3/4) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
BTP-6   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(5/1/3/4)-(4/1/3/7) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
BTP-7   WIN (5/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/3/4)-(5/1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/3/4)-(5/1/3/4)-(5/1/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/3/4)-(4/1/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
BTP-8   WIN (4/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/3/7)-(4/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/3/7)-(4/1/3/7)-(4/1/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONEYBELL Jul26 Jul08 Jun15 May31 May19 (donjuan sergi)CANUTO THIAGO 116 3.50 20% 4.00    
2  ARKLAHOMA SOUL Jul19 Jun26 Jun04 Jan14 Dec19 (mcvickers la)MARCANO Y 113 4.00    
3  ZUPITA Jul03 May29 May17 Apr26 Nov14 (esquivel )CORREA L 116 4.50    
4  WENDY'S SONG Aug03 Jun17 May28 May13 Apr23 (voorhees i)KAENEL L 120 3.00 26% 2.90    
5  MERRY OF SOUL Mar09 Feb16 Jan26 Dec15 Oct11 (thomas mark)MCKEE J 120 2.00 16% 5.20    
 
BTP-2   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHYNAUGHTY Jun24 May24 May04     (reed r)MCKEE J 118 2.50 25% 3.00    
1A  SWEET AS MERRIE Jul20 Jun09 Oct10 Sep21 Aug24 (reed r)MCKEE J 120 2.50 ★    
SCR  SWEET MOBILTEE Jun22 Jun07 May24 Dec13 Nov30 (smith larry)OUZTS W 118 3.50    
3  JUST ZOEY Jul20 Jul08 Jun22 Oct05 Sep22 (lowry kathlee)LEBRON VICTOR 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
4  OUR LAST SONG         (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 122 2.00 55% 0.80    
5  GIMME CLEARANCE Aug03 Jun22 Jun07 May25 May06 (silva ferna)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 4.50    
 
BTP-3   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMPETITIVE FIRE Jul26 Jun24 May25 May05 Oct06 (tomlinson e)BUSH V 120 4.00    
2  WINDOW SHAKER Jul19 Jun10 May19 Oct29 Oct12 (bends p)MOJICA JR 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  BEACH KITTEN Jul06 Jun16 May18 May02 Feb25 (miller jero)PETERSON FERRIN 120 3.00    
4  MI ENLACE Jul26 Jul11 Jun10 May26 Sep20 (thompson )CORREA L 120 4.50    
5  MARKET OF STOCKS Jul26 Jun10 Dec10 Nov23 Oct22 (rodak geraldi)LEBRON VICTOR 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
6  PINKY TUSCADERO Jul05 Jun10 May31 Apr28 Mar18 (smith larry)OUZTS W 116 2.50 72% 0.40    
 
BTP-4   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AND I KNOW Jul01 Jun22 May27 Apr18 Apr01 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 1.60 73% 0.40    
2  MY ANGELICA Aug02 Jun29 Jun03 May17 May05 (pinzon maria)MARCANO Y 115 4.00    
3  MY ROSIE Jun14 May11 Apr27 Mar18 Mar02 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 120 4.50    
4  HOLDONTOYOURTIARA Jul30 Jun16 May14 Apr22 Mar23 (cook b)MILLER CHASE 120 3.50    
5  EIDA'S STORM Jul21 Jul08 Jun22 Jun07 May17 (aguirre jua)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
6  OUT ATTHE SPEEDWAY Jul07 Jun21 May13 Apr11 Mar22 (haehn r)BUSH V 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-5   08/10/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($17.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARTFUL HOPE Jul13 Jun18 May22 Apr23 Mar31 (smith larry)OUZTS W 118 3.50    
SCR  STELLA TERESA Jul13 Jun24 Jun01 Oct25 Oct03 (wojczynski ju)CANUTO THIAGO 122 5.00    
3  MOTOWN MISCHIEF Jun21 Mar29 Jan22 Oct10 Sep15 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 4.50    
4  MORNIN' BOSS Jul16 Jun24 Jun01 Apr20 Jan04 (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 118 2.50    
5  ONE MORE NIGHT Jun20 Jun05       (acevedo israel)MCKEE J 118 8.00 30% 2.30    
6  FAST TRANSIT Jun22 Jun01 Sep02 Aug04 Jul14 (huffman pat)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  TROUBLE MAKING Jun29 May24 Sep05 Jul04 Jun22 (meah m)HEARD TYLER 122 4.00 40% 1.50    
8  MY HEAD HURTS Jul27 Jun29 Jun01 May19 Nov11 (alessi ja)CORREA L 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HAPPYSECRET Jul21 Jul07 Jun10 Jun01 May04 (alessi james)LEBRON VICTOR 118 8.00    
 
BTP-6   08/10/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I SAID HEY Jul26 Jul05 Jun03 Apr28 Apr12 (lopez carlos)MARCANO Y 115 4.00 25% 3.10    
2  WHAT'S SO FUNNY May02 Apr06 Mar28 Feb14 Feb01 (gorham ro)CORREA L 120 3.50 43% 1.30    
3  AUNT RUTH Jul27 Jul08 Jun10 May25 May06 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 120 2.50    
SCR  BANNED FROM MIDWAY Jul26 Jun29 Jun14 Jun07 May31 (caramori edua)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 5.00    
SCR  PELLETIER Jul21 Jul07 Jun22 Jun08 May27 (hernandez jav)CANUTO THIAGO 120 4.50    
6  OLIVIA'S JOY Jul26 Jun10 May20 Apr28 Apr10 (alvarez nery)CRUZ JUAN 122 6.00    
 
BTP-7   08/10/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLD MY CROWN May29 May09 Mar15 Sep05 Aug28 (laugherty joe)OUZTS W 120 4.50 22% 3.60    
  (by MUNNINGS out of BEAUTIFUL PRINCESS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2  WILL VIRGINIA DARE Jul21 Apr06 Feb01 Jan05   (decker anna)MOJICA JR 120 6.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of WILL GRACIE SHINE by WILL HE SHINE)
3  HAZANNE Jul20 Jun01 Apr01 Feb27 Jan13 (engler jeff)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 3.50 17% 4.90    
  (by TAPIT out of YSTERIC by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4  HOPEFUL SPIRIT         (butcher james)AYALA ISAIAS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of HOPE TO WIN by MARIA'S MON)
5  HARMONICA May29 Jan11 Nov26 Oct12   (drury jr)MCKEE J 120 2.00 38% 1.60    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SINGING KITTY by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
6  MISS BEE HAPPY         (west w)LEBRON VICTOR 120 8.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of BETROTHAL by TIMELESS MOMENT)
7  AMATTEROFPRINCIPLE Jul13         (johnston rebe)CANUTO THIAGO 125 5.00    
  (by DOMINUS out of SOCIAL SAVVY by DEPUTY MINISTER)
 
BTP-8   08/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMPEROR'S GOLD Jul26 Jul21 Dec13 Nov28 Nov01 (lopez carlos)MARCANO Y 119 5.00 31% 2.20    
2  ALTERNATE NIGHTS Jul21 Jun14 Nov17 Nov02 Sep29 (lauer mich)MICHEL MICKAELLE 124 12.00    
3  FULCO Jul27 Jul08 Jun17 May18 May08 (esquivel )CORREA L 124 3.50 9% 10.30    
4  BRODYTHEOXMAN Jul26 Jul01 Oct11 Sep30 Sep14 (lopez carlos )LEBRON VICTOR 124 4.00 38% 1.60    
5  LONG BEACH KID Aug01 Jun24 May13 Apr15 Mar24 (figueroa cesar)REYES R 124 6.00    
6  FEELING IT Jul21 Jun29 May27 May05 Mar16 (sherman j)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 119 2.50    
7  TORNADO BOY Jul27 Jul07 Jun23 Jun09 May24 (melancon paul)BUSH V 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  SHAKEM N BREAKEM Jul21 Jun09 Jun01 May06 Apr14 (dominguez )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.