Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Thistledown
Tuesday - August 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (7/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $10.60 $4.60 77%
    EXA (7/1/4)-(7/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-7 $12.20 $6.20 103%
TDN-2   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $8.40 $2.40 40%
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-4 $43.20 $37.20 620%
    DD (7/1/4)-(1/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00  4-6 $23.40 $14.40 160%
TDN-3   WIN (4/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $22.20 $16.20 270%
    EXA (4/3/8)-(4/3/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00  3-4 $30.50 $21.50 239%
    TRI (4/3/8)-(4/3/2/8)-(4/3/2/8) 18 $1.00 $18.00  3-4-2 $127.80 $109.80 610%
    PK3 (7/1/4)-(1/6/4)-(4/3/8) 27 $1.00 $27.00  4-6-3 $423.30 $396.30 1468%
TDN-4   WIN (4/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $10.80 $4.80 80%
    EXA (4/7/3)-(4/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-7 $17.70 $11.70 195%
    TRI (4/7/3)-(4/7/3)-(4/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-7-4 $31.50 $25.50 425%
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(4/3/8)-(4/7/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00  6-3-3 $438.70 $411.70 1525%
    PK4 (7/1/4)-(1/6/4)-(4/3/8)-(4/7/3) 81 $0.50 $40.50  4-6-3-3 $2109 $2069 5110%
TDN-5   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2 $12.20 $8.20 205%
    PK3 (4/3/8)-(4/7/3)-(3/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00  3-3-2 $1002.40 $984.40 5469%
TDN-6   PK3 (4/7/3)-(3/2)-(5/4/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00  3-2-5 $65.90 $47.90 266%
TDN-7   PK3 (3/2)-(5/4/7)-(3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-5-3 $13.80 $1.80 15%
TDN-8   PK4 (3/2)-(5/4/7)-(3/2)-(8/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00  2-1/5-3/4-1/8 $21.80 $3.80 21%
    PK5 (4/7/3)-(3/2)-(5/4/7)-(3/2)-(8/4/6) 108 $0.50 $54.00  3-2-1/5-3/4-1/8 $149.95 $95.95 178%
    PK6 (4/3/8)-(4/7/3)-(3/2)-(5/4/7)-(3/2)-(8/4/6) 324 $0.20 $64.80  3-3-2-1/5-3/4-1/8 $955.92 $891.12 1375%

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   08/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:232 :462 :581     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROTHER SKYE 3 2 11 1½   1 1 (langley joshu)GUERERE ANGEL 119 6.00 17% 4.90 4.30 W
YOU ARE AWESOME 6 4 21 4   2 2 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 4.50 28% 2.50 1.30 P
STAY THIRSTY AMIGO 1 3 5 53   5 3 (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 121 3.50 4.30  
EXONERATED PREZ 4 1 31 31   3 48 (genovese richard)AVILES YAN 119 12.00 34.00  
TWICE AS SMART 5 6 4 2½   4 5 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 6.00 8.30  
T MONEY 2 5 6 64   6 611¼ (johnson l)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 28% 2.60 2.50  
SCR  AMIGO'S AFFAIR               (johnson l)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50    
SCR  K P SILVER BULLET               (ja)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 6.00    
SCR  UNCLEJACKOMO               (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 10.00    
 
TDN-2   08/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:004     1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOHN PHILIP 6 1 6 54   4¾ 1 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 119 8.00 34% 1.90 3.20 W
BIG TIME FLIRT 4 2 31 3½   3.2 2 (erdel jo)FERNANDEZ R 123 12.00 5% 19.00 18.60 P
NIKAO 2 5 2nk 2nk   2nk 3 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 123 5.00 11.90  
SOMETHING ON TAP 1 4 1nk 1nk   1nk 4 (murillo-rodr)HALDAR J 119 1.80 35% 1.80 0.80  
AGNELLO CITY 3 6 5 6   5 5 (skerrett j)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 3.50 14.20  
STRIKING AGAIN 5 3 4 43   6 611½ (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00 3.20  
 
TDN-3   08/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:223 :47 :594     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M JAC'D 3 1 22 2   2½ 1 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 119 3.00 5% 19.00 10.10 W
MAP TO MY HEART 4 5 12 1   1½ 2 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 121 1.80 69% 0.50 0.10 P
DEE'S KY WILDCAT 2 8 87 8   4 3 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 6.00 17.30 S
GHOSTLY REVIVAL 5 4 3 33   34 48 (romero jos)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 4.50 36.60  
BIRDIE'S CHANTZ 8 7 6 6   79 5 (yo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 7.30  
HEART OF RUBY 7 3 7 7   5 69 (casalinova ti)GUERERE ANGEL 121 12.00 84.90  
BUSYBEING FABULOUS 6 2 44 47   69 710½ (johnson l)COTO OSVIN 114 6.00 30.50  
FRIENDLY MERGER 1 6 5 5   813 829½ (syed riaz)VELEZ J 119 15.00 75.80  
 
TDN-4   08/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:221 :454 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIGER TRAIL 2 4 3 3.2   1nk 11 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00 16% 5.20 4.40 W
JACK BE FAST 5 1 2½ 1nk   2nk 21 (hernandez r)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 3.00 20% 4.00 2.90 P
SHOW SLIDING HOME 3 5 43 4¾   32 33 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00 37% 1.70 0.80 S
THE MAN CAN 1 6 5 5   54 4 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 119 10.00 8.30  
PRECIOUS JULES 6 3 614½ 615¼   611 5 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 12.00 7.80  
FOREIGN 4 2 1½ 2nk   4 612 (diehl candace)DIAZ I 119 20.00 45.10  
SCR  CLASSIC MO               (skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.00    
SCR  HANSENATION               (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 119 5.00    
 
TDN-5   08/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:121     1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE DRAKE 2 3 4 4 4 2 1 (flores christian)AVILES YAN 121 8.00 6% 15.40 5.10 W
FISHING FOR FUN 1 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 1 2 (calderon)FERNANDEZ R 123 3.00 2.90  
LUCKY ANDY 3 2 2½ 2nk 2nk 3 37 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 1.80 64% 0.60 0.60 S
UNIDENTIFIED MAN 4 4 3½ 31 34 4 410 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 6.00 4.30  
SCR  MY TWO AUNT JOANS               (du)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 2.50    
SCR  PAYNTED               (cannon john )HALDAR J 119 8.00    
 
TDN-6   08/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:223 :454 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARS N SPACE 4 1 1 1   15 1 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 27% 2.80 0.30 W
TURBO POWER 3 2 2 2   25 2 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 119 2.50 24% 3.10 6.70 P
ORLEANS STORM 5 4 4 3   39 3 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 119 15.00 7.50  
NOSEY POWER 6 3 67 512   513 412 (spiess )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 5.00 15% 5.60 14.40  
GRANDE RED 1 6 34 4   49 513 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 119 10.00 18.30  
MARCH MAGIC 2 5 57 612½   615 618½ (brown glen)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 3.50 6.90  
SCR  VEGAS PLAYER               (poole m)BRACHO A 119 6.00    
 
TDN-7   08/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :454 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT IN OHIO 3 3 11 12   11 1 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 121 1.00 50% 1.00 0.05 W
WORTHERWEIGHTNGOLD 2 2 21 22   21 2 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.50 23% 3.40 7.70 P
TEAM GOLD DIGGER 5 1 32 36   35 3 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 121 8.00 14.60  
QUARANTINA 1 5 54 410½   4 412 (casalinova ti)GUERERE ANGEL 119 15.00 49.20  
NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT 4 4 43 512½   515 521½ (huffman)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00 30.20  
SCR  CLIFTONS BALLERINA               (shanyfelt val)TOLEDO S 123 4.00    
 
TDN-8   08/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:223 :46 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARMEN OHIO 7 2 3 42   2 1 (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 1.80 36% 1.80 1.30 W
SWEET EMPIRE 2 3 1½ 1   1 2 (radcliff donald )RIVERA R 119 12.00 28.60  
VICTOR STORY 4 5 5 5   5 35 (jensen)ENRIQUEZ JR 119 6.00 14.00  
FRONT CIRCLE 3 6 4 2   3 4 (bo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00 34% 2.00 1.70  
GAIL'S DANCER 1 7 712 615   69 511 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 2.50 4.30  
SWINDLE 5 1 2½ 32   4 615¼ (severin rob)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 10.00 5% 19.00 7.70  
PERSEVERING HONOR 6 4 610 717½   716 723¾ (romero oscar)COTO OSVIN 114 15.00 57.60  
SCR  SWEET CHELSEA               (genovese richar)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.