Handicappers' Racing Form
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Thistledown
Tuesday - August 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (7/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-2   Win (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-3   Win (4/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-4   Win (4/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-5   Win (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TDN-6   Win (5/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-7   Win (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TDN-8   Win (8/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TDN-1   08/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  T MONEY Jul11 Jun07 Dec27 Dec14 Nov16 (johnson l)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  AMIGO'S AFFAIR Jun21 Jun01 May16 May03 Apr25 (johnson l)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50    
SCR  UNCLEJACKOMO Jul27 Jul10 Jun10 May30 May13 (faulkner )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 10.00    
3  STAY THIRSTY AMIGO Jul26 Jun27 Jun07 May17 Feb20 (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 121 3.50    
4  BROTHER SKYE Aug03 Jul17 Jun05 May16 Dec15 (langley joshua)YARANGA Y 119 6.00 17% 4.90    
5  EXONERATED PREZ Jul20 Jun12 May31 May03 Mar08 (genovese l)AVILES YAN 119 12.00    
6  TWICE AS SMART Jul31 Jul03 Jun12 May20 Apr27 (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 6.00    
7  YOU ARE AWESOME Jul31 Jul04 Jun24 Jun01 May09 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 4.50 28% 2.50    
SCR  K P SILVER BULLET Jul20 Jul03 Jun15 May30 May15 (jack)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 6.00    
 
TDN-2   08/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOMETHING ON TAP Jul26 Jul05 Jun12 Apr12 Mar21 (murillo-rodrig)HALDAR J 119 1.80 35% 1.80    
2  NIKAO Aug10 Jul26 Jul05 Jun12 May25 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 123 5.00    
3  AGNELLO CITY Jul26 Jun12 May25     (skerrett jef)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 3.50    
4  BIG TIME FLIRT Jun12 Apr24 Mar29 Mar13 Jan24 (erdel john)FERNANDEZ R 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  STRIKING AGAIN Jul26 Jul05 Jun14 May25 May10 (urie)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00    
6  JOHN PHILIP Dec14 Nov30 Nov14 Oct27   (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 119 8.00 34% 1.90    
 
TDN-3   08/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRIENDLY MERGER Jul18 Jun14       (syed riaz)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 15.00    
2  DEE'S KY WILDCAT Jul19 Jul03 Jun20 Jun01 May15 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 6.00 ★    
3  I'M JAC'D Aug01 Jul05 Jun14 May31 Jan24 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 119 3.00 5% 19.00    
4  MAP TO MY HEART Aug03 Jul24 Jul06 May15 Apr21 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 121 1.80 69% 0.50    
5  GHOSTLY REVIVAL Aug09 Jul25 Jul09 Jun10 May31 (romero jose )HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 4.50    
6  BUSYBEING FABULOUS Jul19 Jun21 Jun05 May16 Apr27 (johnson l)COTO OSVIN 114 6.00    
7  HEART OF RUBY Aug09 Aug01 Jul13 Oct25 Oct03 (casalinova tina)GUERERE ANGEL 121 12.00    
8  BIRDIE'S CHANTZ Aug03 Jul19 Jun05 May16 May06 (yode)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-4   08/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HANSENATION Aug09 Jul18 Jun10 May24 May16 (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 119 5.00    
2  THE MAN CAN Aug09 Jul18 Jun13 May24 May08 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 119 10.00    
3  TIGER TRAIL Aug09 Jul18 Jun13 May09 Apr13 (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00 16% 5.20    
4  SHOW SLIDING HOME Aug03 Jul11 Jun06 Apr26 Apr06 (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  CLASSIC MO Aug03 Jun20 May31 May15 Mar23 (skerrett )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.00    
6  FOREIGN Aug09 Jul18 Jun13 Feb02 Jan16 (diehl candace)DIAZ I 119 20.00    
7  JACK BE FAST Aug09 Jul18 Jun07 May24 May09 (hernandez ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 3.00 20% 4.00    
8  PRECIOUS JULES Jul13 Jun14 May20 May08 Dec03 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 12.00    
 
TDN-5   08/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FISHING FOR FUN Jul31 Jul19 Jun15 May24 May08 (calderon i)FERNANDEZ R 123 3.00    
2  THE DRAKE Jul31 Jul06 Jun15 May24 May03 (flores christ)OLIVEROS CHARLE 121 8.00 6% 15.40    
3  LUCKY ANDY Jul31 Jul12 Jun27 May03 Nov29 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 1.80 64% 0.60    
SCR  MY TWO AUNT JOANS Aug03 Jul10 Jun13 May17 May06 (dubi)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 2.50    
SCR  PAYNTED Jul22 Jul08 Jun17 May31 Dec28 (cannon st)HALDAR J 119 8.00    
6  UNIDENTIFIED MAN Jul31 Jul03 Jun24 May23 May06 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 6.00    
 
TDN-6   08/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VEGAS PLAYER Aug11 Jul26 Jul05 Jun14 May25 (poole m)BRACHO A 119 6.00    
2  GRANDE RED Aug02 Jul10 Mar13 Feb08 Jan09 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 119 10.00    
3  MARCH MAGIC Jul04 Jun14 May31 Apr27 Apr12 (brown glenro)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 3.50    
4  TURBO POWER Aug10 Aug02 Jul19 Jul04 Jun12 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 119 2.50 24% 3.10    
5  STARS N SPACE Aug02 Jul25 Jul04 Oct31 Oct13 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 27% 2.80    
6  ORLEANS STORM Aug10 Jul17 Jul04 Jun14 Jun07 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 119 15.00    
7  NOSEY POWER Aug02 Jul20 Jul05 Jun14 Apr24 (spiess sh)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 5.00 15% 5.60    
 
TDN-7   08/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUARANTINA Jul25 Jun21 Feb20 Jan24 Jan10 (casalinova tina)GUERERE ANGEL 119 15.00    
2  WORTHERWEIGHTNGOLD Jul22 Jun21 May17 Oct31 Oct05 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.50 23% 3.40    
3  MIDNIGHT IN OHIO Jul17 May10 Apr24 Jul05   (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 121 1.00 50% 1.00    
SCR  CLIFTONS BALLERINA Aug03 Jul17 Jun13 Feb15 Feb07 (shanyfelt valer)TOLEDO S 123 4.00    
5  NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT May22 May02 Apr12 Mar23 Mar02 (huffman c)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00    
6  TEAM GOLD DIGGER Jul26 Jul17 Jul04 Jun10 May23 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 121 8.00    
 
TDN-8   08/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SWEET CHELSEA Jul27 Jun26 Jun13 May25 Oct13 (genovese richard )BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00    
2  GAIL'S DANCER Jul19 Jun19 May29 Apr26 Mar06 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 2.50    
3  SWEET EMPIRE Aug08 Jun26 Jun12 May24 Apr12 (radcliff l)RIVERA R 119 12.00    
4  FRONT CIRCLE Jul19 Jun15 May10 Oct05 Sep13 (book)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00 34% 2.00    
5  VICTOR STORY Jun19 May17 May01 Dec30 Dec13 (jensen j)ENRIQUEZ JR 119 6.00    
6  SWINDLE Aug08 Oct05 Sep08 Aug29 Aug08 (severin rober)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  PERSEVERING HONOR Oct06 Sep07 Aug23 Jul27   (romero oscar)COTO OSVIN 114 15.00    
8  CARMEN OHIO Aug08 Jul04 May29 May10 Jan16 (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 1.80 36% 1.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.