The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Belterra Park
Friday - August 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BTP-1   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -1.80
    Exacta (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-5 2 0 $8.00 -6.00
    Trifecta (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 4-5-1 3 0 $7.05 -3.00
BTP-2   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -2.60
    Exacta (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 3-5 2 0 $5.50 -6.00
    Trifecta (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 3-5-4 3 0 $8.10 -3.00
    Daily Double (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 4-3 2 1 $4.10 $4.10 -4.90
BTP-3   Win (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $2.60 $2.60 -3.40
    Exacta (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 3-5 2 0 $17.00 -6.00
    Trifecta (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 3-5-6 3 0 $27.90 -3.00
    Pick Three (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 4-3-3 3 1 $2.90 $2.90 -10.60
BTP-4   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $9.80 $9.80 3.80
    Exacta (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-6 2 0 $23.90 -6.00
    Trifecta (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 1-6-4 3 0 $25.15 -3.00
    Pick Three (2/3/4)-(2/3/6)-(1/3/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 3-3-1 3 1 $9.65 $9.65 -3.85
BTP-5   Win (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -2.00
    Exacta (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-3 2 1 $3.40 $3.40 -2.60
    Trifecta (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 6-3-2 3 1 $2.75 $2.75 -0.25
    Pick Three (2/3/6)-(1/3/4)-(2/3/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 3-1-6 3 1 $11.85 $11.85 -1.65
BTP-6   Win (1/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.80 $5.80 -0.20
    Exacta (1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-7 2 1 $14.20 $14.20 8.20
    Trifecta (1/6/7)-(1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 1-7-5 3 0 $53.45 -3.00
    Pick Three (1/3/4)-(2/3/6)-(1/6/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 1-6-1 3 1 $19.40 $19.40 5.90
BTP-7   Win (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -2.20
    Exacta (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-5 2 0 $5.90 -6.00
    Trifecta (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 4-5-2 3 0 $10.50 -3.00
    Pick Three (2/3/6)-(1/6/7)-(1/4/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 6-1-4 3 1 $5.55 $5.55 -7.95
BTP-8   Win (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 0 $12.40 -4.00
    Exacta (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 6-8 2 0 $11.60 -2.00
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 6-8-3 3 0 $60.05 0.00
    Daily Double (1/4/6)-(4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-6 2 0 $12.00 -6.00
    Daily Double (1/4/6)-(4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-7 2 0 $1.60 -6.00
    Pick Three (1/6/7)-(1/4/6)-(4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 1-3/4-6 3 0 $23.75 -9.00

Simulator Race results

 
BTP-1   08/11/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($25.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:25
:223 :462 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED HEAD KID 4 3 2nk 21   12 13 (fernandez edward)MCKEE J 122 3.00 55% 0.80 1.10 W
DASH OF FIRE 5 2 53 44   423 (chain pearl)LEBRON VICTOR 122 4.00 3.70  
JIM'S RIVER RUNNER 1 5 31 3   22 36 (gorostieta ci)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 2.00 2.00  
FACTUM'S STAR 2 1 1nk 11   32 4(kerr n)CANUTO THIAGO 120 3.50 16% 5.40 7.10  
VEGAS PLAYER 3 4 4 5   5515¼ (poole m)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 4.50 6% 15.80 10.50  
 
BTP-2   08/11/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:55
:223 :461 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ERV'S WENCH 3 2 4 2½   12 1(smith larry)OUZTS W 120 1.80 50% 1.00 0.70 W
SUM KINDA PRETTY 5 1 11 1½   22 2(ramos francis)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 3.50 6.20  
QUIET DAWN 4 3 5 3   339 (grubbs l)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 2.50 21% 3.70 6.70 S
WHISKEY SIS 2 4 31 4   45 413¾ (nocero carmino)BUSH V 122 4.00 5% 19.00 5.00  
YEGUITA QUEEN 1 5 21 55   58 515¾ (rutledge lance)MCKEE J 120 5.00 3.50  
 
BTP-3   08/11/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
:25 :494 1:143 1:27   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUNT NELDA 3 6 3 31 1nk 12 1(devaux cher)CORREA L 125 2.00 47% 1.10 0.30 W
QUEEN OF ATLANTIS 5 3 53 42 2nk 22 2(evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 119 8.00 17.70  
PLEDGULATIONS 6 4 63 6 5 4310½ (rider m)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 4.00 14% 6.00 5.80 S
DOODLE DOO 1 1 2½ 2nk 32 38 414¼ (obert danielle)STEVENS C 120 6.00 36.20  
TRUISM 2 5 1½ 1nk 43 510 520¼ (ennis )PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 3.50 18% 4.60 3.40  
SHORT ON THE SUGAR 4 2 42 5 6 611½ 623¼ (krummen monica)CANUTO THIAGO 119 5.00 23.20  
 
BTP-4   08/11/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
:233 :473 1:122 1:38   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLYING HOUDINI 1 4 21 21 21 1½ 12 (scott l)LEBRON VICTOR 125 8.00 5% 19.00 3.90 W
POGOERIACH 6 2 11 11 11 2½ 22 (o'donnell marcus)OUZTS W 125 4.50 3.60  
ICONICUS 4 1 3 33 33 34 3(meah m)HEARD TYLER 120 6.00 5% 19.00 2.10 S
RIDGERUNNER 2 5 45 47 44 447 (scott l)PANAIJO JORGE 125 20.00 21.60  
ROENICK 3 6 66 68 610½ 55(corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 120 2.50 18% 4.60 1.70  
CROWN OF FAVOR 5 3 55 58 5 611½ 617½ (upton m)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 15.00 12.70  
SCR  MY FAVORITE UNCLE               (galindo-torres)MARCANO Y 120 4.00 59% 0.70    
SCR  TIME TO MEDDLE               (forster t)MCKEE J 125 3.50    
 
BTP-5   08/11/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($26.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
:261 :512 1:17 1:294   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASUAL ATTIRE 6 5 54 55 4¾ 3½ 1nk (hamm timoth)CORREA L 118 2.50 43% 1.30 1.00 W
CONTROLLER 3 3 3 31 3½ 1½ 2nk (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 116 3.00 19% 4.30 2.20 P
ROAD TO MUSIC CITY 2 2 2½ 2nk 2nk 2½ 3¾ (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 120 4.00 18% 4.60 3.00 S
HEIDI'S SINATRA 4 6 4 42 5 44(haehn r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 6.00 35.00  
PEDAL TO DA KETTLE 5 4 64 66 6 610½ 514½ (barker scott )JIMENEZ J 116 5.00 12.40  
DANCE MOVES 1 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 5625½ (haehn r)BUSH V 120 4.50 12.90  
 
BTP-6   08/11/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($17.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
1:411         1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EPIMYTHIUM 1 1 32 25 3 2nk 1(meah m)HEARD TYLER 121 4.00 44% 1.30 1.90 W
DRIFTWOOD 6 3 12 15 1 3.2 2(kordenbrock m)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 4.50 22% 3.60 5.40 P
SMOKEY LEE 4 4 43 4 2 1nk 3(cundiff waylon)MARCANO Y 116 10.00 23.80  
ROGUE ELEMENT 2 6 65 5 54 44(hiles a)MCKEE J 123 2.00 1.30  
LEVEE PROUD 3 2 22 35 43 5510¾ (michael brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 8.00 4.50  
WEEKENDER 5 5 54 6 6 6615½ (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 3.50 9% 9.70 13.30  
SCR  ATTA BOY ANTHONY               (andrade hugo)COLON H 121 8.00    
 
BTP-7   08/11/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 2 ALL PT- 4:25
:231 :462       1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHISPARRAJOS 3 2 1½ 11   1110¼ (gutierrez fau)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 2.50 42% 1.40 0.90 W
MEXITEXAFORNIA 4 1 2½ 21   2210¼ (crumley jevon)OUZTS W 119 4.50 3.70  
MOONLIGHT JOKER 2 4 42 45   4314½ (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 119 4.00 4.00  
HANDSHAKER 5 3 3½ 32   3414¾ (lucas wayne)MARCANO Y 119 8.00 7% 13.80 14.00  
FISH TAIL 1 5 512 520   538½ 540½ (o'neill doug)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 3.50 30% 2.40 3.50  
SCR  BRILLIANT MAN               (reed r)MCKEE J 119 6.00    
SCR  SWAYBACK JACK               (nocero carm)CORREA L 119 6.00    
 
BTP-8   08/11/2023 3300ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
:222 :462       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIN N SIN 4 4 5 53   32 1(faircloth aveo)CALLEJA ANDRES 117 8.00 5.20  
OPTIMIZME 5 5 4 4   54 2(alvarez nery)CRUZ JUAN 118 5.00 1.30  
SLENDER BETSY 1 1 1 11   11 3(raines lindse)JIMENEZ J 122 30.00 26.70  
ELLIE DELI 3 3 3 3   443 (rouck l)MCKEE J 118 2.50 43% 1.30 1.20  
HAPPYSECRET 2 2 2 21   21 54 (alessi james)LEBRON VICTOR 120 10.00 12% 7.40 5.10  
SCR  MISS FOXANN               (chavez manuel)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 4.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  SWEET BABY RAY               (horn jr)CANUTO THIAGO 122 3.50    
SCR  WANNAGOCAMPING               (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 120 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.