Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Belterra Park
Friday - August 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-4   WIN (7/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $9.80 $1.80 23%
BTP-6   EXA (1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-7 $14.20 $8.20 137%
    PK3 (7/3/1/4)-(6/3/2)-(1/7/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00  1-6-1 $19.40 $1.40 8%

Simulator Race results

 
BTP-1   08/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:25
See original race card.
:223 :462 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED HEAD KID 4 3 2nk 21   12 13 (fernandez edward)MCKEE J 122 3.00 55% 0.80 1.10 W
DASH OF FIRE 5 2 53 44   4 23 (chain pearl)LEBRON VICTOR 122 4.00 3.70  
JIM'S RIVER RUNNER 1 5 31 3   22 36 (gorostieta )LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 2.00 2.00  
FACTUM'S STAR 2 1 1nk 11   32 4 (kerr n)CANUTO THIAGO 120 3.50 16% 5.40 7.10  
VEGAS PLAYER 3 4 4 5   5 515¼ (poole m)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 4.50 6% 15.80 10.50  
 
BTP-2   08/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:55
See original race card.
:223 :461 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ERV'S WENCH 3 2 4 2½   12 1 (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 1.80 50% 1.00 0.70 W
SUM KINDA PRETTY 5 1 11 1½   22 2 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 3.50 6.20  
QUIET DAWN 4 3 5 3   3 39 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 2.50 21% 3.70 6.70 S
WHISKEY SIS 2 4 31 4   45 413¾ (nocero carmino)BUSH V 122 4.00 5% 19.00 5.00  
YEGUITA QUEEN 1 5 21 55   58 515¾ (rutledge lance)MCKEE J 120 5.00 3.50  
 
BTP-3   08/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
See original race card.
:25 :494 1:143 1:27   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUNT NELDA 3 6 3 31 1nk 12 1 (devaux ch)CORREA L 125 2.00 47% 1.10 0.30 W
  (by UNCLE MO out of SKIPPED by BROKEN VOW)
QUEEN OF ATLANTIS 5 3 53 42 2nk 22 2 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 8.00 17.70  
  (by ADVERTISE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
PLEDGULATIONS 6 4 63 6 5 4 310½ (rider m)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 4.00 14% 6.00 5.80 S
  (by CONGRATS out of PLEDGE MOM by WILD RUSH)
DOODLE DOO 1 1 2½ 2nk 32 38 414¼ (obert danielle)STEVENS C 120 6.00 36.20  
  (by PALACE out of IMPADOODLE by SUAVE PROSPECT)
TRUISM 2 5 1½ 1nk 43 510 520¼ (enni)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 3.50 18% 4.60 3.40  
  (by BLAME out of IN TRUTH by QUIET AMERICAN)
SHORT ON THE SUGAR 4 2 42 5 6 611½ 623¼ (krummen monic)CANUTO THIAGO 119 5.00 23.20  
  (by ARMY MULE out of MERIDIAN MAMA by FORESTRY)
 
BTP-4   08/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:122 1:38   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLYING HOUDINI 1 4 21 21 21 1½ 12 (scott anthony)LEBRON VICTOR 125 8.00 5% 19.00 3.90 W
  (by MARK VALESKI out of MEMORIES PREVAIL by CREATIVE CAUSE)
POGOERIACH 6 2 11 11 11 2½ 22 (o'donnell marcus)OUZTS W 125 4.50 3.60  
  (by JACK MILTON out of FLOWERY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
ICONICUS 4 1 3 33 33 34 3 (meah m)HEARD TYLER 120 6.00 5% 19.00 2.10 S
  (by IRONICUS out of STEF'S INHERITANCE by LEESTOWN)
RIDGERUNNER 2 5 45 47 44 4 47 (scott anthony)PANAIJO JORGE 125 20.00 21.60  
  (by BIG BLUE KITTEN out of HARD LIFE by ROCK HARD TEN)
ROENICK 3 6 66 68 610½ 5 5 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 120 2.50 18% 4.60 1.70  
  (by UNION RAGS out of SEE ROCK CITY by TAPIT)
CROWN OF FAVOR 5 3 55 58 5 611½ 617½ (upton thomas )JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 15.00 12.70  
  (by AMERICAIN out of FOR HEAVEN'S SAKE by LUCKY PULPIT)
SCR  MY FAVORITE UNCLE               (galindo-torr)MARCANO Y 120 4.00 59% 0.70    
  (by UNCLE MO out of STORM SONG by SUMMER SQUALL)
SCR  TIME TO MEDDLE               (forster t)MCKEE J 125 3.50    
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of BACK IN TIME by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
BTP-5   08/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:261 :512 1:17 1:294   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASUAL ATTIRE 6 5 54 55 4¾ 3½ 1nk (hamm timo)CORREA L 118 2.50 43% 1.30 1.00 W
CONTROLLER 3 3 3 31 3½ 1½ 2nk (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 116 3.00 19% 4.30 2.20 P
ROAD TO MUSIC CITY 2 2 2½ 2nk 2nk 2½ 3¾ (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 120 4.00 18% 4.60 3.00 S
HEIDI'S SINATRA 4 6 4 42 5 4 4 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 6.00 35.00  
PEDAL TO DA KETTLE 5 4 64 66 6 610½ 514½ (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 116 5.00 12.40  
DANCE MOVES 1 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 5 625½ (haehn r)BUSH V 120 4.50 12.90  
 
BTP-6   08/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($17.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
1:411         1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EPIMYTHIUM 1 1 32 25 3 2nk 1 (meah m)HEARD TYLER 121 4.00 44% 1.30 1.90 W
DRIFTWOOD 6 3 12 15 1 3.2 2 (kordenbrock)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 4.50 22% 3.60 5.40 P
SMOKEY LEE 4 4 43 4 2 1nk 3 (cundiff wayl)MARCANO Y 116 10.00 23.80  
ROGUE ELEMENT 2 6 65 5 54 4 4 (hiles a)MCKEE J 123 2.00 1.30  
LEVEE PROUD 3 2 22 35 43 5 510¾ (michael brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 8.00 4.50  
WEEKENDER 5 5 54 6 6 6 615½ (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 3.50 9% 9.70 13.30  
SCR  ATTA BOY ANTHONY               (andrade hugo)COLON H 121 8.00    
 
BTP-7   08/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 2 ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:231 :462       1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHISPARRAJOS 3 2 1½ 11   1 110¼ (gutierrez f)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 2.50 42% 1.40 0.90 W
  (by BLAME out of AMAZING SHOES by EMPIRE MAKER)
MEXITEXAFORNIA 4 1 2½ 21   2 210¼ (crumley jevon)OUZTS W 119 4.50 3.70  
  (by BEE JERSEY out of COURT SURPRISE by COURT VISION)
MOONLIGHT JOKER 2 4 42 45   4 314½ (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 4.00 4.00  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of CLAIR DE LUNE by REGAL CLASSIC)
HANDSHAKER 5 3 3½ 32   3 414¾ (lucas wayn)MARCANO Y 119 8.00 7% 13.80 14.00  
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of CHANGE ME UP by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
FISH TAIL 1 5 512 520   538½ 540½ (o'neill doug)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 3.50 30% 2.40 3.50  
  (by TALE OF THE CAT out of VUEMONT by A.P. INDY)
SCR  BRILLIANT MAN               (reed r)MCKEE J 119 6.00    
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of RUBYWOOD by WOODMAN)
SCR  SWAYBACK JACK               (nocero ca)CORREA L 119 6.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of PERFECT SEVEN by SMART STRIKE)
 
BTP-8   08/11/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:222 :462       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIN N SIN 4 4 5 53   32 1 (faircloth av)CALLEJA ANDRES 117 8.00 5.20  
OPTIMIZME 5 5 4 4   54 2 (alvarez nery)CRUZ JUAN 118 5.00 1.30  
SLENDER BETSY 1 1 1 11   11 3 (raines lind)JIMENEZ J 122 30.00 26.70  
ELLIE DELI 3 3 3 3   4 43 (rouck l)MCKEE J 118 2.50 43% 1.30 1.20  
HAPPYSECRET 2 2 2 21   21 54 (alessi james)LEBRON VICTOR 120 10.00 12% 7.40 5.10  
SCR  MISS FOXANN               (chavez manu)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 4.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  SWEET BABY RAY               (horn jr)CANUTO THIAGO 122 3.50    
SCR  WANNAGOCAMPING               (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.