Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Friday - August 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(3/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(3/4/2)-(3/2/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-2   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2)-(3/2/6)-(3/1/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-3   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(3/1/4)-(6/3/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-4   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(6/3/2)-(1/7/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-5   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(1/7/6)-(4/1/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-6   WIN (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/6)-(1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6)-(4/1/6)-(5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-7   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
BTP-8   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   08/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JIM'S RIVER RUNNER Aug01 Jun24 Jun14 May17 Apr22 (gorostieta )LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 2.00    
2  FACTUM'S STAR Jul27 Jul13 Jun29 Jun14 May18 (kerr n)CANUTO THIAGO 120 3.50 16% 5.40    
3  VEGAS PLAYER Jul26 Jul05 Jun14 May25 May10 (poole m)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 4.50 6% 15.80    
4  RED HEAD KID Jan26 Jan12 Dec22 Dec07   (fernandez edward)MCKEE J 122 3.00 55% 0.80    
5  DASH OF FIRE Nov30 Nov15 Oct31 Oct13 Sep28 (chain pearl)LEBRON VICTOR 122 4.00    
 
BTP-2   08/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YEGUITA QUEEN Apr14 Mar03 Jan27 Dec23 Nov25 (rutledge lance)MCKEE J 120 5.00    
2  WHISKEY SIS Aug01 Jul15 Jun30 Jun15 May31 (nocero carmino)BUSH V 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
3  ERV'S WENCH Jun30 Jun09 May17 Apr28 Apr11 (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 1.80 50% 1.00    
4  QUIET DAWN Aug01 Jun07 May25 May11 Apr27 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 2.50 21% 3.70    
5  SUM KINDA PRETTY Jul27 Jul13 Jun22 May26 May17 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 3.50    
 
BTP-3   08/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOODLE DOO Jul13 Jun02 May04     (obert danielle)STEVENS C 120 6.00    
  (by PALACE out of IMPADOODLE by SUAVE PROSPECT)
2  TRUISM Jun22 Jun01 Nov30 Sep29 Jul14 (enni)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 3.50 18% 4.60    
  (by BLAME out of IN TRUTH by QUIET AMERICAN)
3  AUNT NELDA Jul12 May03 Mar23 Feb08   (devaux ch)CORREA L 125 2.00 47% 1.10    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SKIPPED by BROKEN VOW)
4  SHORT ON THE SUGAR Jul21         (krummen monic)CANUTO THIAGO 119 5.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of MERIDIAN MAMA by FORESTRY)
5  QUEEN OF ATLANTIS Jun30 Jun07 Jul19 Jun28   (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 8.00    
  (by ADVERTISE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  PLEDGULATIONS Jul12 Jun07       (rider m)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 4.00 14% 6.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of PLEDGE MOM by WILD RUSH)
 
BTP-4   08/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLYING HOUDINI Jul26 Jul13 Jun17 Apr29   (scott anthony)LEBRON VICTOR 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MARK VALESKI out of MEMORIES PREVAIL by CREATIVE CAUSE)
2  RIDGERUNNER Jul13 Jul06 Jun17 May20 May04 (scott anthony)PANAIJO JORGE 125 20.00    
  (by BIG BLUE KITTEN out of HARD LIFE by ROCK HARD TEN)
3  ROENICK Jul13 Jun17 Jun05 May21 Apr27 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 120 2.50 18% 4.60    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SEE ROCK CITY by TAPIT)
4  ICONICUS Jul13 Jun22 Nov13 Oct15 Sep08 (meah m)HEARD TYLER 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IRONICUS out of STEF'S INHERITANCE by LEESTOWN)
5  CROWN OF FAVOR Jul20 Nov09 Oct11     (upton thomas )JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 15.00    
  (by AMERICAIN out of FOR HEAVEN'S SAKE by LUCKY PULPIT)
6  POGOERIACH Jul26 Jul07 Jun17 May31 Jun01 (o'donnell marcus)OUZTS W 125 4.50    
  (by JACK MILTON out of FLOWERY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  MY FAVORITE UNCLE Jul21 Jul09 May29 Apr29 Mar11 (galindo-torr)MARCANO Y 120 4.00 59% 0.70    
  (by UNCLE MO out of STORM SONG by SUMMER SQUALL)
SCR  TIME TO MEDDLE Jul23 Jun16 May18 Mar26 Jun04 (forster t)MCKEE J 125 3.50    
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of BACK IN TIME by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
BTP-5   08/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCE MOVES Jul15 Jun22 May25 May11 Mar21 (haehn r)BUSH V 120 4.50    
2  ROAD TO MUSIC CITY Jun24 Jun09 May18 Jul26 Jul07 (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 120 4.00 18% 4.60    
3  CONTROLLER Jul22 Jun09 May11 Apr27 Apr12 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 116 3.00 19% 4.30    
4  HEIDI'S SINATRA Jul15 Jul06 May25 May06 Apr29 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 6.00    
5  PEDAL TO DA KETTLE Jul05 Jun14 Mar29 Mar06 Feb14 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 116 5.00    
6  CASUAL ATTIRE Jul22 Jun24 Jun14 May31 Dec30 (hamm timo)CORREA L 118 2.50 43% 1.30    
 
BTP-6   08/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($17.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EPIMYTHIUM Jul21 Dec14 Oct26 Oct12 Sep29 (meah m)HEARD TYLER 121 4.00 44% 1.30    
2  ROGUE ELEMENT Jul20 Jun24 Jun02 Apr23 Apr01 (hiles a)MCKEE J 123 2.00    
SCR  ATTA BOY ANTHONY Jul07 Jun11 May13 Jan27 Dec31 (andrade hugo)COLON H 121 8.00    
4  LEVEE PROUD Aug01 Jul01 Jun10 May08 Apr01 (michael brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 8.00    
5  SMOKEY LEE Jul16 May31 Apr19 Mar31 Dec22 (cundiff wayl)MARCANO Y 116 10.00    
6  WEEKENDER Apr12 Mar20 Jan11 Dec21 Dec01 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 3.50 9% 9.70    
7  DRIFTWOOD Jul27 Jun09 May17 Mar31 Mar04 (kordenbrock)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 4.50 22% 3.60    
 
BTP-7   08/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 2 ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FISH TAIL         (o'neill doug)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 3.50 30% 2.40    
  (by TALE OF THE CAT out of VUEMONT by A.P. INDY)
2  MOONLIGHT JOKER Aug03 Jul03       (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 4.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of CLAIR DE LUNE by REGAL CLASSIC)
SCR  SWAYBACK JACK         (nocero ca)CORREA L 119 6.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of PERFECT SEVEN by SMART STRIKE)
4  CHISPARRAJOS Jul23 Jul09       (gutierrez f)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 2.50 42% 1.40    
  (by BLAME out of AMAZING SHOES by EMPIRE MAKER)
5  MEXITEXAFORNIA Jul12 Jun08       (crumley jevon)OUZTS W 119 4.50    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of COURT SURPRISE by COURT VISION)
6  HANDSHAKER         (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 119 8.00 7% 13.80    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of CHANGE ME UP by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
SCR  BRILLIANT MAN         (reed r)MCKEE J 119 6.00    
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of RUBYWOOD by WOODMAN)
 
BTP-8   08/11/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WANNAGOCAMPING Aug01 Jul13 Jun29 Mar15   (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 8.00    
SCR  SWEET BABY RAY Jul27 Jul07 Jun16 May31 Mar30 (horn jr)CANUTO THIAGO 122 3.50    
3  SLENDER BETSY Aug01 Jul07 Jun14 May18 May05 (raines lind)JIMENEZ J 122 30.00    
4  HAPPYSECRET Jul21 Jul07 Jun10 Jun01 May04 (alessi james)LEBRON VICTOR 120 10.00 12% 7.40    
5  ELLIE DELI Jul15 Jun16 May20 May04 Mar15 (rouck l)MCKEE J 118 2.50 43% 1.30    
6  GIN N SIN Jul05 May31 May14 Apr08 Mar11 (faircloth av)CALLEJA ANDRES 117 8.00    
SCR  MISS FOXANN Aug01 Jul08 Jun14 May31 May18 (chavez manuel)AYALA ISAIAS 122 4.00 15% 5.70    
8  OPTIMIZME Aug01 Jun16 Jun01 Jan05 Dec14 (alvarez nery)CRUZ JUAN 118 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.