Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belterra Park
Friday - August 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BTP-1   Win (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BTP-2   Win (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BTP-3   Win (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BTP-4   Win (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BTP-5   Win (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BTP-6   Win (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BTP-7   Win (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BTP-8   Win (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BTP-1   08/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JIM'S RIVER RUNNER Aug01 Jun24 Jun14 May17 Apr22 (gorostieta ci)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 2.00    
FACTUM'S STAR Jul27 Jul13 Jun29 Jun14 May18 (kerr n)CANUTO THIAGO 120 3.50 16% 5.40    
VEGAS PLAYER Jul26 Jul05 Jun14 May25 May10 (poole m)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 4.50 6% 15.80    
RED HEAD KID Jan26 Jan12 Dec22 Dec07   (fernandez edward)MCKEE J 122 3.00 55% 0.80    
DASH OF FIRE Nov30 Nov15 Oct31 Oct13 Sep28 (chain pearl)LEBRON VICTOR 122 4.00    
 
BTP-2   08/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YEGUITA QUEEN Apr14 Mar03 Jan27 Dec23 Nov25 (rutledge lance)MCKEE J 120 5.00    
WHISKEY SIS Aug01 Jul15 Jun30 Jun15 May31 (nocero carmino)BUSH V 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
ERV'S WENCH Jun30 Jun09 May17 Apr28 Apr11 (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 1.80 50% 1.00    
QUIET DAWN Aug01 Jun07 May25 May11 Apr27 (grubbs l)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 2.50 21% 3.70    
SUM KINDA PRETTY Jul27 Jul13 Jun22 May26 May17 (ramos francis)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 3.50    
 
BTP-3   08/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOODLE DOO Jul13 Jun02 May04     (obert danielle)STEVENS C 120 6.00    
TRUISM Jun22 Jun01 Nov30 Sep29 Jul14 (ennis )PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 3.50 18% 4.60    
AUNT NELDA Jul12 May03 Mar23 Feb08   (devaux cher)CORREA L 125 2.00 47% 1.10    
SHORT ON THE SUGAR Jul21         (krummen monica)CANUTO THIAGO 119 5.00    
QUEEN OF ATLANTIS Jun30 Jun07 Jul19 Jun28   (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 119 8.00    
PLEDGULATIONS Jul12 Jun07       (rider m)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 4.00 14% 6.00    
 
BTP-4   08/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLYING HOUDINI Jul26 Jul13 Jun17 Apr29   (scott l)LEBRON VICTOR 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
RIDGERUNNER Jul13 Jul06 Jun17 May20 May04 (scott l)PANAIJO JORGE 125 20.00    
ROENICK Jul13 Jun17 Jun05 May21 Apr27 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 120 2.50 18% 4.60    
ICONICUS Jul13 Jun22 Nov13 Oct15 Sep08 (meah m)HEARD TYLER 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
CROWN OF FAVOR Jul20 Nov09 Oct11     (upton m)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 15.00    
POGOERIACH Jul26 Jul07 Jun17 May31 Jun01 (o'donnell marcus)OUZTS W 125 4.50    
SCR  MY FAVORITE UNCLE Jul21 Jul09 May29 Apr29 Mar11 (galindo-torres)MARCANO Y 120 4.00 59% 0.70    
SCR  TIME TO MEDDLE Jul23 Jun16 May18 Mar26 Jun04 (forster t)MCKEE J 125 3.50    
 
BTP-5   08/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCE MOVES Jul15 Jun22 May25 May11 Mar21 (haehn r)BUSH V 120 4.50    
ROAD TO MUSIC CITY Jun24 Jun09 May18 Jul26 Jul07 (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 120 4.00 18% 4.60    
CONTROLLER Jul22 Jun09 May11 Apr27 Apr12 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 116 3.00 19% 4.30    
HEIDI'S SINATRA Jul15 Jul06 May25 May06 Apr29 (haehn r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 6.00    
PEDAL TO DA KETTLE Jul05 Jun14 Mar29 Mar06 Feb14 (barker scott )JIMENEZ J 116 5.00    
CASUAL ATTIRE Jul22 Jun24 Jun14 May31 Dec30 (hamm timoth)CORREA L 118 2.50 43% 1.30    
 
BTP-6   08/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($17.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EPIMYTHIUM Jul21 Dec14 Oct26 Oct12 Sep29 (meah m)HEARD TYLER 121 4.00 44% 1.30    
ROGUE ELEMENT Jul20 Jun24 Jun02 Apr23 Apr01 (hiles a)MCKEE J 123 2.00    
SCR  ATTA BOY ANTHONY Jul07 Jun11 May13 Jan27 Dec31 (andrade hugo)COLON H 121 8.00    
LEVEE PROUD Aug01 Jul01 Jun10 May08 Apr01 (michael brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 8.00    
SMOKEY LEE Jul16 May31 Apr19 Mar31 Dec22 (cundiff waylon)MARCANO Y 116 10.00    
WEEKENDER Apr12 Mar20 Jan11 Dec21 Dec01 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 3.50 9% 9.70    
DRIFTWOOD Jul27 Jun09 May17 Mar31 Mar04 (kordenbrock m)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 4.50 22% 3.60    
 
BTP-7   08/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 2 ALL PT- 4:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FISH TAIL         (o'neill doug)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 3.50 30% 2.40    
MOONLIGHT JOKER Aug03 Jul03       (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 119 4.00    
SCR  SWAYBACK JACK         (nocero carm)CORREA L 119 6.00    
CHISPARRAJOS Jul23 Jul09       (gutierrez fau)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 2.50 42% 1.40    
MEXITEXAFORNIA Jul12 Jun08       (crumley jevon)OUZTS W 119 4.50    
HANDSHAKER         (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 119 8.00 7% 13.80    
SCR  BRILLIANT MAN         (reed r)MCKEE J 119 6.00    
 
BTP-8   08/11/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WANNAGOCAMPING Aug01 Jul13 Jun29 Mar15   (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 120 8.00    
SCR  SWEET BABY RAY Jul27 Jul07 Jun16 May31 Mar30 (horn jr)CANUTO THIAGO 122 3.50    
SLENDER BETSY Aug01 Jul07 Jun14 May18 May05 (raines lindse)JIMENEZ J 122 30.00    
HAPPYSECRET Jul21 Jul07 Jun10 Jun01 May04 (alessi james)LEBRON VICTOR 120 10.00 12% 7.40    
ELLIE DELI Jul15 Jun16 May20 May04 Mar15 (rouck l)MCKEE J 118 2.50 43% 1.30    
GIN N SIN Jul05 May31 May14 Apr08 Mar11 (faircloth aveo)CALLEJA ANDRES 117 8.00    
SCR  MISS FOXANN Aug01 Jul08 Jun14 May31 May18 (chavez manuel)AYALA ISAIAS 122 4.00 15% 5.70    
OPTIMIZME Aug01 Jun16 Jun01 Jan05 Dec14 (alvarez nery)CRUZ JUAN 118 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.