Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Colonial Downs
Thursday - September 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CNL-2   EXA (4/7/3)-(4/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-3 $8.70 $2.70 45%
CNL-4   EXA (10/9/7/1/5)-(10/9/7/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00  10-9 $30.00 $10.00 50%
    TRI (10/9/7/1/5)-(10/9/7/1/5)-(10/9/7/1/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00  10-9-7 $115.10 $55.10 92%
CNL-5   SFT (7/4/1/3)-(7/4/1/3)-(7/4/1/3)-(7/4/1/3) 24 $0.10 $2.40  7-4-3-1 $5.35 $2.95 123%
CNL-6   WIN (4/6/7/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00  7 $10.60 $0.60 6%
    EXA (4/6/7/2/1)-(4/6/7/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00  7-2 $49.50 $29.50 148%
    TRI (4/6/7/2/1)-(4/6/7/2/1)-(4/6/7/2/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00  7-2-6 $432.50 $372.50 621%
    SFT (4/6/7/2/1)-(4/6/7/2/1)-(4/6/7/2/1)-(4/6/7/2/1) 120 $0.10 $12.00  7-2-6-4 $161.70 $149.70 1248%
CNL-7   WIN (11/7/3/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00  9 $10.80 $0.80 8%
    EXA (11/7/3/5/9)-(11/7/3/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00  9-11 $20.50 $0.50 3%
    TRI (11/7/3/5/9)-(11/7/3/5/9)-(11/7/3/5/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00  9-11-5 $155.80 $95.80 160%
    SFT (11/7/3/5/9)-(11/7/3/5/9)-(11/7/3/5/9)-(11/7/3/5/9) 120 $0.10 $12.00  9-11-5-7 $64.16 $52.16 435%
    DD (4/6/7/2/1)-(11/7/3/5/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00  7-9 $61.50 $36.50 146%

Simulator Race results

 
CNL-1   09/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:25
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:111 1:233   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MALIBU RUMBLE 1 4 3 31 1 17 114¼ (allen a )GALLARDO A 118 1.20 62% 0.60 0.30 W
VALENTIN C 3 5 43 43 3 38 214¼ (escobar alison)AVILES YAN 124 2.50 3.90  
PERFECT MOON 4 1 21 2nk 2 27 314¾ (cascallares ne)GOLIBRZUCH S 118 20.00 17.80  
REAL MIKEY 2 2 11 1nk 4 411 424¼ (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 115 5.00 8.20  
PAY THE SQUID 5 3 5 57 512½ 518 529½ (nuesch patric)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 3.50 13% 6.70 7.50  
SCR  KALINBA               (cascallares ne)ROSADO JOHAN 124 10.00    
 
CNL-2   09/07/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:56
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:13 1:364   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLOBAL SENSATION 4 6 3 2 2nk 1 1 (stidham )GALLARDO A 122 1.40 48% 1.10 2.20 W
SUPER E 3 3 6 54 5 44 2 (smith hamilton)BOYCE FOREST 122 4.00 8% 12.20 2.00 P
ESOR 2 2 2 3 31 3 3 (romero ra)CARRASCO R 122 15.00 14.90  
BOFFO KID 1 5 44 43 4 2 4 (doran carl)KARAMANOS A 122 2.00 2.10  
GAMBLING TZAR 7 7 7 7 7 67 5 (alvarado diane)ROCCO S 122 5.00 22% 3.50 5.20  
SPEAKERIT 5 1 1 1 1nk 5 610¾ (kee j)ROSADO JOHAN 122 20.00 40.70  
AKINGISALWAYSKING 6 4 5 6 6 710½ 718 (murtaugh a)ALONSO LUIS 122 20.00 57.20  
 
CNL-3   09/07/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 2:27
See original race card.
:22 :443 :564     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROANAN GODDESS 5 3 33 23   2nk 1 (smith hami)SANCHEZ J 119 8.00 8.20  
  (by LEOFRIC out of NIGHT MADAM by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
10  GREAVETTE 10 7 6 6   6 2 (begg jame)CARRASCO R 119 10.00 3.00  
  (by ASTERN out of CONVERTIBLE by FORESTRY)
ENDURING 2 2 1 13   1nk 3 (casse mark)KARAMANOS A 119 6.00 9% 10.70 9.00 S
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of IN DY RITZ by A.P. INDY)
LANDOFHOPEANDREAMS 4 1 44 55   53 4 (payne beale)ASHTON GAVIN 119 2.00 47% 1.10 4.60  
  (by JIMMY CREED out of MAJESTIC GALE by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
ARIEL MOON 8 5 54 44   32 5 (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 119 6.00 15% 5.80 3.70  
  (by MOSLER out of FIFTEEN MOONS by MALIBU MOON)
CORINTH 6 4 2 33   4 6 (munoz ca)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 4.50 6.80  
  (by STREET BOSS out of MEGARA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
LATE NITE LIZZIE 1 10 8 8   8 7 (stidham micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 8.00 12.00  
  (by PALACE MALICE out of GIANT SENSATION by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
TAKE YOUR POINT 7 8 910 912¾   910½ 812¾ (mcgaughey clau)BOYCE FOREST 119 8.00 6.10  
  (by HARD SPUN out of FAIR POINT by SMART STRIKE)
TAJOL GIRL 3 6 7 7   7 912¾ (locklear jame)FUENTES MARIO 119 30.00 5% 19.00 69.50  
  (by BARBADOS (IRE) out of TAJOL by SPRING AT LAST)
MOBINAH 9 9 1010½ 1014¾   1015 1021 (parra herna)CASIQUE URBARDO 119 30.00 5% 19.00 52.30  
  (by MOHAYMEN out of FALINA'S SONG by VALUE PLUS)
 
CNL-4   09/07/2023 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:244 :493 1:134 1:38   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BARLEEWON 10 9 53 4 4 1nk 1 (wasiluk peter)TOLEDO JEVIAN 125 4.00 24% 3.10 3.40 W
VOLTAMOUR 8 1 1 1 1 2nk 2 (mcgoey moni)CASIQUE URBARDO 125 15.00 26.20 DQ↓4
CELERITY 9 2 2 2 2 3 3 (asmussen )HERNANDEZ J 125 5.00 21% 3.80 7.90 P
PETIT FILS (FR) 7 4 32 32 32 4 4 (lawrence j)SANCHEZ J 125 15.00 17% 4.90 2.60 S
VINTNER 3 3 43 6 6 5 55 (yanez r)CASTANON L 125 10.00 11.90  
NOBLE CONQUEST 4 5 7 55 5 6 6 (allen a )GALLARDO A 125 5.00 6.70  
ATTENTIVE 1 8 9 98 9 9 7 (brown kelton)HO WESLEY 125 12.00 8% 11.40 2.90  
11  COLONIST 11 10 10 8 86 8 8 (escobar alison)AVILES YAN 125 15.00 88.00  
POWER (BRZ) 6 7 6 76 75 7 912½ (morzan javier )ROSADO JOHAN 125 2.50 31.70  
REYNA DE VERANO 2 6 8 10 11 10 1014½ (munoz ca)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 30.00 66.10  
CLOSER LOOK 5 11 11 1110 10 1110¾ 1116¾ (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 125 30.00 6% 15.20 17.50  
 
CNL-5   09/07/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:221 :444 :562     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INDEPENDENCEAVENUE 6 1 2nk 2nk   2nk 1 (delacour )CARRASCO R 119 1.20 60% 0.70 0.80 W
  (by MR SPEAKER out of OFF THE ROAD by QUICK ROAD)
THE MYTH 3 4 5 5   3 2 (casse ma)GALLARDO A 119 3.00 11% 8.30 3.40 P
  (by THE FACTOR out of HONEY TRAP by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
RAPID TULA 2 2 1nk 1nk   1nk 3 (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 119 12.00 5% 19.00 9.50 S
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of SWEET CHANTAL by SNOW RIDGE)
STARCRY 1 5 42 4   4 49 (stidham micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 6.00 9% 10.50 3.90  
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of CRY HALLELUJAH by STREET CRY (IRE))
STEAM KNOT 7 7 7 7   6 510 (cooney s)CASTANON L 119 30.00 59.00  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of CHERRY POINT by POINT GIVEN)
WHITE HEAT (GB) 5 3 3 31   5 610¼ (boniface c)AVILES YAN 119 20.00 19.60  
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of PLATINUM BRIDE by ALPHABET SOUP)
SHE'S SPLENDID 8 8 8 8   8 711¼ (tomlinson)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00 15.00  
  (by RACE DAY out of STAR SERENADE by CATRAIL)
10  CLASSIC DIVA 9 6 6 6   7 818½ (payne beale)FUENTES MARIO 119 30.00 51.70  
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of DICEY FLATS by FLATTER)
SMOKIN SISTER 4 9 9 9   911¼ 937½ (williams l)MONTERREY R 119 15.00 58.30  
  (by BRETHREN out of RACHEL'S SMOKIN by SKY MESA)
SCR  LADYS CHANT               (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 119 8.00    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of CAREY PRINCESS by WAR CHANT)
 
CNL-6   09/07/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:56
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:111 1:232   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STREET COPPER 7 7 7 6 53 2½ 1½ (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 122 3.50 11% 7.80 4.30 W
CLINT MAROON (GB) 2 3 3 34 32 1½ 2½ (bourke liam)ASHTON GAVIN 122 6.00 7% 13.90 12.70 P
VALENTINE BUG 6 11 10 10 95 5 3 (connelly)GALLARDO A 122 6.00 12% 7.50 10.70 S
SEVEN CHANNELS 4 5 9 9 8 4 4 (kurtinecz )SANCHEZ J 124 3.00 48% 1.10 1.10  
BODECREAM 3 1 4 5 6 32 5 (de horaci)KARAMANOS A 118 5.00 3.00  
ROMP (ARG) 9 9 11 11 7 7 6 (mancilla carl)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 15.00 14.60  
GIRL DAD 8 8 84 76 105 8 77 (brion ker)CARRASCO R 122 10.00 31.20  
10  EPIC LUCK 10 4 21 1nk 11 6 814¼ (ashby lynn)FUENTES MARIO 124 30.00 30.30  
KENNY HAD A NOTION 1 2 11 2nk 21 9 917¼ (jones m)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 12.00 5% 19.00 68.70  
HASN'T HAD ENOUGH 5 6 5 4 42 10 1017¼ (yanez r)ROCCO S 118 30.00 62.50  
11  SUPER JOHN 11 10 63 8 117 1114¼ 1125 (romero rafael)CASTANON L 122 20.00 70.90  
 
CNL-7   09/07/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:28
See original race card.
:213 :442 :57     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOU'RE AVOIDING ME 8 10 9 9   8 1¼ (tomlinson)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00 5% 19.00 4.40 W
11  MOMENTOUS MISS 10 2 75 7   6 2¼ (payne beale)AVILES YAN 122 6.00 33% 2.00 2.80 P
LADY ENSIGN 5 4 4 5   4 3½ (trombetta)CARRASCO R 120 10.00 5% 19.00 7.10 S
MOONSHINING 6 6 54 4   3.2 4¾ (mcgoey mon)SANCHEZ J 118 4.50 30% 2.30 6.50  
BABY LUCK 1 11 1111½ 1111¼   117 5 (ochoa ge)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 30.00 18.20  
12  LEVISA 11 9 8 8   7 6 (sillaman richa)BOYCE FOREST 118 15.00 14.30  
BLUESKYSLOOKINATME 3 7 3 3   5 7 (locklear jame)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 15.00 10% 9.40 41.20  
TATOR MADE 2 8 2½ 2nk   2nk 85 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 118 10.00 14.20  
LUNA WEST 4 1 1½ 1nk   1nk 9 (alonso cas)ALONSO LUIS 118 30.00 18.30  
MURPH 7 5 10 10   106 10 (magana j)KARAMANOS A 122 10.00 4.30  
10  SEEKINGBYTHESTORM 9 3 64 6   95 1111¼ (mcgoey monica)CASTANON L 120 10.00 11.80  
SCR  GIRVINIZED               (allen a )GALLARDO A 118 2.00    
 
CNL-8   09/07/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:121 1:241   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAEL 8 5 82 74 6 11 1 (stidham )GALLARDO A 123 1.40 65% 0.50 0.60 W
FLEETS BAY 4 1 2nk 2½ 33 3 2 (boniface kevin)ROSADO JOHAN 118 20.00 21.50  
BAIL OUT 6 4 72 8 9 66 3 (de hor)SANCHEZ J 123 2.50 8% 10.80 2.70 S
FIGHTNOMOREFOREVER 5 10 10 9 8 44 4 (boniface )HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00 31.70  
ZALFIERRO 7 8 4¼ 1½ 1 21 57 (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 123 12.00 91.90  
GRANDPA'S KID 3 7 9 10 10 76 6 (godsey d)ASHTON GAVIN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 7.10  
12  VILLAGE PREACHER 11 11 61 6 7 9 712 (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 123 20.00 5% 19.00 40.90  
IT'S ME AGAIN 1 2 1nk 3½ 5 8 813¼ (santilla)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 30.00 ######  
WILD IRISHMAN 2 3 5¾ 52 43 10 917¼ (werneth robert)GOLIBRZUCH S 123 30.00 ######  
11  MOON SIGN 10 6 3.2 4 2 5 1019¼ (pradenas serg)KARAMANOS A 118 8.00 12.00  
10  THE THINKER 9 9 1123½ 11100 11100 11100 11100 (allen ferris)CASTANON L 123 30.00 97.70  
SCR  WILL'S MUSIC               (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 15.00    
 
CNL-9   09/07/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:22 :45 :564     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHARDS 2 3 52 5   1nk 15 (danner k)GALLARDO A 119 3.00 51% 1.00 0.60 W
  (by BUCCHERO out of CYNTHIA'S FURY by UTOPIA (JPN))
FINANCIAL DISTRICT 1 6 66 6   4 25 (romero ra)CARRASCO R 119 20.00 15.30  
  (by UNKNOWN out of ONE LOOK by OPS SMILE (BRZ))
LEGENDARY PHANTOM 6 5 42 42   3½ 3 (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 119 2.50 22% 3.40 2.00 S
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of GHOSTLY WIN by GHOSTZAPPER)
SIR MASON 4 1 1½ 1   2nk 49 (munoz ca)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 15.00 13.40  
  (by ST PATRICK'S DAY out of AZASECRET by DISCREET CAT)
PAEZ 5 4 2½ 2   6 510¼ (nunez mauri)CASIQUE URBARDO 119 12.00 6% 16.40 10.90  
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of HELP THE CHILDREN by STORMY ATLANTIC)
MAINTAIN 3 2 31 32   52 611 (mccutchen jaso)ASHTON GAVIN 119 20.00 16.80  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of RELAX by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  A G DIAMOND               (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 119 4.50    
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of QUEST FOR CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  GOODBYE NOTE               (smith hamilto)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 5.00    
  (by BLOFELD out of MADAM ALEX by NOT FOR LOVE)
SCR  HOLD MY STETSON               (demario charl)KARAMANOS A 119 15.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of STAINLESS KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  IMPERIALTY               (munoz car)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of SPRING DRAGON by LIGHTNIN N THUNDER)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.