Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - September 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  3-6 $26.60 $14.60 122%
PID-2   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $11.20 $5.20 87%
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-1 $101.20 $89.20 743%
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-1-6 $432.20 $420.20 3502%
    DD (5/3/6)-(5/6/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00  3-5 $27.40 $9.40 52%
PID-3   EXA (3/6)-(3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3-6 $6.40 $2.40 60%
    DD (5/6/1)-(3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-3 $21.20 $9.20 77%
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(5/6/1)-(3/6) 18 $2.00 $36.00  3-5-2/3 $52.40 $16.40 46%
PID-4   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $5.00 $1.00 25%
    DD (3/6)-(3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3-5 $13.20 $5.20 65%
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(3/6)-(3/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-2/3-4/5 $84.80 $60.80 253%
PID-5   WIN (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $8.60 $2.60 43%
    PK3 (3/6)-(3/5)-(5/7/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  2/3-4/5-7 $48.00 $24.00 100%
    PK4 (5/6/1)-(3/6)-(3/5)-(5/7/2) 36 $2.00 $72.00  5-2/3-4/5-7 $507.40 $435.40 605%
    PK5 (5/3/6)-(5/6/1)-(3/6)-(3/5)-(5/7/2) 108 $2.00 $216  3-5-2/3-4/5-7 $684.20 $468.20 217%
PID-6   WIN (2/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  8 $31.00 $25.00 417%
    DD (5/7/2)-(2/5/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00  7-8 $136.40 $118.40 658%
    PK3 (3/5)-(5/7/2)-(2/5/8) 18 $2.00 $36.00  4/5-7-8 $631.80 $595.80 1655%
PID-7   DD (2/5/8)-(5/3/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00  8-1 $84.80 $66.80 371%
    PK3 (5/7/2)-(2/5/8)-(5/3/1) 27 $2.00 $54.00  7-8-1/6 $324.20 $270.20 500%
Simulator Race results
 
PID-1   09/13/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:14 1:404   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  THISAINTJUMPSTREET 3 5 33 41½ 31 1½ 11 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 1.80 15% 5.60 0.70 W
6  GLOVANNA 6 6 55½ 52½ 42 41½ 21 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 8.00 5% 19.00 23.80 P
1  ANNIE UP BUCK 1 3 43½ 31½ 21 31½ 31¼ (guciardo joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 2.50 5.50  
2  TREASURE THE STORM 2 2 11½ 11 11 2½ 43¼ (depasqu)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 12.00 36.80  
4  KEYPIT 4 1 21½ 21 52½ 56 514 (markgraf david)ALLEN D 122 4.50 7.80  
5  CLASSY HALO 5 4 65½ 62¾ 64 67 614 (schneide)MARTINEZ A 122 3.00 62% 0.60 2.40  
 
PID-2   09/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:004     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CORAL LEGACY 5 1 21½ 2nk   2nk 1nk (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 122 3.50 24% 3.30 4.60 W
1  SCIENCE TO WIN 1 3 11½ 1nk   1nk 2nk (kocijan )MARTINEZ A 122 12.00 16% 5.30 15.50 P
6  SILVER TOKEN 6 2 53½ 31   41¾ 3½ (markgraf david)ALLEN D 122 2.50 21% 3.70 3.40 S
3  ASPLUNDER 3 4 32 41½   31½ 41 (hayes leland)SPIETH S 118 2.00 1.60  
2  GOLDEN OAK 2 6 63½ 62½   52¼ 52½ (schneider ki)AYALA J 122 6.00 7.60  
4  PUNX 4 5 42½ 52   64¼ 65 (stokes lance)MARTINEZ W 122 4.00 3.00  
 
PID-3   09/13/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:262 :521 1:164 1:41   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  IDLE CHATTER 2 2 21½ 31½ 31 2nk 12¼ (sisterso)GALLARDO A 120 2.50 50% 1.00 0.60 W
  (by JUSTIFY out of STORM DIXIE by CATIENUS)
6  REACTIVE 5 1 11½ 1½ 1nk 1nk 22¼ (harty eoin)MORALES PABLO 120 4.00 15% 5.80 2.20 P
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of CHARGED by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
1  VANA BRIGHT 1 4 43 54 42½ 41¾ 35¾ (boucher lilith)RIQUELME J 120 6.00 23.60  
  (by OPTIMIZER out of STEELY VANA by VAN NISTELROOY)
5  RIA FORMOSA 4 5 53 2½ 2nk 31½ 47¾ (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 10.00 6.90  
  (by UNION RAGS out of VIED by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
4  BACK ON STAGE 3 3 32½ 44 55 57¼ 515½ (graham edw)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 4.50 6.20  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of ENCORE SARITTA by CONSOLIDATOR)
SCR  TREASURED GEM               (clement chri)CARROLL DECLAN 120 1.80    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of MEI LING by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
PID-4   09/13/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:253 :501 1:15 1:391   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DAWGMENTALITY 4 4 1½ 11 11 11½ 11¼ (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 118 2.50 29% 2.50 1.50 W
1  COLONEL POPPY 1 2 2½ 21 21 21½ 21¼ (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 118 4.50 1.70  
3  T REX 3 1 32 32 31½ 31½ 32¾ (rogers r)GALLARDO A 122 1.80 38% 1.60 3.10 S
2  WILLIE WANDO 2 3 57½ 56 42 42½ 44½ (pappada micha)WALKER M 118 6.00 5.60  
6  MCSTEAMY 5 5 42½ 42½ 53 55 59 (boucher lilith)RIQUELME J 122 8.00 16.60  
SCR  KNIGHT LEGEND               (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 124 4.50    
 
PID-5   09/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:224 :462 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  NOT ORBINARY 7 4 63¾ 64¼   61¾ 1nk (guciardo john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 2.00 22% 3.50 3.30 W
6  WINDY CITY GIRL 6 3 52¾ 52¼   51¼ 2nk (musarro josep)ROJAS MARTINA 117 12.00 9.70  
3  DANCE OR STROLL 3 7 42½ 42   3½ 3¾ (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 122 4.50 8.00  
1  ROLLING MO 1 5 31½ 21   1nk 41 (russell randall)RIQUELME J 122 6.00 13.20  
2  ODD GAL 2 6 21½ 31   4¾ 53 (depasquale ki)WALKER M 122 4.00 10% 8.60 3.60  
4  THE TWO NANCY'S 4 1 11½ 11   2nk 67 (buhrow jamie)ALENCAR WALBER 122 15.00 39.00  
5  TAPIT RIGHT 5 2 73¾ 76¾   78¾ 716¾ (deville carl)AYALA J 122 2.50 42% 1.40 1.10  
 
PID-6   09/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:221 :451 :571     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  GENERAL WINSTON 6 4 44 43   31½ 1¾ (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 122 10.00 5% 19.00 14.50 W
3  WOODCHUCK 3 1 32½ 31½   42 2¾ (rogers mic)AYALA J 122 8.00 12.50  
6  CALL ME LATER 5 3 2½ 2nk   21 32 (grace john)STANLEY O 122 12.00 17.70  
5  SOGNO DI CAMPIONE (CHI) 4 2 1½ 1nk   11 42½ (sanchez )MARTINEZ A 122 4.50 34% 1.90 3.30  
2  THE SINNER IS YOU 2 5 75½ 74¾   53½ 53¾ (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 124 2.50 43% 1.30 1.30  
9  GINS AND TINS 7 6 55 64¼   64½ 64¾ (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00 5.60  
1  MAJOR WAGER 1 7 65½ 54   75 75¼ (meah m)ROJAS MARTINA 117 15.00 3.70  
SCR  CAJUN CASANOVA               (d'alessa)GALLARDO A 122 3.00    
SCR  WROTE IN STONE               (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 124 5.00    
 
PID-7   09/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
See original race card.
:222 :451 :57     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DETROIT CITY 1 4 31½ 31½   2½ 11½ (sisterson jac)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00 19% 4.30 0.80 W
8  SHAKIN IT UP LARRY 7 1 11 1½   1½ 21½ (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 4.00 3.00  
4  YOUMUSTBEA WEASLEY 4 3 63½ 53   52½ 34 (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 10.00 12.70  
5  GET EVEN 5 2 21 2½   31½ 44½ (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 2.50 36% 1.80 6.50  
2  BRADITUDE 2 5 74½ 73¾   63½ 55¼ (rogers ronald)ROJAS MARTINA 117 10.00 14.30  
3  PUTIN ONLINE 3 6 42½ 41½   42½ 67 (nagle sa)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 23% 3.30 8.00  
7  TIGER PAW (IRE) 6 7 52½ 63½   74 77½ (meah m)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 8.00 19.70  
SCR  COMMODORE BARRY               (cooper thomas)ALLEN D 122 10.00    
 
PID-8   09/13/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:09
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:143 1:393   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SALLY'S MUSTANG 2 6 510½ 59½ 53 2nk 1¾ (rogers michael)MARTINEZ W 122 1.80 3.00  
8  TWISTED TREASURE 8 4 612 712 74 41¼ 2¾ (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 12.00 15.30  
5  SUMTING RIGHT 5 3 13½ 16 11 1nk 31¾ (fennessy john)WALES GARY 122 5.00 14.80  
1  NEVISIAN SPIRIT 1 1 37½ 47½ 32 31 42¾ (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 3.00 59% 0.70 3.00  
7  LIGHTNING ROUND 7 7 813½ 813½ 85½ 74¼ 56¼ (valdez moises)ROJAS MARTINA 117 6.00 5% 19.00 3.20  
6  LEAD PERFORMER 6 8 712 611½ 63½ 52¾ 66¾ (stokes l)GALLARDO A 118 10.00 5% 19.00 5.60  
4  LOOKING FOR LOVE 4 5 48 37 42½ 85¼ 710½ (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 10.00 5% 19.00 6.40  
3  TUDOX RUE MAJESTIC 3 2 23½ 26 21 63¼ 810¾ (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 8.00 13.10  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.