Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - September 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(5/6/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(5/6/1)-(3/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-2   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(3/6)-(3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PID-3   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/6)-(3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(3/5)-(5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PID-4   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/5)-(5/7/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(5/7/2)-(2/5/8) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-5   WIN (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/2)-(5/7/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/2)-(5/7/2)-(5/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/2)-(2/5/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2)-(2/5/8)-(5/3/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-6   WIN (2/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/8)-(2/5/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/8)-(2/5/8)-(2/5/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/8)-(5/3/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/5/8)-(5/3/1)-(1/4/7/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-7   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(1/4/7/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
PID-8   WIN (1/4/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/6)-(1/4/7/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/4/7/6)-(1/4/7/6)-(1/4/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   09/13/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANNIE UP BUCK Aug30 Aug14 Jul19 Jan08 Dec24 (guciardo joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 2.50    
2  TREASURE THE STORM Aug30 Aug14 Jul31 Jul05 Jun20 (depasqu)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 12.00    
3  THISAINTJUMPSTREET Aug30 Aug14 Jul31 Jul12 Jun20 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 1.80 15% 5.60    
4  KEYPIT Aug30 Aug14 Jul31 Jun20 May31 (markgraf david)ALLEN D 122 4.50    
5  CLASSY HALO Aug21 May09 Sep06 Aug15 Aug03 (schneide)MARTINEZ A 122 3.00 62% 0.60    
6  GLOVANNA Aug30 Aug09 Aug01 Jul12 Jun27 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-2   09/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCIENCE TO WIN Aug02 Jun05 May17 Nov01 Oct11 (kocijan boris)BAEZ M 122 12.00 16% 5.30    
2  GOLDEN OAK Sep06 Aug17 Aug02 Jul18 Jul12 (schneider ki)AYALA J 122 6.00    
3  ASPLUNDER Sep04 Aug21 Aug10 Jul18 Jul05 (hayes leland)SPIETH S 118 2.00    
4  PUNX Sep04 Aug02 Jul18 Jul04 Jun19 (stokes lance)MARTINEZ W 122 4.00    
5  CORAL LEGACY Sep03 Aug17 Aug02 Jul18 Jul10 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 122 3.50 24% 3.30    
6  SILVER TOKEN Sep04 Aug17 Aug01 Jul18 Jun19 (markgraf david)ALLEN D 122 2.50 21% 3.70    
 
PID-3   09/13/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VANA BRIGHT Sep01 Aug05       (boucher lilith)RIQUELME J 120 6.00    
  (by OPTIMIZER out of STEELY VANA by VAN NISTELROOY)
SCR  TREASURED GEM Aug09 Jun13 May07 Mar26 Oct22 (clement chri)CARROLL DECLAN 120 1.80    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of MEI LING by EMPIRE MAKER)
3  IDLE CHATTER Aug11 Jun24 Apr07 Feb16   (sisterso)GALLARDO A 120 2.50 50% 1.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of STORM DIXIE by CATIENUS)
4  BACK ON STAGE         (graham edw)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 4.50    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of ENCORE SARITTA by CONSOLIDATOR)
5  RIA FORMOSA Sep01 Aug10 Jul22 Jul02 Jun09 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 10.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of VIED by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
6  REACTIVE Aug16 Jul25       (harty eoin)MORALES PABLO 120 4.00 15% 5.80    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of CHARGED by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
 
PID-4   09/13/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLONEL POPPY Aug29 Aug07 Jul10 Jun27 Jun05 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 118 4.50    
2  WILLIE WANDO Aug07 Jul24 Jul10 Jun07 May17 (pappada micha)WALKER M 118 6.00    
3  T REX Jul13 Jun20 May29 Oct25 Oct11 (rogers r)GALLARDO A 122 1.80 38% 1.60    
SCR  KNIGHT LEGEND Aug28 Aug08 Dec09 Nov17 Sep19 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 124 4.50    
5  DAWGMENTALITY Aug07 Jul24 Jun21 May30 May15 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 118 2.50 29% 2.50    
6  MCSTEAMY Sep02 Aug23 Aug07     (boucher lilith)RIQUELME J 122 8.00    
 
PID-5   09/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROLLING MO Jul19 Jul05 Jun13 May29 Oct20 (russell randall)RIQUELME J 122 6.00    
2  ODD GAL Aug22 Aug09 Jul31 Jul12 Jun26 (depasquale ki)WALKER M 122 4.00 10% 8.60    
3  DANCE OR STROLL Sep05 Aug09 Jul24 Jun26 Jun07 (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 122 4.50    
4  THE TWO NANCY'S Sep05 Aug09 Aug02 Jul19 Jun19 (buhrow jamie)ALENCAR WALBER 122 15.00    
5  TAPIT RIGHT Sep05 Jul15 Jun23 Jun01 Apr28 (deville carl)AYALA J 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
6  WINDY CITY GIRL Aug22 Aug01 Jul05 Jun20 Jun07 (musarro josep)ROJAS MARTINA 117 12.00    
7  NOT ORBINARY Aug22 Oct18 Oct06 Aug17 Aug03 (guciardo john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 2.00 22% 3.50    
 
PID-6   09/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAJOR WAGER Sep04 Jul21 Jul07 Jun02 May11 (meah m)ROJAS MARTINA 117 15.00    
2  THE SINNER IS YOU Aug28 Aug17 Jun20 May29 May17 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
3  WOODCHUCK Aug17 Jul31 Jul11 May29 Oct25 (rogers mic)AYALA J 122 8.00    
SCR  CAJUN CASANOVA Aug16 Jul10 Jun19 May15 Apr05 (d'alessa)GALLARDO A 122 3.00    
5  SOGNO DI CAMPIONE (CHI) Jul19 May28 Apr28 Apr05 Mar17 (sanchez )MARTINEZ A 122 4.50 34% 1.90    
6  CALL ME LATER Aug28 Oct26 Oct10 Sep26 Sep15 (grace john)STANLEY O 122 12.00    
SCR  WROTE IN STONE Aug23 Aug09 Jul17 Jun05 May29 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 124 5.00    
8  GENERAL WINSTON Aug28 Aug09 Jul12 Jun07 May15 (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  GINS AND TINS Aug28 Aug09 Jul17 Jun20 Jun07 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00    
 
PID-7   09/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DETROIT CITY Aug26 Apr21 Mar11 Feb19 Jan21 (sisterson jac)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00 19% 4.30    
2  BRADITUDE Sep06 Aug17 Aug01 Jul19 Jul05 (rogers ronald)ROJAS MARTINA 117 10.00    
3  PUTIN ONLINE Aug18 Jul20 Jun11 Jan21 Dec23 (nagle sa)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 23% 3.30    
4  YOUMUSTBEA WEASLEY Aug23 Aug09 Aug02 Jul10 Jun07 (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 10.00    
5  GET EVEN Aug29 Aug09 Jul19 Jul04 Jun12 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  COMMODORE BARRY Aug23 Aug17 Aug02 Jul05 Jun21 (cooper thomas)ALLEN D 122 10.00    
7  TIGER PAW (IRE) Sep02 Aug05 Jul06 May31 May14 (meah m)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 8.00    
8  SHAKIN IT UP LARRY Aug28 Aug17 Jul31 Jul05 Jun14 (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 4.00    
 
PID-8   09/13/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEVISIAN SPIRIT Aug17 Aug01 Jul17 Jun14 May17 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 3.00 59% 0.70    
2  SALLY'S MUSTANG Aug09 Jul25 Jul10 Jun13 May15 (rogers michael)MARTINEZ W 122 1.80    
3  TUDOX RUE MAJESTIC Aug01 Jul19 Jul05 Jun07 Jan31 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 8.00    
4  LOOKING FOR LOVE Aug29 Aug14 Jul10 Jun07 May23 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  SUMTING RIGHT Aug30 Aug09 Aug01 Jul19 Jun26 (fennessy john)WALES GARY 122 5.00    
6  LEAD PERFORMER Aug28 Aug10 Aug02 Jul04 Jun06 (stokes l)GALLARDO A 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  LIGHTNING ROUND Aug30 Aug15 Aug07 Jul11 Jul04 (valdez moises)ROJAS MARTINA 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  TWISTED TREASURE Aug17 Aug01 Jul05 Jun20 Apr01 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.