Handicappers' Race Results

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Kentucky Downs
Thursday - August 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KD-1   Win (5/1/7/10/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $16.84 $16.84 6.84
KD-2   Win (1/8/13/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $5.12 $5.12  
KD-3   Win (2/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $5.92 $5.92  
KD-4   Win (10/4/1/2/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $8.10 $8.10  
KD-5   Win (7/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $3.52 $3.52  
KD-6   Win (11/6/9/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 0 $23.64  
KD-7   Win (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.34 $4.34  
KD-8   Win (4/6/9/10/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $32.54  
KD-9   Win (1/7/4/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $76.52 $76.52 66.52
KD-10   Win (6/5/4/11/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $12.50 $12.50 2.50

Simulator Race results

 
KD-1   08/31/2023 4290ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:221 :47 1:111     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUTTERCREAM BABE 6 7 1½ 1nk   12 1 (maker michael )GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 13% 6.80 7.42 W
12  AURACULOUS 10 6 8 8   5 2 (devaux cher)TORRES A 119 10.00 9.16  
SALTWATER TAFFY 1 4 7 5   32 3 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.00 13% 6.70 4.05 S
BUNDCHEN 4 10 4 4   6 4 (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 43% 1.30 1.71  
TOASTED ROLL 7 5 2½ 2nk   22 5 (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00 14.19  
13  FIELD LASS 11 1 31 3   4 6 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 30.00 12.35  
SARAH'S DREAM 8 2 6 7   7 7 (casse norm )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00 9.38  
10  JUST BE QUIET 9 8 9 9   8 8 (gorham m)PEREZ E 119 20.00 5% 19.00 27.41  
BACKWOODS BARBIE 2 9 109 11   99 911¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 25.92  
BAYTOWN KITTY CAT 5 3 5 6   1012 1018½ (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 119 30.00 82.97  
LEUCADIA 3 11 1110½ 10   1114 1122 (walsh p)VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00 8.99  
SCR  CLASSY'N CONNECTED               (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 20.00    
SCR  LA SCALONETA               (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT ANGEL (GER)               (torres ale)AYALA ISAIAS 119 20.00    
SCR  MOTEL MISCHIEF               (leonard george )TALAMO JOSEPH 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  QUEEN CARINA               (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 20.00    
 
KD-2   08/31/2023 4290ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($250K) 2 F PT- 2:02
See original race card.
:22 :463 1:11     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIDDEN CLASS 7 6 32 32   11 1 (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 19% 4.20 1.56 W
13  CRAZY CAMI 11 7 7 5   32 2 (maker michael )GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50 18% 4.60 3.06 P
TX WOMEN FOR ARTS 1 1 2nk 1nk   21 34 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 42% 1.40 4.28 S
STEPHANIESWARRIOR 5 8 8 9   7 4 (capps a)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 30.00 ######  
DESIGNATED 6 2 6 8   6 5 (elliott michell)LEAHEY HANNAH 118 30.00 80.93  
DOZEN DIAMONDS 2 5 43 43   4 610¼ (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00 18.05  
12  MORETASTIC 10 10 9 6   5 711 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00 24.60  
URBAN DREAMER 4 4 1nk 2nk   8 818¾ (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 7.08  
INTEGRATED DESIGN 8 3 5 7   9 920¾ (hamilton sarah)GILLIGAN JACK 118 20.00 13.54  
EDISTRUDIS 3 9 1011¾ 1013   1015¼ 1044 (gutierrez f)LEPAROUX R 118 4.50 13.90  
10  TALE OF CHIANTI 9 11 1126¾ 1125   1125¼ 1176 (scott l)MCENTEE GRACE 118 30.00 ######  
SCR  INTERMITTENT FAST               (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00    
SCR  LUCKY LESSON               (corrigan jim)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  YOU'RE KITTEN ME               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00    
 
KD-3   08/31/2023 6930ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($170K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:34
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:122 1:371   2:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R CALLI KIM 6 88 7 67 64 1½ 12 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00 7% 13.50 1.96 W
SAND AND SEA 2 11 12 11 1 2½ 22 (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 8.00 40% 1.50 8.00 P
STRIKINGLY SPUN 1 3 3 33 32 33 3 (sharp joe)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.50 3.60  
LADY ARSINOE 7 911½ 911½ 810 89 77 4 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50 14% 6.10 14.45  
BEECHNUT TROPHY 3 21 22 21 2 4 59 (joseph saffie )ZAYAS J 122 6.00 11% 8.30 7.05  
OLKOVSKHA (FR) 5 6 67 78 7 6 6 (motion graha)GEROUX FLORENT null   14.76  
FEDERALIST PAPERS 4 54 55 5 53 5 710 (motion gr)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 4.00 7.12  
LUCY'S CAKES FLY 9 7 89 910½ 910 910½ 811½ (stuart she)RODRIGUEZ A 119 30.00 29.84  
SHAD NATION 8 43 44 43 4 8 924 (clement chr)LEPAROUX R 122 6.00 6.57  
 
KD-4   08/31/2023 4290ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($180K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:06
See original race card.
:214 :451 1:092     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STATIC FIRE 4 3 1nk 1½   1 1 (lynch brian)TORRES A 122 6.00 18% 4.40 3.05 W
STELLA NOIR 8 7 4 43   34 2 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 15.00 15.99  
HAPPY SOUL 1 4 2nk 32   44 3 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 4.00 18% 4.60 2.57 S
BHOMA 5 1 9 87   5 4 (catalano wa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00 34.62  
11  MAJESTIC D'ORO 10 6 31 2½   2 55 (walsh brenda)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 12.00 5% 19.00 23.83  
READY FOR CHANGE 3 8 10 1010   1010¼ 6 (pessin l)LANERIE J 122 30.00 68.64  
10  WALKATHON 9 2 65 64   67 7 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 122 2.50 26% 2.90 3.91  
LEMOS CUNHA 6 9 8 76   8 810 (caramori ed)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 30.00 34.31  
LINGUISTIC 7 5 7 9   9 911 (foster eric)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 5.24  
BOUT TIME 2 10 53 54   7 1011½ (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 15% 5.70 5.89  
SCR  BRAGANZA               (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 122 12.00    
 
KD-5   08/31/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:41
See original race card.
:22 :443 1:093 1:213   1:333   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOISES OFF 6 4 4 4 21 13 1 (lobo paulo )TORRES A 120 1.80 49% 1.00 0.76 W
UTAH BEACH 1 11 3 32 31 23 2 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 3.50 28% 2.50 5.50 P
METALLURGIC 8 5 7 710½ 67 3 3 (maker michael )GEROUX FLORENT 120 15.00 15.74  
10  ICE TIME 9 10 1110½ 1014 8 78 410½ (sharp joe)CORRALES GERARDO 120 20.00 52.55 DH
12  HEART N SOUL 11 6 8 914 78 6 410½ (weaver georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 10.00 7.28 DH
REAL NAUGHTY 5 8 66 5 56 5 612¼ (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 30.00 62.09  
CURLINS INCHARGE 7 9 9 811 10 89 713¼ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 120 20.00 37.06  
SIG 2 1 11 11 11 47 816¾ (rivera justin)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00 39.62  
HOGSLAYERS R I P 3 2 21 21 43 910½ 916¾ (pessin neil )HERNANDEZ J 124 12.00 5% 19.00 7.14  
GREAT RUNNER 4 7 5 67 9 1016½ 1037½ (ladner herman)GRAHAM J 124 20.00 47.08  
11  FIREBALL FUN 10 3 109 1149 11100 11100 11100 (stall m)ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00 12.33  
SCR  ARCHIE THE GIZA               (medina robert)GARCIA MARTIN 124 15.00    
SCR  ELEGANT TRIP               (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 120 10.00    
SCR  MISSIONAIRE               (diodoro rob)TORRES A 120 8.00    
SCR  RUNNINGFORJOY               (tomlinson m)LEPAROUX R 120 20.00    
SCR  WICKED AGAIN               (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00    
 
KD-6   08/31/2023 4290ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($250K) 2 ALL PT- 4:14
See original race card.
:221 :46 1:101     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  COIN MINER 9 7 5 5   33 1½ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 10.82  
11  ASPENITE 10 1 1 1   13 2½ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 28% 2.60 4.85 P
SPONGE BATH 8 3 2 2   23 3 (catalano way)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00 16% 5.40 3.53 S
IRIDESCENT 5 4 4 4   55 4 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 22% 3.60 4.63  
ALL ABOUT TONITE 7 2 3 3   4 5 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 10.01  
MIDNITE LUMBERJACK 4 10 1010½ 911¼   78 6 (o'connor robert)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00 5% 19.00 43.32  
HAM SANDWICH 3 8 89 810¾   811 7 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 13.53  
DARKROOM 6 9 9 1013¾   1012½ 810½ (kenneally eddie)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00 13% 6.60 2.33  
DUNPHY 2 6 7 7   6 911 (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 118 20.00 90.01  
CHISPARRAJOS 1 5 6 6   912 1017¼ (gutierrez f)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 16.14  
SCR  WHO'S SNOW TROUBLE               (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00    
 
KD-7   08/31/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($180K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:221 :444 1:084 1:21   1:334   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WOLFIE'S DYNAGHOST 5 1 2nk 2½ 1 1½ 1nk (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 122 2.50 26% 2.90 1.17 W
OCEAN ATLANTIQUE 6 3 3 3 2 2½ 2nk (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 4.07  
INJUNCTION 1 4 42 42 53 4 3 (vaccarezza carlo)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 4.50 9.48  
BIG DREAMING 2 7 6 6 3 3 42 (catalano way)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00 25% 3.00 3.75  
ALTAZOR (ARG) 7 6 7 73 6 54 52 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT null   33.79  
BULLSEYE BUN 4 2 1nk 1½ 4 6 615¼ (green troy)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 30.00 42.51  
STREET READY 3 5 53 5 7 7 715½ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 3.00 26% 2.90 4.24  
SCR  ACCREDIT               (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 122 8.00    
SCR  DOCTOR DAVIS               (delacour arnaud)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 10.00    
 
KD-8   08/31/2023 4290ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($160K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:21
See original race card.
:213 :452 1:10     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ERNA 8 9 9 9   41 11 (matejka pavel)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 10.00 15.27  
ZEITLOS 4 7 8 6   1nk 21 (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 3.50 31% 2.20 5.45 P
TOWSER 2 4 6 4   2nk 3 (joseph saffie )ZAYAS J 121 4.00 4.19  
WORK OF FICTION 5 10 10 10   7 42 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00 9.48  
SWEET ALYSSA 7 11 1112 118   10 5 (pessin neil )HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
PROUD MARY 9 3 53 74   8 6 (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.50 15% 5.80 3.76  
AMERICAN RETRO 6 8 75 8   6 7 (wilkes r)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 20% 3.90 6.27  
12  DRIANA 11 1 32 5   9 87 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 27.10  
10  IVORY MOON 10 5 2½ 2nk   3½ 9 (lynch a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 13% 6.60 3.19  
BELPERRON 3 2 1½ 1nk   53 1011 (manley stev)LEPAROUX R 121 12.00 16.27  
ARDEN'S ASSAULT 1 6 4 33   1114¾ 1123¾ (davis christop)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 47.22  
SCR  CANDLE               (mcgaughey c)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00    
SCR  D'ORO STREET               (diodoro rob)TORRES A 118 15.00    
SCR  DEAR LADY               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
SCR  MISS SHIPMAN               (briley lonnie)COURT K 118 20.00    
SCR  ZAPPLE               (leitch danie)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
KD-9   08/31/2023 5490ft TURF RC11 FIRM FanDuel Tapit Purse ($500K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:223 :451 1:094 1:342   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARLAN ESTATE 5 5 75 87 8 1nk 1 (beckman whitw)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00 37.26 W
ENGLISH BEE 8 1 5 55 7 2nk 2 (motion gra)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 6% 16.90 10.14 P
YES THIS TIME 9 2 64 6 6 5 3 (miller peter)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00 8.84  
STRONG QUALITY 7 8 1½ 11 1½ 3 4 (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 122 6.00 21% 3.80 2.13  
SPEAKING SCOUT 4 9 11 119 5 4 5 (motion gra)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00 16% 5.30 7.40  
PORTFOLIO COMPANY 1 10 9 77 9 7 6 (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 126 3.00 37% 1.70 2.50  
KITODAN 3 7 85 98 104 8 7 (foster eric)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00 18.02  
PLAY ACTION PASS 2 6 4 32 4 6 8 (medina robe)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 30.00 18.79  
10  FLAVIUS 10 4 31 4 31 9 9 (papaprodromou g)VALDIVIA JR 122 8.00 10.65  
13  TIBERIUS MERCURIUS 11 3 2½ 21 2½ 105 10 (maker j)GRAHAM J 126 20.00 24.90  
WHISPER NOT (GB) 6 11 10 10 116 1110 1126 (quick patri)LEPAROUX R null   26.49  
SCR  CABO SPIRIT               (papaprodromou)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 8.00    
SCR  JOHNY'S FIREBALL               (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 122 20.00    
SCR  MINNESOTA READY               (pessin neil )HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00    
SCR  SIEGE OF BOSTON               (toner j)RUIZ JORGE 126 12.00    
SCR  ST ANTHONY               (drysdale neil)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 20.00    
 
KD-10   08/31/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 6:28
See original race card.
:224 :464 1:122 1:243   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COPPER MISSILE 6 9 8 9 5 1½ 1 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.00 40% 1.50 5.25 W
11  MOVE TO GOLD 11 8 10 74 6 3½ 2 (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00 5% 19.00 5.79 P
CREEK 7 6 5 63 4 2½ 3 (mott i)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 10.69 DH
PUBLIUS 8 7 9 10 73 5 3 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 6.35 DH
CHANNELER 9 3 21 1½ 1nk 4¾ 5 (thomas jona)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00 5% 19.00 10.52  
TAPITORO 4 12 1211½ 1211¼ 129 8 6 (lynch a)GRAHAM J 119 4.50 14% 6.20 10.97  
MERLIN'S MAGIC 1 11 11 11 118 7 7 (nihei miche)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 35.91  
HEY JOE JOE 5 4 11 2½ 2nk 6 8 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 22% 3.50 10.76  
12  RAGUEL 12 1 6 31 32 9 912¼ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 2.77  
10  J T'S IMAGINATION 10 2 7 84 9 10 1013¼ (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 30.00 28.07  
BERNIN HOT 3 5 4 4 85 119 1119½ (davis christ)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 14.11  
DRIP D'ORO 2 10 31 52 106 1213 1225½ (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 20.00 34.28  
SCR  CRUSADING               (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 10.00    
SCR  FRONTLINE WARRIOR               (mcgaughey cl)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00    
SCR  KING BUKELE               (torres ale)AYALA ISAIAS 119 20.00    
SCR  SATURDAY STARTER               (glover tracey)GILLIGAN JACK 119 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.