Handicappers' Race Results

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Saratoga
Sunday - September 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (7/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $3.50 $3.50  
SAR-2   Win (9/2/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $8.20 $8.20 0.20
SAR-3   Win (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  
SAR-4   Win (7/6/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
SAR-5   Win (8/10/2/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
SAR-6   Win (4/2/5/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $8.90 $8.90  
SAR-7   Win (2/1/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $23.00  
SAR-8   Win (10/1/6/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 11 1 0 $16.40  
SAR-9   Win (9/8/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $8.00 $8.00  
SAR-10   Win (8/9/3/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $6.40 $6.40  

Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   09/03/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT-12:40
See original race card.
:243 :511 1:161 1:393   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEIGH THE RISKS 8 5 52 3 3½ 1nk 1nk (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 37% 1.70 0.75 W
APPELLATE 7 2 2½ 2 2nk 2nk 2nk (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 119 3.50 38% 1.60 5.60 P
LATER DARLING 5 10 9 97 9 6 3¼ (pletcher t)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 7.10 S
SENSING FLATTER 9 8 8 6 52 42 4 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 17.00  
JUSTDENY 2 7 7 8 7 7 5 (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 16.40  
10  ICE COLD 10 9 10 108 10 9 64 (mcpeek g)DAVIS DYLAN 119 20.00 36.00  
STENTS AND STATINS (GB) 1 6 63 75 65 86 7 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00 12.90  
PROGENY 4 1 1½ 1 1nk 3 8 (weaver george)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00 5% 19.00 24.50  
PHILANTHROPY 6 4 42 5 8 108 95 (mcgaughey cla)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 13.00  
MOST OF ALL 3 3 31 4 4 5 105 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00 24.50  
SCR  BA DEE YAH               (amoss m)CARMOUCHE K 119 20.00    
SCR  WAY TO BE MARIE               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00    
 
SAR-2   09/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:111     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BON ADIEU 3 4 1½ 1nk   11 11 (gargan danny)DAVIS KATIE 124 3.50 10% 9.10 3.10 W
MIM 8 2 31 3½   21 21 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 121 1.80 28% 2.50 1.85 P
10  EMBRACEABLE GAL 9 1 52 5   4 38 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 20.00 28.00  
SWEET LIBERTY 6 3 2½ 2nk   3 49 (quick patr)DAVIS A 121 8.00 11.40  
FOLLOW THE FED 2 8 76 8   6 510¾ (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 121 12.00 28.00  
MARLEY'S GHOST 1 7 63 7   59 613½ (trombetta michae)LEZCANO JOSE 121 8.00 20% 3.90 4.90  
LADY FORTUNA 5 5 9 912¾   915¾ 718½ (gyarmati leah)MARTINEZ R 121 20.00 46.50  
NORTHWAY 7 9 8 6   714¼ 820¾ (handal raymond)ORTIZ JR 121 10.00 10.30  
SCHERZER 4 6 4 4   814¾ 927½ (handal raymond)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00 17% 5.00 4.70  
SCR  MONTAUK MYSTIQUE               (miceli michael)TORRES A 116 15.00    
 
SAR-3   09/03/2023 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:48
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:114 1:36   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FILM STAR 5 1 11 1½ 1½ 13 1 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 124 1.80 27% 2.70 1.90 W
LEADING CONTENDER 1 4 32 42 32 23 2 (brown c)CASTELLANO J 124 5.00 2.75  
SAQEEL 6 3 21 2½ 2½ 3 3 (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 122 6.00 7.60  
OLYMPIC DREAMS 4 2 4 3 42 48 410½ (quick patrick)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 2.00 33% 2.00 1.90  
THE PRINCE'S SPUR 3 5 5 53 55 516 523 (bauer a)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 12% 7.40 7.00  
1A  MOORE'S LAW 2 6 617½ 620 620 618 629½ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00 2.75  
SCR  CERTIFIED LOVERBOY               (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00    
SCR  IMPLEMENTATION               (joseph a)FRANCO MANUEL 124 10.00    
 
SAR-4   09/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($42K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:19
See original race card.
:234 :47 1:112 1:241   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT 7 3 1½ 11 11 1 1 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 120 1.40 38% 1.60 1.00 W
DURKIN'S CALL 3 5 78 65 5 48 2 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 6% 16.30 5.20 P
BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES 9 7 6 7 6 511 3 (duggan p)TORRES A 113 8.00 21.40  
1A  INVISIBLE WAR 8 6 4 4 3 37 4 (atras rob)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 4.50 5.20  
SPRINKLEHEAD 2 1 2½ 21 21 2 58 (d'angelo f)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00 18.10  
HANG TIGHT 4 10 1020½ 1020½ 1015 817 611¼ (romero jesus)DAVIS KATIE 123 20.00 29.00  
HAMMERIN AAMER 6 9 915½ 912½ 813 715 711¼ (falcone rober)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 30% 2.30 18.60  
BEAVER HAT 10 8 813 810½ 78 614½ 815½ (barkley ja)SANTANA JR 118 10.00 5% 19.00 21.70  
RALLY SQUIRREL 5 2 31 5 914½ 932 938 (amoss m)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 5.40  
SILVER DUST 1 4 5 3 43 10100 10100 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00 5.20  
 
SAR-5   09/03/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 ALL PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:222 :453 :572     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COWES 1 5 4 42   1nk 1¾ (catalano m)LEZCANO JOSE 119 3.50 20% 4.00 1.70 W
NANO MAN 2 6 1nk 1½   2nk 2¾ (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00 13.00  
10  PICCATA PRINCE 9 1 6 53   5 3 (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 22% 3.60 3.10 S
MAGIC BEACH 4 7 5 6   6 4 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 5.80  
UNCLE EDDIE 7 9 10 1011   8 57 (contessa gary )CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 12% 7.40 10.00  
MY MAN WOODY 5 8 8 8   97 6 (brown r)SILVERA RUBEN 119 20.00 5% 19.00 36.50  
11  SUGAR IT'S ELI 10 4 3½ 3   44 7 (begg bentle)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00 29.00  
KHANATE 6 2 2nk 2½   33 8 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 24% 3.20 5.10  
NOTAFRAIDTOCHARGE 8 10 7 75   7 99 (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 111 10.00 39.25  
ATTRAYANT 3 3 9 9   10 1012½ (lerman s)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00 34.00  
SCR  HAPPY BAYTOWN               (mcentee paul)DAVIS DYLAN 116 12.00    
SCR  KING FREUD               (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 10.00    
SCR  MUCHO DE LA MANCHA               (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00    
SCR  RUN JALEN RUN               (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00    
SCR  THREE POINT STRUT               (camejo jos)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
SCR  YAQUI VALLEY               (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
 
SAR-6   09/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:103     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALPINE PRINCESS 4 7 6 5   4 1nk (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 29% 2.40 3.45 W
NIKITIS 5 5 31 4   3½ 2nk (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00 21% 3.70 3.85 P
CAITLINHERGRTNESS 9 1 2nk 1½   1½ 3¾ (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 5.00 4.30  
SNOW DANCE 7 3 1nk 2½   2½ 41 (rice kevin)SILVERA RUBEN 119 8.00 5% 19.00 13.00  
10  SCALABLE 10 2 4 31   5 5 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 8.20  
GENETICS 2 9 7 6   6 6 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 3.00 23% 3.40 2.50  
NORISKIT NOBISCUIT 8 4 911¼ 912½   7 7 (amoss thomas )MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00 36.50  
EXTREMELY GRUNTLED 6 6 8 77   8 810½ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 31.00  
DANCING DEAN 3 10 1013¼ 1018   917¼ 918¾ (de hor)SANTANA JR 119 15.00 5% 19.00 38.75  
SOCIAL AFFAIR 1 8 5 89   1037¼ 10100 (lukas wayne)CASTELLANO J 119 20.00 33.00  
 
SAR-7   09/03/2023 5940ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
null null null null null null   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INDIAN MISCHIEF 6 1 11 11 1½ 1 1 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 10.50  
LORD FLINTSHIRE 5 2 3 3 3 3 2 (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00 5.60  
HARRY HOOD 7 5 21 21 2½ 4 32 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 120 3.50 6% 14.40 5.00 S
EMPIRE ATTRACTION 3 3 43 44 42 2 4 (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.50 10.50  
BORN A GAMBLER 2 7 65 6 5 5 54 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00 4.90  
1A  JARREAU 4 6 78 7 76 6 6 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 25% 3.10 2.75  
SKI PATROL 1 4 5 5 6 7 719¼ (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50 36% 1.80 2.70  
SCR  ACHILLES HEEL               (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 119 6.00    
SCR  ADDICTED TO YOU               (sciacca gary)TORRES A 119 30.00    
SCR  MEMPHIS               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00    
SCR  PROVISION               (noda orlando)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 20.00    
SCR  WATASHA               (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00    
 
SAR-8   09/03/2023 5940ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:36
See original race card.
:233 :484 1:131 1:371   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  CAN'T FOOL ME 10 6 54 6 5 1nk 1 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 122 12.00 7.20  
DIAMOND STATUS 7 7 32 21 2½ 2nk 2 (martin f)VELAZQUEZ R 124 5.00 6.40  
MISS KRISTY 6 9 12 12 11 46 3 (rodriguez gus)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00 10.60  
MISCREANT 8 11 107 10 12 7 43 (serpe philip )MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 8.00 7.40  
12  ANILEATE 11 10 97 9 10 9 5 (ferraro james )CASTILLO ISAAC 122 15.00 5% 19.00 24.25  
10  DONTMESSWITHTESS 9 12 118 11 74 3 6 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 124 2.50 40% 1.50 1.75  
EXCEPT TEMPTATION 4 4 6 75 9 5 7 (albertrani tho)CASTELLANO J 122 6.00 12% 7.20 7.80  
RIVER TAY (IRE) 5 5 43 53 63 10 88 (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00 27% 2.70 10.40  
UP HER SLEEVE 2 1 21 32 3 6 910 (levine bruce)TORRES A 119 20.00 34.00  
SISTER NELL 1 2 75 43 4 8 1010½ (jimenez jo)DAVIS A 122 20.00 54.50  
2B  FAST KIMMIE 12 8 86 8 8 1115¼ 1118¼ (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 7.40  
MOULY 3 3 11 11 1½ 1221¼ 1229¼ (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00 11.10  
SCR  FROM HELLO               (brown r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00    
SCR  PROUD FOOT               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 10.00    
SCR  THESTRAL               (amoss m)RIDER TBA 120 5.00    
SCR  YOGI               (chichakly amir)TORRES A 117 8.00    
 
SAR-9   09/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC14 FAST Spinaway Purse ($300K) 2 F PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:222 :45 1:094     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRIGHTWORK 8 6 4 3.2   1½ 1½ (ortiz alex)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 31% 2.30 3.00 W
WAYS AND MEANS 7 8 74 4   2½ 2½ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.40 23% 3.40 0.45 P
WONDER RIDE 6 7 62 7   3 3 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 120 12.00 5% 19.00 31.75 S
ALYS BEACH 5 5 8 813½   711 4 (amoss m)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00 40.25  
CLOSING ACT 4 2 5 5   610 514¼ (asmussen steven )LEZCANO JOSE 122 20.00 22% 3.50 46.75  
SUGAR HI 3 4 1½ 1nk   4 616¾ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00 7.00  
LADY MOSCATO 2 3 31 6   5 717½ (lukas wayne)VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00 24.50  
10  LEMORIAN 9 1 2½ 2nk   814½ 832¾ (elliott m)DE CRUZ 120 15.00 33.00  
MIZ SENSE 1 9 9100 9100   9100 9100 (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 120 15.00    
SCR  BECKY'S JOKER               (contessa gary )CASTELLANO J 122 12.00    
 
SAR-10   09/03/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:44
See original race card.
:231 :483 1:13     1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHISKEY LULLABY 3 2 2 2nk 2nk 1 1 (nevin mich)SANTANA JR 124 4.50 18% 4.70 2.20 W
DARK POOL 8 10 9 9 10 54 2 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 21% 3.80 6.50 P
ADDRESSABLE MARKET (IRE) 7 8 8 75 6 6 3 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 31% 2.20 5.60 S
KEEP IT SEXY 5 3 3 32 5 3 4 (englehart chris)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00 24.50  
13  BETTER JUSTICE 11 7 5 53 4 4 5 (brown c)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50 8.20  
ROSY TOMORROWS 6 4 7 8 8 7 6 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 8% 11.50 6.80  
AVALANCHE IS COMIN 2 1 1 1nk 1nk 2 75 (chichakly amira)MARTIN MATTIE 113 50.00 63.50  
JET CITY WOMAN 1 9 11 11 1210¾ 9 8 (dutrow anthony )VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.00 3.95  
10  BELLESHAZZA 9 5 6 64 7 8 97 (sciacca gary)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 12.00 18.30  
EXOTIC CAT 4 11 129 12 11 11 108 (pregman j)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 30.00 5% 19.00 47.00  
11  SO ARE YOU 10 12 10 10 9 10 11 (meadow e)USKE S 124 50.00 64.50  
14  SOLEVO SPRITZ 12 6 4 4 33 1213¾ 1219½ (rodriguez gust)TORRES A 115 30.00 49.25  
SCR  DUKE GIRLS               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50    
SCR  LAKESIDE GETAWAY               (trombetta mic)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00    
SCR  TOOSHAY               (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 120 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.