Handicappers' Racing Form
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Saratoga
Sunday - September 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (7/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-2   Win (9/2/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-3   Win (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-4   Win (7/6/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-5   Win (8/10/2/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-6   Win (4/2/5/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-7   Win (2/1/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-8   Win (10/1/6/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-9   Win (9/8/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-10   Win (8/9/3/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
SAR-1   09/03/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT-12:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STENTS AND STATINS (GB)         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00    
SCR  WAY TO BE MARIE         (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00    
2  JUSTDENY Jul30         (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00    
3  MOST OF ALL Aug20         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00    
4  PROGENY         (weaver george)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  LATER DARLING Aug06         (pletcher t)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 ★    
6  PHILANTHROPY Aug06         (mcgaughey cla)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
7  APPELLATE Jul23         (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 119 3.50 38% 1.60    
8  WEIGH THE RISKS Aug06         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 37% 1.70    
9  SENSING FLATTER         (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 ★    
10  ICE COLD Jul30         (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 20.00    
SCR  BA DEE YAH Aug13         (amoss m)CARMOUCHE K 119 20.00    
 
SAR-2   09/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MONTAUK MYSTIQUE Aug10 Jul15 Jun16     (miceli michael)TORRES A 116 15.00    
2  MARLEY'S GHOST Aug16 Jul16 Jan22 Dec30 Nov27 (trombetta michae)LEZCANO JOSE 121 8.00 20% 3.90    
3  FOLLOW THE FED Aug04 Jul13 Jun15 May13 Mar03 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 121 12.00    
4  BON ADIEU Jul15 Jun16 Apr29 Feb10 Dec16 (gargan danny)DAVIS KATIE 124 3.50 10% 9.10    
5  SCHERZER May12         (handal raymond)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00 17% 5.00    
6  LADY FORTUNA Jul22 Jul02       (gyarmati leah)MARTINEZ R 121 20.00    
7  SWEET LIBERTY Aug12 Jul15 Jan27 Jan14 Dec17 (quick patr)DAVIS A 121 8.00    
8  NORTHWAY Jul16 Jun03 May05 Mar18 Feb20 (handal raymond)ORTIZ JR 121 10.00    
9  MIM Aug12 Jul15 Jun16 Oct08 Sep02 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 121 1.80 28% 2.50    
10  EMBRACEABLE GAL Aug04 Jul15       (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 20.00    
 
SAR-3   09/03/2023 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEADING CONTENDER Jul22 Aug13       (brown c)CASTELLANO J 124 5.00    
1A  MOORE'S LAW Aug11 Jul14 Mar25 Feb11   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00    
SCR  CERTIFIED LOVERBOY Jul30 Jun03 May07 Oct02 Aug07 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00    
3  THE PRINCE'S SPUR Jul16 Jun10 May11 Oct22 Oct01 (bauer a)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 12% 7.40    
4  OLYMPIC DREAMS Aug02 May29 May11 Apr06 Mar26 (quick patrick)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 2.00 33% 2.00    
5  FILM STAR Aug13 Jul16 Jul01 May21 May06 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 124 1.80 27% 2.70    
SCR  IMPLEMENTATION Aug03 Apr15 Oct27 Oct08 Aug23 (joseph a)FRANCO MANUEL 124 10.00    
7  SAQEEL Jul16 Jun10 Apr02 Mar19 Feb25 (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 122 6.00    
 
SAR-4   09/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($42K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DURKIN'S CALL Aug06 Jul02 May04 Apr07 Mar25 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 6% 16.30    
1A  INVISIBLE WAR Aug03 Jul14 Jun17 May13 Apr19 (atras rob)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 4.50    
2  SILVER DUST Jul13 May26 May03 Mar26 Feb17 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00    
3  SPRINKLEHEAD Aug06 Jul16 Jun24 May25 Apr29 (d'angelo f)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00    
4  HANG TIGHT Aug02 Jul22 Jul04 Jun04 May13 (romero jesus)DAVIS KATIE 123 20.00    
5  RALLY SQUIRREL Aug18 Jun15 May24 Apr26 Mar16 (amoss m)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 ★    
6  HAMMERIN AAMER Aug06 May04 Apr14 Mar25 Feb25 (falcone rober)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 30% 2.30    
7  MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT Jul14 Apr15 Mar09 Feb12 Jun03 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 120 1.40 38% 1.60    
8  BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES Aug02 Jun23 May28 Dec08 Oct16 (duggan p)TORRES A 113 8.00    
9  BEAVER HAT Jul26 Jun18 May22 Apr16 Mar30 (barkley ja)SANTANA JR 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-5   09/03/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 ALL PT- 2:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOTAFRAIDTOCHARGE         (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 111 10.00    
SCR  KING FREUD Aug24         (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 10.00    
2  COWES         (catalano m)LEZCANO JOSE 119 3.50 20% 4.00    
3  NANO MAN         (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
SCR  THREE POINT STRUT         (camejo jos)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
5  ATTRAYANT         (lerman s)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00    
6  MAGIC BEACH         (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
7  MY MAN WOODY         (brown r)SILVERA RUBEN 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  KHANATE Aug10         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 24% 3.20    
9  UNCLE EDDIE Aug26 Aug04 Jul20 Jun28   (contessa gary )CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 12% 7.40    
10  PICCATA PRINCE Aug04         (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 22% 3.60    
11  SUGAR IT'S ELI         (begg bentle)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00    
SCR  RUN JALEN RUN         (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00    
SCR  YAQUI VALLEY Aug04 Jul29 Jul03 Jun04   (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
SCR  MUCHO DE LA MANCHA         (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00    
SCR  HAPPY BAYTOWN Apr12         (mcentee paul)DAVIS DYLAN 116 12.00    
 
SAR-6   09/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 3:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOCIAL AFFAIR Jul07         (lukas wayne)CASTELLANO J 119 20.00    
2  GENETICS Aug13         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 3.00 23% 3.40    
3  DANCING DEAN         (de hor)SANTANA JR 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  ALPINE PRINCESS Jul23         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 29% 2.40    
5  NIKITIS Aug13         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00 21% 3.70    
6  EXTREMELY GRUNTLED         (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00    
7  SNOW DANCE Aug20 Jul23       (rice kevin)SILVERA RUBEN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  NORISKIT NOBISCUIT Aug06         (amoss thomas )MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00    
9  CAITLINHERGRTNESS         (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 5.00    
10  SCALABLE         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
 
SAR-7   09/03/2023 5940ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  JARREAU Aug16 Jul16 Jun29 May13 Apr12 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 25% 3.10    
SCR  WATASHA Aug17 Jun25 May26 May19 Apr01 (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00    
2  SKI PATROL Jul28 May06 Mar17 Jan29 Dec03 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50 36% 1.80    
3  BORN A GAMBLER Jul13 Jun25 Jun04 May14 Apr22 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00    
4  EMPIRE ATTRACTION Jun18 May20 Apr27 Mar05 Jan08 (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.50    
5  LORD FLINTSHIRE Aug16 Jun10 May14 Sep04 Jul23 (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00    
SCR  PROVISION Aug18 Jul02 Jun15 Mar31 Mar24 (noda orlando)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 20.00    
7  INDIAN MISCHIEF Jul26 Mar26       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00    
SCR  ADDICTED TO YOU Jul26 Jun25 May26 Apr22 Dec02 (sciacca gary)TORRES A 119 30.00    
9  HARRY HOOD Jul28 Jun22 May21 Mar12   (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 120 3.50 6% 14.40    
SCR  MEMPHIS Aug12 Jul19 Jul01     (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00    
SCR  ACHILLES HEEL Aug16 Jul22 Jul03 May11 Apr20 (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 119 6.00    
 
SAR-8   09/03/2023 5940ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIVER TAY (IRE) Jul28 Jun24 Jun02     (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  FROM HELLO Aug20 Jul15 Jun11 May12 Apr21 (brown r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00    
2  MISCREANT Jul13 May11 Mar31 Mar01 Oct14 (serpe philip )MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 8.00    
2B  FAST KIMMIE Aug20 Jun22 Apr20 Aug20 Jul24 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
3  SISTER NELL Aug05 Jul27 Jul02 Apr21 Mar23 (jimenez jo)DAVIS A 122 20.00 ★    
4  UP HER SLEEVE Aug06 Jul09 Jun11 May18 Apr21 (levine bruce)TORRES A 119 20.00    
5  MOULY Oct08 Sep24 Sep04 Jun30 Jun10 (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00    
6  EXCEPT TEMPTATION Jul09 Jun11 May12 Mar11 Oct20 (albertrani tho)CASTELLANO J 122 6.00 12% 7.20    
7  MISS KRISTY Aug06 May18 Mar26 Feb17 Jan05 (rodriguez gus)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00    
8  DIAMOND STATUS Jul07 Jun02 May13 Apr15 Nov20 (martin f)VELAZQUEZ R 124 5.00    
SCR  PROUD FOOT Aug31 Aug16 Jul19 Jun10 May20 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 10.00    
10  DONTMESSWITHTESS Jul09 Jun11 May12 Mar26 Feb24 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
11  CAN'T FOOL ME Aug06 Oct29 Sep30 Sep04 Aug11 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 122 12.00    
12  ANILEATE Aug11 Jul27 Jun11 May18 Apr28 (ferraro james )CASTILLO ISAAC 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  YOGI Aug12 Jul16 May19 Mar12 Dec29 (chichakly amir)TORRES A 117 8.00    
SCR  THESTRAL Aug16 Jul20 Feb08 Jan13 Nov17 (amoss m)RIDER TBA 120 5.00    
 
SAR-9   09/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC14 FAST Spinaway Purse ($300K) 2 F PT- 5:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIZ SENSE Jul30         (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 120 15.00    
2  LADY MOSCATO Aug06 Jul13 Jun16     (lukas wayne)VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00    
3  SUGAR HI Jul13         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00    
4  CLOSING ACT Jul13 Jun11 May11     (asmussen steven )LEZCANO JOSE 122 20.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  BECKY'S JOKER Aug06 Jul13       (contessa gary )CASTELLANO J 122 12.00    
6  ALYS BEACH Jul30         (amoss m)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00    
7  WONDER RIDE Aug13         (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  WAYS AND MEANS Aug06         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.40 23% 3.40    
9  BRIGHTWORK Aug06 Jul02 Apr26     (ortiz alex)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 31% 2.30    
10  LEMORIAN Aug08         (elliott m)DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
 
SAR-10   09/03/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JET CITY WOMAN Jul02 Apr20 Mar04 Feb04   (dutrow anthony )VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.00    
2  AVALANCHE IS COMIN Aug06 Jun24 Jun10 May18 Apr06 (chichakly amira)MARTIN MATTIE 113 50.00    
3  WHISKEY LULLABY Jul07 Oct14 Sep18 Aug19 Jul22 (nevin mich)SANTANA JR 124 4.50 18% 4.70    
4  EXOTIC CAT Jul01 May14 Aug20 Jul23 Jul03 (pregman j)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TOOSHAY Aug16 Jun03 May14 Apr30 Mar17 (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 120 30.00    
6  KEEP IT SEXY Aug18 Jul29 Jun03 May13 Oct22 (englehart chris)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00    
7  ROSY TOMORROWS Jul05 May29 Apr23 Mar11   (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 8% 11.50    
8  ADDRESSABLE MARKET (IRE) May14 Nov06 Aug13     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 31% 2.20    
9  DARK POOL Aug05         (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 21% 3.80    
10  BELLESHAZZA Aug06 Jul03 Jun02 Dec08 Nov20 (sciacca gary)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 12.00    
11  SO ARE YOU Jul13 Nov01 Aug31 Jul06 Jun15 (meadow e)USKE S 124 50.00    
SCR  LAKESIDE GETAWAY Jul23 May27 Apr08 Mar16 Feb11 (trombetta mic)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00    
13  BETTER JUSTICE Aug11         (brown c)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50    
14  SOLEVO SPRITZ Aug23 Jul03 Jun02 Apr16   (rodriguez gust)TORRES A 115 30.00    
SCR  DUKE GIRLS Jul29 Jun30 May13     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.