The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Saratoga
Thursday - August 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (1/2/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $4.10 $4.10 -3.90
    Exacta (1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 7-2 2 1 $6.90 $6.90 -5.10
    Trifecta (1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 7-2-5 3 0 $9.20 -12.00
SAR-2   Win (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $19.60 -6.00
    Exacta (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-1 2 0 $39.50 -6.00
    Trifecta (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 4-1-2 3 0 $66.62 -3.00
    Daily Double (1/2/4/7)-(1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 7-4 2 0 $22.50 -12.00
SAR-3   Win (3/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $8.70 -8.00
    Exacta (3/4/6/7)-(3/4/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 2-4 2 0 $28.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (3/4/6/7)-(3/4/6/7)-(3/4/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 2-4-1 3 0 $84.37 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/3/5)-(3/4/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 4-2 2 0 $53.75 -12.00
    Pick Three (1/2/4/7)-(1/3/5)-(3/4/6/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 7-4-2 3 0 $187.50 -48.00
SAR-4   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $6.10 $6.10 0.10
    Exacta (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-5 2 1 $8.80 $8.80 2.80
    Trifecta (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 4-5-2 3 1 $9.70 $9.70 6.70
    Daily Double (3/4/6/7)-(2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 2-4 2 0 $11.90 -12.00
    Pick Three (1/3/5)-(3/4/6/7)-(2/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 4-2-4 3 0 $187.00 -36.00
SAR-5   Win (4/5/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $28.80 -6.00
    Exacta (4/5/9)-(4/5/6/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 1-4 2 0 $56.25 -9.00
    Trifecta (4/5/9)-(4/5/6/9)-(4/5/6/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 1-4-6 3 0 $124.87 -9.00
    Daily Double (2/4/5)-(4/5/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 4-1 2 0 $51.25 -9.00
    Pick Three (3/4/6/7)-(2/4/5)-(4/5/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 2-4-1 3 0 $200.25 -36.00
SAR-6   Win (4/7/8/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -3.60
    Exacta (4/7/8/12)-(4/7/8/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 8-10 2 0 $5.80 -12.00
    Trifecta (4/7/8/12)-(4/7/8/12)-(4/7/8/12) 24 $0.50 $12.00 8-10-6 3 0 $7.80 -12.00
    Daily Double (4/5/9)-(4/7/8/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 1-8 2 0 $34.25 -12.00
    Pick Three (2/4/5)-(4/5/9)-(4/7/8/12) 36 $1.00 $36.00 4-1-8 3 0 $170.75 -36.00
SAR-7   Win (3/7/9/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $8.00 -8.00
    Exacta (3/7/9/10)-(1/3/7/9/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 1-8 2 0 $17.90 -16.00
    Trifecta (3/7/9/10)-(1/3/7/9/10)-(1/3/7/9/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 1-8-7 3 0 $32.75 -24.00
    Daily Double (4/7/8/12)-(3/7/9/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 8-1 2 0 $9.90 -16.00
    Pick Three (4/5/9)-(4/7/8/12)-(3/7/9/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 1-8-1 3 0 $160.00 -48.00
SAR-8   Win (1/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 -2.60
    Exacta (1/2/3/5)-(1/2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 5-7 2 0 $10.70 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/2/3/5)-(1/2/3/5)-(1/2/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 5-7-1 3 0 $12.25 -12.00
    Daily Double (3/7/9/10)-(1/2/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 1-5 2 0 $13.30 -16.00
    Pick Three (4/7/8/12)-(3/7/9/10)-(1/2/3/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 8-1-5 3 0 $39.00 -64.00
SAR-9   Win (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -2.20
    Exacta (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-6 2 1 $3.80 $3.80 -2.20
    Trifecta (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 1-6-4 3 0 $17.75 -3.00
    Daily Double (1/2/3/5)-(1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 5-1 2 1 $5.70 $5.70 -6.30
    Pick Three (3/7/9/10)-(1/2/3/5)-(1/2/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 1-5-1 3 0 $25.75 -48.00
SAR-10   Win (2/3/4/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $15.40 $15.40 7.40
    Exacta (2/3/4/12)-(2/3/4/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 3-1 2 0 $21.70 -12.00
    Trifecta (2/3/4/12)-(2/3/4/12)-(2/3/4/12) 24 $0.50 $12.00 3-1-4 3 0 $61.75 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/2/6)-(2/3/4/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 1-3 2 1 $15.00 $15.00 3.00
    Pick Three (1/2/3/5)-(1/2/6)-(2/3/4/12) 48 $1.00 $48.00 5-1-3 3 1 $48.50 $48.50 0.50

Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   08/17/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
:223 :461 1:104     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIDE UP 7 7 31 2½   1½ 1(rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 1.20 52% 0.90 1.05 W
SIPPICAN SHOP 2 5 6 67   36 2(mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.50 14% 6.10 3.75 P
BARGAINING POWER 5 2 1½ 1½   2½ 3(brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00 4.10  
GOLDEN PURCHASE 6 3 46 46   411 415¼ (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 30.00 44.25  
MO THAN LUCK 1 1 2½ 3   511 516½ (ryerson james )TORRES A 114 8.00 5% 19.00 10.80  
ASSERTIVE ATTITUDE 3 4 5 56   611½ 618 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.50 5.80  
I LOVE CARA 4 6 721½ 722   719½ 720¾ (barrera s)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00 5% 19.00 17.50  
 
SAR-2   08/17/2023 5280ft TURF GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
:242 :484 1:123 1:234   1:35   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOT SO CLOSE 4 3 1 1 1nk 11¾ (casse norm)SANTANA JR 124 4.00 8.80  
CHILI FLAG (FR) 3 4 55 5 5 42¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 1.80 29% 2.50 1.90 P
SISTER LOU ANN 1 1 3 3 31 33¾ (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 5.40  
SAFFRON MOON 2 2 43 4 4 24(brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.40 32% 2.10 2.40  
PLEASANT PASSAGE 5 5 2 2 2nk 55(mcgaughey claud)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 17% 5.00 2.30  
SCR  LEAVE NO TRACE               (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00    
SCR  PISTOL LIZ ABLAZEN               (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 124 8.00    
SCR  TIZZY IN THE SKY               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 1.20    
SCR  TONED UP               (atras rob)RIDER TBA 122 1.80    
 
SAR-3   08/17/2023 5610ft TURF GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
:261 :513 1:163 1:383   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARRAGE 2 4 3 3 4 31 1¼ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 5.00 3.35  
ROUGH DRAFT 4 2 11 1 1nk 2nk 2¼ (duggan p)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 19% 4.30 4.50 P
CITIZEN K 1 3 21 2 2nk 1nk 3½ (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00 4.20  
AGENT CREED 6 5 54 54 5 52 41 (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 122 2.50 38% 1.70 2.45  
FRANK'S ART 7 1 43 43 31 45(clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00 17% 4.90 5.70  
FATIMA'S BLESSING 5 6 6 6 63 65 6(dini mike)LEZCANO JOSE 124 8.00 12.20  
BATTLE SCARS 3 7 78 7 7 76 77 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00 5% 19.00 11.00  
SCR  WILD BANKER               (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 122 0.80    
SCR  ZEEBEAR               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 2.00    
 
SAR-4   08/17/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
:221 :452 1:104     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WATASHA 3 4 5 4   1nk 1(rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 33% 2.10 2.05 W
WESTERN GHENT 4 1 21 2nk   2nk 2(lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 5% 19.00 5.00 P
DR. PERRY 1 5 32 5   32 3(asmussen steven)ORTIZ JR 122 1.80 41% 1.40 1.20 S
V MART 5 2 42 31   46 413¼ (avila carlos)OLIVERO A 118 4.50 8.30  
CAMM' DUKE 2 3 11 1nk   5519¾ (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 5.90  
SCR  BUILT TO LAST               (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50    
 
SAR-5   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 F PT- 3:33
:221 :46 :59     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLOWERS FOR ME 1 3 3 2   11 12 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 13.40  
GINUCCHA 4 2 45 32   21 22 (reid e)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 43% 1.30 3.25 P
ACCOMMODATE EVA 6 6 5 43   43(stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 2.45 S
MIZ MASTERY 3 5 67 5   54(mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 6.00 10.60  
BOXED WINE 8 7 813 812½   79 5(antonacci philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00 5% 19.00 4.60  
LESLIE'S LOOT 5 4 1 1   36(chapman k)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 31% 2.20 3.60  
HAYES BAY 7 8 7 7   67(sharp joe)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00 14.30  
LA COLORADA 2 1 2 6   810½ 825½ (romero raf)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 16.90  
SCR  AZTECA STARDUST               (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00    
 
SAR-6   08/17/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
:223 :462 :582     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUGAR GRAY LEONARD 5 2 31 3½   1nk 1(dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 11% 7.90 1.20 W
10  KING JAMES 7 8 84 64   42(summers chad)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00 3.05  
IGNITED 3 3 2½ 1nk   2nk 33 (trombetta micha)VELAZQUEZ R 124 8.00 8.70  
12  LET FREEDOM SPRING 8 7 42 4   54(atras rob)TORRES A 119 5.00 12% 7.30 9.10  
BURN JAKEY BURN 2 5 52 5   6514 (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 120 15.00 17.20  
FORWARD MOVE 4 1 1½ 2nk   31 619 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 5.00 19% 4.20 9.20  
MAMA'S GOLD 6 6 6 85   713¼ 720¾ (summers chad)BRIDGMOHAN X 120 20.00 31.25  
IMAGE OF QUALITY 1 4 7 7   816¼ 828¼ (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 27% 2.70 7.80  
SCR  DEVIL'S CAY               (miceli michae)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00    
SCR  FOLIAGE               (sharp joe)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00    
SCR  SKI PATROL               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00    
SCR  WAR TERMINATOR               (contessa c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00    
 
SAR-7   08/17/2023 5280ft TURF GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:39
:242 :492 1:132 1:25   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TANGENTIAL 3 2 32 32 2 11 1(brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 3.00  
NO DELI (IRE) 7 10 10 10 9 55 2(mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 6.60  
MIRABELLA 6 5 64 74 7 34 3(pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.50 26% 2.80 4.10 S
SISTER MAHA 4 3 11 1 1 21 4(pletcher a)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 13.50  
ISOLA (IRE) 5 7 5 64 64 44 54 (sisterson jack)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 3.95  
NOTINAMILLIONYEARS (IRE) 2 6 85 9 10 86(brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 29% 2.40 5.50  
10  MOM'S RIGHT 9 1 4 53 53 77(mcgaughey i)JUAREZ NIK 118 15.00 20% 4.10 14.50  
KICK A RHYME (IRE) 1 8 9 8 8 98(maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 15.30  
11  FANCY STAX 10 4 21 2 32 69(abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00 20.80  
BEL ROSSO 8 9 75 4 4 101012 (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 118 30.00 5% 19.00 38.50  
SCR  DORAL               (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00    
SCR  LA GIRVINA               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
SCR  MISS OUR HERO               (mott i)RIDER TBA 118 3.50    
SCR  PARIS STYLE (FR)               (mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 15.00    
SCR  REVOLVING CREDIT               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00    
SCR  RHIANNON               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00    
 
SAR-8   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:14
:221 :444 :57     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WIN FOR GOLD 5 1 21 1½   11(giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.50 33% 2.00 1.70 W
GIROOVIN 7 4 3 45   32(falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 2.70  
KUNSHAN BRIDGE 1 6 710 713½   611½ 37 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 3.00 27% 2.70 3.50 S
BIG VENEZUELA 3 3 58 58   59 4(tessore bruno)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00 5% 19.00 9.70  
PAY ZONE 2 2 11 2½   258 (kantarmaci mertkan)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00 16% 5.10 13.60  
CLUBHOUSE 4 5 4 35   47 614 (rodriguez gustav)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00 6.70  
THE COBBLER 6 7 69 611½   715½ 720¾ (henry neville)CASTILLO AMIN 124 30.00 21.80  
 
SAR-9   08/17/2023 5610ft TURF GOOD Rick Violette Purse ($125K) 3 ALL PT- 5:46
:243 :482 1:121 1:352   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LET'S GO BIG BLUE 6 5 5 55 53 1½ 1hd (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 42% 1.40 2.40 DQ↓2
RAMBLIN' WRECK 1 6 6 67 64 31 2hd (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 123 1.80 9% 10.20 0.90 W
WILLINTORISKITALL 4 4 32 3 3 42 3(d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 19.70  
ITSALLCOMINTOGETHA 5 2 2nk 21 1nk 2½ 4(serpe phil)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 4.00 7.80  
KING OF COMEDY 2 3 4 4 42 52 56 (maker michael )CASTELLANO J 120 2.50 22% 3.60 5.30  
VACATION DANCE 3 1 1nk 11 2nk 6612¼ (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 14.80  
 
SAR-10   08/17/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
:223 :46 :581     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOCKE AND KEY 2 2 31 31   1nk 1(begg bent)ORTIZ JR 124 8.00 5% 19.00 6.70 W
RUSSI 3 1 1nk 2nk   2nk 2(bond james)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 1.80  
VAUNTED 4 3 2nk 1nk   3.2 32 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 13% 6.70 13.80 S
12  PRINCE OF TRUTH 7 5 6 44   448 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 42% 1.40 3.70  
TWIRLING VINE 1 7 7 7   5512¼ (lugovich lisa)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 6.00 19% 4.30 5.90  
PASCHAL MOON 5 4 4 6   6615½ (camejo m)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00 4.50  
10  SCREW LOOSE 6 6 55 5   710¼ 717½ (hennig mark)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 8.10  
SCR  CASH BAIL               (meadow e)USKE S 124 30.00    
SCR  LAUREL VALLEY               (maker j)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50    
SCR  PETROLO               (bond ja)TORRES A 114 6.00    
SCR  PROUD ALUMNUS               (winney melvin)TORRES A 114 50.00    
SCR  SCHERZANDO               (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 124 5.00    
SCR  STREET ROD               (de hor)SANTANA JR 119 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.