Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Saratoga
Thursday - August 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SAR-4   EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-5 $8.80 $2.80 47%
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00  4-5-2 $9.70 $6.70 223%
SAR-10   WIN (12/2/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $15.40 $7.40 93%
    DD (6/2/1)-(12/2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-3 $15.00 $3.00 25%
    PK3 (5/1/2/3)-(6/2/1)-(12/2/4/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00  5-1-3 $48.50 $0.50 1%
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   08/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:104     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  RIDE UP 7 7 31 2½   1½ 14½ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 1.20 52% 0.90 1.05 W
2  SIPPICAN SHOP 2 5 68½ 67   36 24½ (mcpeek kenn)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.50 14% 6.10 3.75 P
5  BARGAINING POWER 5 2 1½ 1½   2½ 36½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00 4.10  
6  GOLDEN PURCHASE 6 3 46 46   411 415¼ (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 30.00 44.25  
1  MO THAN LUCK 1 1 2½ 32½   511 516½ (ryerson jame)TORRES A 114 8.00 5% 19.00 10.80  
3  ASSERTIVE ATTITUDE 3 4 56½ 56   611½ 618 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.50 5.80  
4  I LOVE CARA 4 6 721½ 722   719½ 720¾ (barrera s)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00 5% 19.00 17.50  
 
SAR-2   08/17/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:123 1:234   1:35   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  NOT SO CLOSE 4 3 11½ 11½ 1nk 11½ 1¾ (casse no)SANTANA JR 124 4.00 8.80  
1  CHILI FLAG (FR) 3 4 55 55½ 53¾ 42½ 2¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 1.80 29% 2.50 1.90 P
2  SISTER LOU ANN 1 1 31½ 31½ 31 31½ 3¾ (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 5.40  
3  SAFFRON MOON 2 2 43 42½ 41¼ 21½ 41¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.40 32% 2.10 2.40  
5  PLEASANT PASSAGE 5 5 21½ 21½ 2nk 54½ 56¼ (mcgaughey cla)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 17% 5.00 2.30  
SCR  LEAVE NO TRACE               (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00    
SCR  PISTOL LIZ ABLAZEN               (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 124 8.00    
SCR  TIZZY IN THE SKY               (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 122 1.20    
SCR  TONED UP               (atras rob)RIDER TBA 122 1.80    
 
SAR-3   08/17/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
See original race card.
:261 :513 1:163 1:383   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BARRAGE 2 4 32½ 32½ 41½ 31 1¼ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 5.00 3.35  
4  ROUGH DRAFT 4 2 11 11½ 1nk 2nk 2¼ (duggan p)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 19% 4.30 4.50 P
1  CITIZEN K 1 3 21 21½ 2nk 1nk 3½ (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00 4.20  
6  AGENT CREED 6 5 54 54 52½ 52 41 (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 38% 1.70 2.45  
7  FRANK'S ART 7 1 43 43 31 41½ 52¼ (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00 17% 4.90 5.70  
5  FATIMA'S BLESSING 5 6 66½ 64½ 63 65 64¼ (dini mike)LEZCANO JOSE 124 8.00 12.20  
3  BATTLE SCARS 3 7 78 77½ 75½ 76 77 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00 5% 19.00 11.00  
SCR  WILD BANKER               (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 122 0.80    
SCR  ZEEBEAR               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 2.00    
 
SAR-4   08/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:221 :452 1:104     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  WATASHA 3 4 54½ 41¼   1nk 11¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 33% 2.10 2.05 W
5  WESTERN GHENT 4 1 21 2nk   2nk 21¼ (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 5% 19.00 5.00 P
2  DR. PERRY 1 5 32 51¾   32 38¼ (asmussen stev)ORTIZ JR 122 1.80 41% 1.40 1.20 S
6  V MART 5 2 42 31   46 413¼ (avila carl)OLIVERO A 118 4.50 8.30  
3  CAMM' DUKE 2 3 11 1nk   56½ 519¾ (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 5.90  
SCR  BUILT TO LAST (BRZ)               (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50    
 
SAR-5   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:221 :46 :59     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLOWERS FOR ME 1 3 33½ 21½   11 12 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 13.40  
  (by WEST COAST out of I DO DECLARE by DECLARATION OF WAR)
4  GINUCCHA 4 2 45 32   21 22 (reid e)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 43% 1.30 3.25 P
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of SUMMEROFSIXTYTHREE by MALIBU MOON)
6  ACCOMMODATE EVA 6 6 56½ 43   42½ 32¾ (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 ★ 2.45 S
  (by MUNNINGS out of ACCOMODATE by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
3  MIZ MASTERY 3 5 67 53½   52½ 43¼ (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 6.00 10.60  
  (by MASTERY out of LUCKY I GUESS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
9  BOXED WINE 8 7 813 812½   79 55¼ (antonacci phil)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00 5% 19.00 4.60  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of TEMPER MINT PATTY by CONGRATS)
5  LESLIE'S LOOT 5 4 13½ 11½   31½ 65½ (chapman james )ORTIZ L 119 2.50 31% 2.20 3.60  
  (by FAST ANNA out of WICKED STORM by STORMY ATLANTIC)
8  HAYES BAY 7 8 79½ 79½   67½ 76¼ (sharp joe)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00 14.30  
  (by UPSTART out of BAY FINN by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
2  LA COLORADA 2 1 23½ 65½   810½ 825½ (romero r)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 16.90  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of DELTA HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  AZTECA STARDUST               (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of HELLOO REGINA by WILBURN)
 
SAR-6   08/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
See original race card.
:223 :462 :582     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SUGAR GRAY LEONARD 5 2 31 3½   1nk 12¾ (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 11% 7.90 1.20 W
10  KING JAMES (IRE) 7 8 84 64   41¼ 22¾ (summers chad)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00 3.05  
6  IGNITED 3 3 2½ 1nk   2nk 33 (trombetta mic)VELAZQUEZ R 124 8.00 8.70  
12  LET FREEDOM SPRING 8 7 42 41½   55¾ 49¼ (atras rob)TORRES A 119 5.00 12% 7.30 9.10  
5  BURN JAKEY BURN 2 5 52 53½   67¾ 514 (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 120 15.00 17.20  
7  FORWARD MOVE (IRE) 4 1 1½ 2nk   31 619 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 5.00 19% 4.20 9.20  
9  MAMA'S GOLD 6 6 62½ 85   713¼ 720¾ (summers chad)BRIDGMOHAN X 120 20.00 31.25  
4  IMAGE OF QUALITY 1 4 73½ 74½   816¼ 828¼ (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 27% 2.70 7.80  
SCR  DEVIL'S CAY               (miceli mich)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00    
SCR  FOLIAGE (NZ)               (sharp joe)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00    
SCR  SKI PATROL               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00    
SCR  WAR TERMINATOR               (contessa gary)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00    
 
SAR-7   08/17/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:39
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:132 1:25   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TANGENTIAL 3 2 32 32 21½ 11 11¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 ★ 3.00  
  (by JUSTIFY out of MISSAMERICA BERTIE by QUIET AMERICAN)
8  NO DELI (IRE) 7 10 107¾ 106¾ 96½ 55 21¼ (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 6.60  
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of ELDALIL by SINGSPIEL (IRE))
7  MIRABELLA 6 5 64 74 74½ 34 31¾ (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.50 26% 2.80 4.10 S
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of VAUDEVILLIAN by DISTORTED HUMOR)
5  SISTER MAHA 4 3 11 11½ 11½ 21 42¾ (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 118 8.00 13.50  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SPIRIT OF THE DAWN by MALIBU MOON)
6  ISOLA (IRE) 5 7 53½ 64 64 44 54 (sisterson jack)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 3.95  
  (by UNKNOWN out of MONTEFINO by SHAMARDAL)
3  NOTINAMILLIONYEARS (IRE) 2 6 85 95¾ 106½ 86¾ 65½ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 29% 2.40 5.50  
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of DANCING SHOES by DANEHILL)
10  MOM'S RIGHT 9 1 42½ 53 53 75¾ 75¾ (mcgaughey claude)JUAREZ NIK 118 15.00 20% 4.10 14.50  
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of DANCING MY WAY by WILDCAT HEIR)
2  KICK A RHYME (IRE) 1 8 95¼ 85½ 85½ 97¾ 88¼ (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 15.30  
  (by UNKNOWN out of ADHWAA by DAAHER)
11  FANCY STAX 10 4 21 21½ 32 65½ 98¾ (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00 20.80  
  (by MO TOWN out of CAT WIESEL by AWESOME AGAIN)
9  BEL ROSSO 8 9 75 42½ 42½ 108¼ 1012 (hiles je)SANTANA JR 118 30.00 5% 19.00 38.50  
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of TIZ THE KEY by TIZNOW)
SCR  DORAL               (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  LA GIRVINA               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of LIBBYRIS by ALGORITHMS)
SCR  MISS OUR HERO               (mott i)RIDER TBA 118 3.50    
  (by TAPIT out of MARKET MAGIC by AFTER MARKET)
SCR  PARIS STYLE (FR)               (mcpeek kenn)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 15.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of MESEIKA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  REVOLVING CREDIT               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of TWITTER PIE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  RHIANNON               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of AUNTIE JOY by UNCLE MO)
 
SAR-8   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:14
See original race card.
:221 :444 :57     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  WIN FOR GOLD 5 1 21 1½   15½ 13¾ (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.50 33% 2.00 1.70 W
7  GIROOVIN 7 4 33½ 45   36½ 23¾ (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 2.70  
1  KUNSHAN BRIDGE 1 6 710 713½   611½ 37 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 3.00 27% 2.70 3.50 S
3  BIG VENEZUELA 3 3 58 58   59 47¼ (tessore bru)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00 5% 19.00 9.70  
2  PAY ZONE 2 2 11 2½   25½ 58 (kantarmaci mertka)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00 16% 5.10 13.60  
4  CLUBHOUSE 4 5 43½ 35   47 614 (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00 6.70  
6  THE COBBLER 6 7 69 611½   715½ 720¾ (henry neville)CASTILLO AMIN 124 30.00 21.80  
 
SAR-9   08/17/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 GOOD Rick Violette Purse ($125K) 3 ALL PT- 5:46
See original race card.
:243 :482 1:121 1:352   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LET'S GO BIG BLUE 6 5 55¼ 55 53 1½ 1hd (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 42% 1.40 2.40 DQ↓2
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of GIANT WIN by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
1  RAMBLIN' WRECK 1 6 65¾ 67 64 31 2hd (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 123 1.80 9% 10.20 0.90 W
  (by REDESDALE out of DAKOTA KID by CONFIDE)
4  WILLINTORISKITALL 4 4 32 32½ 31½ 42 35½ (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 19.70  
  (by SUPERESTRELLA out of STOP THE SPENDING by POMEROY)
5  ITSALLCOMINTOGETHA 5 2 2nk 21 1nk 2½ 45¾ (serpe ph)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 4.00 7.80  
  (by WEEKEND HIDEAWAY out of LADYWELL COURT by POWERSCOURT (GB))
2  KING OF COMEDY 2 3 42¼ 42½ 42 52 56 (maker michae)CASTELLANO J 120 2.50 22% 3.60 5.30  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of RUPERT'S PROMISE by CAPOTE)
3  VACATION DANCE 3 1 1nk 11 2nk 62½ 612¼ (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 14.80  
  (by THE LIEUTENANT out of MATINEE EXPRESS by ZENSATIONAL)
 
SAR-10   08/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
See original race card.
:223 :46 :581     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LOCKE AND KEY 2 2 31 31   1nk 11¾ (begg be)ORTIZ JR 124 8.00 5% 19.00 6.70 W
  (by MR. Z out of U R KEY by ALBERT THE GREAT)
1  RUSSI 3 1 1nk 2nk   2nk 21¾ (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 1.80  
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of RISERVA by DIXIE BRASS)
4  VAUNTED 4 3 2nk 1nk   3.2 32 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 13% 6.70 13.80 S
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of DANCING FOR GLORY by EXCHANGE RATE)
12  PRINCE OF TRUTH 7 5 65¼ 44   45¾ 48 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 42% 1.40 3.70  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of LA VERDAD by YES IT'S TRUE)
2  TWIRLING VINE 1 7 79¾ 79¼   59¼ 512¼ (lugovich li)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 6.00 19% 4.30 5.90  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of OENOPHILE by PULPIT)
8  PASCHAL MOON 5 4 42½ 64¾   69¾ 615½ (camejo m)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00 4.50  
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of PLUTO FLIGHT by SILENT NAME (JPN))
10  SCREW LOOSE 6 6 55 54½   710¼ 717½ (hennig mark)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 8.10  
  (by SKY MESA out of RULIONTOME by LION HEART)
SCR  CASH BAIL               (meadow e)USKE S 124 30.00    
  (by ENCAUSTIC out of ZYZZYX by SAY UNCLE)
SCR  LAUREL VALLEY               (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50    
  (by LAOBAN out of DOUBLE DINGHY DAY by FORESTRY)
SCR  PETROLO               (bond harold )TORRES A 114 6.00    
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of BEE NOTEWORTHY by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
SCR  PROUD ALUMNUS               (winney melvi)TORRES A 114 50.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of VOLMOOSE by VOLPONI)
SCR  SCHERZANDO               (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 124 5.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of FLEET STREAK by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  STREET ROD               (de h)SANTANA JR 119 4.50    
  (by WAR DANCER out of SPECTACULAR ME by CATIENUS)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.