Handicappers' Racing Form

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Saratoga
Thursday - August 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (7/2/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-2   Win (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-3   Win (6/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-4   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-5   Win (4/5/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-6   Win (4/7/12/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-7   Win (3/7/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-8   Win (5/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-9   Win (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-10   Win (12/2/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
SAR-1   08/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO THAN LUCK Mar10 Feb11 Jan06 Dec10   (ryerson james )TORRES A 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
SIPPICAN SHOP May18         (mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.50 14% 6.10    
ASSERTIVE ATTITUDE Nov11         (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.50    
I LOVE CARA         (barrera oscar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
BARGAINING POWER Oct09 Sep10       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00    
GOLDEN PURCHASE Jul19 Jul04 Jun15 May27 May21 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 30.00    
RIDE UP Jul14 Jun17 May20 Apr22 Mar25 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 1.20 52% 0.90    
 
SAR-2   08/17/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHILI FLAG (FR) Jul09 May26 Feb25     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 1.80 29% 2.50    
SCR  TONED UP Jul30 May18 Apr21 Mar17 Feb24 (atras rob)RIDER TBA 122 1.80    
SISTER LOU ANN Jul01 Apr12 Oct20 Sep13 Jul22 (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00    
SAFFRON MOON Dec24 Apr27       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.40 32% 2.10    
NOT SO CLOSE Jul01 May05 Mar11 Feb12 Jul29 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 124 4.00    
PLEASANT PASSAGE Jul27 Jun18 Apr08 Nov04 Oct01 (mcgaughey claud)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  LEAVE NO TRACE Mar04 Nov04 Oct02 Sep04 Jul20 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00    
SCR  TIZZY IN THE SKY Nov25 Oct28 Sep23 Aug25 Jul01 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 1.20    
SCR  PISTOL LIZ ABLAZEN Jul23 Jun21 May29 Apr12 Feb18 (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 124 8.00    
 
SAR-3   08/17/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CITIZEN K Jul20 May29 Apr13 Sep04 Jul16 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00    
BARRAGE Jun23 May28 Jan28 Dec16 Nov11 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 5.00    
BATTLE SCARS Jun23 May28 May14 Apr08 Feb26 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
ROUGH DRAFT Jul13 Jun17 Apr15 Nov18   (duggan p)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 19% 4.30    
FATIMA'S BLESSING Jul30 May19 Apr13 Mar25 Mar08 (dini mike)LEZCANO JOSE 124 8.00    
AGENT CREED Jul20 Jun23 May28 Nov05 Oct06 (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 122 2.50 38% 1.70    
FRANK'S ART Jul20 May28 Apr27 Nov18 Oct30 (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  ZEEBEAR Aug05 Jul15 May29 May06 Apr15 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 2.00    
SCR  WILD BANKER Aug02 Jun11 May11 Apr14 Mar10 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 122 0.80    
 
SAR-4   08/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BUILT TO LAST (BRZ) Jun11 Apr29 Apr15 Mar10 Jan01 (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50    
DR. PERRY Jul07 Jun17 Apr01 Nov25 Sep30 (asmussen steven)ORTIZ JR 122 1.80 41% 1.40    
CAMM' DUKE Aug03 Jun09 Mar31 Mar05 Feb11 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00    
WATASHA Jun25 May26 May19 Apr01 Jan14 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 33% 2.10    
WESTERN GHENT Jul23 Jul07 Jun10 May06 Mar30 (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
V MART Jul02 May29 May21 Jan03 Dec05 (avila carlos)OLIVERO A 118 4.50    
 
SAR-5   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 F PT- 3:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLOWERS FOR ME Jul19         (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
LA COLORADA         (romero raf)SANTANA JR 119 12.00    
MIZ MASTERY         (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 6.00    
GINUCCHA Jul19         (reid e)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 43% 1.30    
LESLIE'S LOOT Aug03 May04       (chapman k)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 31% 2.20    
ACCOMMODATE EVA         (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00    
SCR  AZTECA STARDUST         (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00    
HAYES BAY         (sharp joe)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
BOXED WINE         (antonacci philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-6   08/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FOLIAGE (NZ) Jul13 Jun23 May26 Apr21 Mar30 (sharp joe)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00    
SCR  SKI PATROL Jul28 May06 Mar17 Jan29 Dec03 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00    
SCR  DEVIL'S CAY Jul28 Jul07 May18 Mar24 Mar02 (miceli michae)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00    
IMAGE OF QUALITY Jul22         (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 27% 2.70    
BURN JAKEY BURN Jul08 Jul17       (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 120 15.00    
IGNITED Jun25 Jun10 May15 Jun11 May14 (trombetta micha)VELAZQUEZ R 124 8.00    
FORWARD MOVE (IRE) Aug06 Jun25       (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 5.00 19% 4.20    
SUGAR GRAY LEONARD Jul20 Jul15 May28 Apr29 Nov20 (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 11% 7.90    
MAMA'S GOLD May28 Apr27 Mar11 Mar05 Jan21 (summers chad)BRIDGMOHAN X 120 20.00    
10  KING JAMES (IRE) Jul20 Jun24 May21 Apr29 Mar04 (summers chad)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00    
SCR  WAR TERMINATOR Jul29 Jul20 Jun23 Jun09 Jan22 (contessa c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00    
12  LET FREEDOM SPRING Jul16 Jun04 Apr29 Apr01 Mar12 (atras rob)TORRES A 119 5.00 12% 7.30    
 
SAR-7   08/17/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:39
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TANGENTIAL Nov19 Sep18       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00    
SCR  REVOLVING CREDIT Jul20         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00    
KICK A RHYME (IRE)         (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00    
NOTINAMILLIONYEARS (IRE)         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  DORAL Jul08 May27 Apr07 Feb19 Jan22 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00    
SISTER MAHA Jul20         (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
ISOLA (IRE) Jul15 Sep10 Aug09 Jul13 May05 (sisterson jack)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
MIRABELLA Jul22 May27 Apr01 Jul01   (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.50 26% 2.80    
NO DELI (IRE) Jul15 Jun24       (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00    
BEL ROSSO Jul29 Apr19 Sep03 Aug14   (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
10  MOM'S RIGHT Jul09         (mcgaughey i)JUAREZ NIK 118 15.00 20% 4.10    
11  FANCY STAX Jul03         (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00    
SCR  MISS OUR HERO         (mott i)RIDER TBA 118 3.50    
SCR  PARIS STYLE (FR) Jul15 Apr07       (mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 15.00    
SCR  RHIANNON         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00    
SCR  LA GIRVINA         (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
 
SAR-8   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KUNSHAN BRIDGE May26 Mar18 Jan21 Dec15 Nov02 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
PAY ZONE Aug10 Jul21 May25 Apr15   (kantarmaci mertkan)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00 16% 5.10    
BIG VENEZUELA Aug03 Jul01 May28 May14 Apr16 (tessore bruno)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
CLUBHOUSE Aug09 Jul08 Mar04 Feb11 Jan14 (rodriguez gustav)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00    
WIN FOR GOLD Jul15 Jun11 May12 Apr15 Mar26 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
THE COBBLER Mar18 Mar10 Feb19 Jan15 Feb26 (henry neville)CASTILLO AMIN 124 30.00    
GIROOVIN Jul16 Jun11 Apr16 Mar30 Feb28 (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00    
 
SAR-9   08/17/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 GOOD Rick Violette Purse ($125K) 3 ALL PT- 5:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAMBLIN' WRECK Jul20 Jun18 Dec17 Nov26 Oct02 (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 123 1.80 9% 10.20    
KING OF COMEDY Jul02 Jun10 May14 Nov11 Sep23 (maker michael )CASTELLANO J 120 2.50 22% 3.60    
VACATION DANCE Jul20 Jun18 May20 Apr27 Dec17 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00    
WILLINTORISKITALL Jul20 Jun11 May05     (d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
ITSALLCOMINTOGETHA Jul20 Jun18 May06 Apr07 Nov26 (serpe phil)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 4.00    
LET'S GO BIG BLUE Aug03 Jun10 Nov26 Oct29 Sep17 (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 42% 1.40    
 
SAR-10   08/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUSSI Jul14 Apr27 Mar04 Jan07   (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
SCR  PETROLO Feb25 Dec31       (bond ja)TORRES A 114 6.00    
TWIRLING VINE Jul07 Jun09 Oct20     (lugovich lisa)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 6.00 19% 4.30    
LOCKE AND KEY Jul07 Jun02 May06 Apr16 Mar12 (begg be)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
VAUNTED Jul21 Jun18 May19     (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 13% 6.70    
SCR  STREET ROD Jul14         (de hor)SANTANA JR 119 4.50    
SCR  SCHERZANDO Jul14 Jun25 May29 May05 Apr07 (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 124 5.00    
SCR  LAUREL VALLEY Jun25 Jun11 Feb18 Jan08 Dec17 (maker j)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50    
PASCHAL MOON         (camejo m)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00    
SCR  PROUD ALUMNUS         (winney melvin)TORRES A 114 50.00    
10  SCREW LOOSE Jul08 Jun01 Apr21     (hennig mark)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
SCR  CASH BAIL Oct17 Aug18 Jun29     (meadow e)USKE S 124 30.00    
12  PRINCE OF TRUTH         (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 42% 1.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.