Handicappers' Race Results
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Saratoga
Thursday - August 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (4/9/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $31.40  
SAR-2   Win (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  
SAR-3   Win (1/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  
SAR-4   Win (1/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $7.10 $7.10  
SAR-5   Win (14/13/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 10 1 0 $9.60  
SAR-6   Win (8/16/9/15) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $5.60 $5.60  
SAR-7   Win (8/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $7.80 $7.80 1.80
SAR-8   Win (5/3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $6.40 $6.40  
SAR-9   Win (5/4/7/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $36.40  
SAR-10   Win (5/10/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $90.50  
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   08/31/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:232 :491 1:15 1:394   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GOLD LIGHTNING 2 5 77 64 73½ 41½ 12¼ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 14.70  
1  POSITIVE CARRY (IRE) 4 2 42 42 63 31½ 22¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 11% 7.70 6.60 P
9  SASSY PRINCESS 9 6 31½ 21 2½ 2½ 33¼ (walsh p)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 30% 2.30 3.35 S
4  DEEP CONVICTION (IRE) 3 3 55½ 52½ 42 51¾ 44¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 37% 1.70 1.35  
2  GOLDEN GHOST (GB) 1 1 11 11 1½ 1½ 54¾ (casse mark)CASTELLANO J null   4.60  
5  DAY AWAY 5 7 66½ 74½ 53 72¾ 65 (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00 5% 19.00 36.75  
6  KINGDOM COME (IRE) 6 4 21 31 31½ 61¾ 75¾ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 11.20  
8  MULIMA 8 9 812 88½ 87½ 89¾ 814¼ (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00 23.40  
7  BROUGHTY FERRY 7 8 922 9100 9100 9100 9100 (amoss thomas )MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00 53.25  
SCR  COACH SESSA               (russell brittan)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50    
SCR  KATHERINE THOMAS               (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
 
SAR-2   08/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:132 1:253   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIFE TALK 1 2 52¼ 53 32 13½ 16½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 1.00 45% 1.20 0.40 W
3  BACKSTRETCH ROSE 3 5 42¼ 31½ 21½ 33½ 26½ (mcpeek kenneth )FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00 16.20  
2  RISING INFLATION 2 1 1nk 21 43 45½ 37¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00 17% 4.90 9.40 S
4  PARADISE LANE 4 3 2nk 11 11½ 23½ 410 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 5.00 6.60  
7  UNDER THE PALMS 6 6 612¼ 613 68½ 57½ 512¾ (mcpeek g)ORTIZ L 119 15.00 24.50  
5  DOROTHY'S DREAMS 5 4 32 41½ 56 69 614 (terranova john)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 15% 5.60 5.30  
SCR  CLASSY MISCHIEF               (contessa c)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00    
 
SAR-3   08/31/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:223 :462 :581     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOON CRY 1 5 65½ 65   51¼ 11¾ (clement christop)ORTIZ L 122 2.00 54% 0.80 1.90 W
5  ITSAKEYPER 3 6 54½ 53½   31 21¾ (albertrani th)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 6.00 6.90  
7  ROAD TO REMEMBER 5 3 33½ 31½   41 31¾ (handal raymond)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 5% 19.00 3.50 S
4  MASTEROF THE TUNES 2 4 43½ 42½   62¼ 42½ (lee joseph)ORTIZ JR 124 5.00 3.35  
6  MZ BIG BUCKS 4 1 22 2½   2½ 55¾ (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 4.50 21% 3.80 3.65  
8  QUEENS DANCER 6 2 12 1½   1½ 66¼ (dixon lind)DAVIS A 124 20.00 16.00  
SCR  FANCY JOKE               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 120 2.00    
SCR  HOWDYOUMAKEURMONEY               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 4.00    
SCR  OK HONEY               (chichakly amira)RIDER TBA 122 8.00    
SCR  SECURITY CODE               (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00    
SCR  SOCIAL WHIRL (IRE)               (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00    
 
SAR-4   08/31/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:101     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  CORNER KICK 3 5 41½ 32   1nk 1½ (diodoro roberti)ORTIZ JR 120 1.40 19% 4.10 2.55 W
2  GIRL AFRAID 6 1 11 12   2nk 2½ (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 19% 4.20 2.40  
7  DIAMOND COLLECTOR 7 3 21 22   36½ 38¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 14% 6.20 5.70 S
6  PROUD FOOT 5 2 52½ 63¾   46¾ 49¾ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 4.50 19% 4.20 2.60  
2B  FREUDIAN 8 8 62¾ 53¾   58¾ 512½ (falcone robert)TORRES A 119 3.50 ★ 2.40  
4  MY GIRL JAL 2 9 95¼ 97¾   913¼ 615½ (legall ricardo)BRIDGMOHAN X 120 30.00 36.50  
5  BRISKY FROLIC 4 6 72¾ 75¾   811¾ 716 (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00 16.40  
3  ICY REPLY 1 7 83¾ 87¼   710¾ 817¼ (ferraro james )CASTELLANO J 124 10.00 15.50  
8  SWEET HEIDELBERG 9 4 31 42¼   610¼ 919 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 8.00 18.40  
SCR  PILLBOX               (joseph a)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.40    
 
SAR-5   08/31/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:114     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  DISAPPEARANCE 7 6 78½ 77½   31½ 13 (falcone n)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.50 ★ 3.80  
14  SCREAMING UNCLE 10 1 67½ 65½   21 23 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 44% 1.30 1.40 P
4  BAD LARRY 3 7 1nk 1nk   11 34¾ (maker michael )CASTELLANO J 119 10.00 5% 19.00 11.20 S
13  WITH PURPOSE 9 10 1017¾ 1017½   1013½ 410½ (walsh p)ORTIZ JR 124 8.00 32% 2.10 8.80  
3  TESTA DURA 2 8 99¾ 89½   65½ 515½ (chichakly amir)TORRES A 114 50.00 55.25  
12  SALINE RIVER 8 2 2nk 2nk   44½ 615¾ (cox h)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 4.80  
5  CHESS SPECTACULAR 4 5 53 54½   55½ 716 (giangiulio michel)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00 ★ 7.10  
2  FIRE BARON 1 9 89½ 910   76 816½ (paragallo jenn)LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 50.00 61.00  
7  NIEUWENDYK 5 4 3½ 33½   87 927 (begg bentle)DAVIS DYLAN 119 20.00 33.75  
8  NICKEL NICKEL 6 3 42½ 44   911 1030½ (gargan danny)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00 28.75  
SCR  ASSERTIVE ATTITUDE               (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00    
SCR  BARGAINING POWER               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00    
SCR  I LOVE CARA               (barrera s)CASTILLO AMIN 119 50.00    
SCR  VIGANO               (zito p)MARTIN MATTIE 117 12.00    
 
SAR-6   08/31/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:223 :451 :571     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  SPEAKINOFTHEDEVIL 5 4 23 23   1½ 11¾ (asmussen steven)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00 9% 9.70 1.80 W
16  TIVY 9 1 13 13   2½ 21¾ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 14% 6.20 2.05 P
3  DR. SETTLE'S DREAM 1 3 33 33½   33½ 34¾ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 12.00 22.90  
15  MOVING PICTURES 8 6 56 58½   410 411¾ (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00 5% 19.00 16.70  
13  WAR TERMINATOR 7 2 45½ 48   510 513¼ (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 122 10.00 20.90  
11  MOON WATCH (IRE) 6 7 79 712   610¼ 614¼ (d'angelo fr)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00 12.90  
8  CHARGING 4 9 89¼ 812   712¼ 716¾ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 52% 0.90 2.85  
4  BRENNAN'S WAR 2 5 67½ 611   813¼ 820 (gyarmati leah)TORRES A 124 15.00 40.25  
5  MSHINDI 3 8 911¼ 917   917¼ 920½ (dixon lind)DAVIS A 118 30.00 55.75  
SCR  BILLY'S GOT ISSUES               (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
SCR  DON'T LET ME DOWN               (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
SCR  FADETHENOISE               (maker michael )CASTELLANO J 118 6.00    
SCR  LUNA WARRIOR               (sisterson jack)CASTELLANO J 124 4.00    
SCR  SANDRONE               (bond ja)TORRES A 117 8.00    
SCR  SKI PATROL               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 3.50    
SCR  SWAY'SINMYDNA               (chatterpaul nai)CASTILLO AMIN 120 50.00    
 
SAR-7   08/31/2023 5610ft TURF RC12 GOOD With Anticipation Purse ($175K) 2 ALL PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:25 :513 1:162 1:401   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GALA BRAND 1 2 73¾ 75 74 4¾ 1½ (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 18% 4.50 2.90 W
8  CARSON'S RUN 7 6 42 53½ 53 2½ 2½ (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50 30% 2.30 2.55 P
2  SPIRIT PRINCE 2 4 21 42½ 42 3½ 31¾ (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 29% 2.40 3.55 S
5  GET SPOOLED 5 7 62¾ 2½ 2½ 1½ 44 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 122 10.00 9.50 DH
7  NOMOS 6 5 31 31½ 31½ 62¼ 44 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 3.65 DH
3  WINE COLLECTOR 3 1 52¼ 65 63½ 72¾ 65½ (sanchez-sa)SANTANA JR 122 12.00 27.75  
4  MARKET STREET 4 3 11 1½ 1½ 51¼ 79½ (lukas wayne)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00 9.30  
SCR  BRITISH SEA               (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00    
 
SAR-8   08/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:13 1:251   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CICCIOBELLO 3 2 1½ 1½ 11 12½ 12 (ryan s)CASTELLANO J 125 2.50 29% 2.50 2.20 W
2  BANK FRENZY 2 4 47½ 44 52½ 43 22 (lewis l)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 8% 11.80 3.30 P
4  PINEAPPLE MAN 4 1 2½ 2½ 21 22½ 34¾ (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 125 6.00 7% 12.50 9.00 S
5  G MUNNING 5 3 34½ 33 31½ 33 46 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00 35% 1.90 1.45  
7  LEFTEMBEHIND 7 8 511 65½ 65½ 65½ 56½ (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 118 10.00 12.90  
8  BOYS CODE 8 6 612 54½ 42½ 54 66¾ (dixon lind)DAVIS A 118 15.00 32.25  
1  ACH DU LIEBER 1 5 713 712 78½ 78 710 (breed ronald )MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 15.00 46.25  
6  DR. MARBOOZ 6 7 816 814 811½ 810½ 816¼ (davis g)DAVIS DYLAN 125 20.00 38.00  
 
SAR-9   08/31/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:44
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:11     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  LOCKE AND KEY 7 8 76¾ 63¾   1nk 13 (begg james)SANTANA JR 124 12.00 17.20  
7  GIROOVIN 6 2 43 31   2nk 23 (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 22% 3.60 3.45 P
4  KUNSHAN BRIDGE 3 5 33 53½   4¾ 34 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 6.00 23% 3.30 4.60 S
10  TENEBRIS 9 3 63¾ 41½   3½ 44¼ (tessore bruno)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00 6% 15.30 5.20  
3  WINNING CONNECTION 2 7 913¾ 89¼   63¼ 55¾ (dutrow richar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 10.00 8.20  
9  INSPEIGHTOFTRAINER 8 9 813¼ 910¼   73¼ 66 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00 20.10  
2  ARREBATO 1 6 53½ 74¼   83¾ 711 (chatterp)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00 38.75  
5  ICE ROAD 4 4 22½ 21   52¾ 816 (d'angelo f)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 24% 3.10 1.90  
6  AMANI'S EAGLE 5 1 12½ 11   97¾ 921½ (morley thomas)TORRES A 117 10.00 18.70  
SCR  INEVTABL CONECTION               (klesaris steve)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00    
 
SAR-10   08/31/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:18
See original race card.
:234 :484 1:141 1:391   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MORE MANGO 7 6 85¼ 64 43½ 32 11 (ferraro james )TORRES A 118 20.00 44.25  
5  MISS BONNIE T 5 4 43 42½ 31½ 11 21 (antonacci philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 2.50 52% 0.90 1.55 P
6  RUSSIARUSSIARUSSIA 6 9 96¾ 86 75¼ 42½ 31¾ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 125 8.00 5% 19.00 11.00 S
2  HOME FOR CHRISTMAS 2 2 53¼ 53½ 63¾ 53 44¾ (diprima grego)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 10.00 10.50  
4  CLARA BELLE 4 7 74¾ 75 85½ 75 55 (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 123 15.00 18.20  
8  MISS M M 8 5 21½ 2½ 2nk 21 65½ (jimenez l)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 13% 6.50 3.70  
3  SYNONYMOUS 3 8 64¾ 96½ 910½ 811 716 (pregman jo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 20.00 64.75  
10  LADY HAMILTON 9 1 11½ 1½ 1nk 63 818 (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 120 2.00 13% 6.40 2.10  
1  REDZILLA 1 3 31½ 31½ 53¾ 913 931¼ (paragallo jenn)LAPRIDA JEREMY 125 50.00 74.25  
SCR  HOWZYOURCASHFLOW               (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50    
SCR  WISHING ON A STAR               (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 1.80    
SCR  YOU GOTTA HAVE FUN (IRE)               (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN null      
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.