Handicappers' Racing Form

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Saratoga
Thursday - August 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (4/9/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-2   Win (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-3   Win (1/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-4   Win (1/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-5   Win (14/13/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-6   Win (8/16/9/15) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-7   Win (8/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-8   Win (5/3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-9   Win (5/4/7/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-10   Win (5/10/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
SAR-1   08/31/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POSITIVE CARRY (IRE)         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 11% 7.70    
SCR  COACH SESSA Aug02         (russell brittan)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50    
GOLDEN GHOST (GB) Aug06 Jun11       (casse mark)CASTELLANO J null      
GOLD LIGHTNING         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
DEEP CONVICTION (IRE)         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 37% 1.70    
DAY AWAY Aug13         (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
KINGDOM COME (IRE) Aug06         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
BROUGHTY FERRY         (amoss thomas )MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00    
MULIMA         (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00    
SASSY PRINCESS Jul23         (walsh p)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  KATHERINE THOMAS Jul23         (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
 
SAR-2   08/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 1:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIFE TALK Jul30         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 1.00 45% 1.20    
RISING INFLATION         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00 17% 4.90    
BACKSTRETCH ROSE Aug06 Jul09 Jun16     (mcpeek kenneth )FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00    
PARADISE LANE         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 5.00    
DOROTHY'S DREAMS Jul08         (terranova john)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  CLASSY MISCHIEF Aug20 Jul30 Jul13     (contessa c)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00    
UNDER THE PALMS Jul23         (mcpeek g)ORTIZ L 119 15.00    
 
SAR-3   08/31/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOON CRY Aug07 Jul08 May27 May04 Apr08 (clement christop)ORTIZ L 122 2.00 54% 0.80    
SCR  HOWDYOUMAKEURMONEY Jul23 Jun25 May29 Sep25 Aug18 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 4.00    
SCR  SOCIAL WHIRL (IRE) Jul23 Nov10 Sep16 Jun24 May27 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00    
MASTEROF THE TUNES Jul19 Jun25 May14 Apr22 Nov19 (lee joseph)ORTIZ JR 124 5.00    
ITSAKEYPER Jul23 Jun16 May12 Apr19 Mar26 (albertrani th)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 6.00    
MZ BIG BUCKS Jul19 Jun18 May04 Apr08   (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 4.50 21% 3.80    
ROAD TO REMEMBER Jun25 May29 Apr28 Nov10 Oct23 (handal raymond)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
QUEENS DANCER Jul29 Jul12 May29 May09 Nov02 (dixon lind)DAVIS A 124 20.00    
SCR  FANCY JOKE Jul07 May21 Apr16 Jul01   (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 120 2.00    
SCR  SECURITY CODE Aug03 Jul07 May29 Apr16 Mar24 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00    
SCR  OK HONEY Aug03 Jul26 Jul07 Jun16 May29 (chichakly amira)RIDER TBA 122 8.00    
 
SAR-4   08/31/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  CORNER KICK Jul29 Jun15 May16 Feb26 Dec15 (diodoro roberti)ORTIZ JR 120 1.40 19% 4.10    
SCR  PILLBOX Mar26 Mar01 Feb01 Apr28   (joseph a)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.40    
GIRL AFRAID Jul02 Jan22 Jan04 Dec17 Nov19 (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 19% 4.20    
2B  FREUDIAN Aug12 Jun17 Jun11 May12 Apr23 (falcone robert)TORRES A 119 3.50    
ICY REPLY Aug12 Jul30 Jun16 May20 May04 (ferraro james )CASTELLANO J 124 10.00    
MY GIRL JAL Jul13 Jun16 May26 May14 Apr15 (legall ricardo)BRIDGMOHAN X 120 30.00    
BRISKY FROLIC Jul27 Jul09 Jun22 May28 May04 (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00    
PROUD FOOT Aug16 Jul19 Jun10 May20 May03 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 4.50 19% 4.20    
DIAMOND COLLECTOR Aug11 Mar18 Feb09 Jan13 Dec31 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 14% 6.20    
SWEET HEIDELBERG Jul04 May29 May05 Apr09 Mar09 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 8.00    
 
SAR-5   08/31/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BARGAINING POWER Aug17 Oct09 Sep10     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00    
FIRE BARON Aug04 Jul28 Jul09 Jun15 May27 (paragallo jenn)LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 50.00    
TESTA DURA Oct22 Sep22       (chichakly amir)TORRES A 114 50.00    
BAD LARRY Jul28 Jun03 May14 Mar25   (maker michael )CASTELLANO J 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
CHESS SPECTACULAR Jul09 May26 Apr15 Mar10 Feb12 (giangiulio michel)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00    
SCR  I LOVE CARA Aug17         (barrera s)CASTILLO AMIN 119 50.00    
NIEUWENDYK Jun04 May14 Apr21 Mar24 Feb24 (begg bentle)DAVIS DYLAN 119 20.00    
NICKEL NICKEL Jul15         (gargan danny)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00    
SCR  VIGANO Apr08 Mar03 Apr16 Mar13 Jan28 (zito p)MARTIN MATTIE 117 12.00    
10  DISAPPEARANCE Jul04 Jun10 May06     (falcone n)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.50    
SCR  ASSERTIVE ATTITUDE Aug17 Nov11       (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00    
12  SALINE RIVER May06 Apr08       (cox h)SANTANA JR 119 10.00    
13  WITH PURPOSE Feb04         (walsh p)ORTIZ JR 124 8.00 32% 2.10    
14  SCREAMING UNCLE Aug11 Jul02 May21     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 44% 1.30    
 
SAR-6   08/31/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SANDRONE Jul20 May13 Apr15 Nov26 Oct30 (bond ja)TORRES A 117 8.00    
SCR  SWAY'SINMYDNA Aug10 Jul16 Jun25 Jun18 May26 (chatterpaul nai)CASTILLO AMIN 120 50.00    
DR. SETTLE'S DREAM Jul28 Jul04 Jun09 Nov26 Sep23 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 12.00    
BRENNAN'S WAR Jul28 Jun18 May19 Jan08 Nov18 (gyarmati leah)CARMOUCHE K 124 15.00    
MSHINDI Feb09 Nov25 Oct17 Oct04   (dixon lind)DAVIS A 118 30.00    
SCR  FADETHENOISE Jul15 Jun23 May20 Apr16 Aug19 (maker michael )CASTELLANO J 118 6.00    
SCR  BILLY'S GOT ISSUES Jul26 Jun15 May14 Mar25 Mar04 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
CHARGING Jul27 May20 Apr26 Mar26 Feb05 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 52% 0.90    
SPEAKINOFTHEDEVIL Jul16 Jun20 May29 May13 Apr21 (asmussen steven)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00 9% 9.70    
SCR  SKI PATROL Jul28 May06 Mar17 Jan29 Dec03 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 3.50    
11  MOON WATCH (IRE) Jul26         (d'angelo fr)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00    
SCR  DON'T LET ME DOWN Jul26 Jun24 May21 Apr21 Mar15 (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
13  WAR TERMINATOR Jul29 Jul20 Jun23 Jun09 Jan22 (contessa c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 10.00    
SCR  LUNA WARRIOR Jul29 Jul09 Jun15 Mar30 Feb19 (sisterson jack)CASTELLANO J 124 4.00    
15  MOVING PICTURES Aug10 Jul07 May26 May20 Oct08 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
16  TIVY Jul27 May20 Mar23 Mar04 Feb03 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 14% 6.20    
 
SAR-7   08/31/2023 5610ft TURF RC12 GOOD With Anticipation Purse ($175K) 2 ALL PT- 4:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GALA BRAND Aug03         (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 18% 4.50    
SPIRIT PRINCE Jul22         (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 29% 2.40    
WINE COLLECTOR Jul15 Jun16 May26     (sanchez-sa)SANTANA JR 122 12.00    
MARKET STREET Aug12 Jul15 Jun29     (lukas wayne)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00    
GET SPOOLED Aug03         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 122 10.00    
SCR  BRITISH SEA Jul14         (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00    
NOMOS Aug06         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00    
CARSON'S RUN Jul29         (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50 30% 2.30    
 
SAR-8   08/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACH DU LIEBER Aug16 Jul28 Jul18 Jun28 May31 (breed ronald )MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 15.00    
BANK FRENZY Apr22 Mar16 Jan29 Dec24 Nov12 (lewis l)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 8% 11.80    
CICCIOBELLO Aug12 Jul03 Jun09 May14 Dec15 (ryan s)CASTELLANO J 125 2.50 29% 2.50    
PINEAPPLE MAN Jul03 May29 May06 Jun25 May30 (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 125 6.00 7% 12.50    
G MUNNING Jul15 Oct15 Aug27 Jul31 May30 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00 35% 1.90    
DR. MARBOOZ Jul28 Jun17 Jan26 Jan05 Dec09 (davis g)DAVIS DYLAN 125 20.00    
LEFTEMBEHIND Aug20 Jul30 Jul08 Jun09 May06 (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 118 10.00    
BOYS CODE Aug16 Jul22 Jul10 Jun27 Jun02 (dixon lind)DAVIS A 118 15.00    
 
SAR-9   08/31/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  INEVTABL CONECTION Aug03 Jul14 Jun11 Mar17 Jan21 (klesaris steve)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00    
ARREBATO Jul04 Jun25 Jun09 Apr08 Mar11 (chatterp)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00    
WINNING CONNECTION Jul22 Jul04 Jun04 May21 Apr27 (dutrow richar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 10.00    
KUNSHAN BRIDGE Aug17 May26 Mar18 Jan21 Dec15 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 6.00 23% 3.30    
ICE ROAD Aug12 Jul03 Jun09 Feb25 Dec02 (d'angelo f)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 24% 3.10    
AMANI'S EAGLE Aug10 Jun29 May26 May12 Apr13 (morley thomas)TORRES A 117 10.00    
GIROOVIN Aug17 Jul16 Jun11 Apr16 Mar30 (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 22% 3.60    
LOCKE AND KEY Aug17 Jul07 Jun02 May06 Apr16 (begg james)SANTANA JR 124 12.00    
INSPEIGHTOFTRAINER Jul22 Jul04 Apr02 Mar11 Jan14 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00    
10  TENEBRIS Jun11 Jun03 May21 Feb11 Jan01 (tessore bruno)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00 6% 15.30    
 
SAR-10   08/31/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REDZILLA Aug18 Aug02 Jul09 Jun18 May18 (paragallo jenn)LAPRIDA JEREMY 125 50.00    
HOME FOR CHRISTMAS Aug02 Jul19 Jun18 May26 Apr27 (diprima grego)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 10.00    
SYNONYMOUS Aug02 Jul07 Jun18 May12 Apr23 (pregman jo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 20.00    
CLARA BELLE Aug11 Jul12 Mar25 Jan20 Nov13 (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 123 15.00    
MISS BONNIE T Dec29 Dec02 Sep30 Aug19 Jul22 (antonacci philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 2.50 52% 0.90    
RUSSIARUSSIARUSSIA Jul04 Jun21 Mar30 Feb24 Jan21 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
MORE MANGO Aug02 Jul09 Jun18 May28 May12 (ferraro james )TORRES A 118 20.00    
MISS M M Aug02 Jul14 Jun23 Apr21 Mar24 (jimenez l)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 13% 6.50    
10  LADY HAMILTON Jul09 May28 Apr01 Feb01 Jan06 (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 120 2.00 13% 6.40    
SCR  HOWZYOURCASHFLOW Mar03 Jan12       (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50    
SCR  WISHING ON A STAR Jun16 May04 Apr13 Mar31 Mar05 (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 1.80    
SCR  YOU GOTTA HAVE FUN (IRE) Aug19 Jun25 May13     (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN null      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.