Handicappers' Race Results
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Saratoga
Saturday - August 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (3/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $5.30  
SAR-2   Win (8/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $11.40  
SAR-3   Win (1/6/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $7.30 $7.30  
SAR-4   Win (6/5/2/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 0 $15.20  
SAR-5   Win (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 0 $6.80  
SAR-6   Win (9/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
SAR-7   Win (7/1/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $8.70 $8.70 0.70
SAR-8   Win (7/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $5.60 $5.60  
SAR-9   Win (2/8/3/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $16.20 $16.20 6.20
SAR-10   Win (9/2/1/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $21.20 $21.20 11.20
SAR-11   Win (10/14/2/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $3.50 $3.50  
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:223 :46 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RISK IT 1 1 12 11½   12½ 14½ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 ★ 1.65  
3  HUNT BALL (IRE) 3 7 53¼ 21½   22½ 24½ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.00 38% 1.60 4.40 P
7  SPECIAL ELEMENT 7 4 32 31½   36½ 38¾ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 3.50 35% 1.90 4.80 S
4  MIDDLE MARKET 4 6 75¾ 76   67½ 48¾ (brown c)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 8.20  
6  ACT OF MUTINY 6 2 43 42   57 59¼ (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 4.70  
5  WORLD FAIR 5 5 64¼ 63½   46½ 611 (moquett ron)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00 8.60  
2  REMEMBER THE NAME 2 3 22 52½   711 714¾ (handal raymond)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00 12.10  
SCR  GYPSY MISCHIEF               (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
 
SAR-2   08/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 ALL PT- 1:42
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:131 1:261   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DANCING GROOM 4 2 62¼ 52½ 2nk 12 15 (sano antonio)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 ★ 4.70  
1  HOULTON 1 4 42 41½ 42 22 25 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 8.70  
3  DIVINE EMPIRE 3 3 21 21 1nk 32½ 39¼ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 13.70  
11  ROCKET NIGHT 9 9 96¾ 95¼ 97¾ 47 411 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00 2.90  
9  DANGEROUS DRIVER 7 7 74¾ 74 66½ 611 521¾ (jimenez l)TORRES A 114 30.00 44.50  
2  TOM COLLINS 2 1 11 11 31 58½ 623 (mcgaughey claude)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00 17% 4.70 4.40  
10  GET READY TO ROCK 8 5 86¼ 85 76¾ 711 723½ (kimmel c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00 ★ 26.00  
7  SKYLER'S ARTEMIS 5 8 52 63 87¾ 917 841¼ (terranova john )VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00 5% 19.00 5.80  
8  BLAST FURNACE 6 6 31½ 31 54 815½ 943¼ (devaux cheri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 58% 0.70 3.85  
SCR  BUFFOON (FR)               (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 119 10.00    
SCR  FORTUNE SELLER               (rice kevin)ORTIZ L 119 3.50    
SCR  REAL MEN VIOLIN               (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 6.00    
SCR  RIGHT TO VOTE               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00    
SCR  SPIRIT PRINCE               (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50    
SCR  WALLEY WORLD               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50    
 
SAR-3   08/19/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:16
See original race card.
:221 :452 :571     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SHOOTOUTTHELIGHTS 5 1 1½ 11   11½ 1¾ (ward a)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 22% 3.50 2.65 W
7  DONTLOOKBACKATALL 6 6 73¼ 73¼   32 2¾ (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.00 11% 7.90 7.30 P
1  MY SWEET AFFAIR 2 2 31½ 31½   21½ 32 (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 120 3.50 46% 1.20 3.15 S
3  VIOLET GIBSON (IRE) 3 8 86¾ 84¾   64 43½ (joseph a)ORTIZ L 120 10.00 5% 19.00 13.90  
2  GEORGEES SPIRIT 1 7 63 63   53½ 54½ (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.50 2.95  
4  NUMERO SEIS 4 4 2½ 21   42½ 67 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00 7.40  
1A  MISS DOMINA 8 5 52 42   75½ 79¼ (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50 3.15  
8  YOU GOTTA HAVE FUN (IRE) 7 3 41½ 52   86 813½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00 7.10  
SCR  GOLDEN DAGGER               (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00    
SCR  HOWZYOURCASHFLOW               (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00    
SCR  LITTLE PRANKSTER               (bauer philip)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.40    
SCR  OBRIGADA               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 2.50    
 
SAR-4   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($42K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:222 :453 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  POPPY'S PRIDE 6 1 11 1½   1nk 11 (rodriguez gustav)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 6.60  
2  HANDSOME CAT 2 6 53½ 55½   42 21 (jacobso)HERNANDEZ OMAR 111 4.50 10% 8.60 4.00 P
8  QUICKFLASH 7 3 31 3½   2nk 31¾ (sells rachel)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00 32.00  
3  FLAMINGO HAWK 3 5 88 89¼   65 44 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00 6.50  
9  AIR SHOW 8 4 21 2½   31 54¼ (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 115 12.00 13.20  
5  RAGTIME BLUES 4 2 42 44   54 67½ (walder r)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 23% 3.40 6.20  
6  IN SKY WE TRUST 5 8 77 67   75½ 78¾ (lake a)CARMOUCHE K 123 5.00 38% 1.70 4.50  
1  ENSIGN PARKER 1 7 66 77¼   85¾ 88¾ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 5% 19.00 2.50  
11  GREAT WORKOUT 9 9 912½ 912¾   99¼ 99¼ (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 118 20.00 43.00  
SCR  NO MORE TALK               (potts wayne)ORTIZ JR 123 4.00    
SCR  WINNING DRIVE               (kantarmaci me)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00    
 
SAR-5   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:221 :45 :57     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  DURANTE 7 1 11 1nk   13½ 14¼ (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00 ★ 2.40  
1A  DAUFUSKIE ISLAND 4 2 21 2nk   23½ 24¼ (rodriguez rud)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 1.40 65% 0.50 1.40 P
1  LAFITTE'S FLEET 3 5 65½ 56   49 36¾ (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 124 1.40 1.40  
3  ABADIN 2 7 55½ 44½   59½ 49 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 10% 8.60 3.05  
5  A LA CARTE 5 3 32 33½   38½ 511½ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 8.00 5% 19.00 6.10  
7  NOTABLE BOB (CHI) 6 6 77½ 610   613 615¾ (arenas marcelo)CASTELLANO J 124 15.00 14.50  
2  HARRINGTON 1 4 43½ 711   723 736 (moubarak nader)SAEZ LUIS 120 15.00 27.00  
SCR  LEDDY               (goberdhan chandra)DAVIS KATIE 122 20.00    
SCR  TIVY               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 12.00    
 
SAR-6   08/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:244 :484 1:134 1:263   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  LEADERSHIP ABILITY 5 1 11½ 11 12½ 15 16 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 69% 0.40 1.70 W
3  BERNING HONOR 1 3 42 41½ 22½ 25 26 (schettino domini)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 7% 13.70 5.20 P
16  MUCHO MAMA MIA 8 7 66½ 63¾ 53¾ 47 36½ (englehart jerem)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00 ★ 4.00 S
7  JAYLA 4 2 21½ 31½ 33½ 35½ 46½ (antonucci jena)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00 4.10  
14  FLUTIE FLAKES 6 8 32 21 43½ 57½ 513 (englehart jeremia)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 16.40  
4  DREAM ROAD 2 5 77 74¾ 65¾ 69½ 614¾ (persaud eddie)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00 5% 19.00 7.20  
5  PINSTRIPEPIZZO 3 4 55 53½ 77¾ 714½ 723½ (de hor)SANTANA JR 118 8.00 13.20  
15  LIEUTENANT'SLEGACY 7 6 816 824¾ 821¾ 822½ 825¾ (schettino dominic)DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00 39.00  
SCR  ARISAEMA               (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.00    
SCR  BELLA SONADORA               (figueroa carlos)LUZZI J 118 50.00    
SCR  LEM ME DRINK               (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 124 5.00    
SCR  MISS BARB               (nevin michell)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 20.00    
SCR  OUTTA THE CLOUD               (tebbutt john)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 30.00    
SCR  SAMARITAN'S PURSE               (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
SCR  SO ARE YOU               (meadow e)USKE S 124 50.00    
SCR  STONE OF DESTINY               (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00    
 
SAR-7   08/19/2023 5610ft TURF RC13 GOOD Lake Placid Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 4:26
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:123 1:363   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ASPRAY 2 2 41½ 41½ 32½ 11½ 12 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.50 9% 10.10 3.35 W
7  SURGE CAPACITY 7 6 63 62¾ 64¼ 42 22 (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.00 36% 1.80 4.20 P
6  SOVIET EXCESS 6 8 86 85¼ 86¾ 53 32 (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00 28.25  
4  TAX IMPLICATIONS (GB) 4 3 74½ 73¾ 75¼ 63¼ 42¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 3.10  
8  PREREQUISITE 8 7 52½ 52½ 54 73¾ 54½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50 4.20  
3  GLORIA'S PRINCESS 3 4 2½ 2½ 2nk 21½ 65¾ (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 8.40  
1  HEAVENLY SUNDAY 1 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 31½ 79¾ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 32% 2.10 7.40  
5  JUNIPERMARSHMALLOW 5 5 31½ 31½ 43 810¾ 822 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 120 12.00 5% 19.00 11.20  
SCR  LEAVE NO TRACE               (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 124 2.00    
SCR  UNDERVALUED ASSET               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 0.80    
 
SAR-8   08/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($162.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:02
See original race card.
:25 :481 1:12 1:241   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  NOSTALGIC 5 4 52 52½ 51½ 2½ 11½ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 3.00 28% 2.50 1.80 W
3  GERRYMANDER 1 1 41 31 41 1½ 21½ (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.50 19% 4.20 1.60 P
8  MISTY VEIL 6 6 31 41 3½ 31 34¾ (maker j)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 5.80  
5  ROYAL TAKE CHARGE 3 3 2½ 2½ 2½ 51½ 46½ (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 126 10.00 13% 6.80 8.90  
4  FAVOR 2 2 1½ 1½ 1½ 41½ 57¼ (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 7.20  
6  MOSIENKO 4 5 63½ 65 64 65½ 619¾ (lalman dennis)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00 10.80  
SCR  BATTLE BLING               (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00    
SCR  MOVIE MOXY               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 126 4.00    
 
SAR-9   08/19/2023 6600ft DIRT RC14 FAST Alabama Purse ($600K) 3 F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:122 1:371   2:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  RANDOMIZED 8 11 1½ 11 12 13½ 14 (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.50 21% 3.70 7.10 W
2  WET PAINT 2 41½ 42½ 32½ 34½ 33½ 24 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 2.00 31% 2.30 1.90 P
10  DEFINING PURPOSE 10 21 2½ 21 22 23½ 35½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 14.20  
4  SABRA TUFF 4 98¾ 109¼ 99¾ 612 512½ 414 (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 30.00 61.25  
9  TAXED 9 83¾ 63½ 53½ 47½ 411½ 517¾ (morse l)BEJARANO R 121 8.00 4.40 DQ↓6
7  GAMBLING GIRL 7 109¼ 98¼ 87¼ 511½ 614½ 619½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 121 8.00 5% 19.00 5.50  
1  SACRED WISH 1 31½ 31½ 42½ 712½ 820½ 728 (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 121 8.00 14.20  
5  FIRELINE 5 73¼ 74 64 815½ 720 829¾ (brown c)CASTELLANO J 121 12.00 19.20  
3  JULIA SHINING 3 63 53½ 74¼ 919½ 935½ 957 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00 11% 8.00 5.30  
6  CHOCOLATE GELATO 6 52 84¼ 1011¼ 1025½ 1040½ 1064 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 121 15.00 9% 9.80 28.50  
 
SAR-10   08/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:19
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:122 1:241   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUKE OF HAZZARD (FR) 1 4 42½ 43½ 31½ 1½ 11¼ (dutrow e)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 7% 13.50 9.60 W
3  CALL ME HARRY 3 1 11 11 11 2½ 21¼ (abreu fernando)SAEZ LUIS 124 10.00 12.60  
5  WHISPER NOT (GB) 5 8 75 77 54 33½ 31¾ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.50 2.85  
7  RUNNINGWSCISSORS 7 9 85½ 88 96½ 76¼ 43¼ (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 122 10.00 5% 19.00 14.50  
4  STORM THE COURT 4 2 21 21 21 43½ 54¼ (amoss m)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00 14.60  
2  NAPOLEONIC WAR 2 3 52½ 53½ 42 55 65¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50 11% 7.80 2.30  
9  VERBAL 9 6 64 66½ 64 66 76¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 52% 0.90 2.65  
6  MAXWELL ESQUIRE 6 7 96½ 99 86 86¾ 88¾ (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 122 20.00 36.75  
8  FLOKI'S FLIGHT 8 5 31½ 32½ 75 9100 9100 (romans dal)SANTANA JR 124 15.00 24.75  
SCR  ACCRETIVE               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00    
SCR  MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT               (rice linda)RIDER TBA 122 10.00    
SCR  RINALDI               (bond ja)TORRES A 117 12.00    
SCR  TONAL IMPACT               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 126 1.60    
SCR  UNCLE MOONLIGHT               (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.50    
 
SAR-11   08/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:52
See original race card.
:223 :461 :582     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  HENSON 7 2 11 1½   1nk 11¼ (cox h)VELAZQUEZ R 119 1.60 37% 1.70 0.75 W
5  OKALOOSA 4 4 41½ 31½   2nk 21¼ (de horacio)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 6% 17.10 14.10 P
8  KERN RIVER 6 1 21 42   45 35¾ (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 12.00  
12  SPOOFY 9 3 31 2½   34 45¾ (baker char)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 18.30  
14  BLUE PLATE SPECIAL 10 9 106 96   56½ 56½ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 2.00 27% 2.80 3.60  
1A  PETROLO 11 8 84½ 84½   67 66¾ (bond ja)TORRES A 114 2.50 7.60  
7  MAJESTIC ARC 5 10 74 64   78 711¼ (shivmangal lolita)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00 5% 19.00 36.75  
4  HERONEANDONLY 3 5 63½ 74   89 814 (goodwin gabr)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 117 10.00 44.00  
3  IMPULSIVE SPENDING 2 7 95½ 106½   99½ 914¾ (arenas )HERNANDEZ OMAR 112 20.00 49.75  
11  SOMAMA BEACH 8 6 52½ 53   1012½ 1019 (jerkens steve)MARTINEZ R 119 20.00 79.50  
2  ONOFRIO 1 11 1121 1131½   1142½ 11100 (giglio gina)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00 6% 17.10 50.00  
SCR  IT'S NOT MY FAULT               (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00    
SCR  KID EMERALD               (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00    
SCR  RIPE FOR MISCHIEF               (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.50    
SCR  WAR PRINCE               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50    
SCR  WOODSIDE WARRIOR               (friedman mitchell)RIDER TBA 119 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.