Handicappers' Racing Form
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Saratoga
Saturday - August 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (3/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-2   Win (8/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-3   Win (1/6/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-4   Win (6/5/2/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-5   Win (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-6   Win (9/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-7   Win (7/1/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-8   Win (7/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-9   Win (2/8/3/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-10   Win (9/2/1/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-11   Win (10/14/2/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
SAR-1   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 ALL PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RISK IT         (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 ★    
2  REMEMBER THE NAME         (handal raymond)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  HUNT BALL (IRE)         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.00 38% 1.60    
4  MIDDLE MARKET         (brown c)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00    
5  WORLD FAIR Jul22         (moquett ron)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00    
6  ACT OF MUTINY         (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 119 5.00    
7  SPECIAL ELEMENT Jul15         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 3.50 35% 1.90    
SCR  GYPSY MISCHIEF         (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
 
SAR-2   08/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 ALL PT- 1:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOULTON Jul29         (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00    
2  TOM COLLINS         (mcgaughey claude)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00 17% 4.70    
3  DIVINE EMPIRE Jul29         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00    
SCR  BUFFOON (FR)         (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 119 10.00    
5  DANCING GROOM Jul22         (sano antonio)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 ★    
SCR  WALLEY WORLD         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50    
7  SKYLER'S ARTEMIS         (terranova john )VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  BLAST FURNACE May13 Apr27       (devaux cheri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 58% 0.70    
9  DANGEROUS DRIVER Jul09 Jun22       (jimenez l)TORRES A 114 30.00    
10  GET READY TO ROCK         (kimmel c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00 ★    
11  ROCKET NIGHT         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00    
SCR  REAL MEN VIOLIN Jul14         (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 6.00    
SCR  FORTUNE SELLER Jul22         (rice kevin)ORTIZ L 119 3.50    
SCR  SPIRIT PRINCE Jul22         (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50    
SCR  RIGHT TO VOTE         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00    
 
SAR-3   08/19/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY SWEET AFFAIR Aug12 Jul15 Jun18 May03 Apr14 (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 120 3.50 46% 1.20    
1A  MISS DOMINA Aug06 Jul19 May19 Mar26 Feb15 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50    
2  GEORGEES SPIRIT Apr27 Nov05 Oct01 Sep01 Jul21 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.50    
3  VIOLET GIBSON (IRE) Jul22 Jun24 May06 Mar11   (joseph a)ORTIZ L 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  NUMERO SEIS Jun15 May20 Oct09 Sep13 Sep01 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00    
SCR  GOLDEN DAGGER Jul19 Apr01       (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00    
6  SHOOTOUTTHELIGHTS Jun16 May03 Apr02     (ward a)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 22% 3.50    
7  DONTLOOKBACKATALL Jul10 Jun06 Apr20 Nov05 Oct08 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.00 11% 7.90    
8  YOU GOTTA HAVE FUN (IRE) Jun25 May13       (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
SCR  HOWZYOURCASHFLOW Mar03 Jan12       (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00    
SCR  OBRIGADA Jul30 Jul13 Jun10 May20 Apr29 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 2.50    
SCR  LITTLE PRANKSTER Jul30 Jun24 Jun03 May02   (bauer philip)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.40    
 
SAR-4   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($42K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENSIGN PARKER Jul16 May28 May14 Mar02 Feb03 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  HANDSOME CAT Apr01 Mar19 Mar04 Feb18 Jan27 (jacobso)HERNANDEZ OMAR 111 4.50 10% 8.60    
3  FLAMINGO HAWK Jul02 May19 Mar26 Nov12 Sep21 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WINNING DRIVE Aug05 Jun24 May26 Mar26 Feb26 (kantarmaci me)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00    
5  RAGTIME BLUES Aug05 Jul02 May13 Apr20 Mar25 (walder r)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 23% 3.40    
6  IN SKY WE TRUST Jul03 May30 May09 Apr05 Mar15 (lake a)CARMOUCHE K 123 5.00 38% 1.70    
7  POPPY'S PRIDE Jul23 May26 May07 Mar25 Mar03 (rodriguez gustav)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
8  QUICKFLASH Jul12 Jun05 May22 Apr24 Mar25 (sells rachel)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00    
9  AIR SHOW Jul22 Jul08 Apr29 Mar26 Feb25 (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 115 12.00    
SCR  NO MORE TALK Aug05 Jul14 Jul02 Jun03 May26 (potts wayne)ORTIZ JR 123 4.00    
11  GREAT WORKOUT Jul19 May11 Apr15 Feb19 Nov11 (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 118 20.00    
 
SAR-5   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAFITTE'S FLEET Jul26 Jun15 May21 Apr27 Apr01 (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 124 1.40    
1A  DAUFUSKIE ISLAND Jul22 Jun22 May29 May05 Feb05 (rodriguez rud)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 1.40 65% 0.50    
2  HARRINGTON Jul22 Jun30 Jan07 Dec10   (moubarak nader)SAEZ LUIS 120 15.00    
3  ABADIN Jul21 Jun11 May06     (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 10% 8.60    
SCR  TIVY Jul27 May20 Mar23 Mar04 Feb03 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 12.00    
5  A LA CARTE Jul22 Jun01 Apr28 Mar12 Feb03 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LEDDY Jul23 Jul08 Jun04 May19 Feb11 (goberdhan chandra)DAVIS KATIE 122 20.00    
7  NOTABLE BOB (CHI)         (arenas marcelo)CASTELLANO J 124 15.00    
8  DURANTE Aug02 Jun23 Jun10 May20 Dec17 (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00 ★    
 
SAR-6   08/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MISS BARB Jan06 Dec16 Nov04     (nevin michell)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 20.00    
SCR  OUTTA THE CLOUD Aug04 Jun26 Jun05 Nov23 Nov08 (tebbutt john)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 30.00    
3  BERNING HONOR Jun17 May05 Feb26 Jan19 Oct08 (schettino domini)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 7% 13.70    
4  DREAM ROAD May06 Mar24 Nov26     (persaud eddie)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  PINSTRIPEPIZZO Jul03 Jun01 Apr15 Feb24 Jan14 (de hor)SANTANA JR 118 8.00    
SCR  SAMARITAN'S PURSE         (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
7  JAYLA Mar09 Feb16 Jan20 Sep05 Aug15 (antonucci jena)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00    
SCR  STONE OF DESTINY Aug04 Jul13 Jun17     (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00    
9  LEADERSHIP ABILITY Sep30         (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 69% 0.40    
SCR  LEM ME DRINK Jun23 May28 Apr14 Feb10 Jan19 (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 124 5.00    
SCR  ARISAEMA Jul13 Jun01 Apr15 Feb12 Oct29 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.00    
SCR  SO ARE YOU Jul13 Nov01 Aug31 Jul06 Jun15 (meadow e)USKE S 124 50.00    
SCR  BELLA SONADORA Jul16 Mar18       (figueroa carlos)LUZZI J 118 50.00    
14  FLUTIE FLAKES Mar24 Aug08       (englehart jeremia)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00    
15  LIEUTENANT'SLEGACY Jun26 May16       (schettino dominic)DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00    
16  MUCHO MAMA MIA Jul17 May18 Apr27 Feb26 Oct08 (englehart jerem)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00 ★    
 
SAR-7   08/19/2023 5610ft TURF RC13 GOOD Lake Placid Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 4:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEAVENLY SUNDAY Jul01 May05 Apr08 Feb04 Oct28 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 32% 2.10    
2  ASPRAY Jul08 May19 Mar22 Jan14   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.50 9% 10.10    
3  GLORIA'S PRINCESS Jun25 May03 Apr01     (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50    
4  TAX IMPLICATIONS (GB) Jul21 Jun24 Oct28 Sep11   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00    
5  JUNIPERMARSHMALLOW Dec10 Oct16       (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  SOVIET EXCESS Jun24 May28 Apr30 Mar05 Feb05 (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00    
7  SURGE CAPACITY Jul21 Jun10       (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
8  PREREQUISITE Jul08 Jun11 May07 Apr01   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50    
SCR  LEAVE NO TRACE Mar04 Nov04 Oct02 Sep04 Jul20 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 124 2.00    
SCR  UNDERVALUED ASSET Jul22 May05 Mar04 Feb04 Nov10 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 0.80    
 
SAR-8   08/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($162.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MOVIE MOXY Jun24 Jun16 May26 Apr16 Mar25 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 126 4.00    
SCR  BATTLE BLING Jul08 Feb18 Jan01 Dec03 Nov04 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00    
3  GERRYMANDER Jul19 Jun24 May06 Apr07 Sep24 (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.50 19% 4.20    
4  FAVOR Jul19 Dec09 Jul14 May20 Mar26 (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00    
5  ROYAL TAKE CHARGE Jul08 May27 Apr21 Jan16 Nov25 (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 126 10.00 13% 6.80    
6  MOSIENKO Jul20 Jun16 May14 Mar25 Feb10 (lalman dennis)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00    
7  NOSTALGIC Jul19 Nov25 Nov04 Sep17 Aug20 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 3.00 28% 2.50    
8  MISTY VEIL Jul22 Jun24 May19 Apr07 Mar05 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00    
 
SAR-9   08/19/2023 6600ft DIRT RC14 FAST Alabama Purse ($600K) 3 F PT- 5:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SACRED WISH Jul22 Jun16 May19 Apr01 Mar05 (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 121 8.00    
2  WET PAINT Jul22 Jun17 May05 Apr01 Feb25 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 2.00 31% 2.30    
3  JULIA SHINING Apr07 Feb11 Dec03 Oct16   (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00 11% 8.00    
4  SABRA TUFF Jul13 Jun17 May05 Nov04 Oct07 (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 30.00    
5  FIRELINE Jul01 May18 Nov04 Oct02   (brown c)CASTELLANO J 121 12.00    
6  CHOCOLATE GELATO Jun11 Nov04 Oct02 Aug14 Jul14 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 121 15.00 9% 9.80    
7  GAMBLING GIRL Jul22 May05 Apr08 Feb25 Jan14 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  RANDOMIZED Jul14 Jun09 Mar31 Jul24   (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.50 21% 3.70    
9  TAXED Jul08 May19 Apr01 Feb25 Jan28 (morse l)BEJARANO R 121 8.00    
10  DEFINING PURPOSE Jul08 May05 Apr07 Feb25 Jan28 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00    
 
SAR-10   08/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUKE OF HAZZARD (FR) Jul04 Jun22 Apr07 Oct13 Sep14 (dutrow e)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 7% 13.50    
2  NAPOLEONIC WAR Jul20 Aug28 Jul09 Jun04 May05 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50 11% 7.80    
3  CALL ME HARRY Jul20 Jul03 Apr30 Mar10 Feb10 (abreu fernando)SAEZ LUIS 124 10.00    
4  STORM THE COURT Oct02 Aug21 Jul24 May07 Apr02 (amoss m)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  WHISPER NOT (GB) Jul20 May25 May05 Apr02 Aug04 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.50    
6  MAXWELL ESQUIRE Jul26 Jul07 Jun15 Oct27 Sep13 (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 122 20.00    
7  RUNNINGWSCISSORS Jul13 Jun15 May04 Apr27 Apr01 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  FLOKI'S FLIGHT Jul29 Jun25 May28 May13 Mar30 (romans dal)SANTANA JR 124 15.00    
9  VERBAL Jun22 Apr13 Feb04 Apr08   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 52% 0.90    
SCR  RINALDI May29 Oct30 Apr09     (bond ja)TORRES A 117 12.00    
SCR  MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT Jul14 Apr15 Mar09 Feb12 Jun03 (rice linda)RIDER TBA 122 10.00    
SCR  ACCRETIVE Jul22 Aug27 Jul31 Jun26   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00    
SCR  TONAL IMPACT Jul08 Jun15 May28 Apr29 Apr06 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 126 1.60    
SCR  UNCLE MOONLIGHT Jun15 Apr29 Mar04 Feb05 Jan06 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.50    
 
SAR-11   08/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  PETROLO Feb25 Dec31       (bond ja)TORRES A 114 2.50    
SCR  RIPE FOR MISCHIEF Aug03 Jun11 Apr07 Dec15 Nov18 (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.50    
2  ONOFRIO         (giglio gina)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00 6% 17.10    
3  IMPULSIVE SPENDING Jul30 Jul21 Jun18 May19 Apr16 (arenas )HERNANDEZ OMAR 112 20.00    
4  HERONEANDONLY Aug09 Jul08 Jun01 Nov20 Nov13 (goodwin gabr)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 117 10.00    
5  OKALOOSA         (de hor)SANTANA JR 119 5.00 6% 17.10    
SCR  KID EMERALD Jul03 May29 Oct21 Sep23   (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00    
7  MAJESTIC ARC         (shivmangal lol)TORRES A 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  KERN RIVER Jul08 May20       (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00    
SCR  IT'S NOT MY FAULT Jul21 Jul08       (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00    
10  HENSON Jul14         (cox h)VELAZQUEZ R 119 1.60 37% 1.70    
11  SOMAMA BEACH Jul09 Jun03 May21 Mar18 Feb11 (jerkens steve)MARTINEZ R 119 20.00    
12  SPOOFY Aug03 Jun09       (baker char)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
SCR  WAR PRINCE Jun03 May13 Apr23 Sep16   (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50    
14  BLUE PLATE SPECIAL Jul08 Jun09 Apr23 Apr01   (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 2.00 27% 2.80    
SCR  WOODSIDE WARRIOR Jul21 Jul01 Jun09 Apr27 Mar04 (friedman mitchell)RIDER TBA 119 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.