The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Saratoga
Thursday - August 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $10.60 $10.60 4.60
    Exacta (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-4 2 1 $29.50 $29.50 23.50
    Trifecta (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 6-4-2 3 1 $35.62 $35.62 32.62
SAR-2   Win (7/4/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $17.60 $17.60 9.60
    Exacta (7/4/5/9)-(7/4/5/1/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 4-7 2 1 $27.75 $27.75 11.75
    Trifecta (7/4/5/9)-(7/4/5/1/9)-(7/4/5/1/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 4-7-5 3 1 $44.37 $44.37 20.37
    Daily Double (2/4/6)-(7/4/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 6-4 2 1 $34.00 $34.00 22.00
SAR-3   Win (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $24.60 -6.00
    Exacta (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-3 2 0 $40.25 -6.00
    Trifecta (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 1-3-6 3 0 $36.87 -3.00
    Daily Double (7/4/5/9)-(6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 4-1 2 0 $119.50 -12.00
    Pick Three (2/4/6)-(7/4/5/9)-(6/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 6-4-1 3 0 $544.00 -36.00
SAR-4   Win (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.60 $5.60 -0.40
    Exacta (3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 3-7 2 1 $9.80 $9.80 3.80
    Trifecta (3/7/4)-(3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 3-7-6 3 0 $9.25 -3.00
    Daily Double (6/3/5)-(3/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 1-3 2 0 $40.25 -9.00
    Pick Three (7/4/5/9)-(6/3/5)-(3/7/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 4-1-3 3 0 $348.50 -36.00
SAR-5   Win (3/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.30 $3.30 -2.70
    Exacta (3/4/7)-(3/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 3-4 2 1 $3.45 $3.45 -2.55
    Trifecta (3/4/7)-(3/4/7)-(3/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 3-4-6 3 0 $3.60 -3.00
    Daily Double (3/7/4)-(3/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 3-3 2 1 $5.30 $5.30 -3.70
    Daily Double (3/7/4)-(3/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 3-5 2 0 $3.00 -9.00
    Pick Three (6/3/5)-(3/7/4)-(3/4/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 1-3-3 3 0 $89.00 -27.00
    Pick Three (6/3/5)-(3/7/4)-(3/4/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 1-3-5 3 0 $39.00 -27.00
SAR-6   Win (2/6/3/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 0 $8.70 -10.00
    Exacta (2/6/3/4/9)-(2/6/3/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 5-9 2 0 $21.40 -20.00
    Trifecta (2/6/3/4/9)-(2/6/3/4/9)-(2/6/3/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 5-9-4 3 0 $74.62 -30.00
    Daily Double (3/4/7)-(2/6/3/4/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 3-5 2 0 $7.20 -15.00
    Pick Three (3/7/4)-(3/4/7)-(2/6/3/4/9) 45 $1.00 $45.00 3-3-5 3 0 $18.40 -45.00
    Pick Three (3/7/4)-(3/4/7)-(2/6/3/4/9) 45 $1.00 $45.00 3-5-5 3 0 $10.60 -45.00
SAR-7   Win (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 1 $5.00 $5.00 1.00
    Exacta (1/6)-(1/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 6-1 2 1 $4.20 $4.20 2.20
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 6-1-4 3 0 $3.50 0.00
    Daily Double (2/6/3/4/9)-(1/6) 10 $1.00 $10.00 5-6 2 0 $14.20 -10.00
    Pick Three (3/4/7)-(2/6/3/4/9)-(1/6) 30 $1.00 $30.00 3-5-6 3 0 $17.90 -30.00
SAR-8   Win (1/8/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 -1.00
    Exacta (1/8/2/5)-(1/8/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 2-1 2 1 $11.80 $11.80 -0.20
    Trifecta (1/8/2/5)-(1/8/2/5)-(1/8/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 2-1-3 3 0 $29.12 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/6)-(1/8/2/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 6-2 2 1 $14.40 $14.40 6.40
    Pick Three (2/6/3/4/9)-(1/6)-(1/8/2/5) 40 $1.00 $40.00 5-6-2 3 0 $30.25 -40.00
SAR-9   Win (8/4/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $60.50 -8.00
    Exacta (8/4/2/5)-(8/4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 3-4 2 0 $173.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (8/4/2/5)-(8/4/2/5)-(8/4/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 3-4-1 3 0 $379.25 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/8/2/5)-(8/4/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 2-3 2 0 $129.50 -16.00
    Pick Three (1/6)-(1/8/2/5)-(8/4/2/5) 32 $1.00 $32.00 6-2-3 3 0 $558.50 -32.00
    Pick Three (1/6)-(1/8/2/5)-(8/4/2/5) 32 $1.00 $32.00 6-2-6 3 0 $10.80 -32.00
SAR-10   Win (9/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $7.90 $7.90 -0.10
    Exacta (9/1/2/3)-(9/1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 9-5 2 0 $22.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (9/1/2/3)-(9/1/2/3)-(9/1/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 9-5-2 3 0 $34.37 -12.00
    Daily Double (8/4/2/5)-(9/1/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 3-9 2 0 $165.75 -16.00
    Pick Three (1/8/2/5)-(8/4/2/5)-(9/1/2/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 2-3-9 3 0 $424.00 -64.00

Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   08/24/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
:244 :491 1:144 1:274   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALTERINA 6 2 2½ 21 4 21(hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 118 4.50 9% 9.60 4.30 W
STRANGE FRUIT 4 1 1½ 11 1½ 12(reynolds patrick)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 15% 5.70 6.40 P
SHOTGUN PATSY 2 4 32 32 2½ 32 36 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 2.50 44% 1.30 1.20 S
CAUSE I'M ELEGANT 5 3 54 43 56 54(donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00 4.60  
POWER AND GLORY 3 5 44 53 3 4510½ (thompson r)CARMOUCHE K 124 3.50 8.70  
GO SUSAN GO 7 6 6 65 611 613½ 621½ (iorio jr)HARKIE K 118 8.00 8.10  
BELLA SONADORA 1 7 712 712 726 728½ 759¾ (figueroa carlos)LUZZI J 118 20.00 31.50  
 
SAR-2   08/24/2023 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 ALL PT- 1:44
:214 :443 :563     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DETECTIVE TOM 3 1 1½ 1½   2nk 1nk (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 119 3.00 29% 2.50 7.80 W
INSTAMATIC 6 6 2½ 2½   1nk 2nk (gargan danny)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.50 30% 2.40 1.45 P
PRICE IS TRUTH 4 2 32 3   32 3¾ (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 19% 4.10 4.50 S
ROB THE BANK 5 9 64 66   64(brown r)TORRES A 114 20.00 24.00  
10  PATRONAGE 10 10 10 910¼   85(pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 6.50  
SEBASTIANTHE FIRST 9 4 7 8   76(delgado h)LUZZI J 119 15.00 5% 19.00 25.50  
SCORE THE ROCK 1 8 8 77   97(maker j)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 13.20  
MITHRIDATES 2 3 54 5   58(chichakly )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00 30.75  
KING FREUD 7 7 9 1013¾   1011¼ 95 (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 12.00 21.10  
CLAVINET 8 5 4 4   410(clement chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 6.20  
SCR  HARD PAR               (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 119 4.00    
SCR  SORORITY PRANK               (hennig mark)RIDER TBA 119 10.00    
SCR  SPLIT STRIKE               (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50    
SCR  WINE RESPONSIBLY               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
 
SAR-3   08/24/2023 5940ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($162.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
:232 :484 1:131 1:364   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAND SONATA 1 2 3 3 3 2nk 1¼ (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00 11.30  
EASTER (FR) 3 6 6 6 64 4¾ 2¼ (motion graham)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 2.00 11% 8.40 1.70 P
KURAMATA (IRE) 6 4 2½ 21 21 1nk 32 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 1.20 65% 0.50 0.95 S
UNANIMOUS CONSENT (GB) 5 5 4 4 4 543 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 5.00 5% 19.00 13.40  
MAIN EVENT 4 1 1½ 11 11 3.2 5(weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00 6.00  
SAFE CONDUCT 2 3 54 53 5 66(serpe phil)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 10.00 28.50  
SCR  BOLD ENDEAVOR               (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 124 0.50    
 
SAR-4   08/24/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
:251 :49 1:133 1:26   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSIC MARK 2 5 1 1 1 11(rice linda)ORTIZ L 125 2.00 24% 3.20 1.80 W
BIG BOBBY 6 2 4 4 43 33 2(mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 4.50 23% 3.30 2.95 P
COMPLETE AGENDA 5 3 33 33 32 43(morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 125 1.80 2.50  
ANTHRACITE 3 1 2 2 2 24(orseno f)CAMACHO SAMY 125 5.00 18% 4.70 4.10  
UNION LIGHTS 1 6 68 6 55 5511¾ (ryerson jame)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 12.00 12.30  
BERT BERT BERT 4 4 57 5 69 611½ 618 (barrera s)CASTILLO AMIN 125 15.00 29.75  
SCR  EMPIRE RIDE               (englehart jef)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 10.00    
SCR  TRUEBELIEVE               (barrera oscar )TORRES A 118 15.00    
 
SAR-5   08/24/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 F PT- 3:26
:234 :472 1:123     1:261   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY ARWEN 3 4 2 21   11(englehart jerem)ORTIZ JR 119 1.00 53% 0.90 0.65 W
AWESOME CZECH 4 3 3 33   22(de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 23% 3.30 4.70 P
SUN AND WIND 5 1 1 11   37 311½ (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 2.70  
HOLDER CLOSE 1 6 611 614½   417 415½ (ferraro james )CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 15.10  
BUONA SALUTE 2 5 44 5   525 541¾ (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 114 8.00 16.80  
MASTERY'S SECRET 6 2 5 46   625½ 646 (barrera s)CASTILLO AMIN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 27.00  
SCR  HILLBILLY LADY               (lecesse michael)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00    
 
SAR-6   08/24/2023 3630ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
:212 :434 :552     1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOSUA SUMMER 4 9 65 63   21 1¼ (mott william)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 6.00 3.35  
FAUCI 10 11 10 85   52¼ (antonacci philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 5% 19.00 4.30 P
FLUID SITUATION 2 6 86 74   73(terranova john)CASTELLANO J 124 10.00 7% 13.80 10.30 S
MAMBA ON THREE 1 3 32 3   44(david a)CAMACHO SAMY 122 12.00 11% 7.70 31.50  
ARTEMUS CITYLIMITS 5 4 21 21   31 5(maker j)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 31% 2.20 2.35  
NOLO CONTESTO 3 10 1210¼ 10   964 (jacobson david)GEROUX FLORENT 124 15.00 18.30  
SENBEI 6 5 54 53   67(clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.50 24% 3.10 3.70  
INTO THE SUNRISE 9 2 11 11   11 8(morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 126 10.00 18.60  
10  SOUPER SUCCESS 11 1 4 42   89(abreu fernando)TORRES A 117 30.00 69.00  
2B  OXYMORE 7 7 7 97   101010½ (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 2.00 2.35  
NOBLE EMOTION 8 8 9 11   111110½ (de hor)SANTANA JR 122 20.00 27.00  
1A  CHUCK WILLIS (IRE) 12 12 11 12   121211½ (jacobson david)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00 18.30  
SCR  EMERALD FOREST               (kantarmaci mertkan)RIDER TBA 122 8.00    
SCR  HIGH OAK               (mott i)DAVIS KATIE 122 4.50    
SCR  JAKE ROCKS               (schettino dominick )SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00    
SCR  SEVEN NATION ARMY               (rodriguez gustav)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50    
 
SAR-7   08/24/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
:244 :492 1:142 1:263   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET MYSTERY 5 5 21 3 1 13 1¾ (quick patrick)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 2.00 14% 5.90 1.50 W
BUSTIN BAY 1 1 31 2 2 23 2¾ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 126 1.00 58% 0.70 0.75 P
MIA BEA STAR 3 2 4 5 53 438 (persaud randi)TORRES A 119 6.00 6.30  
B B'S BUSTED 2 4 5 4 32 37 4(englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 126 6.00 12.60  
VALLARAND 4 3 11 1 43 5512¾ (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 20.00 37.50  
SCR  SWEETIE               (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00    
 
SAR-8   08/24/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:10
:224 :462 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TO A T 2 7 76 5   21 1(noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 118 1.80 9% 10.60 2.50 W
TIMED OUT 1 8 4 43   32(ferraro james )CASTELLANO J 123 4.00 56% 0.80 4.10 P
MIDTOWN ROSE 3 1 3 3   11 3(moore m)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 8.10  
MERAVIGLIOSO 7 2 55 66   64 4(ryerson james )TORRES A 113 6.00 5.30  
VITAEMI 8 3 1½ 1nk   52 510¼ (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 10% 8.70 2.20  
TRIPLE P 6 6 66 79   77 611¼ (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 111 20.00 64.50  
JACKIE THE JOKER 4 5 2½ 2nk   42 711¼ (quick j)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 10.10  
HAPPY SOPHIA 5 4 8 814   814 828¾ (chicha)HUAYAS (JASON) 120 12.00 5% 19.00 31.25  
 
SAR-9   08/24/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Mohegan Sun Ballston Spa Purse ($300K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:44
:233 :483 1:134 1:371   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVVIE JETS 3 1 4 4 54 1nk 1nk (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 120 15.00 29.25  
FLUFFY SOCKS 4 4 712 711½ 7 42nk (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50 16% 5.20 6.30 P
JUMBLY (GB) 1 2 510 510 44 52 3½ (o'brien joseph )VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00 5.60  
GAM'S MISSION 8 8 3 38 33 3½ 4¾ (devaux cheri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00 16.40  
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (IRE) 7 6 21 23 1½ 2nk 51 (brown c)ORTIZ L 122 1.80 44% 1.30 1.25  
CONSUMER SPENDING 2 3 814 813 8 661 (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.00 12% 7.50 2.95  
SURPRISINGLY 5 7 611 611 6 74 7(mcgaughey clau)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00 7% 14.10 8.50  
SISTER BRIDGET (IRE) 6 5 11 13 2½ 88 8(johnson cleveland)DAVIS KATIE 118 50.00 55.50  
SCR  INTO HAPPINESS               (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 118 1.60    
SCR  SPEAK OF THE DEVIL (FR)               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00    
 
SAR-10   08/24/2023 6270ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
:23 :474 1:124 1:371   1:55   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOOFAREASTISWEST 9 1 5 5 42 11(trombetta micha)VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.50 42% 1.40 2.95 W
WAR OFFICER 5 9 911¼ 912 9 55 2(pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 3.95  
SACRED RHYME 2 2 3½ 3 6 234 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 8% 11.60 3.80 S
JAMESTOWN 4 8 8 8 8 44 4(tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00 12.10  
GAME KEEPER 7 7 6 66 5 65 5(lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 118 15.00 24.25  
WEYHILL ROAD 1 4 1½ 1½ 1½ 32 69 (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 25% 3.10 5.50  
ATLANTIC DANCER 6 6 7 76 7 8710¾ (zito nicho)SANTANA JR 124 12.00 22.00  
DR KRINGLE 8 5 2½ 2½ 2½ 7811¾ (wilkes r)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00 4.30  
TIMO 3 3 4 44 32 9914¼ (reynolds patric)FRANCO MANUEL 124 15.00 5% 19.00 28.00  
SCR  LUCENCY               (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 118 2.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.