Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Saratoga
Thursday - August 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SAR-1   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $10.60 $4.60 77%
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-4 $29.50 $23.50 392%
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00  6-4-2 $35.62 $32.62 1087%
SAR-2   WIN (7/4/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $17.60 $9.60 120%
    EXA (7/4/5/9)-(7/4/5/1/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00  4-7 $27.75 $11.75 73%
    TRI (7/4/5/9)-(7/4/5/1/9)-(7/4/5/1/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00  4-7-5 $44.37 $20.37 85%
    DD (2/4/6)-(7/4/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-4 $34.00 $22.00 183%
SAR-4   EXA (3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-7 $9.80 $3.80 63%
SAR-7   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  6 $5.00 $1.00 25%
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00  6-1 $4.20 $2.20 110%
SAR-8   DD (1/6)-(1/8/2/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00  6-2 $14.40 $6.40 80%
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   08/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:244 :491 1:144 1:274   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ALTERINA 6 2 2½ 21 41½ 21½ 11½ (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 118 4.50 9% 9.60 4.30 W
4  STRANGE FRUIT 4 1 1½ 11 1½ 11½ 21½ (reynolds patri)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 15% 5.70 6.40 P
2  SHOTGUN PATSY 2 4 32 32 2½ 32 36 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 2.50 44% 1.30 1.20 S
5  CAUSE I'M ELEGANT 5 3 54 43 56 55½ 46¼ (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00 4.60  
3  POWER AND GLORY 3 5 44 53 31½ 45½ 510½ (thompson glenn )CARMOUCHE K 124 3.50 8.70  
7  GO SUSAN GO 7 6 65½ 65 611 613½ 621½ (iorio jr)HARKIE K 118 8.00 8.10  
1  BELLA SONADORA 1 7 712 712 726 728½ 759¾ (figueroa carlos)LUZZI J 118 20.00 31.50  
 
SAR-2   08/24/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 ALL PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:214 :443 :563     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DETECTIVE TOM 3 1 1½ 1½   2nk 1nk (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 29% 2.50 7.80 W
  (by THE FACTOR out of ROMAN CERES by ROMAN RULER)
7  INSTAMATIC 6 6 2½ 2½   1nk 2nk (gargan danny)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.50 30% 2.40 1.45 P
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SEATTLE'S BEST by SEATTLE DANCER)
5  PRICE IS TRUTH 4 2 32 32½   32 3¾ (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 19% 4.10 4.50 S
  (by UNION RAGS out of LOVE TRAIN by FULL PARTNER)
6  ROB THE BANK 5 9 64 66   66¼ 41¼ (brown bruce )TORRES A 114 20.00 24.00  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of NATURAL MIST by EMCEE)
10  PATRONAGE 10 10 108¾ 910¼   87¾ 52½ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 6.50  
  (by KANTHAROS out of BELLA CARA by TRICKY CREEK)
9  SEBASTIANTHE FIRST 9 4 74½ 87¼   76¾ 62¾ (delgado h)LUZZI J 119 15.00 5% 19.00 25.50  
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of HOT SPARK by SCAT DADDY)
2  SCORE THE ROCK 1 8 86½ 77   97¾ 73¼ (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 13.20  
  (by KANTHAROS out of HEAVENLY SCORE by EVEN THE SCORE)
3  MITHRIDATES 2 3 54 54½   55¾ 83¾ (chichakl)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00 30.75  
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of GOIAS by HARD SPUN)
8  KING FREUD 7 7 98½ 1013¾   1011¼ 95 (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 12.00 21.10  
  (by FREUD out of FOLLOW MY LUCK by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
1  CLAVINET 8 5 42½ 44½   45½ 105½ (clement ch)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 ★ 6.20  
  (by DISCO PARTNER out of SKY GAZER by SKY MESA)
SCR  HARD PAR               (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 119 4.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of MAID ON A MISSION by STRATEGIC MISSION)
SCR  SORORITY PRANK               (hennig mark)RIDER TBA 119 10.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of FORGET IT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  SPLIT STRIKE               (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SPLIT TIME by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
SCR  WINE RESPONSIBLY               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of HELD ACCOUNTABLE by EXCHANGE RATE)
 
SAR-3   08/24/2023 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($162.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:232 :484 1:131 1:364   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND SONATA 1 2 31½ 31½ 31½ 2nk 1¼ (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00 11.30  
3  EASTER (FR) 3 6 64½ 63½ 64 4¾ 2¼ (motion graha)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 2.00 11% 8.40 1.70 P
6  KURAMATA (IRE) 6 4 2½ 21 21 1nk 32 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 1.20 65% 0.50 0.95 S
5  UNANIMOUS CONSENT (GB) 5 5 42½ 42½ 42½ 51¼ 43 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 5.00 5% 19.00 13.40  
4  MAIN EVENT 4 1 1½ 11 11 3.2 53½ (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00 6.00  
2  SAFE CONDUCT 2 3 54 53 53½ 62¾ 63¾ (serpe ph)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 10.00 28.50  
SCR  BOLD ENDEAVOR               (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 124 0.50    
 
SAR-4   08/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:251 :49 1:133 1:26   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CLASSIC MARK 2 5 11½ 12½ 11½ 12½ 12¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 125 2.00 24% 3.20 1.80 W
7  BIG BOBBY 6 2 43½ 44½ 43 33 22¼ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 4.50 23% 3.30 2.95 P
6  COMPLETE AGENDA 5 3 33 33 32 43½ 32½ (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 125 1.80 2.50  
4  ANTHRACITE 3 1 21½ 22½ 21½ 22½ 42¾ (orseno joseph )CAMACHO SAMY 125 5.00 18% 4.70 4.10  
2  UNION LIGHTS 1 6 68 66½ 55 56½ 511¾ (ryerson ja)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 12.00 12.30  
1  BERT BERT BERT 4 4 57 56½ 69 611½ 618 (barrera oscar)CASTILLO AMIN 125 15.00 29.75  
SCR  EMPIRE RIDE               (englehart j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 10.00    
SCR  TRUEBELIEVE               (barrera osca)TORRES A 118 15.00    
 
SAR-5   08/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 F PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:123     1:261   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LADY ARWEN 3 4 21½ 21   15½ 12½ (englehart jer)ORTIZ JR 119 1.00 53% 0.90 0.65 W
  (by AUDIBLE out of PURSUING JUSTICE by TO HONOR AND SERVE)
4  AWESOME CZECH 4 3 32½ 33   25½ 22½ (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 23% 3.30 4.70 P
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of MARVELOUS MARTINA by AWESOME AGAIN)
6  SUN AND WIND 5 1 11½ 11   37 311½ (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 2.70  
  (by FREUD out of SOLAR VORTEX by ORB)
1  HOLDER CLOSE 1 6 611 614½   417 415½ (ferraro jame)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 15.10  
  (by SOLOMINI out of ADRIATIC DREAM by WILD DESERT (IRE))
2  BUONA SALUTE 2 5 44 56½   525 541¾ (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 114 8.00 16.80  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of THOUGHTLESS by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
7  MASTERY'S SECRET 6 2 54½ 46   625½ 646 (barrera oscar)CASTILLO AMIN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 27.00  
  (by MASTERY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  HILLBILLY LADY               (lecesse michael)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00    
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of LAVENDER HILL by LANGFUHR)
 
SAR-6   08/24/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:212 :434 :552     1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SOSUA SUMMER 4 9 65 63   21 1¼ (mott willi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 6.00 3.35  
9  FAUCI 10 11 107½ 85   52¼ 2¼ (antonacci phil)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 5% 19.00 4.30 P
4  FLUID SITUATION 2 6 86 74   72¾ 32¼ (terranova jo)CASTELLANO J 124 10.00 7% 13.80 10.30 S
3  MAMBA ON THREE 1 3 32 31½   41¼ 43½ (david a)CAMACHO SAMY 122 12.00 11% 7.70 31.50  
2  ARTEMUS CITYLIMITS 5 4 21 21   31 53½ (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 31% 2.20 2.35  
1  NOLO CONTESTO 3 10 1210¼ 107¼   95¾ 64 (jacobson dav)GEROUX FLORENT 124 15.00 18.30  
6  SENBEI 6 5 54 53   62¼ 74¾ (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.50 24% 3.10 3.70  
8  INTO THE SUNRISE 9 2 11 11   11 85¼ (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 126 10.00 18.60  
10  SOUPER SUCCESS 11 1 42½ 42   83¼ 95½ (abreu fernan)TORRES A 117 30.00 69.00  
2B  OXYMORE 7 7 75½ 97   106¼ 1010½ (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 2.00 2.35  
7  NOBLE EMOTION 8 8 97½ 118¼   118¼ 1110½ (de h)SANTANA JR 122 20.00 27.00  
1A  CHUCK WILLIS (IRE) 12 12 117¾ 129¼   128¾ 1211½ (jacobson david)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00 18.30  
SCR  EMERALD FOREST               (kantarmaci mertka)RIDER TBA 122 8.00    
SCR  HIGH OAK               (mott i)DAVIS KATIE 122 4.50    
SCR  JAKE ROCKS               (schettino dominic)SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00    
SCR  SEVEN NATION ARMY               (rodriguez gust)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50    
 
SAR-7   08/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:244 :492 1:142 1:263   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SWEET MYSTERY 5 5 21 31½ 11½ 13 1¾ (quick patri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 2.00 14% 5.90 1.50 W
1  BUSTIN BAY 1 1 31 21½ 21½ 23 2¾ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 126 1.00 58% 0.70 0.75 P
4  MIA BEA STAR 3 2 42½ 52¾ 53 48½ 38 (persaud rand)TORRES A 119 6.00 6.30  
3  B B'S BUSTED 2 4 54½ 42½ 32 37 48½ (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 126 6.00 12.60  
5  VALLARAND 4 3 11 11½ 43 59½ 512¾ (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 20.00 37.50  
SCR  SWEETIE               (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00    
 
SAR-8   08/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:224 :462 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TO A T 2 7 76 55½   21 11¾ (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 118 1.80 9% 10.60 2.50 W
1  TIMED OUT 1 8 44½ 43   31½ 21¾ (ferraro jame)CASTELLANO J 123 4.00 56% 0.80 4.10 P
3  MIDTOWN ROSE 3 1 33½ 32½   11 32¾ (moore m)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 8.10  
7  MERAVIGLIOSO 7 2 55 66   64 49½ (ryerson jame)TORRES A 113 6.00 5.30  
8  VITAEMI 8 3 1½ 1nk   52 510¼ (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 10% 8.70 2.20  
6  TRIPLE P 6 6 66 79   77 611¼ (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 111 20.00 64.50  
4  JACKIE THE JOKER 4 5 2½ 2nk   42 711¼ (quick j)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 10.10  
5  HAPPY SOPHIA 5 4 86½ 814   814 828¾ (chic)HUAYAS (JASON) 120 12.00 5% 19.00 31.25  
 
SAR-9   08/24/2023 5610ft TURF RC13 FIRM Mohegan Sun Ballston Spa Purse ($300K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:44
See original race card.
:233 :483 1:134 1:371   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  EVVIE JETS 3 1 48½ 49½ 54 1nk 1nk (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 120 15.00 29.25  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  FLUFFY SOCKS 4 4 712 711½ 74¾ 41½ 2nk (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50 16% 5.20 6.30 P
  (by UNKNOWN out of BREAKFAST TIME by KITTEN'S JOY)
1  JUMBLY (GB) 1 2 510 510 44 52 3½ (o'brien josep)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00 5.60  
  (by UNKNOWN out of THISTLE BIRD by SELKIRK)
9  GAM'S MISSION 8 8 36½ 38 33 3½ 4¾ (devaux che)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00 16.40  
  (by NOBLE MISSION (GB) out of AUNTIE MARTHA by WAR PASS)
8  TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (IRE) 7 6 21 23 1½ 2nk 51 (brown c)ORTIZ L 122 1.80 44% 1.30 1.25  
  (by UNKNOWN out of SEALIFE by SEA THE STARS (IRE))
2  CONSUMER SPENDING 2 3 814 813 85¾ 62½ 61 (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.00 12% 7.50 2.95  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SIEMPRE MIA by SCAT DADDY)
5  SURPRISINGLY 5 7 611 611 64½ 74 71½ (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00 7% 14.10 8.50  
  (by MASTERY out of VAGABOND by ARCH)
7  SISTER BRIDGET (IRE) 6 5 11 13 2½ 88 88½ (johnson clevela)DAVIS KATIE 118 50.00 55.50  
  (by GALILEO GOLD out of SISTER ANNE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  INTO HAPPINESS               (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 118 1.60    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ACTING HAPPY by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  SPEAK OF THE DEVIL (FR)               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00    
  (by LONG RIVER out of JO BEE by AMERICAN LION)
 
SAR-10   08/24/2023 6270ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
See original race card.
:23 :474 1:124 1:371   1:55   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  TOOFAREASTISWEST 9 1 53¾ 54½ 42 11½ 13½ (trombetta mic)VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.50 42% 1.40 2.95 W
  (by STREET SENSE out of EMPRESS MAKER by EMPIRE MAKER)
5  WAR OFFICER 5 9 911¼ 912 98¼ 55 23½ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 3.95  
  (by WAR FRONT out of CLAIRE DE LUNE by GALILEO)
2  SACRED RHYME 2 2 3½ 32½ 63¾ 21½ 34 (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 8% 11.60 3.80 S
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of FLIRT by HALOS AND HORNS)
4  JAMESTOWN 4 8 89¾ 88½ 86¾ 44 44¼ (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00 12.10  
  (by LOPE DE VEGA out of OKEEHEELEE by DANSILI (GB))
7  GAME KEEPER 7 7 66¼ 66 53½ 65 56¾ (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 118 15.00 24.25  
  (by HONOR CODE out of CABLEKNIT by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
1  WEYHILL ROAD 1 4 1½ 1½ 1½ 32 69 (mcgaughey clau)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 25% 3.10 5.50  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of CATCH THE MOON by MALIBU MOON)
6  ATLANTIC DANCER 6 6 76¾ 76 74¾ 86½ 710¾ (zito nic)SANTANA JR 124 12.00 22.00  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SLOW SAND by DIXIELAND BAND)
8  DR KRINGLE 8 5 2½ 2½ 2½ 75½ 811¾ (wilkes r)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00 4.30  
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of HUG DOC by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  TIMO 3 3 43½ 44 32 96¾ 914¼ (reynolds patr)FRANCO MANUEL 124 15.00 5% 19.00 28.00  
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of PONYTAIL by LONHRO (AUS))
SCR  LUCENCY               (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 118 2.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of CROWNING AFFAIR by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.