Handicappers' Racing Form

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Saratoga
Thursday - August 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-2   Win (7/4/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-3   Win (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-4   Win (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-5   Win (3/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-6   Win (2/6/3/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-7   Win (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
SAR-8   Win (1/8/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-9   Win (8/4/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-10   Win (9/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
SAR-1   08/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLA SONADORA Jul16 Mar18       (figueroa carlos)LUZZI J 118 20.00    
SHOTGUN PATSY Jul15 Jul02       (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 2.50 44% 1.30    
POWER AND GLORY Jul13 Jun23 Jun01 May04 Oct13 (thompson r)CARMOUCHE K 124 3.50    
STRANGE FRUIT Aug10 Jul16 Jun01 May06 Apr23 (reynolds patrick)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 15% 5.70    
CAUSE I'M ELEGANT Aug10 Jul16 Jun15 Feb12 Jan28 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00    
ALTERINA Jun15         (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 118 4.50 9% 9.60    
GO SUSAN GO May16         (iorio jr)HARKIE K 118 8.00    
 
SAR-2   08/24/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 ALL PT- 1:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLAVINET         (clement chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00    
SCR  HARD PAR Jul27         (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 119 4.00    
SCORE THE ROCK         (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
MITHRIDATES Jul28 Jul15       (chichakly )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00    
DETECTIVE TOM         (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 119 3.00 29% 2.50    
PRICE IS TRUTH Jul27         (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 19% 4.10    
ROB THE BANK         (brown r)TORRES A 114 20.00    
INSTAMATIC Jul27         (gargan danny)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.50 30% 2.40    
KING FREUD         (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 12.00    
SEBASTIANTHE FIRST         (delgado h)LUZZI J 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  PATRONAGE         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50    
SCR  WINE RESPONSIBLY         (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
SCR  SPLIT STRIKE Jul28 Jun23       (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50    
SCR  SORORITY PRANK         (hennig mark)RIDER TBA 119 10.00    
 
SAR-3   08/24/2023 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($162.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAND SONATA Jul30 Dec26 Nov19 Oct22 Sep05 (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00    
SAFE CONDUCT Aug13 Jul04 Apr02 Mar04 Oct09 (serpe m)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00    
EASTER (FR) Jul30 Jun22 May20 Apr07 Jun30 (motion graham)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 2.00 11% 8.40    
MAIN EVENT Jul30 Aug06 Jul02 May07 Apr02 (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00    
UNANIMOUS CONSENT (GB) Jul30 Oct22 Sep06 Jun04 Apr23 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
KURAMATA (IRE) Jul30 Aug14 Jul01 Apr14 Jan15 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 1.20 65% 0.50    
SCR  BOLD ENDEAVOR Aug03 Mar31 Mar03 Jan15 Dec31 (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 124 0.50    
 
SAR-4   08/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BERT BERT BERT Aug03 Jul03 Jun01 May11 Apr07 (barrera s)CASTILLO AMIN 125 15.00    
SCR  TRUEBELIEVE Jun02 Oct13 Aug18 Jul17 Jun30 (barrera oscar )TORRES A 118 15.00    
UNION LIGHTS Aug03 Jul03 Jun04 May06 Apr08 (ryerson jame)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 12.00    
CLASSIC MARK Jul04 May20 Apr13 Mar11 Jul01 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 125 2.00 24% 3.20    
ANTHRACITE Jul21 Jun23 May27 Apr29 Mar19 (orseno f)CAMACHO SAMY 125 5.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  EMPIRE RIDE Jul21 Jun24 May21 Mar11 Feb09 (englehart jef)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 10.00    
COMPLETE AGENDA Jul16 May21 Apr23 Mar31 Feb17 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 125 1.80    
BIG BOBBY Jul07 Oct30 Sep24 Aug26 Jul30 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 4.50 23% 3.30    
 
SAR-5   08/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 F PT- 3:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLDER CLOSE         (ferraro james )CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
BUONA SALUTE         (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 114 8.00    
LADY ARWEN Jul27         (englehart jeremiah )SAEZ LUIS 119 1.00 53% 0.90    
AWESOME CZECH Jul14         (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  HILLBILLY LADY         (lecesse michael)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00    
SUN AND WIND Jul19 Jun23       (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
MASTERY'S SECRET         (barrera s)CASTILLO AMIN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-6   08/24/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOLO CONTESTO Jul22 Jun21 Jun11 May21 May12 (jacobson david)GEROUX FLORENT 124 15.00    
1A  CHUCK WILLIS (IRE) Aug02 Jun04 Mar10 Dec24 Jul02 (jacobson david)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00    
ARTEMUS CITYLIMITS Jun21 May20 Apr08 Nov05 Oct08 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 31% 2.20    
2B  OXYMORE Nov04 Sep17 Aug19 Jul01   (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 2.00    
MAMBA ON THREE Aug12 Jul07 May28 Apr08 Mar04 (david a)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00 11% 7.70    
FLUID SITUATION Jul28 May04 Feb18 Jan20 Dec17 (terranova john)CASTELLANO J 124 10.00 7% 13.80    
SOSUA SUMMER Jul27 Jun09 Apr20 Feb25 Jan22 (mott william)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 6.00    
SENBEI Jul07 May29 Nov12 Sep30 Aug06 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.50 24% 3.10    
NOBLE EMOTION Jul01 May20 Apr08 Oct27 Oct08 (de hor)SANTANA JR 122 20.00    
INTO THE SUNRISE Jul28 Jun15 Apr13 Jan28 Jan01 (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 126 10.00    
FAUCI Jul28 Oct27 Sep02 Jul29 Jul04 (antonacci philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  SOUPER SUCCESS Jul28 Jun15 Jun01 Apr29 Mar12 (abreu fernando)TORRES A 117 30.00    
SCR  HIGH OAK Jul29 Jun09 May06 Mar30 Mar04 (mott i)DAVIS KATIE 122 4.50    
SCR  EMERALD FOREST Jul14 Jun15 Apr01 Feb04 Jan12 (kantarmaci mertkan)RIDER TBA 122 8.00    
SCR  JAKE ROCKS Jul26 Apr27 Apr01 Mar04 Feb05 (schettino dominick )SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00    
SCR  SEVEN NATION ARMY Aug18 Jul22 Jun15 Apr23 Mar09 (rodriguez gustav)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50    
 
SAR-7   08/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUSTIN BAY Jul13 Jun01 May04 Apr02 Mar03 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 126 1.00 58% 0.70    
SCR  SWEETIE Jul03 Jun15 May11 Apr06   (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00    
B B'S BUSTED Jul26 Jun21 Jun12 May04 Feb07 (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 126 6.00    
MIA BEA STAR Jul13 Jul02 Jun01 May04 Apr21 (persaud randi)TORRES A 119 6.00    
VALLARAND Jul02 Jun22 Jun02 May18 Apr13 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 20.00    
SWEET MYSTERY Jul26 Jul02 May04 Apr21 Dec29 (quick patrick)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 2.00 14% 5.90    
 
SAR-8   08/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIMED OUT Jul12 Jun14 May31 May22 Apr25 (ferraro james )CASTELLANO J 123 4.00 56% 0.80    
TO A T Jul22 Jun23 Apr30 Apr22 Mar22 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 118 1.80 9% 10.60    
MIDTOWN ROSE Jun23 May31 May02 Apr18 Mar02 (moore m)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
JACKIE THE JOKER Jul23 May26 May12 Apr12 Mar28 (quick j)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00    
HAPPY SOPHIA Aug03 Jul07 Jun02 Mar19 Feb05 (chicha)HUAYAS (JASON) 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
TRIPLE P Jul28 Jul09 Jun18 Jun02 May07 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 111 20.00    
MERAVIGLIOSO Jul27 Jun16 May20 Apr23 Apr07 (ryerson james )TORRES A 113 6.00    
VITAEMI Jul27 May16 May02 Mar20 Feb22 (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 10% 8.70    
 
SAR-9   08/24/2023 5610ft TURF RC13 FIRM Mohegan Sun Ballston Spa Purse ($300K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUMBLY (GB)         (o'brien joseph )VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00    
CONSUMER SPENDING Jul22 Jun17 May07 Aug20 Jul09 (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.00 12% 7.50    
EVVIE JETS Aug02 Jul02 May07 Apr16 Nov20 (kantarmaci mertkan)SAEZ LUIS 120 15.00    
FLUFFY SOCKS Jul15 May06 Oct08 Aug27 Jul23 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50 16% 5.20    
SURPRISINGLY Jul22 Jun17 May07 Mar11 Feb04 (mcgaughey clau)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00 7% 14.10    
SCR  SPEAK OF THE DEVIL (FR) Jul06 Jun21 Jun09 May25 May06 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00    
SISTER BRIDGET (IRE) Jul26 Jul04 May26 May07 Apr16 (johnson cleveland)DAVIS KATIE 118 50.00    
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (IRE) Aug02 Jul02 Oct08 Aug27 Jul16 (brown c)ORTIZ L 122 1.80 44% 1.30    
GAM'S MISSION Jul22 Apr16 Mar11 Jun05 Apr23 (devaux cheri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00    
SCR  INTO HAPPINESS Aug09 Jul13 Jun23 Apr21 Apr08 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 118 1.60    
 
SAR-10   08/24/2023 6270ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEYHILL ROAD Jul01 May20 Mar11 Jan14 Oct21 (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 25% 3.10    
SACRED RHYME Jul28 May14       (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 8% 11.60    
TIMO Jul28 Jan04 Nov30 Oct22 Sep06 (reynolds patric)FRANCO MANUEL 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
JAMESTOWN May06 Mar19 Feb04 Jan07 Dec17 (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00    
WAR OFFICER Jul30         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00    
ATLANTIC DANCER Jul30 Jun22 May02 Mar23 Mar02 (zito nicho)SANTANA JR 124 12.00    
GAME KEEPER Aug11 Jul21 Jun02 May02 Mar11 (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 118 15.00    
DR KRINGLE Jul16 Jun25 Jun02 Apr27 Mar17 (wilkes r)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00    
TOOFAREASTISWEST Jul28 Jun16 May20 Apr15   (trombetta j)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  LUCENCY Jul21         (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 118 2.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.