Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - September 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PID-3   TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  3-2-1 $32.60 $20.60 172%
PID-6   WIN (8/7/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00  9 $8.20 $2.20 37%
PID-7   DD (8/7/9)-(9/5/4/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00  9-9 $31.00 $7.00 29%

Simulator Race results

 
PID-1   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:232 :471 :584     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DARK DAHLIA 4 1 32 31   1nk 1 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 124 2.00 0.50  
  (by VIOLENCE out of THE TEA CUPS by HARD SPUN)
QUIERO DINERO 3 4 43 42   41 2 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 2.50 49% 1.10 3.00 P
  (by UNION RAGS out of GEISHA GAL by AGNES TACHYON (JPN))
OUTTA THE CLOUD 1 2 2½ 1nk   2nk 3 (markgraf davi)ROJAS MARTINA 115 8.00 11.30  
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of SURPRISE CAMEO by GIANT SURPRISE)
EVERY TIME 2 3 1½ 2nk   3½ 4 (brion keri)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 17% 5.00 3.30  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CORAL WAY by SMOKE GLACKEN)
SCR  FLASHY FIG (IRE)               (hendriks ric)ALENCAR WALBER 120 8.00    
  (by NEW BAY out of FARADAYS LAW by LAWMAN (FR))
SCR  LEMON CURRY               (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 5.00    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of STEP ASIDE BOYS by QUIET AMERICAN)
 
PID-2   09/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:252 :50 1:151 1:402   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCOOP THERE IT IS 2 1 1 1 1½ 1nk 1¾ (markgra)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 5.00 29.50  
DOMINANT STRANGER 1 2 2 3 2½ 2nk 2¾ (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 122 4.00 21% 3.70 1.60 P
MIDNIGHT PIRATE 4 4 32 2 52 31 33 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 122 8.00 9.20  
LADY YELLEN 3 3 53 5 6 4 4 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 3.00 25% 3.00 1.80  
PRETTY FLATTERING 6 6 6 64 42 6 510½ (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 4.50 6.30  
JULIETTE FALLS 5 5 42 4 31 54 611½ (stokes lance)MARTINEZ W 124 6.00 16% 5.40 3.90  
SCR  STELLARATOR               (bernardini jay )LEON A 122 3.50    
 
PID-3   09/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:142 1:391   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED PIXIE 3 5 3 3 42 21 1 (brooks g)GALLARDO A 122 1.80 23% 3.40 0.80 W
LUNAR ICE 2 4 58 5 6 32 2 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 35% 1.90 3.40 P
STARSHIP MACYS 1 3 23 2 21 11 3 (markgraf davi)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 6.00 7% 13.90 5.60 S
MERINO WOOL 6 2 4 4 32 4 4 (rojas e)SPIETH S 122 3.50 4.00  
MANDY GREEN 4 6 69 6 53 6 511½ (bernardini jay )LEON A 122 5.00 15.00  
BEAUTIFUL STAR 5 1 13 1 11 53 612 (brooks gerald)ROJAS MARTINA 117 8.00 26.70  
 
PID-4   09/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:253 :502 1:144 1:39   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALEMAN 4 3 21 21 2½ 2nk 1¾ (rice adam)ORTIZ L 119 2.00 59% 0.70 0.90 W
  (by CARPE DIEM out of CUP OF JAVA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
DISASTER RECOVERY 6 2 11 11 1½ 1nk 2¾ (rice kevin)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 8.00 33.40  
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of PRINCESS NILE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
BEE WELL 1 1 32 42 32 3 3 (sisterson jac)MORALES PABLO 119 2.50 1.10  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of BERNARDETTE by A.P. INDY)
BUNDABURG 3 5 64 6 6 4 4 (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 119 5.00 5% 19.00 18.50  
  (by KLIMT out of SHE'S GONNA FLOAT by HORSE CHESTNUT (SAF))
INBOUND 2 4 42 5 53 5 5 (hendriks rich)ROJAS MARTINA 119 4.00 12% 7.20 8.70  
  (by UNION RAGS out of IRELAND by AFLEET ALEX)
RUGBY ROAD 5 6 53 32 43 6 618½ (brion ke)GALLARDO A 119 6.00 16.80  
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of BRILLIANT MATCH by PARTNER'S HERO)
 
PID-5   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:221 :452 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHASING AFTER YOU 2 6 4 42   3 1¾ (brion keri)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 3.50  
VALIANT VICTORIA 3 1 11 11   1 2¾ (fennessy john)WALES GARY 120 4.00 8% 11.30 5.70 P
LIGHTNING FIRE 1 5 21 31   2 3 (martin wil)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 6.00 11.30  
SHANNON 4 3 31 21   43 47 (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 1.60 68% 0.50 0.70  
DEVRA WARRIOR 6 2 6 5   55 57 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 4.50 7.40  
FOR CRYIN OUT LOUD 5 4 5 65   6 613¼ (girten t)GALLARDO A 118 8.00 5% 19.00 18.70  
 
PID-6   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:221 :45 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN UNION 7 3 5 53   2 1¾ (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 122 3.50 17% 4.90 3.10 W
HENRY'S WORLD 4 1 1nk 1nk   1 2¾ (bowersock mar)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 2.50 2.60  
CHAMPION BY DESIGN 3 7 6 6   43 3¾ (brooks gerald)ROJAS MARTINA 117 10.00 4.50  
BALISTICO 6 4 2nk 2nk   3 44 (gomez alejandro)WALES GARY 122 5.00 31% 2.20 3.90  
FEVOLA 2 6 7 7   5 5 (schaber debbie)ALLEN D 122 15.00 32.70  
LORD OF LEGENDS 1 5 4 3   6 68 (buhrow jamie)ALENCAR WALBER 122 6.00 5.30  
MARGARITA SUNRISE 5 2 3 42   7 716¼ (tasso mark)MORALES PABLO 124 5.00 20% 3.90 7.40  
SCR  LONTANI               (valdez moi)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 15.00    
SCR  TONY SMALL               (hoffman mark)WALKER M 122 8.00    
 
PID-7   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
See original race card.
:224 :461 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE JOCK 9 4 21 1nk   1nk 1½ (potts g)ALLEN D 118 3.00 37% 1.70 2.30 W
JOYFUL GHOST 6 2 4 6   5 2½ (barron ror)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 3.50 8.00  
SPAN OF CONTROL 7 3 7 5   4 3½ (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 8.00 9.50  
ROCKIN THE PALACE 3 9 6 7   31 41 (stites w)STANLEY O 122 20.00 36.20  
TWELVETWO 2 5 32 4   2nk 51 (herrington cally)RIQUELME J 118 15.00 30.00  
CAMINO DE SANTIAGO 1 6 5 31   6 62 (hamm tim)GALLARDO A 118 6.00 6.70  
JOSH'S HONOR 4 8 8 8   7 75 (rogers michael)MARTINEZ W 118 4.50 5% 19.00 3.20  
LEGEND OF CHARLIE 5 7 9 95   8 818½ (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 118 3.50 30% 2.40 7.10  
SUPER GREMLIN 8 1 11 2nk   9100 9100 (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 12.00 5% 19.00 5.50  
 
PID-8   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
See original race card.
:221 :454 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. REDOLFO 2 6 43 21   1½ 1hd (weaver cas)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 8.00 6.80  
  (by RED VINE out of PRINCESS GANDOLFO by CASTLE GANDOLFO)
CHANGE THE HOUR 5 4 1 11   2½ 2hd (russell )MARTINEZ A 124 5.00 2.50  
  (by ELUSIVE HOUR out of CHANGE THE RATE by EXCHANGE RATE)
11  ON AN ISLAND 11 3 9 7   4 33 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 120 3.50 38% 1.60 2.60 S
  (by PETIONVILLE out of TAHITIAN PEARL by EL PRADO (IRE))
RECKLESS JONES 3 9 7 5   3 4 (miller d)ALLEN D 120 20.00 61.60  
  (by SMARTY JONES out of QUEEN OFTHE CASTLE by DONERAILE COURT)
JUANSEN 6 2 32 42   5 5 (miller henry )WALKER M 120 4.50 7.30  
  (by UNCLE LINO out of DIAMONDS FOR LEAH by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
MAC'S CAT 9 11 11 11   10 6 (russell randall)WALES GARY 120 12.00 31% 2.20 7.80  
  (by GORMLEY out of SHABBY CHIC by UNION RAGS)
10  GRUIT 10 7 10 9   86 7 (mckinley mar)ALENCAR WALBER 124 15.00 5% 19.00 48.20  
  (by EQUALITY out of MYSTERY DATE by DEHERE)
HUMBLE JOE 8 1 6 10   9 89 (white f)RIQUELME J 120 10.00 5% 19.00 17.00  
  (by AMIRA'S PRINCE out of ROYALLY SWEET by SWEETSOUTHERNSAINT)
WARRIOR'S WAY OUT 1 8 54 6   7 911¾ (girten t)GALLARDO A 120 8.00 10.40  
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of EASY WAY OUT by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
OVERTIME CHARLIE 7 10 8 86   6 1012 (depasquale ki)DELGADO DAVID 120 20.00 75.90  
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of OVERTIME GOAL by CITY PLACE)
DONAHUE 4 5 2 31   11 1118¾ (meyers shane)MORALES PABLO 120 4.00 9.00  
  (by LORD SHANAKILL out of GADWALL by ESKENDEREYA)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.