Handicappers' Racing Form

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Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - September 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PID-1   Win (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PID-2   Win (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PID-3   Win (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PID-4   Win (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PID-5   Win (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PID-6   Win (8/7/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PID-7   Win (9/5/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PID-8   Win (11/9/8/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PID-1   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LEMON CURRY Aug10 Jul31 Jul12     (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 5.00    
OUTTA THE CLOUD Sep02 Aug04 Jun26 Jun05 Nov23 (markgraf david)ROJAS MARTINA 115 8.00    
EVERY TIME Aug25 Aug17 Jul21 Apr22 Apr01 (brion keri)CARRASCO R 120 3.00 17% 5.00    
QUIERO DINERO Aug23         (martin william )VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 2.50 49% 1.10    
SCR  FLASHY FIG (IRE)         (hendriks richa)ALENCAR WALBER 120 8.00    
DARK DAHLIA Aug31 Aug10 Jul10 Jun19 May24 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 124 2.00    
 
PID-2   09/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOMINANT STRANGER Sep05 Aug16 Aug07 Jul17 Jul10 (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 122 4.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  STELLARATOR Sep06 Aug17 Jul04 May21 Mar03 (bernardini p)LEON A 122 3.50    
SCOOP THERE IT IS Aug22 Aug09 Jul19 Jun14 May24 (markgraf )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 5.00    
LADY YELLEN Aug28 Aug10 Aug01 Jul04 May31 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
MIDNIGHT PIRATE Jul17 Jun14 May17 Feb15 Jan07 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 122 8.00    
JULIETTE FALLS Aug30 Jul26 Jul03 Jun13 Oct18 (stokes lance)MARTINEZ W 124 6.00 16% 5.40    
PRETTY FLATTERING Aug28 Aug10 Jul10 Jun26 May29 (bowersock maria)ALLEN D 122 4.50    
 
PID-3   09/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARSHIP MACYS Aug01 Jul11 Jun14 May24 Feb28 (markgraf david)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 6.00 7% 13.90    
LUNAR ICE Aug21 Aug10 Jul26 Jan22 Jan01 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 35% 1.90    
RED PIXIE Aug26 Aug15 Jul17 Jul05 May22 (brooks ger)GALLARDO A 122 1.80 23% 3.40    
MANDY GREEN Aug31 Jul25 Jul05 Apr23 Mar24 (bernardini p)LEON A 122 5.00    
BEAUTIFUL STAR Aug09 Jul17 Jun27 Jun20 Jun07 (brooks e)ROJAS MARTINA 117 8.00    
MERINO WOOL Sep05 Aug21 Aug01 Jul25 Jul05 (rojas e)SPIETH S 122 3.50    
 
PID-4   09/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEE WELL Aug23 Jul28 May17 Apr27 Mar18 (sisterson jack)MORALES PABLO 119 2.50    
INBOUND Sep09 Nov11 Oct22 Sep10 Jul24 (hendriks richar)ROJAS MARTINA 119 4.00 12% 7.20    
BUNDABURG Sep04 Aug21 Aug01     (bourke john)ALENCAR WALBER 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
ALEMAN Sep04         (rice adam)ORTIZ L 119 2.00 59% 0.70    
RUGBY ROAD         (brion keri)CARRASCO R 119 6.00    
DISASTER RECOVERY Aug08 Jul24 Jul12 Jun27   (rice kevin)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 8.00    
 
PID-5   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIGHTNING FIRE Aug29 Aug08 Dec29 Nov30 Oct06 (martin willi)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 6.00    
CHASING AFTER YOU Apr27 Apr14 Mar10 Feb09 Jan11 (brion keri)CARRASCO R 118 3.50    
VALIANT VICTORIA Aug23 Aug10 Jul25 Jul12   (fennessy john)WALES GARY 120 4.00 8% 11.30    
SHANNON Sep04 Jul16 Nov30 Oct19 Sep01 (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 1.60 68% 0.50    
FOR CRYIN OUT LOUD Aug29 Aug04 Jul14 Jun02 Apr14 (girten tim)GALLARDO A 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
DEVRA WARRIOR Jul25 Jul05 Jun13 Apr22 Mar18 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 4.50    
 
PID-6   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LORD OF LEGENDS Aug22 Aug01 Jul04 Jun14 May17 (buhrow d)ALENCAR WALBER 122 6.00    
FEVOLA Sep11 Aug13 Jul31 Jun13 May30 (schaber debbie)ALLEN D 122 15.00    
CHAMPION BY DESIGN Sep05 Aug16 Aug08 Jul24 Jul11 (brooks e)ROJAS MARTINA 117 10.00    
HENRY'S WORLD Sep04 Aug10 Jul26 Jul10 Jun20 (bowersock maria)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 2.50    
SCR  LONTANI Sep04 Jun20 Jun05 May15 Jan05 (valdez moise)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 15.00    
SCR  TONY SMALL Aug28 Jul26 Jul13 Jun13 May24 (hoffman mark)WALKER M 122 8.00    
MARGARITA SUNRISE Sep04 Aug22 Aug08 Jul11 Jun20 (tasso mark)MORALES PABLO 124 5.00 20% 3.90    
BALISTICO Aug26 Jul01 Jun10 Jan20 Nov26 (gomez alejandro)WALES GARY 122 5.00 31% 2.20    
AMERICAN UNION Aug14 Jul12 Jun05 May15 Jan18 (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 122 3.50 17% 4.90    
 
PID-7   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAMINO DE SANTIAGO Jul24 Jul10 Jun14 May30 May15 (hamm timot)GALLARDO A 118 6.00    
TWELVETWO Sep04 Aug08 Jul25 Jul11 Jun21 (herrington a)RIQUELME J 118 15.00    
ROCKIN THE PALACE Aug10 Jul19 Jul10 May30 Apr17 (stites w)STANLEY O 122 20.00    
JOSH'S HONOR Aug15 Aug01 Jul10 Jun07 May15 (rogers michael)MARTINEZ W 118 4.50 5% 19.00    
LEGEND OF CHARLIE Aug28 Aug01 Jul10 May17 Oct25 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 118 3.50 30% 2.40    
JOYFUL GHOST Sep06 Aug22 Dec17 Oct21   (barron rory)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 3.50    
SPAN OF CONTROL Sep05 Aug10 Jul25 Jul18 Jul05 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 8.00    
SUPER GREMLIN Aug28 Aug01 Jul12 May31 Apr29 (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
UNCLE JOCK Sep05 Aug15 Jul24 Jul10 May30 (potts g)ALLEN D 118 3.00 37% 1.70    
 
PID-8   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARRIOR'S WAY OUT Aug29 Jul13 Jun22     (girten tim)GALLARDO A 120 8.00    
MR. REDOLFO Aug29 Mar03 Feb16 Feb01 Jan13 (weaver casso)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 8.00    
RECKLESS JONES Aug29 Feb10 Jan25     (miller d)ALLEN D 120 20.00    
DONAHUE Aug29 Jul03       (meyers shane)MORALES PABLO 120 4.00    
CHANGE THE HOUR Aug22 Aug08 Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 (russell ra)MARTINEZ A 124 5.00    
JUANSEN Sep04         (miller d)WALKER M 120 4.50    
OVERTIME CHARLIE Aug29 Aug07       (depasquale kimb)DELGADO DAVID 120 20.00    
HUMBLE JOE Aug29 Aug07       (white f)RIQUELME J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
MAC'S CAT         (russell randall)WALES GARY 120 12.00 31% 2.20    
10  GRUIT Aug29 Aug07 Jul18     (mckinley mary )ALENCAR WALBER 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
11  ON AN ISLAND Aug22 Jul25 Jul03 Jun21 May15 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 120 3.50 38% 1.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.