Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Hawthorne
Wednesday - August 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HAW-1   WIN (4/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $11.00 $5.00 83%
    EXA (4/7/8)-(4/7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00  7-4 $28.80 $22.80 380%
HAW-5   WIN (1/12) 2 $2.00 $4.00  12 $6.00 $2.00 50%
    EXA (1/12)-(1/12) 2 $1.00 $2.00  12-1 $5.00 $3.00 150%
HAW-6   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  6 $4.60 $0.60 15%
    EXA (7/6)-(7/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00  6-7 $3.20 $1.20 60%
    DD (1/12)-(7/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00  12-6 $7.40 $3.40 85%
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(1/12)-(7/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00  5-12-6 $9.30 $3.30 55%

Simulator Race results

 
HAW-1   08/23/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:12     1:312   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOTTA ROSES 6 4 4 4   42 1nk (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00 21% 3.80 4.50 W
BIA BOLT RUNNER 4 5 710½ 7   5 2nk (gonzalez li)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 6.00 23% 3.40 5.90 P
SEQUAYA 3 3 21 1nk   2nk 3¾ (cook brian)HERNANDEZ K 122 10.00 7.50  
GOTTA B KITTEN ME 2 2 11 2nk   1nk 41 (gonzalez lilia)REYES FRANK 122 15.00 12.40  
INEEDAGIRLLIKEYOU 7 7 68 6   6 5 (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 122 3.00 20% 4.00 2.60  
SANGFROID 1 1 32 31   31 6 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 12.00 15.50  
SUNSET PAYNTER 5 6 5 5   7 7 (knott na)RODRIGUEZ A 113 6.00 2.40  
SCR  CANDY KICK               (mason ingrid)FELIX E 122 2.50    
 
HAW-2   08/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:223 :454 :581     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON TEDDY 6 1 1 1   1 1hd (reyes martin)REYES ANGEL 122 12.00 9.80  
BERNIE LOMAX 5 3 2 2   2 2hd (childers)RODRIGUEZ A 117 1.40 41% 1.40 0.80 P
UNCLE NICK 3 4 5 5   5 34 (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.00 13% 6.70 2.60 S
LIMA ZULU 4 2 3 32   3 4 (hernandez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 6.00 16.70  
OVER CALENDARED 2 5 4 4   46 5 (hernandez javie)REYES FRANK 122 3.50 20% 4.10 5.70  
TEA AFTER BALLET 1 6 611½ 611   6 6 (zawitz joe)WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 12.00 49.90  
 
HAW-3   08/23/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:122     1:302   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APRIL'S GEM 2 1 2½ 2nk   1 12 (rosas rigo)HERNANDEZ K 124 4.50 1.10  
COMMAND POINT 6 6 64 3   2 22 (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 1.40 76% 0.30 1.00 P
ROMANTIC ATTACK 5 4 31 4   3 3 (childers)RODRIGUEZ A 117 3.50 9.80  
ZENCHUA SKY 1 2 43 5   4 4 (castro is)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 30.00 ######  
EMBARRASSING 4 7 77 7   610 511¼ (rodriguez h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 8.00 21.50  
NORTHERN ALLIANCE 7 5 53 6   712 613¼ (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 122 15.00 42.00  
SENSE OF SELF 3 3 1½ 1nk   510 716¾ (ramirez car)ORTEGA O 122 20.00 5% 19.00 51.90  
SCR  BLOODY MARY MORNIN               (reid r)COLON H 122 5.00    
SCR  EMITYAAZ               (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 10.00    
 
HAW-4   08/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
See original race card.
:221 :451 :573     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHACKLEFORD STRONG 5 1 2½ 11   1 1 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 124 1.00 34% 2.00 0.40 W
TRY TRY AGAIN 7 5 6 55   45 2 (zawitz joel)LEZCANO ABEL 122 4.00 4.90  
VIOLENT GIGI 4 3 4 31   2 3 (contreras ciprian)EMIGH A 122 4.50 19% 4.30 10.70 S
ONE PUTT RICHIE 6 4 3 21   3 4 (laux clay)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 5.00 25.00  
PERFECT WAGER 3 7 7 7   6 5 (witthauer john )REYES FRANK 122 12.00 12% 7.40 51.60  
ICE BLAST 2 6 55 66   5 6 (villa francisco)FELIX E 124 8.00 9.20  
PAYSTER 1 2 1½ 42   78 712¼ (castro isidro)REYES ANGEL 122 30.00 61.70  
 
HAW-5   08/23/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
See original race card.
:222 :452 :563     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  DRAGON DREW 4 2 11 1½   11 1 (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 122 12.00 14% 6.20 2.00 W
EXPROMPT (FR) 1 1 21 2½   21 2 (campbell)RODRIGUEZ A 117 5.00 61% 0.60 0.40 P
REMEMBER THE MAINE 3 3 3 34   3 3 (campbell j)WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 15.00 22.10  
STAR OF KODIAK 2 4 4100 4100   4100 4100 (quinonez ma)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 20.00 9.10  
SCR  GRAND HIDEAWAY               (reid r)COLON H 122 4.00    
SCR  IAN GLASS               (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 6.00    
SCR  MEDAL OF FACT               (rodriguez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
SCR  UPBEAT MELODY               (manley steve)GILES EMMANUEL 117 8.00    
SCR  FOLLOW THE SIGNS               (reavis micha)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 10.00    
SCR  WEST WARPATH               (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 122 10.00    
SCR  BAREFOOTBOOTLEGGER               (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 20.00    
SCR  AZRAEL               (bahena fernando)REYES FRANK 122 20.00    
SCR  CLEAR N CONVINCING               (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.50    
 
HAW-6   08/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:214 :442 :564     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
W W HOTSHOT 4 2 11 11   1 1 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 1.80 29% 2.40 1.30 W
LIKE A SALTSHAKER 5 1 21 21   2 2 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 3.50 51% 1.00 1.00 P
BLOW TORCH 2 3 3 49   36 3 (rosin w)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00 6.20  
LYKAN 1 4 4 5   5 46 (young r)FELIX E 122 6.00 17.50  
MALPAIS 3 5 5 37   4 510¼ (villa fr)RODRIGUEZ A 117 15.00 24.90  
SCR  CAN MAN DO               (kirby frank )CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00    
SCR  ENJOY THE MUSIC               (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.50    
SCR  MISTER KELLY               (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 10.00    
 
HAW-7   08/23/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:45
See original race card.
:214 :442 :563     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S WANDAFUL 4 2 21 2½   2nk 1½ (miller patt)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 3.50 2.60  
10  STACK SHACK 8 3 3 34   35 2½ (cook brian)REYES FRANK 122 10.00 6% 16.10 13.20 P
BALI BABY 3 4 4 4   4 3¾ (quinonez max)LEZCANO ABEL 122 30.00 8.70  
WAY TOO SMARTE 2 6 66 67   5 4 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 20.00 21.80  
PRINCESS STELLA (IRE) 6 1 11 1½   1nk 5 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 122 5.00 7% 13.40 2.40  
RARE ACTION ATTACK 7 7 711½ 714   713 6 (childers)RODRIGUEZ A 117 12.00 32.30  
MIZZEN ASH 1 8 811¾ 814¼   815½ 7 (granitz j)FELIX E 124 4.00 51% 1.00 5.80  
GET NONE 5 5 5 5   610 8 (rodriguez hugo)EMIGH A 122 3.00 14% 6.00 4.60  
SCR  GOOD MONGOLIA               (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 122 15.00    
SCR  MY MORNING GAL               (coontz arth)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.