Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Wednesday - August 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (4/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/8)-(4/7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/8)-(4/7/8)-(4/7/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/8)-(5/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/8)-(5/2/3)-(7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-2   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(7/3)-(5/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-3   WIN (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/3)-(7/2/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/3)-(7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (7/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/3)-(5/4/3)-(1/12) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
HAW-4   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(1/12) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(1/12)-(7/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
HAW-5   WIN (1/12) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/12)-(1/12) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/12)-(7/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/12)-(7/6)-(3/7/8/10) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
HAW-6   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/6)-(7/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7/6)-(3/7/8/10) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
HAW-7   WIN (3/7/8/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/8/10)-(3/7/8/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/8/10)-(3/7/8/10)-(3/7/8/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   08/23/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SANGFROID Aug02 Jul23 Jun29 Jun15 May31 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 12.00    
2  GOTTA B KITTEN ME Aug02 Jul13 Jun11 May25 May07 (gonzalez lilia)REYES FRANK 122 15.00    
3  SEQUAYA Aug17 Jul27 Jul16 Jun15 Jun08 (cook brian)HERNANDEZ K 122 10.00    
4  BIA BOLT RUNNER Aug02 Mar11 Feb22 Feb09 Jan14 (gonzalez li)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 6.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  CANDY KICK Aug03 Dec30 Oct29 Sep30 Aug14 (mason ingrid)FELIX E 122 2.50    
6  SUNSET PAYNTER Aug06 Jul20 Jun08 May05 Apr22 (knott na)RODRIGUEZ A 113 6.00    
7  LOTTA ROSES Aug02 Jul13 Jun29 Jun04 May14 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00 21% 3.80    
8  INEEDAGIRLLIKEYOU Aug02 Jul13 Jul06 Mar18 Feb25 (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 122 3.00 20% 4.00    
 
HAW-2   08/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEA AFTER BALLET Aug16 Aug09 Jul19 Jul06 Jun25 (zawitz joe)WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 12.00    
2  OVER CALENDARED Aug09 Aug01 Jul12 Jun14 Jun03 (hernandez javie)REYES FRANK 122 3.50 20% 4.10    
3  UNCLE NICK Aug09 Jul19 Jun25 Jun04 May25 (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.00 13% 6.70    
4  LIMA ZULU Aug01 Jul23 Jul06 Jun10 Apr25 (hernandez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 6.00    
5  BERNIE LOMAX Jul26 Jul04 Jun22 May20 May02 (childers)RODRIGUEZ A 117 1.40 41% 1.40    
6  BOURBON TEDDY Jul26 Jun08 May25 May04 Apr20 (reyes martin)REYES ANGEL 122 12.00    
 
HAW-3   08/23/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZENCHUA SKY Aug09 Jul20 Jul09 Jun07 May23 (castro is)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 30.00    
2  APRIL'S GEM Jul30 Jul12 Jun11 May25 May07 (rosas rigo)HERNANDEZ K 124 4.50 ★    
3  SENSE OF SELF May25 Apr23 Nov13 Oct01 Aug29 (ramirez car)ORTEGA O 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BLOODY MARY MORNIN Aug03 May29 Mar25 Mar04 Dec17 (reid r)COLON H 122 5.00    
5  EMBARRASSING Aug16 Jul30 Jun21 Jun04 Nov20 (rodriguez h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 8.00    
6  ROMANTIC ATTACK Jul30 Jun18 May31 Nov25 Oct23 (childers)RODRIGUEZ A 117 3.50    
7  COMMAND POINT Jul27 Jun18 Jun04 May18 Mar08 (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 1.40 76% 0.30    
8  NORTHERN ALLIANCE Jul12 Jun18 Jun04 Apr02 Oct23 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 122 15.00    
SCR  EMITYAAZ Aug03 Jul20 Jun21 May04 Mar26 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 10.00    
 
HAW-4   08/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAYSTER Aug10 Jul12 Jun22 Dec14 Dec06 (castro isidro)REYES ANGEL 122 30.00    
2  ICE BLAST Jul26 Jun22 Jun04 May21 Apr30 (villa francisco)FELIX E 124 8.00    
3  PERFECT WAGER Aug16 Aug05 Jul15 Jun27 Jun06 (witthauer john )REYES FRANK 122 12.00 12% 7.40    
4  VIOLENT GIGI Apr19 Mar26 Mar09 Dec10 Nov27 (contreras ciprian)EMIGH A 122 4.50 19% 4.30    
5  SHACKLEFORD STRONG Aug02 Jul12 Jun21 Jun04 May11 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 124 1.00 34% 2.00    
6  ONE PUTT RICHIE Aug01 Jul19 Jun01 Apr25 Sep23 (laux clay)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 5.00    
7  TRY TRY AGAIN Jul27 Jul12 Jun21 Jun04 May25 (zawitz joel)LEZCANO ABEL 122 4.00    
 
HAW-5   08/23/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXPROMPT (FR) Aug02 Jul20 Jun14 Jul10 May15 (campbell)RODRIGUEZ A 117 5.00 61% 0.60    
SCR  IAN GLASS Aug10 Jul19 Jun01 May21 Mar18 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 6.00    
SCR  CLEAR N CONVINCING Aug09 Jul20 Aug17 Aug09 Jun24 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.50    
SCR  FOLLOW THE SIGNS Jul30 Jul16 Jun14 May18 Apr23 (reavis micha)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 10.00    
SCR  UPBEAT MELODY Aug01 Jul19 May23 May09 Apr25 (manley steve)GILES EMMANUEL 117 8.00    
6  STAR OF KODIAK Jul05 Jun22 Jun01 May16 Apr13 (quinonez ma)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 20.00    
SCR  AZRAEL Jul19 Jul05 Nov18 Oct22 Jul01 (bahena fernando)REYES FRANK 122 20.00    
8  REMEMBER THE MAINE Jun15 May28 Mar16 Feb17 Feb02 (campbell j)WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 15.00    
SCR  MEDAL OF FACT Aug02 Jul16 Jul05 Jun15 May09 (rodriguez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
SCR  GRAND HIDEAWAY Aug02 Jul19 May28 Mar30 Dec17 (reid r)COLON H 122 4.00    
SCR  WEST WARPATH Aug02 Jul12 Jun07 May18 Apr30 (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 122 10.00    
12  DRAGON DREW Aug02 Jul05 Jun14 May28 Apr02 (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 122 12.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  BAREFOOTBOOTLEGGER Aug02 Jul05 Jun18 Jun04 May04 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 20.00    
 
HAW-6   08/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LYKAN Jul27 Jun14 May25 Jan06 Oct01 (young r)FELIX E 122 6.00    
2  BLOW TORCH Jul19 Jun26 May31 Apr28 Apr16 (rosin w)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00    
SCR  MISTER KELLY Aug10 Jul05 Jun15 Jun01 Nov18 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 10.00    
4  MALPAIS Aug02 Jul19 Jun15 May25 Apr30 (villa fr)RODRIGUEZ A 117 15.00    
SCR  CAN MAN DO Aug02 Jun11 Apr30 Apr06 Mar09 (kirby frank )CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00    
6  W W HOTSHOT Aug02 Jul13 Jun14 May28 Mar30 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 1.80 29% 2.40    
7  LIKE A SALTSHAKER Jul05 May14 Mar10 Jan01 Dec16 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 3.50 51% 1.00    
SCR  ENJOY THE MUSIC Jun26 Jun05 May15 Feb23 Feb09 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.50    
 
HAW-7   08/23/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MY MORNING GAL Aug01 Jun17 May30 May02 Apr18 (coontz arth)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 20.00    
SCR  GOOD MONGOLIA Aug13 Jul20 Jun29 Jun11 Apr23 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 122 15.00    
3  MIZZEN ASH Jul27 Jun21 Jun06 May29 May10 (granitz j)FELIX E 124 4.00 51% 1.00    
4  WAY TOO SMARTE Jul27 Jul06 Jun21 Jun11 May21 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
5  BALI BABY Aug09 Aug03 Jul09 Mar17 Feb22 (quinonez max)LEZCANO ABEL 122 30.00    
6  SHE'S WANDAFUL Aug09 Jul12 Jun21 Jun08 Dec31 (miller patt)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 3.50    
7  GET NONE May25 Oct16 Jul17 May20 May07 (rodriguez hugo)EMIGH A 122 3.00 14% 6.00    
8  PRINCESS STELLA (IRE) Jul26 Jun18 Jun08 May31 May07 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 122 5.00 7% 13.40    
9  RARE ACTION ATTACK Aug09 Jul20 Jun11 May25 May02 (childers)RODRIGUEZ A 117 12.00    
10  STACK SHACK Dec04 Nov25 Nov13 Oct16 Sep23 (cook brian)REYES FRANK 122 10.00 6% 16.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.