Handicappers' Race Results
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Hawthorne
Sunday - August 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
HAW-1   Win (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $12.60  
HAW-2   Win (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
HAW-3   Win (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
HAW-4   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
HAW-5   Win (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $8.60 $8.60 2.60
HAW-6   Win (6/10/5/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 0 $85.80  
HAW-7   Win (7/8/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $9.00  
HAW-8   Win (7/9/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $6.60 $6.60  
Simulator Race results
 
HAW-1   08/13/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
See original race card.
:222 :452       :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  STACY ATTACK 6 6 31 2nk   3½ 1½ (watkins m)FELIX E 122 6.00 5.30  
5  JUJU'S SPECIALGIRL 4 4 2nk 1nk   2nk 2½ (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 122 2.50 71% 0.40 0.70 P
2  FIRST SQUADRON 1 2 1nk 3.2   1nk 31½ (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 122 5.00 5% 19.00 10.70 S
6  GOOD MONGOLIA 5 1 41¼ 4¼   53 41½ (rodriguez h)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 3.50 6.60  
3  PLAY TWENTY 2 5 64¾ 54¾   41½ 51¾ (castro isidro)TAVARES JAVIER 122 15.00 5% 19.00 30.80  
4  AWESOME SUNDAY 3 3 51¾ 65   67 68 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 120 4.00 5.30  
SCR  PALACE MAGIC               (witthauer j)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 6.00    
 
HAW-2   08/13/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:25 :491 1:143 1:411   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  VERRAZANOINTHESKY 3 2 32 31 41 11 11½ (winebaugh c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 3.00 31% 2.30 2.10 W
1  GAGOOTS 1 1 54½ 53¼ 62 44 21½ (watkins james )TAVARES JAVIER 122 2.50 1.70  
6  MISTER CHARMING 6 6 21 2nk 2½ 31½ 32 (spagnola ida)WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 6.00 5% 19.00 24.80 S
5  OVERTHOUGHT 5 3 11 1nk 1½ 21 43 (rodriguez edua)GILES EMMANUEL 117 3.50 7.60  
2  NOT VERY GENTLE 2 4 64¾ 63¼ 51½ 66 56¾ (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00 4.60  
4  BIG BLUE 4 5 42 41¼ 31 55 67¼ (hernandez javier)COLON H 122 4.50 31% 2.30 6.90  
 
HAW-3   08/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
See original race card.
:232 :472 :60     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ALEXIS N NIKO 6 2 21½ 21   1nk 1hd (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 122 1.00 33% 2.10 1.20 W
1  UNCAPTURED DREAM 1 3 31½ 42½   2nk 2hd (watkins james )GILES EMMANUEL 119 4.00 10% 8.60 7.10 P
4  FABRICATOR 4 5 42½ 32   44¼ 35¾ (watkins james )TAVARES JAVIER 122 4.50 31% 2.30 1.40 S
2  SUNDAY MISCHIEF 2 1 11½ 11   3.2 46¼ (campbell joe)WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 5.00 9.40  
3  BRASKA 3 6 66½ 67½   57¾ 58 (straub marv)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 10.00 35.30  
5  DASTARDLY DEEDS 5 4 53 52½   68¼ 614 (flores j)REYES FRANK 122 12.00 29.60  
 
HAW-4   08/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($39K) 3 F PT- 4:51
See original race card.
:223 :454 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  WILMA MANKILLER 3 2 12½ 12   16 18¾ (rivelli larry)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 2.50 21% 3.70 1.30 W
1  LURE'EM IN 1 3 33 22   26 28¾ (block chris)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 4.00 34% 2.00 5.00 P
6  QUILTER 5 5 45 48   411 311¼ (granitz j)FELIX E 120 5.00 5.20  
4  IT'S MAGIC 4 4 56 511   512½ 413 (winebaugh cheryl)COLON H 122 5.00 16% 5.20 6.50  
2  SWEET NELLIE 2 1 22½ 37   310 515½ (rosin w)HERNANDEZ K 120 4.50 2.80  
SCR  MOMENT TO SHINE               (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 120 3.50    
 
HAW-5   08/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
See original race card.
:214 :45 :574     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TIME HEIST 1 3 33½ 35   22 11 (watkins james )CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00 12% 7.40 3.30 W
7  HURTS SO BAD 6 2 2½ 11   12 21 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 3.50 2.60  
3  RISKY BOY 2 4 44½ 46   34½ 33 (shephard john)LEZCANO ABEL 122 12.00 20.60  
6  BORN AGAIN GEORGE 5 6 65½ 68   47½ 45¾ (clay pat)GILES EMMANUEL 117 4.50 35% 1.90 6.70  
5  SONNYISNOTSOFUNNY 4 5 55½ 57   67¾ 58¼ (reavis l)MOJICA O 122 2.50 24% 3.20 3.30  
4  CINDY'S G MAN 3 1 1½ 21   57½ 620¼ (watkins m)FELIX E 122 6.00 3.40  
SCR  DRAMATIC KITTEN               (castro isidr)WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 20.00    
SCR  GINSBURNED               (jansen kenny)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 5.00    
 
HAW-6   08/13/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:12     1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WICKED SUPRISE 2 1 1½ 1nk 1½ 13 13¼ (winebaugh c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 15.00 41.90  
4  MORRIE'S JOY 4 8 99¼ 94¼ 95¼ 65½ 23¼ (miller patti )SANTIAGO VICTOR 117 12.00 8% 11.20 34.70 P
5  GATE CREW 5 4 31 4¾ 41½ 23 33¼ (boyce michele)HERNANDEZ K 122 10.00 9% 9.60 5.80 S
8  EL RAYO (ARG) 7 9 86¾ 61¾ 52½ 44½ 43½ (manley steve)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 6.00 5.50  
6  STORM'S REFLECTION 6 5 52 51¼ 63½ 33½ 54¾ (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 122 4.50 31% 2.20 10.70  
3  MILLARD'S SMILE 3 2 65 72¼ 75 76½ 65¾ (rodriguez eduardo)MOJICA O 122 8.00 5% 19.00 7.20  
1  MODIFIER 1 3 76½ 82¾ 85¼ 87 76¼ (perez manny)TAVARES JAVIER 122 5.00 1.50  
9  SLAVA UKRAINI 8 7 41 3.2 2½ 55½ 88¾ (zawitz joel)COLON H 120 6.00 11.60  
10  FORWARD CURVE 9 6 2½ 2nk 3½ 98 911½ (becker scott)EMIGH A 122 3.50 27% 2.70 7.90  
SCR  G T FIVE HUNDRED               (mason ingrid)FELIX E 118 2.50    
SCR  LONESTAR CHROME               (castro isidro)REYES FRANK 122 30.00    
 
HAW-7   08/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 2 ALL PT- 6:12
See original race card.
:234 :474       1:004   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  JACK SPRAT 4 3 24 23½   2nk 11¾ (essenpreis edw)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 12.00 3.50  
2  EXCITABLE BOY 1 1 14 13½   1nk 21¾ (robertson hug)SANTIAGO VICTOR 119 6.00 5% 19.00 1.60 P
4  HEDGEHOGINTHEFOG 3 2 34½ 36   35 32¾ (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 119 15.00 7.20  
8  RED MOSCATO 5 4 410½ 49   46½ 43½ (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 119 5.00 8% 11.80 2.70  
3  POND 2 5 517½ 519   516½ 518¾ (perez manny)REYES FRANK 119 10.00 5% 19.00 5.70  
SCR  ADIOS COOL ARROWS               (delong ben)COLON H 119 12.00    
SCR  GIMME THE CANDY               (rivelli larry)EMIGH A 119 1.60 67% 0.50    
SCR  NEON DEION               (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 119 3.50    
 
HAW-8   08/13/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:39
See original race card.
:212 :451 :574     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  VIOLA 6 5 52½ 43   41½ 12¼ (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 120 3.50 44% 1.30 2.30 W
5  RUTH OF JUDAH 4 4 31½ 53   2½ 22¼ (roussel louis )GILES EMMANUEL 115 6.00 7.60  
9  ANGEL EXPRESS 8 3 41½ 32   31½ 32½ (childers va)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 5.00 18% 4.50 1.70 S
2  SHORT STRAW 1 2 11 11½   1½ 43¼ (rodriguez jose)TAVARES JAVIER 110 30.00 20.30  
8  BONITA D'ORO 7 6 67½ 69   66¼ 53½ (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 120 15.00 29.80  
4  GOLD OAK 3 1 21 21½   51¾ 64 (reavis l)FELIX E 120 8.00 5% 19.00 8.20  
3  WILDWOOD ENOUGH 2 8 78½ 79¼   78¾ 77¾ (becker scott)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 4.50 5.40  
6  HER SPEAKER'S ON 5 7 88¾ 812¾   812¾ 811½ (coontz a)REYES FRANK 120 10.00 13% 6.50 42.50  
SCR  BORDER STAR               (manley steve)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 15.00    
SCR  LIMANI               (childers vance)TAVARES JAVIER 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.