Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Hawthorne
Sunday - August 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-3   EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-1 $6.70 $0.70 12%
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00  6-1-4 $4.95 $1.95 65%
HAW-4   EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-1 $11.20 $5.20 87%
HAW-5   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $8.60 $2.60 43%
    DD (1/3/4)-(6/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00  3-2 $12.40 $3.40 38%
Simulator Race results
 
HAW-1   08/13/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
See original race card.
:222 :452       :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  STACY ATTACK 6 6 31 2nk   3½ 1½ (watkins m)FELIX E 122 6.00 5.30  
5  JUJU'S SPECIALGIRL 4 4 2nk 1nk   2nk 2½ (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 122 2.50 71% 0.40 0.70 P
2  FIRST SQUADRON 1 2 1nk 3.2   1nk 31½ (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 122 5.00 5% 19.00 10.70 S
6  GOOD MONGOLIA 5 1 41¼ 4¼   53 41½ (rodriguez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 3.50 6.60  
3  PLAY TWENTY 2 5 64¾ 54¾   41½ 51¾ (castro isidr)TAVARES JAVIER 122 15.00 5% 19.00 30.80  
4  AWESOME SUNDAY 3 3 51¾ 65   67 68 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 120 4.00 5.30  
SCR  PALACE MAGIC               (witthauer)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 6.00    
 
HAW-2   08/13/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:25 :491 1:143 1:411   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  VERRAZANOINTHESKY 3 2 32 31 41 11 11½ (winebaugh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 3.00 31% 2.30 2.10 W
1  GAGOOTS 1 1 54½ 53¼ 62 44 21½ (watkins jame)TAVARES JAVIER 122 2.50 1.70  
6  MISTER CHARMING 6 6 21 2nk 2½ 31½ 32 (spagnola i)WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 6.00 5% 19.00 24.80 S
5  OVERTHOUGHT 5 3 11 1nk 1½ 21 43 (rodriguez ed)GILES EMMANUEL 117 3.50 7.60  
2  NOT VERY GENTLE 2 4 64¾ 63¼ 51½ 66 56¾ (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00 4.60  
4  BIG BLUE 4 5 42 41¼ 31 55 67¼ (hernandez javi)COLON H 122 4.50 31% 2.30 6.90  
 
HAW-3   08/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
See original race card.
:232 :472 :60     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ALEXIS N NIKO 6 2 21½ 21   1nk 1hd (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 122 1.00 33% 2.10 1.20 W
1  UNCAPTURED DREAM 1 3 31½ 42½   2nk 2hd (watkins jame)GILES EMMANUEL 119 4.00 10% 8.60 7.10 P
4  FABRICATOR 4 5 42½ 32   44¼ 35¾ (watkins jame)TAVARES JAVIER 122 4.50 31% 2.30 1.40 S
2  SUNDAY MISCHIEF 2 1 11½ 11   3.2 46¼ (campbell j)WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 5.00 9.40  
3  BRASKA 3 6 66½ 67½   57¾ 58 (straub ma)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 10.00 35.30  
5  DASTARDLY DEEDS 5 4 53 52½   68¼ 614 (flores j)REYES FRANK 122 12.00 29.60  
 
HAW-4   08/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($39K) 3 F PT- 4:51
See original race card.
:223 :454 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  WILMA MANKILLER 3 2 12½ 12   16 18¾ (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 2.50 21% 3.70 1.30 W
1  LURE'EM IN 1 3 33 22   26 28¾ (block chr)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 4.00 34% 2.00 5.00 P
6  QUILTER 5 5 45 48   411 311¼ (granitz j)FELIX E 120 5.00 5.20  
4  IT'S MAGIC 4 4 56 511   512½ 413 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 5.00 16% 5.20 6.50  
2  SWEET NELLIE 2 1 22½ 37   310 515½ (rosin w)HERNANDEZ K 120 4.50 2.80  
SCR  MOMENT TO SHINE               (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 120 3.50    
 
HAW-5   08/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
See original race card.
:214 :45 :574     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TIME HEIST 1 3 33½ 35   22 11 (watkins jame)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00 12% 7.40 3.30 W
7  HURTS SO BAD 6 2 2½ 11   12 21 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 3.50 2.60  
3  RISKY BOY 2 4 44½ 46   34½ 33 (shephard john)LEZCANO ABEL 122 12.00 20.60  
6  BORN AGAIN GEORGE 5 6 65½ 68   47½ 45¾ (clay pat)GILES EMMANUEL 117 4.50 35% 1.90 6.70  
5  SONNYISNOTSOFUNNY 4 5 55½ 57   67¾ 58¼ (reavis l)MOJICA O 122 2.50 24% 3.20 3.30  
4  CINDY'S G MAN 3 1 1½ 21   57½ 620¼ (watkins m)FELIX E 122 6.00 3.40  
SCR  DRAMATIC KITTEN               (castro isi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 20.00    
SCR  GINSBURNED               (jansen kenny)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 5.00    
 
HAW-6   08/13/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:12     1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WICKED SUPRISE 2 1 1½ 1nk 1½ 13 13¼ (winebaugh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 15.00 41.90  
4  MORRIE'S JOY 4 8 99¼ 94¼ 95¼ 65½ 23¼ (miller patt)SANTIAGO VICTOR 117 12.00 8% 11.20 34.70 P
5  GATE CREW 5 4 31 4¾ 41½ 23 33¼ (boyce michele)HERNANDEZ K 122 10.00 9% 9.60 5.80 S
8  EL RAYO (ARG) 7 9 86¾ 61¾ 52½ 44½ 43½ (manley steve)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 6.00 5.50  
6  STORM'S REFLECTION 6 5 52 51¼ 63½ 33½ 54¾ (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 122 4.50 31% 2.20 10.70  
3  MILLARD'S SMILE 3 2 65 72¼ 75 76½ 65¾ (rodriguez eduardo)MOJICA O 122 8.00 5% 19.00 7.20  
1  MODIFIER 1 3 76½ 82¾ 85¼ 87 76¼ (perez manny)TAVARES JAVIER 122 5.00 1.50  
9  SLAVA UKRAINI 8 7 41 3.2 2½ 55½ 88¾ (zawitz joel)COLON H 120 6.00 11.60  
10  FORWARD CURVE 9 6 2½ 2nk 3½ 98 911½ (becker scott)EMIGH A 122 3.50 27% 2.70 7.90  
SCR  G T FIVE HUNDRED               (mason ingrid)FELIX E 118 2.50    
SCR  LONESTAR CHROME               (castro isidro)REYES FRANK 122 30.00    
 
HAW-7   08/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 2 ALL PT- 6:12
See original race card.
:234 :474       1:004   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  JACK SPRAT 4 3 24 23½   2nk 11¾ (essenpreis e)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 12.00 3.50  
  (by JACK MILTON out of LOOK WHO'S HERE by OVERPEER)
2  EXCITABLE BOY 1 1 14 13½   1nk 21¾ (robertson h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 119 6.00 5% 19.00 1.60 P
  (by LAOBAN out of ANNA'S ANGEL by RAISED SOCIALLY)
4  HEDGEHOGINTHEFOG 3 2 34½ 36   35 32¾ (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 119 15.00 7.20  
  (by CONNECT out of SIEGE GUN by CONGRATS)
8  RED MOSCATO 5 4 410½ 49   46½ 43½ (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 119 5.00 8% 11.80 2.70  
  (by THREE HOUR NAP out of EMMA'S SMIDDY by CONCORD POINT)
3  POND 2 5 517½ 519   516½ 518¾ (perez manny)REYES FRANK 119 10.00 5% 19.00 5.70  
  (by FROSTED out of DIVINE RULE by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  ADIOS COOL ARROWS               (delong ben)COLON H 119 12.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of EASY A by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  GIMME THE CANDY               (rivelli larry)EMIGH A 119 1.60 67% 0.50    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of RICHIE'SLILWILDCAT by WILDCAT HEIR)
SCR  NEON DEION               (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 119 3.50    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of HIGH STEP ARCH by ARCH)
 
HAW-8   08/13/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:39
See original race card.
:212 :451 :574     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  VIOLA 6 5 52½ 43   41½ 12¼ (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 120 3.50 44% 1.30 2.30 W
  (by VIOLENCE out of BOLD UNION by DIXIE UNION)
5  RUTH OF JUDAH 4 4 31½ 53   2½ 22¼ (roussel loui)GILES EMMANUEL 115 6.00 7.60  
  (by BLAME out of LITTLE JUDE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
9  ANGEL EXPRESS 8 3 41½ 32   31½ 32½ (childers )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 5.00 18% 4.50 1.70 S
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of HI HANNAH by BERNSTEIN)
2  SHORT STRAW 1 2 11 11½   1½ 43¼ (rodriguez jo)TAVARES JAVIER 110 30.00 20.30  
  (by NEOLITHIC out of PAPERBACK PRINCESS by NOTEBOOK)
8  BONITA D'ORO 7 6 67½ 69   66¼ 53½ (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 120 15.00 29.80  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of MEADOW MYSTIQUE by GHOSTZAPPER)
4  GOLD OAK 3 1 21 21½   51¾ 64 (reavis l)FELIX E 120 8.00 5% 19.00 8.20  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of LIVE OAKS LEGACY by GULCH)
3  WILDWOOD ENOUGH 2 8 78½ 79¼   78¾ 77¾ (becker scott)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 4.50 5.40  
  (by HE'S HAD ENOUGH out of ELLENVILLE by CARSON CITY)
6  HER SPEAKER'S ON 5 7 88¾ 812¾   812¾ 811½ (coontz a)REYES FRANK 120 10.00 13% 6.50 42.50  
  (by MR SPEAKER out of LOOKN EVEN FINER by POINT GIVEN)
SCR  BORDER STAR               (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 15.00    
  (by BIRDSTONE out of HARD TO READ by ALPHABET SOUP)
SCR  LIMANI               (childers van)TAVARES JAVIER 124 6.00    
  (by MASTERY out of SEEKING HER GLORY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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