The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
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Hawthorne
Thursday - August 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
HAW-1   Win (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $2.80 -6.00
    Exacta (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-5 2 0 $4.70 -6.00
    Trifecta (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 2-5-3 3 0 $8.45 -3.00
HAW-2   Win (2/3/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 -3.20
    Exacta (2/3/4/7)-(2/3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 4-1 2 0 $10.30 -12.00
    Trifecta (2/3/4/7)-(2/3/4/7)-(2/3/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 4-1-2 3 0 $8.15 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/3/6)-(2/3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 2-4 2 0 $3.20 -12.00
HAW-3   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -0.20
    Exacta (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 3-2 2 1 $5.00 $5.00 3.00
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 3-2-1 3 0 $7.75 0.00
    Daily Double (2/3/4/7)-(2/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 4-3 2 1 $3.60 $3.60 -4.40
    Daily Double (2/3/4/7)-(2/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 4-4 2 0 $2.10 -8.00
    Daily Double (2/3/4/7)-(2/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 4-5 2 0 $1.70 -8.00
    Pick Three (1/3/6)-(2/3/4/7)-(2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 2-4-3/4/5 3 0 $2.00 -12.00
HAW-4   Win (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $8.80 $8.80 2.80
    Exacta (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 3-5 2 0 $23.30 -6.00
    Trifecta (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 3-5-1 3 0 $28.60 -3.00
    Daily Double (2/3)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 3-3 2 1 $8.60 $8.60 2.60
    Pick Three (2/3/4/7)-(2/3)-(1/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 4-3/4/5-3 3 1 $6.85 $6.85 -5.15
HAW-5   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.80 $5.80 -0.20
    Exacta (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-5 2 1 $5.80 $5.80 -0.20
    Trifecta (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 1-5-6 3 0 $8.40 -3.00
    Daily Double (1/3/6)-(1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 3-1 2 1 $16.80 $16.80 7.80
    Pick Three (2/3)-(1/3/6)-(1/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 3/4/5-3-1 3 1 $12.05 $12.05 3.05
HAW-6   Win (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -1.40
    Exacta (1/3/7)-(1/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 7-3 2 1 $3.20 $3.20 -2.80
    Trifecta (1/3/7)-(1/3/7)-(1/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 7-3-2 3 0 $3.40 -3.00
    Daily Double (1/4/5)-(1/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 1-7 2 1 $6.50 $6.50 -2.50
    Pick Three (1/3/6)-(1/4/5)-(1/3/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 3-1-7 3 1 $25.20 $25.20 11.70
HAW-7   Win (5/6/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $13.20 $13.20 5.20
    Exacta (5/6/7/9)-(5/6/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 9-8 2 0 $74.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (5/6/7/9)-(5/6/7/9)-(5/6/7/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 9-8-3 3 0 $122.50 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/3/7)-(5/6/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 7-9 2 1 $13.40 $13.40 1.40
    Pick Three (1/4/5)-(1/3/7)-(5/6/7/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 1-7-9 3 1 $21.65 $21.65 3.65
HAW-8   Win (1/3/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $10.60 -8.00
    Exacta (1/3/6/8)-(1/3/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 5-6 2 0 $22.50 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/3/6/8)-(1/3/6/8)-(1/3/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 5-6-7 3 0 $44.40 -12.00
    Daily Double (5/6/7/9)-(1/3/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 9-5 2 0 $27.50 -16.00
    Pick Three (1/3/7)-(5/6/7/9)-(1/3/6/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 7-9-5 3 0 $53.10 -24.00
Simulator Race results
 
HAW-1   08/17/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
:25 :482 1:131 1:394   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SPICY ITALIAN 2 3 2½ 2nk 1½ 11½ 12¼ (catalano m)FELIX E 120 1.40 0.40  
5  LIL CARRIE D 5 4 41½ 41¼ 2½ 21½ 22¼ (slager mike)ORM CORY 120 4.50 11.90  
3  PACIFIC VIEW 3 2 31½ 31 42 31½ 33 (clay pat)GILES EMMANUEL 115 3.00 60% 0.70 4.40 S
4  WICKED SKY 4 5 52½ 51¼ 64 55¼ 410¼ (wainwright )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 8.00 18.40  
6  VOSTRA 6 6 63 62¾ 53 65¾ 510½ (jones s)TAVARES JAVIER 120 10.00 5% 19.00 21.20  
1  BORDER STAR 1 1 1½ 1nk 31½ 45 612½ (manley steve)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 6.00 8% 11.40 13.50  
 
HAW-2   08/17/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
:23 :47 :592     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  EL MUCHO 4 3 1½ 1½   12 15¾ (rodriguez hugo)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 3.00 8% 11.20 1.40 W
1  SMOOTH ATTACK 1 1 41 41½   22 25¾ (childers va)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 4.00 4.90  
2  J J'S SOLUTION 2 5 87½ 89   66½ 35¾ (rednour jr)LEZCANO ABEL 124 1.80 35% 1.80 2.20 S
6  FLYING CRICKET 6 4 3½ 2½   33½ 48¼ (witthauer john)TAVARES JAVIER 124 15.00 38.90  
3  GOD GUNS N GUTS 3 7 65½ 77½   56½ 59¾ (rodriguez jose)GILES EMMANUEL 119 4.50 32% 2.10 4.60  
5  PONCHO ATTACK 5 2 2½ 3½   46 612¾ (childers vance)ORM CORY 124 30.00 84.20  
8  LONE RETURN 8 8 76 67   79½ 715½ (witthauer k)REYES FRANK 120 10.00 32.10  
7  JAKES CHANNEL 7 6 54 56   813½ 826½ (rednour john)WEATHERLY BAILEY 110 30.00 5% 19.00 55.80  
 
HAW-3   08/17/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
:25 :484 1:131 1:394   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MERLOTTI 3 3 21½ 21½ 1nk 11 12½ (wainwright john)FELIX E 120 1.80 38% 1.60 0.90 W
2  MINING CAMP 2 1 11½ 11½ 2nk 21 22½ (slager mike)ORM CORY 124 6.00 12% 7.50 4.80 P
1  ANCIENT MAN 1 2 33½ 44 45½ 46 36 (hughes w)ORTEGA O 124 20.00 14.80  
6  BLACK RAVEN 4 4 44½ 33½ 33 35½ 46½ (perez manny)TAVARES JAVIER 120 4.00 1.60  
SCR  ARCHIE THE GIZA               (medina robert)EMIGH A 124 3.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  ICE AXE               (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 124 3.50    
 
HAW-4   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
:232 :472 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  HANDSOFFTHEGOODS 3 6 42 2½   2nk 11½ (block chris)COLON H 120 1.80 33% 2.00 3.40 W
5  XPRESSIR 5 1 1½ 1½   1nk 21½ (quinonez max)TAVARES JAVIER 120 10.00 5.70  
1  CHERRY ORCHARD 1 4 52 63¼   34 33½ (hughes w)GILES EMMANUEL 115 3.00 22% 3.60 3.10 S
4  JACKPOT BOY 4 5 63½ 53   65¾ 46½ (perez manny)REYES FRANK 124 5.00 10.10  
6  HOT CUPPA COFFEE 6 2 31 32   54¾ 57¾ (roussel j)FELIX E 120 2.50 19% 4.20 1.50  
2  ONE ACE 2 3 2½ 42   44½ 610¼ (quinonez ma)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 8.00 27.80  
 
HAW-5   08/17/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Outbound Ike Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
:233 :461 1:102 1:372   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOTARY 1 1 46 34½ 1nk 13½ 15½ (hernandez armando)FELIX E 114 6.00 7% 12.80 1.90 W
5  BUCK MOON 4 2 2nk 2nk 3.2 23½ 25½ (rivelli larry)EMIGH A 116 6.00 40% 1.50 1.70 P
6  GREY STREAK 5 5 1nk 1nk 2nk 34 36¾ (rodriguez hugo)CENTENO ALEXIS 115 10.00 7.20  
2  READTHECLIFFNOTES 2 3 35 45 51¼ 45 47 (boyce michele)TAVARES JAVIER 116 5.00 4.50  
4  SONNY SMACK 3 4 57 55¼ 41¼ 56½ 523¼ (lund valorie)HERNANDEZ K 116 3.50 24% 3.10 6.80  
SCR  ANOTHER MYSTERY               (block c)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 2.00    
SCR  TEMPER TANTRUM               (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 116 4.50    
 
HAW-6   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
:22 :454 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SALLY'S SUPRISE 6 3 42 31½   21½ 1½ (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 118 2.50 28% 2.60 1.30 W
3  CRYSTAL SNOW 3 2 1nk 1nk   11½ 2½ (cristel j)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 1.80 40% 1.50 1.10 P
2  SEQUAYA 2 6 65¾ 67   45 36¼ (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 122 12.00 8.40  
5  PRIMITY 4 5 55½ 55½   56 47¾ (wainwright jo)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 8.00 20.90  
1  HEAVENLY SCENT 1 1 2nk 2nk   32 58½ (pompell rob)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 15.00 10% 9.20 11.30  
6  MAZLAN 5 4 31½ 44   616 641¼ (witthauer john)TAVARES JAVIER 122 15.00 60.50  
SCR  VISIONISTA               (rodriguez edua)GILES EMMANUEL 113 3.50    
 
HAW-7   08/17/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:12
:213 :451       :574   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  FIRST KITTEN 7 6 68 56½   33½ 13 (meraz antonio)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 10.00 17% 4.90 5.60 W
8  RACEDAY ATTIRE 6 5 46 34½   22 23 (witthauer john )HERNANDEZ K 122 15.00 28.80  
3  MISS MELODY 1 1 12½ 13   12 34½ (clay pat)GILES EMMANUEL 117 12.00 4.20  
6  GOLDEN BELL 4 3 33½ 44½   56 47½ (cox h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 1.80 44% 1.30 0.80  
4  LIPLINER 2 2 22½ 23   43½ 58¾ (childers vance)REYES FRANK 122 15.00 25.30  
7  CHROME ATTACK 5 7 58 68½   66¼ 610½ (childers vance)TAVARES JAVIER 122 6.00 14% 6.10 6.70  
5  JUST A WONDER 3 4 78½ 712   710¼ 711 (manley steve)ORM CORY 122 8.00 5% 19.00 14.50  
SCR  GET NONE               (rodriguez hugo)PEREZ EDGAR 122 10.00    
SCR  MY LIPS ARE SEALED               (block chris)EMIGH A 122 3.50    
 
HAW-8   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:39
:22 :452 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  WHITE LIES 4 3 47½ 55¾   2½ 1¼ (miller patti )SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.50 4.30  
6  ALBERTA SUN 5 1 22 31½   3½ 2¼ (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 122 5.00 54% 0.90 4.10 P
7  SOMEONE SAID SO 6 4 12 11½   1½ 33¼ (rosin w)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00 7.50  
8  SAY CHEESE 7 5 32 21½   42½ 45 (mcdonnell bern)TAVARES JAVIER 122 6.00 13% 6.70 2.10  
2  CHAMPAGNE AFFAIR 2 2 69 611¾   77½ 55¼ (rodriguez hugo)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 15.00 40.20  
3  BERAVINA 3 7 58 45½   54 66¼ (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 122 6.00 10% 9.10 2.80  
1  RONAN 1 6 710½ 712¾   66 77½ (quinonez ma)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 10.00 5% 19.00 30.90  
SCR  OFF RAMP               (rosin c)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.