Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Hawthorne
Thursday - August 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-4   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $8.80 $2.80 47%
HAW-5   DD (3/1/6)-(5/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00  3-1 $16.80 $7.80 87%
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(3/1/6)-(5/4/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50  3/4/5-3-1 $24.10 $10.60 79%
    PK4 (2/3/4/7)-(3/5/2)-(3/1/6)-(5/4/1) 108 $0.50 $54.00  4-3/4/5-3-1 $59.30 $5.30 10%
HAW-6   PK3 (3/1/6)-(5/4/1)-(3/7/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50  3-1-7 $25.20 $11.70 87%
HAW-7   WIN (6/9/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  9 $13.20 $5.20 65%
    DD (3/7/1)-(6/9/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-9 $13.40 $1.40 12%
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(3/7/1)-(6/9/7/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00  1-7-9 $21.65 $3.65 20%
Simulator Race results
 
HAW-1   08/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
See original race card.
:25 :482 1:131 1:394   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SPICY ITALIAN 2 3 2½ 2nk 1½ 11½ 12¼ (catalano m)FELIX E 120 1.40 0.40  
  (by DAREDEVIL out of SILVER KITTY by NORTHERN AFLEET)
5  LIL CARRIE D 5 4 41½ 41¼ 2½ 21½ 22¼ (slager mike)ORM CORY 120 4.50 11.90  
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of MOONLIGHT ESCAPADE by LION HEART)
3  PACIFIC VIEW 3 2 31½ 31 42 31½ 33 (clay pat)GILES EMMANUEL 115 3.00 60% 0.70 4.40 S
  (by UNKNOWN out of INDIA'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4  WICKED SKY 4 5 52½ 51¼ 64 55¼ 410¼ (wainwrigh)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 8.00 18.40  
  (by WICKED STRONG out of BYLIA by BANDINI)
6  VOSTRA 6 6 63 62¾ 53 65¾ 510½ (jones s)TAVARES JAVIER 120 10.00 5% 19.00 21.20  
  (by FORT LARNED out of WANDAFUL WANDAFUL by HERO'S TRIBUTE)
1  BORDER STAR 1 1 1½ 1nk 31½ 45 612½ (manley steve)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 6.00 8% 11.40 13.50  
  (by BIRDSTONE out of HARD TO READ by ALPHABET SOUP)
 
HAW-2   08/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:23 :47 :592     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  EL MUCHO 4 3 1½ 1½   12 15¾ (rodriguez hu)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 3.00 8% 11.20 1.40 W
  (by MSHAWISH out of LEFTY'S LEGACY by CHICAGO SIX)
1  SMOOTH ATTACK 1 1 41 41½   22 25¾ (childers )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 4.00 4.90  
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of MAGGIE BEE by BERNSTEIN)
2  J J'S SOLUTION 2 5 87½ 89   66½ 35¾ (rednour j)LEZCANO ABEL 124 1.80 35% 1.80 2.20 S
  (by REAL SOLUTION out of LITTLE RED WITCH by KITALPHA)
6  FLYING CRICKET 6 4 3½ 2½   33½ 48¼ (witthauer jo)TAVARES JAVIER 124 15.00 38.90  
  (by WEST RANGER out of FLYER'S FANTASY by EARLY FLYER)
3  GOD GUNS N GUTS 3 7 65½ 77½   56½ 59¾ (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 119 4.50 32% 2.10 4.60  
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of SARAH'S MIND by LIKE MINDED)
5  PONCHO ATTACK 5 2 2½ 3½   46 612¾ (childers vance)ORM CORY 124 30.00 84.20  
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of MISS GIGI by CRIMSON CLASSIC)
8  LONE RETURN 8 8 76 67   79½ 715½ (witthauer john )REYES FRANK 120 10.00 32.10  
  (by RISK AND RETURN out of SLIGO ROSE by SHORE BREEZE)
7  JAKES CHANNEL 7 6 54 56   813½ 826½ (rednour jo)WEATHERLY BAILEY 110 30.00 5% 19.00 55.80  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of SETTLING IN by GREEN DESERT)
 
HAW-3   08/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
See original race card.
:25 :484 1:131 1:394   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MERLOTTI 3 3 21½ 21½ 1nk 11 12½ (wainwright john)FELIX E 120 1.80 38% 1.60 0.90 W
  (by BERNARDINI out of MISS JUNE by MORE THAN READY)
2  MINING CAMP 2 1 11½ 11½ 2nk 21 22½ (slager mike)ORM CORY 124 6.00 12% 7.50 4.80 P
  (by GIO PONTI out of KALUGA by UNCLE MO)
1  ANCIENT MAN 1 2 33½ 44 45½ 46 36 (hughes earl)ORTEGA O 124 20.00 14.80  
  (by ZIVO out of BRAND ENHANCEMENT by GIROLAMO)
6  BLACK RAVEN 4 4 44½ 33½ 33 35½ 46½ (perez manny)TAVARES JAVIER 120 4.00 1.60  
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of SYSTEM TIME by GIROLAMO)
SCR  ARCHIE THE GIZA               (medina robert)EMIGH A 124 3.00 23% 3.30    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of GLORIA S by TAPIT)
SCR  ICE AXE               (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 124 3.50    
  (by BERNARDINI out of YOU GO WEST GIRL by MR. GREELEY)
 
HAW-4   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
See original race card.
:232 :472 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  HANDSOFFTHEGOODS 3 6 42 2½   2nk 11½ (block chris)COLON H 120 1.80 33% 2.00 3.40 W
5  XPRESSIR 5 1 1½ 1½   1nk 21½ (quinonez max)TAVARES JAVIER 120 10.00 5.70  
1  CHERRY ORCHARD 1 4 52 63¼   34 33½ (hughes earl )GILES EMMANUEL 115 3.00 22% 3.60 3.10 S
4  JACKPOT BOY 4 5 63½ 53   65¾ 46½ (perez manny)REYES FRANK 124 5.00 10.10  
6  HOT CUPPA COFFEE 6 2 31 32   54¾ 57¾ (roussel j)FELIX E 120 2.50 19% 4.20 1.50  
2  ONE ACE 2 3 2½ 42   44½ 610¼ (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 8.00 27.80  
 
HAW-5   08/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Outbound Ike Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
See original race card.
:233 :461 1:102 1:372   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOTARY 1 1 46 34½ 1nk 13½ 15½ (hernandez armando)FELIX E 114 6.00 7% 12.80 1.90 W
  (by STREET SENSE out of ELLESMERE by TABASCO CAT)
5  BUCK MOON 4 2 2nk 2nk 3.2 23½ 25½ (rivelli larry)EMIGH A 116 6.00 40% 1.50 1.70 P
  (by MALIBU MOON out of GRAND PAULINE by TWO PUNCH)
6  GREY STREAK 5 5 1nk 1nk 2nk 34 36¾ (rodriguez hu)CENTENO ALEXIS 115 10.00 7.20  
  (by GREY SWALLOW out of ANNA CREEK by LONHRO (AUS))
2  READTHECLIFFNOTES 2 3 35 45 51¼ 45 47 (boyce michel)TAVARES JAVIER 116 5.00 4.50  
  (by READ THE FOOTNOTES out of LIL CORA TEE by LIL E. TEE)
4  SONNY SMACK 3 4 57 55¼ 41¼ 56½ 523¼ (lund valorie)HERNANDEZ K 116 3.50 24% 3.10 6.80  
  (by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL out of SMACK MADAM by VICTORY GALLOP)
SCR  ANOTHER MYSTERY               (block)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 2.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of IOYA TWO by LORD AT WAR (ARG))
SCR  TEMPER TANTRUM               (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 116 4.50    
  (by FLASHBACK out of COZZY TEMPER by COZZENE)
 
HAW-6   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:22 :454 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SALLY'S SUPRISE 6 3 42 31½   21½ 1½ (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 118 2.50 28% 2.60 1.30 W
3  CRYSTAL SNOW 3 2 1nk 1nk   11½ 2½ (cristel mark)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 1.80 40% 1.50 1.10 P
2  SEQUAYA 2 6 65¾ 67   45 36¼ (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 122 12.00 8.40  
5  PRIMITY 4 5 55½ 55½   56 47¾ (wainwright )SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 8.00 20.90  
1  HEAVENLY SCENT 1 1 2nk 2nk   32 58½ (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 15.00 10% 9.20 11.30  
6  MAZLAN 5 4 31½ 44   616 641¼ (witthauer jo)TAVARES JAVIER 122 15.00 60.50  
SCR  VISIONISTA               (rodriguez ed)GILES EMMANUEL 113 3.50    
 
HAW-7   08/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:12
See original race card.
:213 :451       :574   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  FIRST KITTEN 7 6 68 56½   33½ 13 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 10.00 17% 4.90 5.60 W
8  RACEDAY ATTIRE 6 5 46 34½   22 23 (witthauer joh)HERNANDEZ K 122 15.00 28.80  
3  MISS MELODY 1 1 12½ 13   12 34½ (clay pat)GILES EMMANUEL 117 12.00 4.20  
6  GOLDEN BELL 4 3 33½ 44½   56 47½ (cox h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 1.80 44% 1.30 0.80  
4  LIPLINER 2 2 22½ 23   43½ 58¾ (childers vance)REYES FRANK 122 15.00 25.30  
7  CHROME ATTACK 5 7 58 68½   66¼ 610½ (childers van)TAVARES JAVIER 122 6.00 14% 6.10 6.70  
5  JUST A WONDER 3 4 78½ 712   710¼ 711 (manley steve)ORM CORY 122 8.00 5% 19.00 14.50  
SCR  GET NONE               (rodriguez hugo)PEREZ EDGAR 122 10.00    
SCR  MY LIPS ARE SEALED               (block chris)EMIGH A 122 3.50    
 
HAW-8   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:39
See original race card.
:22 :452 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  WHITE LIES 4 3 47½ 55¾   2½ 1¼ (miller patt)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.50 4.30  
6  ALBERTA SUN 5 1 22 31½   3½ 2¼ (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 122 5.00 54% 0.90 4.10 P
7  SOMEONE SAID SO 6 4 12 11½   1½ 33¼ (rosin w)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00 7.50  
8  SAY CHEESE 7 5 32 21½   42½ 45 (mcdonnell be)TAVARES JAVIER 122 6.00 13% 6.70 2.10  
2  CHAMPAGNE AFFAIR 2 2 69 611¾   77½ 55¼ (rodriguez hu)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 15.00 40.20  
3  BERAVINA 3 7 58 45½   54 66¼ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 6.00 10% 9.10 2.80  
1  RONAN 1 6 710½ 712¾   66 77½ (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 10.00 5% 19.00 30.90  
SCR  OFF RAMP               (rosin)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.