Handicappers' Race Results

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Hawthorne
Thursday - August 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

HAW-1   Win (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $2.80  
HAW-2   Win (2/3/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
HAW-3   Win (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
HAW-4   Win (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $8.80 $8.80 2.80
HAW-5   Win (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  
HAW-6   Win (3/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
HAW-7   Win (6/9/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $13.20 $13.20 5.20
HAW-8   Win (6/8/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $10.60  

Simulator Race results

 
HAW-1   08/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
See original race card.
:25 :482 1:131 1:394   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPICY ITALIAN 2 3 2½ 2nk 1½ 1 1 (catalano m)FELIX E 120 1.40 0.40  
LIL CARRIE D 5 4 4 4 2½ 2 2 (slager mike)ORM CORY 120 4.50 11.90  
PACIFIC VIEW 3 2 3 31 42 3 33 (clay pat)GILES EMMANUEL 115 3.00 60% 0.70 4.40 S
WICKED SKY 4 5 5 5 64 5 410¼ (wainwright )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 8.00 18.40  
VOSTRA 6 6 63 6 53 6 510½ (jones s)TAVARES JAVIER 120 10.00 5% 19.00 21.20  
BORDER STAR 1 1 1½ 1nk 3 45 612½ (manley steve)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 6.00 8% 11.40 13.50  
 
HAW-2   08/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:23 :47 :592     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL MUCHO 4 3 1½ 1½   12 1 (rodriguez hugo)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 3.00 8% 11.20 1.40 W
SMOOTH ATTACK 1 1 41 4   22 2 (childers va)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 4.00 4.90  
J J'S SOLUTION 2 5 8 89   6 3 (rednour jr)LEZCANO ABEL 124 1.80 35% 1.80 2.20 S
FLYING CRICKET 6 4 3½ 2½   3 4 (witthauer john)TAVARES JAVIER 124 15.00 38.90  
GOD GUNS N GUTS 3 7 6 7   5 5 (rodriguez jose)GILES EMMANUEL 119 4.50 32% 2.10 4.60  
PONCHO ATTACK 5 2 2½ 3½   46 612¾ (childers vance)ORM CORY 124 30.00 84.20  
LONE RETURN 8 8 76 67   7 715½ (witthauer k)REYES FRANK 120 10.00 32.10  
JAKES CHANNEL 7 6 54 56   813½ 826½ (rednour john)WEATHERLY BAILEY 110 30.00 5% 19.00 55.80  
 
HAW-3   08/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
See original race card.
:25 :484 1:131 1:394   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MERLOTTI 3 3 2 2 1nk 11 1 (wainwright john)FELIX E 120 1.80 38% 1.60 0.90 W
MINING CAMP 2 1 1 1 2nk 21 2 (slager mike)ORM CORY 124 6.00 12% 7.50 4.80 P
ANCIENT MAN 1 2 3 44 4 46 36 (hughes w)ORTEGA O 124 20.00 14.80  
BLACK RAVEN 4 4 4 3 33 3 4 (perez manny)TAVARES JAVIER 120 4.00 1.60  
SCR  ARCHIE THE GIZA               (medina robert)EMIGH A 124 3.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  ICE AXE               (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 124 3.50    
 
HAW-4   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
See original race card.
:232 :472 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HANDSOFFTHEGOODS 3 6 42 2½   2nk 1 (block chris)COLON H 120 1.80 33% 2.00 3.40 W
XPRESSIR 5 1 1½ 1½   1nk 2 (quinonez max)TAVARES JAVIER 120 10.00 5.70  
CHERRY ORCHARD 1 4 52 6   34 3 (hughes w)GILES EMMANUEL 115 3.00 22% 3.60 3.10 S
JACKPOT BOY 4 5 6 53   6 4 (perez manny)REYES FRANK 124 5.00 10.10  
HOT CUPPA COFFEE 6 2 31 32   5 5 (roussel j)FELIX E 120 2.50 19% 4.20 1.50  
ONE ACE 2 3 2½ 42   4 610¼ (quinonez ma)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 8.00 27.80  
 
HAW-5   08/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Outbound Ike Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
See original race card.
:233 :461 1:102 1:372   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOTARY 1 1 46 3 1nk 1 1 (hernandez armando)FELIX E 114 6.00 7% 12.80 1.90 W
BUCK MOON 4 2 2nk 2nk 3.2 2 2 (rivelli larry)EMIGH A 116 6.00 40% 1.50 1.70 P
GREY STREAK 5 5 1nk 1nk 2nk 34 3 (rodriguez hugo)CENTENO ALEXIS 115 10.00 7.20  
READTHECLIFFNOTES 2 3 35 45 5 45 47 (boyce michele)TAVARES JAVIER 116 5.00 4.50  
SONNY SMACK 3 4 57 5 4 5 523¼ (lund valorie)HERNANDEZ K 116 3.50 24% 3.10 6.80  
SCR  ANOTHER MYSTERY               (block c)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 2.00    
SCR  TEMPER TANTRUM               (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 116 4.50    
 
HAW-6   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:22 :454 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALLY'S SUPRISE 6 3 42 3   2 1½ (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 118 2.50 28% 2.60 1.30 W
CRYSTAL SNOW 3 2 1nk 1nk   1 2½ (cristel j)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 1.80 40% 1.50 1.10 P
SEQUAYA 2 6 6 67   45 3 (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 122 12.00 8.40  
PRIMITY 4 5 5 5   56 4 (wainwright jo)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 8.00 20.90  
HEAVENLY SCENT 1 1 2nk 2nk   32 5 (pompell rob)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 15.00 10% 9.20 11.30  
MAZLAN 5 4 3 44   616 641¼ (witthauer john)TAVARES JAVIER 122 15.00 60.50  
SCR  VISIONISTA               (rodriguez edua)GILES EMMANUEL 113 3.50    
 
HAW-7   08/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:12
See original race card.
:213 :451       :574   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST KITTEN 7 6 68 5   3 13 (meraz antonio)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 10.00 17% 4.90 5.60 W
RACEDAY ATTIRE 6 5 46 3   22 23 (witthauer john )HERNANDEZ K 122 15.00 28.80  
MISS MELODY 1 1 1 13   12 3 (clay pat)GILES EMMANUEL 117 12.00 4.20  
GOLDEN BELL 4 3 3 4   56 4 (cox h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 1.80 44% 1.30 0.80  
LIPLINER 2 2 2 23   4 5 (childers vance)REYES FRANK 122 15.00 25.30  
CHROME ATTACK 5 7 58 6   6 610½ (childers vance)TAVARES JAVIER 122 6.00 14% 6.10 6.70  
JUST A WONDER 3 4 7 712   710¼ 711 (manley steve)ORM CORY 122 8.00 5% 19.00 14.50  
SCR  GET NONE               (rodriguez hugo)PEREZ EDGAR 122 10.00    
SCR  MY LIPS ARE SEALED               (block chris)EMIGH A 122 3.50    
 
HAW-8   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:39
See original race card.
:22 :452 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHITE LIES 4 3 4 5   2½ 1¼ (miller patti )SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.50 4.30  
ALBERTA SUN 5 1 22 3   3½ 2¼ (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 122 5.00 54% 0.90 4.10 P
SOMEONE SAID SO 6 4 12 1   1½ 3 (rosin w)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00 7.50  
SAY CHEESE 7 5 32 2   4 45 (mcdonnell bern)TAVARES JAVIER 122 6.00 13% 6.70 2.10  
CHAMPAGNE AFFAIR 2 2 69 611¾   7 5 (rodriguez hugo)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 15.00 40.20  
BERAVINA 3 7 58 4   54 6 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 122 6.00 10% 9.10 2.80  
RONAN 1 6 710½ 712¾   66 7 (quinonez ma)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 10.00 5% 19.00 30.90  
SCR  OFF RAMP               (rosin c)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 2.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.