Handicappers' Race Results

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Belterra Park
Wednesday - August 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BTP-1   Win (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  
BTP-2   Win (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
BTP-3   Win (3/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
BTP-4   Win (7/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $7.80  
BTP-5   Win (3/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $10.20 $10.20 2.20
BTP-6   Win (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
BTP-7   Win (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
BTP-8   Win (4/7/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $6.20 $6.20  

Simulator Race results

 
BTP-1   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23.7K) 3UP M/F PT-12:05
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:00     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESDEMONA KAY 5 2 1nk 1   11 1 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 120 4.00 5% 19.00 1.90 W
EMERALD EYES 2 4 31 3   21 2 (salcedo ram)CORREA L 120 3.50 3.70  
SISSY'S MAY 3 5 5 5   55 3 (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 124 2.00 67% 0.50 1.60 S
PEARL PEARL PEARL 1 3 4 4   44 410 (butcher james)CALLEJA ANDRES 115 3.00 9% 10.70 4.40  
CABARET FLEUR 4 1 2nk 2   34 515½ (overholt g)LEBRON VICTOR 119 4.50 9.10  
 
BTP-2   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
See original race card.
:223 :461 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTHERN DIAMOND 4 3 2½ 2nk   11 13 (van thomas)MCKEE J 120 3.00 21% 3.90 1.10 W
GOSHEN 3 2 1½ 1nk   21 23 (danner doug)CORREA L 118 3.50 3.90  
CLEVER TALE 2 1 4 4   4 3 (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 120 1.60 32% 2.10 2.00 S
E STREET ANGEL 5 4 33 31   3 4 (douglass d)STRANDBERG MALLORY 120 4.00 6.40  
ROSE RING 1 5 5 5   5 5 (zircher rober)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 4.50 15% 5.80 11.30  
 
BTP-3   08/16/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:244 :50 1:142 1:264   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TALK RADIO 3 3 32 42 2 3.2 1¼ (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 2.50 37% 1.70 0.70 W
TRAUMARAMA 4 2 21 21 3 2nk 2¼ (patrick gary)MCKEE J 120 3.50 3.50  
I LIKEM 5 5 42 31 4 4 3¾ (shetron phyllis)LEBRON VICTOR 120 6.00 17% 5.00 7.60 S
CALTHA 6 6 11 11 1 1nk 4 (bates l)BUSH V 122 4.50 12% 7.30 7.30  
EMBARRASSING 2 4 6 53 5 5 511 (rodriguez hugo)LOPEZ E 120 8.00 5.00  
FIVE QUEENS 1 1 53 6 6 6 616¾ (adams l)MARCANO Y 115 12.00 29.70  
SCR  FORGLO               (nocero carm)CORREA L 120 4.00    
 
BTP-4   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:223 :463 :591     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY TALLULAH 4 3 4 2nk   1 1 (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 120 3.00 2.90  
MUCHA 7 2 6 32   3 2 (drury jr)MCKEE J 120 2.00 47% 1.10 1.50 P
UNREGRETTED 1 6 2½ 1nk   2 3 (caramori eduard)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 120 4.50 10.70 S
AUNTJOBUSINESS 3 4 3½ 54   4 417¼ (austin steven)PANAIJO JORGE 120 12.00 30% 2.40 6.90  
AADYA 5 1 1½ 43   5 519¼ (bush s)BUSH V 124 4.00 4.20  
GRACE'S GIFT 2 5 5 6   612½ 639¼ (ramos )PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 15.00 6.00  
LITTLE RIOT GRRL 6 7 711½ 713½   720½ 744¾ (obert danielle)STEVENS C 120 10.00 5% 19.00 36.10  
 
BTP-5   08/16/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:12 1:372   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMANDA'S CHALLENGE 6 5 6 5 42 21 11 (molloy thomas)HEARD TYLER 119 6.00 23% 3.40 4.10 W
BRIC A BRAC 1 2 4 3 31 3 21 (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 119 4.00 6.70  
OUR FLAG FLYING 3 3 2nk 2nk 2nk 11 3 (vaughan edward)MCKEE J 119 2.00 27% 2.70 0.90 S
HONEYTOWN 5 4 31 42 53 5 4 (anderson susan )LEBRON VICTOR 124 4.50 9.80  
SWIGERT 2 1 1nk 1nk 1nk 4 5 (caramori eduard)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 3.50 27% 2.70 6.60  
WILMA 4 6 5 6 6 6 610½ (corrigan ji)CORREA L 119 12.00 11.10  
PLEASANT SKY 7 7 7 711¾ 712½ 717½ 722¾ (margolis stephen)ELLIOTT JANE 119 8.00 5% 19.00 9.90  
 
BTP-6   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:003     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISCOUNT DENNIS 1 6 5 3   1½ 1¾ (wittek karyn)OUZTS W 124 2.50 14% 6.30 1.10 W
TROY BOY 6 1 3.2 12   2½ 2¾ (coomer philip)CANUTO THIAGO 124 3.50 8% 12.00 2.40 P
GUS GUS 5 2 4 22   32 3¾ (helmbrecht will)LEBRON VICTOR 124 3.00 56% 0.80 2.20 S
LET'S GO JOHN 4 4 6 6   56 4 (haehn r)BUSH V 124 5.00 43.60  
HICKORY BILL 2 5 1nk 45   46 513¾ (rodak geraldi)JIMENEZ J 124 6.00 40.70  
TOMMY POINT 3 3 2nk 57   610½ 621½ (helmbrecht wil)MARCANO Y 119 4.00 8.60  
 
BTP-7   08/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:111     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LET'S BE CLEAR 2 6 53 5   33 1¾ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 2.00 31% 2.20 0.50 W
SONADOR 6 1 1nk 1   1 2¾ (hernan)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 121 4.00 9.70  
BUCKEYE BLING 3 3 6 6   44 32 (greenhill jeff)OUZTS W 121 3.50 13% 6.70 6.90 S
A LOT OF SPUNK 1 5 3 3   2 4 (foley greg)MCKEE J 121 5.00 29% 2.50 4.30  
SEAWARD 5 2 2nk 2   57 510¾ (hernandez javie)CANUTO THIAGO 121 8.00 16.90  
CANADA CANDY 4 4 42 4   68 614¾ (sims p)ACHARD ALEX 121 6.00 7.50  
 
BTP-8   08/16/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:13 1:253   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUNLEATHER AL 6 6 31 32 22 22 1 (cowans d)ACHARD ALEX 120 3.50 17% 4.80 2.10 W
SOUTHERN BREEZE 2 2 21 2½ 12 12 2 (ramos rafael)REYES R 124 12.00 6% 15.10 1.40 P
JARED THE WARRIOR 5 4 6 6 45 3 3 (mcvickers l)CORREA L 120 2.50 9.20  
RAGING WHIRLWIND 4 5 5 42 55 4 49 (chain pearl)PANAIJO JORGE 124 6.00 51% 1.00 10.30  
MR YETTIE 7 7 7 7 79 610½ 511½ (reed r)MCKEE J 124 8.00 5% 19.00 7.00  
MIGHTY RIOT 1 1 11 1½ 33 5 614¾ (murphy conor)ELLIOTT JANE 124 5.00 5.40  
PINK SOLITAIRE 3 3 4 5 68 714½ 723 (kendall elise)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 115 12.00 41.20  
SCR  RURAL               (preston randy)CALLEJA ANDRES 119 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.