Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Wednesday - August 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(2/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(2/4/1)-(3/6/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-2   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(3/6/7)-(7/3/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-3   WIN (3/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/7)-(3/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/7)-(3/6/7)-(3/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7)-(7/3/6)-(3/2/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-4   WIN (7/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/6)-(7/3/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/6)-(7/3/1/6)-(7/3/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/6)-(3/2/6/7)-(5/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-5   WIN (3/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/6/7)-(3/2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/6/7)-(3/2/6/7)-(3/2/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6/7)-(5/1/6)-(2/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-6   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6)-(2/1/3)-(4/7/2/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-7   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(4/7/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BTP-8   WIN (4/7/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/2/8)-(4/7/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/2/8)-(4/7/2/8)-(4/7/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23.7K) 3UP M/F PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEARL PEARL PEARL Jul20         (butcher jame)CALLEJA ANDRES 115 3.00 9% 10.70    
  (by BIONDETTI out of CARSON'S PEARL by CARSON CITY)
2  EMERALD EYES Jul19 Jun30 Jun09 May24 May11 (salcedo r)CORREA L 120 3.50    
  (by TOUGH IT UP out of CAPE VERDE by CAPE BLANCO)
3  SISSY'S MAY Aug05 Jul20 Jun24 May24 May17 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 124 2.00 67% 0.50    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of MRS. BOYD by PROUD CITIZEN)
4  CABARET FLEUR Aug03 Jul20 Jun24 Jun10 May11 (overholt pau)MARCANO Y 119 4.50    
  (by MIXMASTER out of SHINE A SPOTLIGHT by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
5  DESDEMONA KAY Aug03 Jul20 Jun24 Jun08 May24 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of LIPSTICK STAIN by ARROMANCHES)
 
BTP-2   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROSE RING Jun15 May24 May02 Mar29 Feb21 (zircher rob)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 4.50 15% 5.80    
2  CLEVER TALE Jul26 Jun09 May13 Feb10 Jan04 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 1.60 32% 2.10    
3  GOSHEN Aug02 Jul12 Jun15 Jun06 May25 (danner do)CORREA L 118 3.50    
4  NORTHERN DIAMOND Jan25 Dec29 Sep28 Sep02 Aug14 (van thomas)MCKEE J 120 3.00 21% 3.90    
5  E STREET ANGEL Aug05 Aug01 Jul15 Nov11 Nov01 (douglass)STRANDBERG MALLORY 120 4.00    
 
BTP-3   08/16/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIVE QUEENS Aug03 Jul21 Jul05 Jun21 Jun03 (adams nancy )MARCANO Y 115 12.00    
2  EMBARRASSING Jul30 Jun21 Jun04 Nov20 Oct08 (rodriguez hugo)LOPEZ E 120 8.00    
3  TALK RADIO Aug05 Jul13 Jun08 May17 Apr13 (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  FORGLO Aug05 Jul08 Jun22 Jun08 May17 (nocero ca)CORREA L 120 4.00    
5  TRAUMARAMA Jul21 Jul01 Jun21 Oct05 Sep13 (patrick gary)MCKEE J 120 3.50    
6  I LIKEM Jul27 Mar11 Feb10 Jan14 Jan04 (shetron phyll)LEBRON VICTOR 120 6.00 17% 5.00    
7  CALTHA Jul27 Jul06 Jun03 Apr15 Mar30 (bates l)BUSH V 122 4.50 12% 7.30    
 
BTP-4   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNREGRETTED         (caramori edua)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 120 4.50 ★    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of RAMBLING RHONDA by TAPIZAR)
2  GRACE'S GIFT Jul15         (ramo)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 15.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of MISS LARKSPUR by MORE THAN READY)
3  AUNTJOBUSINESS Aug03         (austin steven)PANAIJO JORGE 120 12.00 30% 2.40    
  (by NORMANDY INVASION out of QUEEN MARY J by EINSTEIN (BRZ))
4  MY TALLULAH Jul29 Jun23 Apr07     (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 120 3.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of CHIT CHATTER by LOST SOLDIER)
5  AADYA Jul29         (bush s)BUSH V 124 4.00    
  (by PROTONICO out of ROCKHARD LADY by ROCK HARD TEN)
6  LITTLE RIOT GRRL         (obert danielle)STEVENS C 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by REVOLUTIONARY out of RUUD GRRL by VAN NISTELROOY)
7  MUCHA Jul20 Jun30       (drury jr)MCKEE J 120 2.00 47% 1.10    
  (by BLAME out of EXTENT by PULPIT)
 
BTP-5   08/16/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRIC A BRAC Jul12 Jun08 May18     (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 119 4.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of SENADA by PULPIT)
2  SWIGERT Aug03 May17 Mar23 Feb11 Dec22 (caramori edua)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 3.50 27% 2.70    
  (by TEXAS RED out of NOSSA VEZ by WAR CHANT)
3  OUR FLAG FLYING Jul26 Mar30 Mar10 Feb12 Jan15 (vaughan edward)MCKEE J 119 2.00 27% 2.70    
  (by UNION RAGS out of GHOSTLY WIN by GHOSTZAPPER)
4  WILMA Jun14         (corrigan )CORREA L 119 12.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of REVELSTOKE by MONASHEE MOUNTAIN)
5  HONEYTOWN Jun06 May10 Feb24 Jan26   (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 124 4.50    
  (by MSHAWISH out of CROSS STREET by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
6  AMANDA'S CHALLENGE Jul08 Feb02 Jan08     (molloy thomas)HEARD TYLER 119 6.00 23% 3.40    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of ARCINA by ARCH)
7  PLEASANT SKY         (margolis steph)ELLIOTT JANE 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of MEISTER LEGEND by BODEMEISTER)
 
BTP-6   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISCOUNT DENNIS Aug03 Jun15 May19 Aug02 Jul13 (wittek karyn)OUZTS W 124 2.50 14% 6.30    
2  HICKORY BILL Aug03 Jul22 Jul06 Jun21 Jun04 (rodak geral)JIMENEZ J 124 6.00    
3  TOMMY POINT Oct06 Sep13 Aug19 Aug02 Jun24 (helmbrecht w)MARCANO Y 119 4.00    
4  LET'S GO JOHN Aug03 Oct18 Sep28 Aug04 Jul20 (haehn r)BUSH V 124 5.00    
5  GUS GUS Aug04 Jul06 Jun23 Jun15 Jun07 (helmbrecht wi)LEBRON VICTOR 124 3.00 56% 0.80    
6  TROY BOY Aug03 Jun23 Jun07 May06 Apr01 (coomer philip)CANUTO THIAGO 124 3.50 8% 12.00    
 
BTP-7   08/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A LOT OF SPUNK Jun29 Mar05 Jan26 Jan02 Nov05 (foley greg)MCKEE J 121 5.00 29% 2.50    
2  LET'S BE CLEAR Jul08 Jun14 Mar31 Dec15 Nov13 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 2.00 31% 2.20    
3  BUCKEYE BLING Jul22 Jun23 Jan19 Dec15 Oct29 (greenhill jeff)OUZTS W 121 3.50 13% 6.70    
4  CANADA CANDY Jul26 Jun14 May16 May09 Apr26 (sims p)ACHARD ALEX 121 6.00    
5  SEAWARD Aug05 Jul26 Jun22 Jun11 May31 (hernandez jav)CANUTO THIAGO 121 8.00    
6  SONADOR Jun17 May20 May02 Apr13 Sep25 (hern)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 121 4.00    
 
BTP-8   08/16/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIGHTY RIOT Jan26 Jan05 Oct26 Oct03   (murphy conor)ELLIOTT JANE 124 5.00    
2  SOUTHERN BREEZE Oct16 Jul17 Jul01 Jun09 May14 (ramos rafael)REYES R 124 12.00 6% 15.10    
3  PINK SOLITAIRE Jun30         (kendall elise)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 115 12.00    
4  RAGING WHIRLWIND Aug02 Jun30 May31 May06 Apr19 (chain pearl)PANAIJO JORGE 124 6.00 51% 1.00    
SCR  RURAL Jul26 Jul07 Jun17 Apr28 Feb22 (preston rand)CALLEJA ANDRES 119 4.00    
6  JARED THE WARRIOR Jul20 Jun26 Jun10 May30 Jan07 (mcvickers)CORREA L 120 2.50    
7  GUNLEATHER AL Oct18         (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 120 3.50 17% 4.80    
8  MR YETTIE Jul23 May09       (reed r)MCKEE J 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.