Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Will Rogers Downs
Tuesday - May 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WRD-2   EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-3 $14.40 $2.40 20%
WRD-7   WIN (3/9/5/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00  5 $12.20 $2.20 22%
WRD-8   DD (3/9/5/1/7)-(8/7/2) 15 $2.00 $30.00  5-2 $31.40 $1.40 5%
WRD-9   WIN (3/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $13.20 $5.20 65%
    EXA (3/5/6/7)-(3/5/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00  7-6 $60.00 $36.00 150%
    TRI (3/5/6/7)-(3/5/6/7)-(3/5/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  7-6-5 $45.20 $33.20 277%
    DD (8/7/2)-(3/5/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00  2-7 $27.00 $3.00 13%
    PK3 (3/9/5/1/7)-(8/7/2)-(3/5/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00  5-2-7 $59.30 $29.30 98%
Simulator Race results
 
WRD-1   05/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:46       :58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MARIA ELENA Y. G 4 1 1nk 12½   16 19½ (morales arnold)MORA GERARDO 124 1.00 42% 1.40 0.30 W
1  HEY ROXY 1 2 2nk 22½   26 29½ (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 4.00 17.10 DH
3  NAUGHTY NATALIE 3 4 53 55½   48 29½ (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 124 3.00 11% 8.40 3.80 P
5  SUNDAY'S VISION 5 5 42½ 32½   36½ 410½ (ibarra jose)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 3.50 27% 2.80 7.10  
2  MISS TYRO 2 3 32 44   58½ 516 (ibarra jose)LINDSAY CHAD 124 15.00 14.00  
 
WRD-2   05/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
See original race card.
1:032         1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  FAR FROM FINAL 5 1 11½ 1½   14½ 17¼ (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 2.50 22% 3.60 1.40 W
3  MESSAGE DISCIPLINE 3 3 43½ 34½   34½ 27¼ (martin steve)SANCHEZ OBED 124 3.50 21% 3.80 2.70 P
6  LUCKY MCCOY 6 5 21½ 2½   24½ 39¼ (merrick d)MORA GERARDO 124 8.00 13.90  
2  MAGNET AND STEEL 2 4 55½ 66½   46 49½ (williams alan)COLLIER T 124 4.00 5.00  
1  WEST JET 1 6 66 56   56½ 59¾ (caster boyd)JORDAN R 118 3.00 22% 3.60 3.90  
4  FREEDOM FLASH 4 2 32½ 45   611½ 621 (hardy edw)TRIANA JR 124 5.00 7.50  
 
WRD-3   05/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:243 :482 1:132     1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRODIE BABY 1 4 1½ 1½ 2½ 2½ 1½ (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 4.00 10.30  
2  CANADA CANDY 2 1 2½ 2½ 1½ 1½ 2½ (young sco)TRIANA JR 124 1.00 39% 1.60 0.10 P
5  SMOKIN' OKIE 5 5 46 44 32½ 33 33 (padilla ju)ERAMIA E 124 5.00 16% 5.30 10.70 S
3  OH NIKI 3 2 34 33 43 45 46¾ (swan patrick)JORDAN R 124 8.00 9% 9.90 17.60  
4  CON SUERTE 4 3 56½ 55 54½ 55½ 57¾ (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 124 3.00 6.00  
 
WRD-4   05/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
See original race card.
:224 :461 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MARCH WEST 3 4 41¾ 2½   11 12¾ (buehrer m)TRIANA JR 124 2.00 23% 3.40 1.00 W
2  G'S STORM 2 3 31½ 41½   33 22¾ (dixon tim)ERAMIA E 124 10.00 17.00  
6  ROBERT WHO 6 1 1nk 1½   21 33 (hartman alex)KIMES C 124 2.50 20% 3.90 2.80 S
1  DEL MOON 1 5 63¾ 63¼   54½ 45 (donaldson)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 20.00 60.80  
7  MAJOR GRIFFIN 7 7 88¼ 74¾   65½ 55¼ (camillo ang)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 6.00 11.30  
4  FROGGY 4 8 76¾ 85¾   76 66¼ (williams steve)LINDSAY CHAD 124 20.00 66.30  
8  TERAWATT 8 2 53¼ 51¾   44 78¾ (padilla juan)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 3.00 36% 1.70 3.00  
5  ORNERY AS HELL 5 6 2nk 31½   87 811¼ (moreno carlos)LANDEROS C 124 15.00 ★ 21.90  
 
WRD-5   05/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:23 :574       1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MESA MOON 5 5 55½ 32½   1nk 13¼ (williams al)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 1.80 21% 3.90 2.20 W
1  CONNORS OUTLAW 1 4 2½ 21½   3.2 23¼ (craddock k)ERAMIA E 115 2.00 0.90  
4  SHANNON C 4 2 1½ 11½   2nk 34 (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 2.00 36% 1.80 3.10 S
2  JUST A IRISH LAD 2 3 45 54½   43¼ 49 (oberlander j)JORDAN R 121 6.00 7.90  
3  WRANGLERED 3 1 32 44   55¼ 512¾ (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 121 12.00 12% 7.20 24.50  
 
WRD-6   05/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Cherokee Nation Classic Cup Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:122     1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  NUMBER ONE DUDE 4 2 32½ 21 1nk 12½ 18¼ (young s)GONCALVES R 121 1.40 35% 1.90 0.05 W
  (by AMERICAN LION out of EBONY UNO by MACHO UNO)
2  COWBOY MISCHIEF 2 3 58 57½ 32 22½ 28¼ (young e)SANCHEZ OBED 118 3.00 14% 6.40 6.90 P
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of LADY JENSEN by BOB AND JOHN)
5  TOMMYHAWK 5 6 68½ 68 44½ 33 38¾ (swango rand)WETHEY JR 118 3.50 29% 2.50 13.70 S
  (by KICK ON out of SARON'S TIME by TIMEBANK)
3  I'M CRENSHAW 3 4 45 44½ 55 44 411¾ (bravo fra)TRIANA JR 118 8.00 31.20  
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of QUICK AS A WINK by BROKEN VOW)
6  ROWDY RASCAL 6 1 2½ 11 2nk 54½ 515 (caster boyd)BIRZER E 121 5.00 18.50  
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of DANCING DIVA by OBLIGATO)
1  UNITED PATRIOT 1 5 1½ 31½ 66½ 612½ 632¼ (martin ste)ERAMIA E 118 12.00 28.60  
  (by FLAT OUT out of KIM D by WITH APPROVAL)
 
WRD-7   05/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:122     1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ABSAROKA 5 4 11½ 12 12 1½ 1nk (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 121 5.00 15% 5.90 5.10 W
2  DRIFTING WEST 2 8 74¾ 78 66 42½ 2nk (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 121 3.00 3.70  
6  BOX SEAT 6 1 31½ 32 22 2½ 3½ (caster boyd)KIMES C 121 6.00 8.70  
4  SHANGHAI SKIPPER 4 7 53¼ 55½ 44½ 53 41¾ (trett donald)HEBERT LINDSEY 116 20.00 41.80  
1  CANEY'S GHOST 1 5 21½ 22 33 31½ 52½ (moreno carl)WETHEY JR 121 6.00 12% 7.30 6.30  
3  ROCKPORT KAT 3 6 85¾ 88¼ 76 63½ 65 (luneack t)TRIANA JR 121 2.50 28% 2.50 1.80  
9  FIRE EXTINGUISHER 9 3 63¾ 66 55½ 74½ 79 (bravo francis)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 6.00 15% 5.80 15.30  
7  VERRAZANO FIRST 7 2 41¾ 42½ 810 812½ 851½ (morales a)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 121 15.00 5% 19.00 5.30  
8  MAYFAIR HEIGHTS 8 9 9100 9100 9100 9100 9100 (espiritu lucio)GOFF L 121 30.00 68.20  
 
WRD-8   05/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
See original race card.
:23 :471       1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GIT AROUND BROWN 1 3 11½ 12   16 14 (moreno carlos)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 15.00 8% 11.40 1.40 W
9  CLINTON QUARINTINO 5 2 47 410   37½ 24 (pruitt jody )HEBERT LINDSEY 118 6.00 3.90  
8  MISTER TYRO 4 1 21½ 22   26 36¼ (oberlander)ERAMIA E 118 3.50 32% 2.10 1.40 S
3  EASTER JIM 2 4 33½ 35   48 410½ (oberlander j)JORDAN R 118 15.00 9.70  
7  J BOB 3 5 58½ 511½   514 520¾ (gunter michael)LANDEROS C 124 12.00 13% 6.60 9.10  
SCR  HOMEGROWN LEGEND               (box c)MORA GERARDO 124 5.00    
SCR  MAHOMEITE               (martin st)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 20.00    
SCR  MATTFOLEYVANMAN               (ashford ray)BIRZER E 118 2.50    
SCR  ST PATRICKS SWORD               (moreno ca)TRIANA JR 124 4.00    
 
WRD-9   05/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST More Than Even Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:12
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:133     1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GOTTA SEE RED 7 2 42½ 31½ 2nk 1nk 11 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 118 5.00 7% 12.50 5.60 W
  (by POLLARD'S VISION out of GOTAGOGOTAGOGOTAGO by KIPLING)
6  KACHINA 6 3 21 2nk 1nk 2nk 21 (craddock ka)WETHEY JR 118 6.00 19% 4.20 5.30 P
  (by POLLARD'S VISION out of MUDLAFF CHARLIE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
5  DICEY 5 5 64½ 62¾ 4¼ 31 33 (swan patrick)JORDAN R 121 1.80 25% 3.00 1.70 S
  (by FLAT OUT out of BROKEN BLUES by BROKEN VOW)
1  FIGHTINGTEMPTATION 1 4 32½ 41¾ 71¾ 52¼ 43½ (williams alan)BIRZER E 121 5.00 5.80  
  (by TACTICAL CAT out of SILVER SHARE by SILVER CHARM)
3  PLENTY OF VISION 3 7 74¾ 73¼ 61¼ 42 55 (young sco)TRIANA JR 121 3.00 25% 3.00 2.60  
  (by POLLARD'S VISION out of PLENTY by BOUNDARY)
2  RAINBOWS ARE FREE 2 6 53 52¼ 5¾ 62¾ 65¼ (caster boyd)KIMES C 118 15.00 26.60  
  (by BLUESKIESNRAINBOWS out of SYNERSIS by WITH APPROVAL)
4  CHILLAXIFICATION 4 1 11 1nk 3.2 74¼ 713½ (young scot)ERAMIA E 118 8.00 9.60  
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of SHEZAFASIONISTA by FASHION FIND)
 
WRD-10   05/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:42
See original race card.
:224 :464 :593     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SHUTUP PLEASE 2 5 1½ 2½   1½ 11½ (dixon tim)LINDSAY CHAD 118 8.00 7.20  
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of SHUTUPANDDANCE by BRASSY WELLS)
4  HAUNTED DREAM (IRE) 4 8 63½ 51¼   31 21½ (young scott)WETHEY JR 118 6.00 ★ 2.60 P
  (by OASIS DREAM out of RED HALO by GALILEO)
6  GRACE THE LADY 6 2 2½ 1½   2½ 32½ (padilla j)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 10.00 29% 2.50 20.60 S
  (by HAKASSAN out of BALLAROMMA by BALLADO CHIEFTAN)
5  JADE ENVY 5 1 74½ 72¾   43 44¾ (offolter j)ERAMIA E 124 8.00 13.00  
  (by CUPID out of HALO AHEAD by KITTEN'S JOY)
3  DARETOCATCHLOVE 3 7 810½ 86¾   53½ 56½ (espiritu luc)HEBERT LINDSEY 113 20.00 44.50  
  (by DAAREB out of DARE TO LOVE by ZENSATIONAL)
8  ELENA MAE 8 4 42 41   64½ 613 (young sco)TRIANA JR 118 5.00 ★ 4.80  
  (by UPSTART out of NAPLES GOLD by LANGFUHR)
7  DODGEBALL 7 3 31 3½   75 721¾ (luneack sue)KIMES C 118 2.50 43% 1.30 1.00  
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of TETHERBALL by PROUD CITIZEN)
1  LISTEN DISTINCTLY 1 6 52 62¼   86 827 (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 124 8.00 37.90  
  (by EUROEARS out of MNMSSWEEPINBEAUTY by WITH DISTINCTION)
SCR  I BILEVE               (swan patrick)JORDAN R 118 4.00    
  (by BLAME out of SKY GARDEN by ACCLAMATION)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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