Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Will Rogers Downs
Tuesday - May 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WRD-1   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(1/5/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(2/5/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
WRD-2   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(2/5/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(8/3/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
WRD-3   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(8/3/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(8/3/6)-(4/5/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
WRD-4   WIN (8/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/6)-(8/3/6/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (8/3/6)-(8/3/6/5)-(8/3/6/5) 18 $1.00 $9.00 
    DD (8/3/6)-(4/5/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (8/3/6)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
WRD-5   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(4/5/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(4/5/2)-(3/9/5/1/7) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
WRD-6   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(3/9/5/1/7) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(3/9/5/1/7)-(8/7/2) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
WRD-7   WIN (3/9/5/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/9/5/1/7)-(3/9/5/1/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (3/9/5/1/7)-(3/9/5/1/7)-(3/9/5/1/7) 60 $1.00 $30.00 
    DD (3/9/5/1/7)-(8/7/2) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (3/9/5/1/7)-(8/7/2)-(3/5/6/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
WRD-8   WIN (8/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/2)-(8/7/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/2)-(8/7/2)-(8/7/2) 6 $1.00 $3.00 
    DD (8/7/2)-(3/5/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (8/7/2)-(3/5/6/7)-(7/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
WRD-9   WIN (3/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/6/7)-(3/5/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/5/6/7)-(3/5/6/7)-(3/5/6/7) 24 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/6/7)-(7/6) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
WRD-10   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/6)-(7/6/8/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6)-(7/6/8/4)-(7/6/8/4) 12 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WRD-1   05/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEY ROXY Nov30 Nov08 Oct24 Oct03 Sep13 (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 4.00    
2  MISS TYRO Mar28 Jul19 Jun14 May02 Apr25 (ibarra jose)LINDSAY CHAD 124 15.00    
3  NAUGHTY NATALIE Apr25 Mar28 Mar14 Feb26 Feb04 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 124 3.00 11% 8.40    
4  MARIA ELENA Y. G May02 Apr04 Mar27 Sep02 Jun20 (morales arnold)MORA GERARDO 124 1.00 42% 1.40    
5  SUNDAY'S VISION Apr11 Jun13 May11 Apr27 Apr13 (ibarra jose)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 3.50 27% 2.80    
 
WRD-2   05/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEST JET Apr25 Feb18 Jan27 Jan14 Dec07 (caster boyd)JORDAN R 118 3.00 22% 3.60    
2  MAGNET AND STEEL Apr26 Mar27 Mar14 Jan02   (williams alan)COLLIER T 124 4.00    
3  MESSAGE DISCIPLINE Apr26 Apr03 Mar14 Feb10 Jan15 (martin steve)SANCHEZ OBED 124 3.50 21% 3.80    
4  FREEDOM FLASH Dec10 Sep23 Sep03 Jul31 Jul07 (hardy edw)TRIANA JR 124 5.00    
5  FAR FROM FINAL Apr16 Mar11 Feb10 Jan15 Nov23 (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 2.50 22% 3.60    
6  LUCKY MCCOY Apr24 Mar28 Mar14 Feb26 Feb12 (merrick d)MORA GERARDO 124 8.00    
 
WRD-3   05/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRODIE BABY Apr26 Mar20 Feb20 Feb03 Jan07 (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 4.00    
2  CANADA CANDY Apr26 Apr04 Oct21 Sep23 Sep10 (young sco)TRIANA JR 124 1.00 39% 1.60    
3  OH NIKI Apr26 Mar27 Mar13 Dec17 Dec10 (swan patrick)JORDAN R 124 8.00 9% 9.90    
4  CON SUERTE Apr26 Mar20 Dec10 Nov19 Oct26 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 124 3.00    
5  SMOKIN' OKIE Apr26 Mar20 Nov21 Oct22 Sep30 (padilla ju)ERAMIA E 124 5.00 16% 5.30    
 
WRD-4   05/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEL MOON Apr24 Apr12 Mar27 Mar07 Feb10 (donaldson)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 20.00    
2  G'S STORM Apr12 Mar27 Jan21 Jan06 Dec14 (dixon tim)ERAMIA E 124 10.00    
3  MARCH WEST Apr25         (buehrer m)TRIANA JR 124 2.00 23% 3.40    
4  FROGGY Apr11 Mar28 Mar06 Dec01 Nov08 (williams steve)LINDSAY CHAD 124 20.00    
5  ORNERY AS HELL Mar27 Mar06 Jul19 Jul05 Mar21 (moreno carlos)LANDEROS C 124 15.00 ★    
6  ROBERT WHO Apr25 Mar27 Mar13 Dec02 Nov22 (hartman alex)KIMES C 124 2.50 20% 3.90    
7  MAJOR GRIFFIN Apr24 Apr05 Mar27 Mar21 Mar07 (camillo ang)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 6.00    
8  TERAWATT Apr25 Apr11 Mar27 Mar07 Dec16 (padilla juan)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 3.00 36% 1.70    
 
WRD-5   05/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONNORS OUTLAW Apr25 Apr04 Mar14 Feb05 Nov30 (craddock k)ERAMIA E 115 2.00    
2  JUST A IRISH LAD Dec15 Nov15 Oct26 Sep29 Sep10 (oberlander j)JORDAN R 121 6.00    
3  WRANGLERED Apr24 Apr03 May09 Apr06   (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 121 12.00 12% 7.20    
4  SHANNON C Apr23 Mar28 Mar07 Oct21 Sep23 (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 2.00 36% 1.80    
5  MESA MOON Apr25 Mar28 Dec01 Nov11 Oct21 (williams al)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 1.80 21% 3.90    
 
WRD-6   05/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Cherokee Nation Classic Cup Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNITED PATRIOT Apr12 Mar27 Mar13 Dec16 Nov25 (martin ste)ERAMIA E 118 12.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of KIM D by WITH APPROVAL)
2  COWBOY MISCHIEF Apr26 Apr05 Mar05 Dec02 Nov11 (young e)SANCHEZ OBED 118 3.00 14% 6.40    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of LADY JENSEN by BOB AND JOHN)
3  I'M CRENSHAW Mar14 Dec14 Nov25 Sep29 Sep10 (bravo fra)TRIANA JR 118 8.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of QUICK AS A WINK by BROKEN VOW)
4  NUMBER ONE DUDE Apr07 Feb18 Jan29 Dec17 Nov21 (young s)GONCALVES R 121 1.40 35% 1.90    
  (by AMERICAN LION out of EBONY UNO by MACHO UNO)
5  TOMMYHAWK Apr25 Mar28 Mar07 Nov11 Oct21 (swango rand)WETHEY JR 118 3.50 29% 2.50    
  (by KICK ON out of SARON'S TIME by TIMEBANK)
6  ROWDY RASCAL Apr05 Mar13 Dec17 Nov11 Sep23 (caster boyd)BIRZER E 121 5.00    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of DANCING DIVA by OBLIGATO)
 
WRD-7   05/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANEY'S GHOST Apr26 Apr12 Mar27 Mar14 Dec17 (moreno carl)WETHEY JR 121 6.00 12% 7.30    
2  DRIFTING WEST Feb17 Jan07 Nov21 Jun16 May23 (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 121 3.00    
3  ROCKPORT KAT Apr03 Mar20 Mar06 Nov25 Nov02 (luneack t)TRIANA JR 121 2.50 28% 2.50    
4  SHANGHAI SKIPPER         (trett donald)HEBERT LINDSEY 116 20.00    
5  ABSAROKA Apr24 Mar28 Dec01 Nov08 Oct21 (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 121 5.00 15% 5.90    
6  BOX SEAT Apr05 Nov08 Aug19 Jun21 May16 (caster boyd)KIMES C 121 6.00    
7  VERRAZANO FIRST Apr24 Sep20 Aug21 Jul24 Jul04 (morales a)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  MAYFAIR HEIGHTS Apr12 Apr03 Mar20 Mar06 Sep25 (espiritu lucio)GOFF L 121 30.00    
9  FIRE EXTINGUISHER Apr24 Apr11 Mar27 May25 Apr13 (bravo francis)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 6.00 15% 5.80    
 
WRD-8   05/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ST PATRICKS SWORD Apr11 Mar14 Dec08 Dec01 Nov05 (moreno ca)TRIANA JR 124 4.00    
2  GIT AROUND BROWN Apr25 Apr11 Mar13     (moreno carlos)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 15.00 8% 11.40    
3  EASTER JIM Apr11 Mar28 Mar14 Mar07 Dec16 (oberlander j)JORDAN R 118 15.00    
SCR  MAHOMEITE Apr11 Jul18 Jul05 Jun20 Jun06 (martin st)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 20.00    
SCR  HOMEGROWN LEGEND May02 Dec16 Dec07 Nov19 Nov05 (box c)MORA GERARDO 124 5.00    
SCR  MATTFOLEYVANMAN Apr16 Mar23 Mar09 Jan20 Dec07 (ashford ray)BIRZER E 118 2.50    
7  J BOB Mar30         (gunter michael)LANDEROS C 124 12.00 13% 6.60    
8  MISTER TYRO Apr11 Mar21 Mar07 Dec16 Dec02 (oberlander)ERAMIA E 118 3.50 32% 2.10    
9  CLINTON QUARINTINO Apr11 Mar21 Dec16 Nov14 Oct26 (pruitt m)SANCHEZ OBED 118 6.00    
 
WRD-9   05/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST More Than Even Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIGHTINGTEMPTATION Apr25 Mar27 Mar13 Dec17 Nov21 (williams alan)BIRZER E 121 5.00    
  (by TACTICAL CAT out of SILVER SHARE by SILVER CHARM)
2  RAINBOWS ARE FREE Apr26 Apr10 Mar21 Oct27 Oct01 (caster boyd)KIMES C 118 15.00    
  (by BLUESKIESNRAINBOWS out of SYNERSIS by WITH APPROVAL)
3  PLENTY OF VISION Mar27 Dec17 Nov21 Oct21 Sep23 (young sco)TRIANA JR 121 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by POLLARD'S VISION out of PLENTY by BOUNDARY)
4  CHILLAXIFICATION Apr11 Mar24 Feb17 Dec17 Nov21 (young scot)ERAMIA E 118 8.00    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of SHEZAFASIONISTA by FASHION FIND)
5  DICEY Apr24 Mar27 Mar06 Dec17 Nov11 (swan patrick)JORDAN R 121 1.80 25% 3.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of BROKEN BLUES by BROKEN VOW)
6  KACHINA Apr26 Mar27 Nov21 Nov08 Oct21 (craddock ka)WETHEY JR 118 6.00 19% 4.20    
  (by POLLARD'S VISION out of MUDLAFF CHARLIE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
7  GOTTA SEE RED Apr25 Mar27 Sep28 Jun18 May02 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 118 5.00 7% 12.50    
  (by POLLARD'S VISION out of GOTAGOGOTAGOGOTAGO by KIPLING)
 
WRD-10   05/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LISTEN DISTINCTLY Apr25         (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 124 8.00    
  (by EUROEARS out of MNMSSWEEPINBEAUTY by WITH DISTINCTION)
2  SHUTUP PLEASE Apr28         (dixon tim)LINDSAY CHAD 118 8.00    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of SHUTUPANDDANCE by BRASSY WELLS)
3  DARETOCATCHLOVE         (espiritu luc)HEBERT LINDSEY 113 20.00    
  (by DAAREB out of DARE TO LOVE by ZENSATIONAL)
4  HAUNTED DREAM (IRE)         (young e)SANCHEZ OBED 118 6.00 ★    
  (by OASIS DREAM out of RED HALO by GALILEO)
5  JADE ENVY Apr25         (offolter j)ERAMIA E 124 8.00    
  (by CUPID out of HALO AHEAD by KITTEN'S JOY)
6  GRACE THE LADY Apr25         (padilla j)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 10.00 29% 2.50    
  (by HAKASSAN out of BALLAROMMA by BALLADO CHIEFTAN)
7  DODGEBALL Apr25 Apr04 Mar14 Nov19   (luneack sue)KIMES C 118 2.50 43% 1.30    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of TETHERBALL by PROUD CITIZEN)
8  ELENA MAE Apr25         (young sco)TRIANA JR 118 5.00 ★    
  (by UPSTART out of NAPLES GOLD by LANGFUHR)
SCR  I BILEVE Oct12 Sep30 Sep14     (swan patrick)JORDAN R 118 4.00    
  (by BLAME out of SKY GARDEN by ACCLAMATION)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.