Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Saratoga
Wednesday - August 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SAR-3   EXA (6/4/5/8/3)-(6/4/5/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00  6-4 $23.40 $3.40 17%
SAR-4   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  4 $5.70 $1.70 43%
    DD (6/4/5/8/3)-(4/6) 10 $1.00 $10.00  6-4 $12.30 $2.30 23%
SAR-6   WIN (4/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $13.00 $7.00 117%
    DD (13/10/12)-(4/8/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00  13-7 $16.30 $7.30 81%
    PK3 (4/6)-(13/10/12)-(4/8/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00  4-13-7 $25.50 $7.50 42%
    PK4 (6/4/5/8/3)-(4/6)-(13/10/12)-(4/8/7) 90 $0.50 $45.00  6-4-13-7 $61.50 $16.50 37%
SAR-7   DD (4/8/7)-(10/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  7-10 $11.70 $5.70 95%
    PK3 (13/10/12)-(4/8/7)-(10/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00  13-7-10 $22.60 $4.60 26%
    PK4 (4/6)-(13/10/12)-(4/8/7)-(10/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00  4-13-7-10 $32.37 $14.37 80%
SAR-8   PK3 (4/8/7)-(10/5)-(4/5/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00  7-10-6 $35.75 $17.75 99%
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-2   08/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:22 :444 :57     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  EMERY 2 4 31 2nk   1½ 15¾ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.00 43% 1.30 0.70 W
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ATHENA by STREET SENSE)
7  WASKESIU 5 2 1nk 1nk   2½ 25¾ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 ★ 2.95 P
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of FINN'S GIRL by BERNARDINI)
4  BEFORE YOU GO GO 3 3 2nk 31   34½ 36½ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 32% 2.10 2.45 S
  (by MITOLE out of WAKE ME UP by ACT OF WAR)
5  CLEARLY A TEST 4 1 56 53¾   45½ 47¼ (camejo j)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 5% 19.00 13.00  
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of TESTING ONE TWO by STAR GUITAR)
1  JUSTICE JULIA 1 5 43½ 41¼   57 510½ (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.00 ★ 0.70  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of DREAMING OF JULIA by A.P. INDY)
SCR  BENTO               (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
  (by TAPIT out of CAROLYN'S CAT by FORESTRY)
SCR  RINGY DINGY               (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of WIND CAPER by TOUCH GOLD)
SCR  RUBY QUEEN               (moquett rona)CASTELLANO J 119 5.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of RADIANT RUBY by TALE OF THE CAT)
 
SAR-3   08/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 F PT- 2:19
See original race card.
:214 :452 :581     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LESLIE'S LOOT 5 1 14½ 16   13½ 13 (chapman jame)TORRES A 114 3.00 64% 0.60 4.00 W
  (by FAST ANNA out of WICKED STORM by STORMY ATLANTIC)
4  TEMPTING LADY 3 3 24½ 26   23½ 23 (barkley )SANTANA JR 119 4.00 5% 19.00 5.50 P
  (by ENTICED out of FANTASTIC GIRL by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
9  SHE SHE'S SHADOW 8 2 36½ 38   310 311½ (englehart j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00 25.25  
  (by BUCCHERO out of ELUDING by KRIS S.)
7  HANDLE ON YOU 6 9 78½ 711   713¼ 412½ (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 12.00 20.70  
  (by SOLOMINI out of ARCH ROYAL by ARCH)
8  ITZA DREAM 7 6 47 49½   512 512¾ (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00 5.90  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of TOSHA TALIFERO by CACTUS RIDGE)
1A  LUNA ROSSO 10 8 68 610½   412 613¼ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 15.00 1.70  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of MOON BEAMY by MALIBU MOON)
2  ALTHENA 1 5 57½ 59½   613 713½ (paragallo jenni)DAVIS KATIE 119 30.00 26.25  
  (by BLAME out of STARLESS NIGHT by GRAND SLAM)
5  LU'S REDEMPTION 4 10 816½ 817½   813¾ 815½ (duggan p)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 5% 19.00 10.70  
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of BAJAN BEACH by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
3  ROCK ON LAYLA 2 4 917 924½   917¼ 917 (kimmel john )CASTELLANO J 119 10.00 5% 19.00 9.00  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ROCKADELIC by BERNARDINI)
12  TURBO MAGGIE 9 7 1021 1029½   1027¼ 1036¼ (sells)HERNANDEZ OMAR 112 20.00 40.00  
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of WALTON PLACE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  CALL HER BLUFF               (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of MINE AS WELL by MINESHAFT)
SCR  ELUSIVE FASHION               (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00    
  (by CONNECT out of FASHION FORWARD by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  ENTREPRENEURSHIP               (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.50    
  (by DIALED IN out of MIXED UP KID by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  LACONIA               (delgado jos)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of SPA TREATMENT by BERNARDINI)
SCR  TWIRL THE FLAG               (motion g)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of WAVE THE FLAG by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
SAR-4   08/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:214 :442 1:09     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LITTLE PRANKSTER 3 4 1½ 11   12½ 1nk (bauer phil)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 42% 1.40 1.85 W
8  MONGOLIAN PANTHER 5 1 2½ 21   22½ 2nk (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 10.00 18.20  
6  CUPID'S HEART 4 5 32 32   36½ 33 (levine bruce)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.00 27% 2.80 0.80 S
3  LIQUIDITY PROVIDER 2 3 42½ 45½   410 47 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00 4.20  
2  VALLELUJAH 1 2 54½ 57½   512½ 510¾ (davis ro)DAVIS A 124 20.00 17.30  
SCR  ADELIESE'S SMILE               (jimenez jose )FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00    
SCR  HUNTRESS FOR HIRE               (stall m)ORTIZ L 120 4.00    
SCR  NEED SOME MONEY               (amoss m)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00    
SCR  TO A T               (kanta)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 20.00    
 
SAR-5   08/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($149.5K) 3 ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:233 :461 1:103 1:233   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  GILMORE 6 3 31 32 2nk 1nk 1¼ (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 122 0.80 63% 0.60 0.70 W
3  ANTARES 2 2 2½ 2½ 1nk 2nk 2¼ (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 9.10  
10  ASKARI 3 6 87 79 56½ 44 33 (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 13% 6.70 12.70 S
15  SIGNATOR 7 7 65½ 67 43 32½ 44¾ (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 122 3.00 ★ 3.25  
12  WINTERS LION 5 5 55 57 66¾ 69 515½ (sharp joe)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 5% 19.00 8.60  
2  NARCISO DALI 1 1 1½ 1½ 32½ 58 616¾ (chichakly a)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 50.00 42.75  
11  KIGALI 4 8 77 89¼ 77¼ 712½ 724 (bauer philip)GEROUX FLORENT 120 30.00 40.50  
16  MIDNIGHT TROUBLE 8 4 44 45 89¾ 813½ 829 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 122 10.00 17.40  
SCR  I'M VERY BUSY               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.50    
SCR  INFLATION NATION (IRE)               (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL null      
SCR  JOKING WAY               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 30.00    
SCR  LACHAISE               (maker michae)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00    
SCR  LET'S GO BIG BLUE               (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00    
SCR  RAMBLIN' WRECK               (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50    
SCR  WICO (IRE)               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R null      
SCR  YACOWLEF (IRE)               (sisterson jac)VELAZQUEZ R 120 10.00    
 
SAR-6   08/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:224 :451 1:10     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PRINTRACK 7 2 1½ 1nk   12½ 13¼ (quick pa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00 6% 15.40 5.50 W
2  AIR SHOW 2 5 42 31½   32½ 23¼ (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 115 12.00 5.00  
8  SOUPER CATCH 8 4 77½ 75¾   54½ 34 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00 31% 2.30 8.90 S
9  MONEY MIKE 9 1 2½ 2nk   22½ 47 (summers ch)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00 10.10  
1  WINNING DRIVE 1 7 87¾ 88¾   88¼ 57 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00 21.30  
3  DIGITAL FUTURE 3 8 52½ 41¾   43 67¼ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 ★ 4.20  
6  GHOST GIANT 6 3 32 52¼   67½ 77¼ (donk david)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 11.30  
4  NO MORE TALK 4 6 63 62¾   78 811 (potts wayne)ORTIZ JR 123 4.00 31% 2.20 2.65  
5  FIRST DEPUTY 5 9 913¼ 913¾   914¾ 918½ (diprima gre)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00 9.90  
SCR  DONTBELATE               (persa)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 10.00    
 
SAR-7   08/30/2023 6270ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:12 1:371   1:502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SHE'S MO BUBBLY 5 1 11 11 12 16½ 110¾ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50 75% 0.30 0.80 W
  (by UNCLE MO out of MICHELLE D'ORO by BERNARDINI)
16  PARIS STYLE (FR) 8 6 53 32 22 26½ 210¾ (mcpeek kenne)GEROUX FLORENT null   3.10  
  (by UNKNOWN out of MESEIKA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
8  MACHIAVELLIQUE 3 3 64½ 66½ 46 312 315¼ (albertrani )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00 35.75  
  (by HONOR CODE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
9  TACITURN 4 7 710½ 716½ 713½ 415½ 419 (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 10.00 ★ 8.50  
  (by TAPIT out of TABARIN by EL PRADO (IRE))
14  KATIE'S CHECKRIDE 6 4 21 21 33 515½ 529¼ (bond harold )TORRES A 113 15.00 28.00  
  (by STREET SENSE out of AURORA'S RIDE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
15  SPELL ON YOU 7 5 31½ 42½ 56½ 620 631½ (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 13.70  
  (by CURLIN out of STAGE MAGIC by LAOMEDONTE)
5  ABSOLUTE CONTROL (FR) 1 8 813 818½ 820 734 752½ (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00 5% 19.00 6.40  
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  SHE WILL DANCE (IRE) 2 2 42 54½ 613½ 837½ 857¼ (lerman r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 30.00 36.75  
  (by UNKNOWN out of EVIDENTLY by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  AKAYLA (IRE)               (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT null      
  (by UNKNOWN out of POST PERFECTION by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
SCR  FIZZY               (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of TIZN'TSHEBEAUTIFUL by UNCLE MO)
SCR  KING'S SECRET (GB)               (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER null      
  (by UNKNOWN out of SECRET SENSE by SHAMARDAL)
SCR  LADY CLAYPOOLE (IRE)               (maker mi)SANTANA JR null      
  (by STARSPANGLEDBANNER out of SHORT AFFAIR by SINGSPIEL (IRE))
SCR  LASERJET               (shirer m)SANTANA JR 118 20.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of AUNT DOT DOT by GULCH)
SCR  LIBRETTO (IRE)               (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN null      
  (by UNKNOWN out of LOPERA by MONSUN (GER))
SCR  TAWARET               (clement christoph)RIDER TBA 118 6.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of TAPAS by SKY CLASSIC)
SCR  WHY WASTE WORDS               (bond j)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of THE ROAD NOT TAKEN by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
SAR-8   08/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:24 :463 1:103 1:231   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  OLGA ISABEL 5 2 11 11½ 13½ 14½ 1¾ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 5.00 19% 4.10 1.20 W
3  TOUGH STREET 2 1 52½ 33 23½ 24½ 2¾ (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 126 6.00 9.00  
1  SHEZZ KOLDAZICE 1 6 77 76½ 610½ 49 38½ (diodoro )SANTANA JR 126 12.00 27.25  
9  PRETTI XTREME 7 4 21 21½ 34½ 38½ 48¾ (falcone robert )CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00 11.70  
4  SIGNAL FROM NOISE 3 5 63 54½ 46½ 59½ 515¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 5.00 35% 1.90 6.40  
8  TIZZY IN THE SKY 6 3 32 65½ 716½ 617½ 624¾ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 3.20  
5  LEAVE NO TRACE 4 7 42½ 43 59½ 719 755½ (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 20% 4.10 5.40  
SCR  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY               (barrera oscar)FRANCO MANUEL 126 20.00    
SCR  MOVIE MOXY               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 126 3.00    
 
SAR-9   08/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 5:44
See original race card.
:241 :472 1:122 1:26   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGIC CROSS 1 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 1½ 14½ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00 0.65  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of BE JEWELED by TIZNOW)
9  TAKEMETOTHEBEACH 4 4 3½ 2½ 2nk 2½ 24½ (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 20.00 5.20  
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of STREET DOLL by STREET CRY (IRE))
5  DANCING SPIRIT 3 3 42 31½ 33 34½ 39¼ (rice adam)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 31% 2.20 1.65 S
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of DANCING SPARKS by JUMP START)
4  VILLI OLENTO 2 1 2½ 44 417 424½ 453¼ (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 118 20.00 14.40  
  (by MR SPEAKER out of GILDED SPLINTERS by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
SCR  MADAME MISCHIEF               (delgado )SANTANA JR 122 15.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MADAME ORBE by ORB)
SCR  MIZ SENSE               (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 120 3.00 33% 2.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of MIZ KELLA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  HARD TO JUSTIFY               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of INSTANT REFLEX by QUALITY ROAD)
SCR  GALA BRAND               (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50    
  (by VIOLENCE out of OLORDA by LORD OF ENGLAND)
SCR  SHE FEELS PRETTY               (devaux che)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of SUMMER SWEET by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  BROCKNARDINI               (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of BROAD STRIPES by BERNARDINI)
SCR  CYNANE               (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 122 6.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of BURNING ARCH by ARCH)
 
SAR-10   08/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:131 1:262   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
16  UNCLE MARTY 9 9 63 43 2nk 1nk 11 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 4.10  
14  ATLANTA'S ACUNA 7 3 2½ 2nk 1nk 2nk 21 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00 25% 3.00 6.10 P
7  SILENT RUNNING 4 7 95½ 53¼ 31 35 39 (bond harold )TORRES A 119 12.00 5% 19.00 18.30 S
8  UTAMARO 5 4 31½ 63¾ 76¾ 513 415 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00 8.70  
6  MUNNY FOR NUTHIN 3 6 53 32 41¼ 49 515½ (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 124 20.00 13.20  
15  I'M JUST 8 8 84½ 85¼ 88¼ 615½ 620¼ (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00 35% 1.90 1.65  
12  MYLES 6 2 42½ 74¾ 66¼ 816¼ 723¼ (clement ch)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.50 10% 9.10 5.10  
2  PERFECT OUTCOME 1 1 1½ 1nk 52¼ 715¾ 825¼ (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00 28.75  
1  SOCIAL SIDEKICK 2 5 73½ 95¾ 916¼ 931¼ 951¾ (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 118 15.00 14.90  
SCR  BARRY THE BUILDER               (maker mi)SANTANA JR 118 4.00    
SCR  CHARMING JIM               (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 118 20.00    
SCR  FAST STUDY               (schettino dom)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00    
SCR  HARI               (mott william)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00    
SCR  IMPAZIBLE PRINCE               (albright )LEPAROUX R 124 12.00    
SCR  PRIX DE WEST               (mott willi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
SCR  THATSMYBOXER               (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.