Handicappers' Race Results
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Saratoga
Wednesday - August 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-2   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
SAR-3   Win (6/4/5/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $10.00 $10.00  
SAR-4   Win (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $5.70 $5.70 1.70
SAR-5   Win (13/10/12) 3 $2.00 $6.00 13 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
SAR-6   Win (4/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $13.00 $13.00 7.00
SAR-7   Win (10/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 10 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
SAR-8   Win (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
SAR-9   Win (11/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $3.30  
SAR-10   Win (15/14/12/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 16 1 0 $10.20  
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-2   08/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:22 :444 :57     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  EMERY 2 4 31 2nk   1½ 15¾ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.00 43% 1.30 0.70 W
7  WASKESIU 5 2 1nk 1nk   2½ 25¾ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 ★ 2.95 P
4  BEFORE YOU GO GO 3 3 2nk 31   34½ 36½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 32% 2.10 2.45 S
5  CLEARLY A TEST 4 1 56 53¾   45½ 47¼ (camejo jos)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 5% 19.00 13.00  
1  JUSTICE JULIA 1 5 43½ 41¼   57 510½ (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.00 ★ 0.70  
SCR  BENTO               (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
SCR  RINGY DINGY               (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
SCR  RUBY QUEEN               (moquett ronald)CASTELLANO J 119 5.00    
 
SAR-3   08/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 F PT- 2:19
See original race card.
:214 :452 :581     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LESLIE'S LOOT 5 1 14½ 16   13½ 13 (chapman james )TORRES A 114 3.00 64% 0.60 4.00 W
4  TEMPTING LADY 3 3 24½ 26   23½ 23 (barkley ja)SANTANA JR 119 4.00 5% 19.00 5.50 P
9  SHE SHE'S SHADOW 8 2 36½ 38   310 311½ (englehart jef)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00 25.25  
7  HANDLE ON YOU 6 9 78½ 711   713¼ 412½ (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 12.00 20.70  
8  ITZA DREAM 7 6 47 49½   512 512¾ (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00 5.90  
1A  LUNA ROSSO 10 8 68 610½   412 613¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 15.00 1.70  
2  ALTHENA 1 5 57½ 59½   613 713½ (paragallo jennife)DAVIS KATIE 119 30.00 26.25  
5  LU'S REDEMPTION 4 10 816½ 817½   813¾ 815½ (duggan p)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 5% 19.00 10.70  
3  ROCK ON LAYLA 2 4 917 924½   917¼ 917 (kimmel c)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00 5% 19.00 9.00  
12  TURBO MAGGIE 9 7 1021 1029½   1027¼ 1036¼ (sells r)HERNANDEZ OMAR 112 20.00 40.00  
SCR  CALL HER BLUFF               (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00    
SCR  ELUSIVE FASHION               (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00    
SCR  ENTREPRENEURSHIP               (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.50    
SCR  LACONIA               (delgado jose )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
SCR  TWIRL THE FLAG               (motion gra)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00    
 
SAR-4   08/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:214 :442 1:09     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LITTLE PRANKSTER 3 4 1½ 11   12½ 1nk (bauer philip)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 42% 1.40 1.85 W
8  MONGOLIAN PANTHER 5 1 2½ 21   22½ 2nk (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 10.00 18.20  
6  CUPID'S HEART 4 5 32 32   36½ 33 (levine bruce)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.00 27% 2.80 0.80 S
3  LIQUIDITY PROVIDER 2 3 42½ 45½   410 47 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00 4.20  
2  VALLELUJAH 1 2 54½ 57½   512½ 510¾ (davis robb)DAVIS A 124 20.00 17.30  
SCR  ADELIESE'S SMILE               (jimenez l)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00    
SCR  HUNTRESS FOR HIRE               (stall m)ORTIZ L 120 4.00    
SCR  NEED SOME MONEY               (amoss m)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00    
SCR  TO A T               (kantarm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 20.00    
 
SAR-5   08/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($149.5K) 3 ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:233 :461 1:103 1:233   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  GILMORE 6 3 31 32 2nk 1nk 1¼ (walsh p)ORTIZ JR 122 0.80 63% 0.60 0.70 W
3  ANTARES 2 2 2½ 2½ 1nk 2nk 2¼ (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 9.10  
10  ASKARI 3 6 87 79 56½ 44 33 (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 13% 6.70 12.70 S
15  SIGNATOR 7 7 65½ 67 43 32½ 44¾ (mcgaughey clau)CASTELLANO J 122 3.00 ★ 3.25  
12  WINTERS LION 5 5 55 57 66¾ 69 515½ (sharp joe)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 5% 19.00 8.60  
2  NARCISO DALI 1 1 1½ 1½ 32½ 58 616¾ (chichakly ami)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 50.00 42.75  
11  KIGALI 4 8 77 89¼ 77¼ 712½ 724 (bauer a)GEROUX FLORENT 120 30.00 40.50  
16  MIDNIGHT TROUBLE 8 4 44 45 89¾ 813½ 829 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 122 10.00 17.40  
SCR  I'M VERY BUSY               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.50    
SCR  INFLATION NATION (IRE)               (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL null      
SCR  JOKING WAY               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 30.00    
SCR  LACHAISE               (maker michael )CASTELLANO J 122 8.00    
SCR  LET'S GO BIG BLUE               (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00    
SCR  RAMBLIN' WRECK               (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50    
SCR  WICO (IRE)               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R null      
SCR  YACOWLEF (IRE)               (sisterson jack)VELAZQUEZ R 120 10.00    
 
SAR-6   08/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:224 :451 1:10     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PRINTRACK 7 2 1½ 1nk   12½ 13¼ (quick patr)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00 6% 15.40 5.50 W
2  AIR SHOW 2 5 42 31½   32½ 23¼ (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 115 12.00 5.00  
8  SOUPER CATCH 8 4 77½ 75¾   54½ 34 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00 31% 2.30 8.90 S
9  MONEY MIKE 9 1 2½ 2nk   22½ 47 (summers chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00 10.10  
1  WINNING DRIVE 1 7 87¾ 88¾   88¼ 57 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00 21.30  
3  DIGITAL FUTURE 3 8 52½ 41¾   43 67¼ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 ★ 4.20  
6  GHOST GIANT 6 3 32 52¼   67½ 77¼ (donk david)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 11.30  
4  NO MORE TALK 4 6 63 62¾   78 811 (potts wayne)ORTIZ JR 123 4.00 31% 2.20 2.65  
5  FIRST DEPUTY 5 9 913¼ 913¾   914¾ 918½ (diprima grego)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00 9.90  
SCR  DONTBELATE               (persaud)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 10.00    
 
SAR-7   08/30/2023 6270ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:12 1:371   1:502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SHE'S MO BUBBLY 5 1 11 11 12 16½ 110¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50 75% 0.30 0.80 W
16  PARIS STYLE (FR) 8 6 53 32 22 26½ 210¾ (mcpeek kenneth)GEROUX FLORENT null   3.10  
8  MACHIAVELLIQUE 3 3 64½ 66½ 46 312 315¼ (albertrani th)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00 35.75  
9  TACITURN 4 7 710½ 716½ 713½ 415½ 419 (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 10.00 ★ 8.50  
14  KATIE'S CHECKRIDE 6 4 21 21 33 515½ 529¼ (bond ja)TORRES A 113 15.00 28.00  
15  SPELL ON YOU 7 5 31½ 42½ 56½ 620 631½ (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 13.70  
5  ABSOLUTE CONTROL (FR) 1 8 813 818½ 820 734 752½ (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00 5% 19.00 6.40  
6  SHE WILL DANCE (IRE) 2 2 42 54½ 613½ 837½ 857¼ (lerman roy)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 30.00 36.75  
SCR  AKAYLA (IRE)               (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT null      
SCR  FIZZY               (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00    
SCR  KING'S SECRET (GB)               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER null      
SCR  LADY CLAYPOOLE (IRE)               (maker mich)SANTANA JR null      
SCR  LASERJET               (shirer mat)SANTANA JR 118 20.00    
SCR  LIBRETTO (IRE)               (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN null      
SCR  TAWARET               (clement christophe)RIDER TBA 118 6.00    
SCR  WHY WASTE WORDS               (bond jam)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
 
SAR-8   08/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:24 :463 1:103 1:231   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  OLGA ISABEL 5 2 11 11½ 13½ 14½ 1¾ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 5.00 19% 4.10 1.20 W
3  TOUGH STREET 2 1 52½ 33 23½ 24½ 2¾ (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 126 6.00 9.00  
1  SHEZZ KOLDAZICE 1 6 77 76½ 610½ 49 38½ (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 126 12.00 27.25  
9  PRETTI XTREME 7 4 21 21½ 34½ 38½ 48¾ (falcone n)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00 11.70  
4  SIGNAL FROM NOISE 3 5 63 54½ 46½ 59½ 515¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 5.00 35% 1.90 6.40  
8  TIZZY IN THE SKY 6 3 32 65½ 716½ 617½ 624¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 3.20  
5  LEAVE NO TRACE 4 7 42½ 43 59½ 719 755½ (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 20% 4.10 5.40  
SCR  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY               (barrera s)FRANCO MANUEL 126 20.00    
SCR  MOVIE MOXY               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 126 3.00    
 
SAR-9   08/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 5:44
See original race card.
:241 :472 1:122 1:26   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGIC CROSS 1 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 1½ 14½ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00 0.65  
9  TAKEMETOTHEBEACH 4 4 3½ 2½ 2nk 2½ 24½ (kintz matt)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 20.00 5.20  
5  DANCING SPIRIT 3 3 42 31½ 33 34½ 39¼ (rice adam)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 31% 2.20 1.65 S
4  VILLI OLENTO 2 1 2½ 44 417 424½ 453¼ (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 118 20.00 14.40  
SCR  MADAME MISCHIEF               (delgado jo)SANTANA JR 122 15.00    
SCR  MIZ SENSE               (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  HARD TO JUSTIFY               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00    
SCR  GALA BRAND               (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50    
SCR  SHE FEELS PRETTY               (devaux cheri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00    
SCR  BROCKNARDINI               (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50    
SCR  CYNANE               (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 122 6.00    
 
SAR-10   08/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:131 1:262   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
16  UNCLE MARTY 9 9 63 43 2nk 1nk 11 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 4.10  
14  ATLANTA'S ACUNA 7 3 2½ 2nk 1nk 2nk 21 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00 25% 3.00 6.10 P
7  SILENT RUNNING 4 7 95½ 53¼ 31 35 39 (bond ja)TORRES A 119 12.00 5% 19.00 18.30 S
8  UTAMARO 5 4 31½ 63¾ 76¾ 513 415 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00 8.70  
6  MUNNY FOR NUTHIN 3 6 53 32 41¼ 49 515½ (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 124 20.00 13.20  
15  I'M JUST 8 8 84½ 85¼ 88¼ 615½ 620¼ (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00 35% 1.90 1.65  
12  MYLES 6 2 42½ 74¾ 66¼ 816¼ 723¼ (clement chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.50 10% 9.10 5.10  
2  PERFECT OUTCOME 1 1 1½ 1nk 52¼ 715¾ 825¼ (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00 28.75  
1  SOCIAL SIDEKICK 2 5 73½ 95¾ 916¼ 931¼ 951¾ (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 118 15.00 14.90  
SCR  BARRY THE BUILDER               (maker mich)SANTANA JR 118 4.00    
SCR  CHARMING JIM               (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 118 20.00    
SCR  FAST STUDY               (schettino domin)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00    
SCR  HARI               (mott i)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00    
SCR  IMPAZIBLE PRINCE               (albright ge)LEPAROUX R 124 12.00    
SCR  PRIX DE WEST               (mott william)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
SCR  THATSMYBOXER               (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.