The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Saratoga
Wednesday - August 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-2   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -2.60
    Exacta (1/4/5)-(1/4/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 1-7 2 1 $4.85 $4.85 -4.15
SAR-3   Win (6/4/5/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $10.00 $10.00 0.00
    Exacta (6/4/5/8/3)-(6/4/5/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 6-4 2 1 $23.40 $23.40 3.40
    Trifecta (6/4/5/8/3)-(6/4/5/8/3)-(6/4/5/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 6-4-9 3 0 $213.25 -30.00
    Daily Double (1/4/5)-(6/4/5/8/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 1-6 2 1 $7.80 $7.80 -7.20
SAR-4   Win (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $5.70 $5.70 1.70
    Exacta (4/6)-(4/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 4-8 2 0 $29.50 -2.00
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 4-8-6 3 0 $25.62 0.00
    Daily Double (6/4/5/8/3)-(4/6) 10 $1.00 $10.00 6-4 2 1 $12.30 $12.30 2.30
    Pick Three (1/4/5)-(6/4/5/8/3)-(4/6) 30 $1.00 $30.00 1-6-4 3 1 $23.40 $23.40 -6.60
SAR-5   Win (13/10/12) 3 $2.00 $6.00 13 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -2.60
    Exacta (13/10/12)-(13/10/15/12) 9 $1.00 $9.00 13-3 2 0 $10.50 -9.00
    Trifecta (13/10/12)-(13/10/15/12)-(13/10/15/12) 18 $0.50 $9.00 13-3-10 3 0 $19.50 -9.00
    Daily Double (4/6)-(13/10/12) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-13 2 1 $5.10 $5.10 -0.90
    Pick Three (6/4/5/8/3)-(4/6)-(13/10/12) 30 $1.00 $30.00 6-4-13 3 1 $18.60 $18.60 -11.40
SAR-6   Win (4/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $13.00 $13.00 7.00
    Exacta (4/8/7)-(4/8/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 7-2 2 0 $32.50 -9.00
    Trifecta (4/8/7)-(4/8/7/3)-(4/8/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 7-2-8 3 0 $100.25 -9.00
    Daily Double (13/10/12)-(4/8/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 13-7 2 1 $16.30 $16.30 7.30
    Pick Three (4/6)-(13/10/12)-(4/8/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 4-13-7 3 1 $25.50 $25.50 7.50
SAR-7   Win (10/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 10 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 -0.40
    Exacta (10/5)-(10/5/9) 4 $1.00 $4.00 10-16 2 0 $5.40 -4.00
    Trifecta (10/5)-(10/5/9)-(10/5/9) 4 $0.50 $2.00 10-16-8 3 0 $16.00 -2.00
    Daily Double (4/8/7)-(10/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 7-10 2 1 $11.70 $11.70 5.70
    Pick Three (13/10/12)-(4/8/7)-(10/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 13-7-10 3 1 $22.60 $22.60 4.60
SAR-8   Win (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -1.60
    Exacta (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-3 2 0 $16.30 -6.00
    Trifecta (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 6-3-1 3 0 $82.12 -3.00
    Daily Double (10/5)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 10-6 2 1 $5.30 $5.30 -0.70
    Pick Three (4/8/7)-(10/5)-(4/5/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 7-10-6 3 1 $35.75 $35.75 17.75
SAR-9   Win (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 1 1 0 $3.30 -2.00
    Exacta NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 1-9 2 0 $5.90 0.00
    Daily Double (4/5/6)-(5) 3 $1.00 $3.00 6-1 2 0 $5.50 -3.00
    Daily Double (4/5/6)-(5) 3 $1.00 $3.00 6-11 2 0 $2.30 -3.00
    Pick Three (10/5)-(4/5/6)-(5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 10-6-1 3 0 $9.00 -6.00
    Pick Three (10/5)-(4/5/6)-(5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 10-6-11 3 0 $4.95 -6.00
SAR-10   Win (15/14/12/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 16 1 0 $10.20 -8.00
    Exacta (15/14/12/7)-(15/14/12/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 16-14 2 0 $18.40 -12.00
    Trifecta (15/14/12/7)-(15/14/12/7)-(15/14/12/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 16-14-7 3 0 $65.50 -12.00
    Daily Double (5)-(15/14/12/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 1-16 2 0 $9.50 -4.00
    Pick Three (4/5/6)-(5)-(15/14/12/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 6-1-16 3 0 $25.25 -12.00
    Pick Three (4/5/6)-(5)-(15/14/12/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 6-11-16 3 0 $13.50 -12.00

Simulator Race results

 
SAR-2   08/30/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 1:46
:22 :444 :57     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  EMERY 2 4 31 2nk   1½ 1(cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.00 43% 1.30 0.70 W
WASKESIU 5 2 1nk 1nk   2½ 2(mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 2.95 P
BEFORE YOU GO GO 3 3 2nk 31   33(pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 32% 2.10 2.45 S
CLEARLY A TEST 4 1 56 5   44(camejo jos)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 5% 19.00 13.00  
JUSTICE JULIA 1 5 4 4   57 510½ (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.00 0.70  
SCR  BENTO               (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
SCR  RINGY DINGY               (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
SCR  RUBY QUEEN               (moquett ronald)CASTELLANO J 119 5.00    
 
SAR-3   08/30/2023 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 F PT- 2:19
:214 :452 :581     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LESLIE'S LOOT 5 1 1 16   113 (chapman james )TORRES A 114 3.00 64% 0.60 4.00 W
TEMPTING LADY 3 3 2 26   223 (barkley ja)SANTANA JR 119 4.00 5% 19.00 5.50 P
SHE SHE'S SHADOW 8 2 3 38   310 311½ (englehart jef)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00 25.25  
HANDLE ON YOU 6 9 7 711   713¼ 412½ (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 12.00 20.70  
ITZA DREAM 7 6 47 4   512 512¾ (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00 5.90  
1A  LUNA ROSSO 10 8 68 610½   412 613¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 15.00 1.70  
ALTHENA 1 5 5 5   613 713½ (paragallo jennife)DAVIS KATIE 119 30.00 26.25  
LU'S REDEMPTION 4 10 816½ 817½   813¾ 815½ (duggan p)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 5% 19.00 10.70  
ROCK ON LAYLA 2 4 917 924½   917¼ 917 (kimmel c)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00 5% 19.00 9.00  
12  TURBO MAGGIE 9 7 1021 1029½   1027¼ 1036¼ (sells r)HERNANDEZ OMAR 112 20.00 40.00  
SCR  CALL HER BLUFF               (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00    
SCR  ELUSIVE FASHION               (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00    
SCR  ENTREPRENEURSHIP               (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.50    
SCR  LACONIA               (delgado jose )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
SCR  TWIRL THE FLAG               (motion gra)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00    
 
SAR-4   08/30/2023 4290ft DIRT GOOD Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
:214 :442 1:09     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE PRANKSTER 3 4 1½ 11   11nk (bauer philip)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 42% 1.40 1.85 W
MONGOLIAN PANTHER 5 1 2½ 21   22nk (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 10.00 18.20  
CUPID'S HEART 4 5 32 32   333 (levine bruce)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.00 27% 2.80 0.80 S
LIQUIDITY PROVIDER 2 3 4 4   410 47 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00 4.20  
VALLELUJAH 1 2 5 5   512½ 510¾ (davis robb)DAVIS A 124 20.00 17.30  
SCR  ADELIESE'S SMILE               (jimenez l)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00    
SCR  HUNTRESS FOR HIRE               (stall m)ORTIZ L 120 4.00    
SCR  NEED SOME MONEY               (amoss m)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00    
SCR  TO A T               (kantarm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 20.00    
 
SAR-5   08/30/2023 5280ft DIRT GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($149.5K) 3 ALL PT- 3:26
:233 :461 1:103 1:233   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  GILMORE 6 3 31 32 2nk 1nk 1¼ (walsh p)ORTIZ JR 122 0.80 63% 0.60 0.70 W
ANTARES 2 2 2½ 2½ 1nk 2nk 2¼ (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 9.10  
10  ASKARI 3 6 87 79 5 44 33 (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 13% 6.70 12.70 S
15  SIGNATOR 7 7 6 67 43 34(mcgaughey clau)CASTELLANO J 122 3.00 3.25  
12  WINTERS LION 5 5 55 57 6 69 515½ (sharp joe)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 5% 19.00 8.60  
NARCISO DALI 1 1 1½ 1½ 3 58 616¾ (chichakly ami)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 50.00 42.75  
11  KIGALI 4 8 77 8 7 712½ 724 (bauer a)GEROUX FLORENT 120 30.00 40.50  
16  MIDNIGHT TROUBLE 8 4 44 45 8 813½ 829 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 122 10.00 17.40  
SCR  I'M VERY BUSY               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.50    
SCR  INFLATION NATION (IRE)               (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL null      
SCR  JOKING WAY               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 30.00    
SCR  LACHAISE               (maker michael )CASTELLANO J 122 8.00    
SCR  LET'S GO BIG BLUE               (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00    
SCR  RAMBLIN' WRECK               (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50    
SCR  WICO (IRE)               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R null      
SCR  YACOWLEF (IRE)               (sisterson jack)VELAZQUEZ R 120 10.00    
 
SAR-6   08/30/2023 4620ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
:224 :451 1:10     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINTRACK 7 2 1½ 1nk   11(quick patr)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00 6% 15.40 5.50 W
AIR SHOW 2 5 42 3   32(rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 115 12.00 5.00  
SOUPER CATCH 8 4 7 7   534 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00 31% 2.30 8.90 S
MONEY MIKE 9 1 2½ 2nk   247 (summers chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00 10.10  
WINNING DRIVE 1 7 8 8   857 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00 21.30  
DIGITAL FUTURE 3 8 5 4   43 6(handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 4.20  
GHOST GIANT 6 3 32 5   67(donk david)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 11.30  
NO MORE TALK 4 6 63 6   78 811 (potts wayne)ORTIZ JR 123 4.00 31% 2.20 2.65  
FIRST DEPUTY 5 9 913¼ 913¾   914¾ 918½ (diprima grego)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00 9.90  
SCR  DONTBELATE               (persaud)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 10.00    
 
SAR-7   08/30/2023 6270ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
:24 :474 1:12 1:371   1:502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SHE'S MO BUBBLY 5 1 11 11 12 1110¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50 75% 0.30 0.80 W
16  PARIS STYLE (FR) 8 6 53 32 22 2210¾ (mcpeek kenneth)GEROUX FLORENT null   3.10  
MACHIAVELLIQUE 3 3 6 6 46 312 315¼ (albertrani th)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00 35.75  
TACITURN 4 7 710½ 716½ 713½ 415½ 419 (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 10.00 8.50  
14  KATIE'S CHECKRIDE 6 4 21 21 33 515½ 529¼ (bond ja)TORRES A 113 15.00 28.00  
15  SPELL ON YOU 7 5 3 4 5 620 631½ (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 13.70  
ABSOLUTE CONTROL (FR) 1 8 813 818½ 820 734 752½ (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00 5% 19.00 6.40  
SHE WILL DANCE (IRE) 2 2 42 5 613½ 837½ 857¼ (lerman roy)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 30.00 36.75  
SCR  AKAYLA (IRE)               (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT null      
SCR  FIZZY               (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00    
SCR  KING'S SECRET (GB)               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER null      
SCR  LADY CLAYPOOLE (IRE)               (maker mich)SANTANA JR null      
SCR  LASERJET               (shirer mat)SANTANA JR 118 20.00    
SCR  LIBRETTO (IRE)               (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN null      
SCR  TAWARET               (clement christophe)RIDER TBA 118 6.00    
SCR  WHY WASTE WORDS               (bond jam)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
 
SAR-8   08/30/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
:24 :463 1:103 1:231   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLGA ISABEL 5 2 11 1 1 11¾ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 5.00 19% 4.10 1.20 W
TOUGH STREET 2 1 5 33 2 22¾ (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 126 6.00 9.00  
SHEZZ KOLDAZICE 1 6 77 7 610½ 49 3(diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 126 12.00 27.25  
PRETTI XTREME 7 4 21 2 3 34(falcone n)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00 11.70  
SIGNAL FROM NOISE 3 5 63 5 4 5515¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 5.00 35% 1.90 6.40  
TIZZY IN THE SKY 6 3 32 6 716½ 617½ 624¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 3.20  
LEAVE NO TRACE 4 7 4 43 5 719 755½ (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 20% 4.10 5.40  
SCR  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY               (barrera s)FRANCO MANUEL 126 20.00    
SCR  MOVIE MOXY               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 126 3.00    
 
SAR-9   08/30/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 5:44
:241 :472 1:122 1:26   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGIC CROSS 1 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 1½ 1(mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00 0.65  
TAKEMETOTHEBEACH 4 4 3½ 2½ 2nk 2½ 2(kintz matt)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 20.00 5.20  
DANCING SPIRIT 3 3 42 3 33 33(rice adam)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 31% 2.20 1.65 S
VILLI OLENTO 2 1 2½ 44 417 424½ 453¼ (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 118 20.00 14.40  
SCR  MADAME MISCHIEF               (delgado jo)SANTANA JR 122 15.00    
SCR  MIZ SENSE               (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  HARD TO JUSTIFY               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00    
SCR  GALA BRAND               (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50    
SCR  SHE FEELS PRETTY               (devaux cheri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00    
SCR  BROCKNARDINI               (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50    
SCR  CYNANE               (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 122 6.00    
 
SAR-10   08/30/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
:24 :473 1:131 1:262   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
16  UNCLE MARTY 9 9 63 43 2nk 1nk 11 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 4.10  
14  ATLANTA'S ACUNA 7 3 2½ 2nk 1nk 2nk 21 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00 25% 3.00 6.10 P
SILENT RUNNING 4 7 9 5 31 35 39 (bond ja)TORRES A 119 12.00 5% 19.00 18.30 S
UTAMARO 5 4 3 6 7 513 415 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00 8.70  
MUNNY FOR NUTHIN 3 6 53 32 4 49 515½ (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 124 20.00 13.20  
15  I'M JUST 8 8 8 8 8 615½ 620¼ (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00 35% 1.90 1.65  
12  MYLES 6 2 4 7 6 816¼ 723¼ (clement chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.50 10% 9.10 5.10  
PERFECT OUTCOME 1 1 1½ 1nk 5 715¾ 825¼ (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00 28.75  
SOCIAL SIDEKICK 2 5 7 9 916¼ 931¼ 951¾ (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 118 15.00 14.90  
SCR  BARRY THE BUILDER               (maker mich)SANTANA JR 118 4.00    
SCR  CHARMING JIM               (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 118 20.00    
SCR  FAST STUDY               (schettino domin)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00    
SCR  HARI               (mott i)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00    
SCR  IMPAZIBLE PRINCE               (albright ge)LEPAROUX R 124 12.00    
SCR  PRIX DE WEST               (mott william)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
SCR  THATSMYBOXER               (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.