Handicappers' Racing Form

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Saratoga
Wednesday - August 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00
SAR-2   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-3   Win (6/4/5/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-4   Win (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
SAR-5   Win (13/10/12) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-6   Win (4/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-7   Win (10/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
SAR-8   Win (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-9   Win (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00
SAR-10   Win (15/14/12/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
SAR-1   08/30/2023 12540ft TURF RC10 Allowance Purse ($70K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  CIBOLIAN Jul14 Jun09 Oct09 Aug21 Jul30 (kingsley arch)HENDRIKS PARKER 156 1.80 35% 1.80    
JUNONIA Aug11 May13 Mar25     (morris neil )BESWICK HARRISON 156 10.00    
ANIMAL KINGSTON Aug18 Jun20       (morris r)GARNER THOMAS 156 8.00    
NEOTROPIC Nov13 Oct15 Jul27 Jun26 Jun01 (fisher r)WATTERS GRAHAM 152 5.00    
GO POKE THE BEAR Jul21 Nov07 Oct16 Sep30 Sep04 (young f)DUNNE ROBERT 156 4.50 34% 1.90    
 
SAR-2   08/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 1:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUSTICE JULIA         (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.00    
1A  EMERY         (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  RUBY QUEEN Aug06         (moquett ronald)CASTELLANO J 119 5.00    
SCR  BENTO Aug06         (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
BEFORE YOU GO GO Aug06         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 32% 2.10    
CLEARLY A TEST Aug13 Jul13       (camejo jos)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RINGY DINGY Jul30         (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
WASKESIU Jul30         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00    
 
SAR-3   08/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 F PT- 2:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  LUNA ROSSO         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 15.00    
SCR  ELUSIVE FASHION Aug13         (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00    
ALTHENA Aug13         (paragallo jennife)DAVIS KATIE 119 30.00    
ROCK ON LAYLA         (kimmel c)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
TEMPTING LADY Aug03         (barkley ja)SANTANA JR 119 4.00 5% 19.00    
LU'S REDEMPTION         (duggan p)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
LESLIE'S LOOT Aug17 Aug03 May04     (chapman james )TORRES A 114 3.00 64% 0.60    
HANDLE ON YOU         (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 12.00    
ITZA DREAM         (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SHE SHE'S SHADOW         (englehart jef)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00    
SCR  ENTREPRENEURSHIP         (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.50    
SCR  TWIRL THE FLAG         (motion gra)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00    
12  TURBO MAGGIE         (sells r)HERNANDEZ OMAR 112 20.00    
SCR  LACONIA Jul15         (delgado jose )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
SCR  CALL HER BLUFF Aug09         (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00    
 
SAR-4   08/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TO A T Aug24 Jul22 Jun23 Apr30 Apr22 (kantarm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 20.00    
VALLELUJAH Aug11 Jul07 Feb05 Jan08 Dec11 (davis robb)DAVIS A 124 20.00    
LIQUIDITY PROVIDER Oct21 Aug25 Jul27     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00    
LITTLE PRANKSTER Jul30 Jun24 Jun03 May02   (bauer philip)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  NEED SOME MONEY Aug16 Jul13 Jun01 May20 Apr28 (amoss m)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00    
CUPID'S HEART Jul22 Jun23 Nov25 Oct23 Sep05 (levine bruce)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.00 27% 2.80    
SCR  HUNTRESS FOR HIRE Jul22 May05 Feb18 Jan07   (stall m)ORTIZ L 120 4.00    
MONGOLIAN PANTHER Aug16 Jul12 May06 Apr02 Mar18 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 10.00    
SCR  ADELIESE'S SMILE Jul08 Jun23 Feb04 Jan05 Dec18 (jimenez l)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00    
 
SAR-5   08/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($149.5K) 3 ALL PT- 3:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RAMBLIN' WRECK Aug17 Jul20 Jun18 Dec17 Nov26 (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50    
NARCISO DALI Aug13 Jan07 Dec01 Nov20 Oct16 (chichakly ami)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 50.00    
ANTARES Jul22 Jun06 Sep01     (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00    
SCR  LET'S GO BIG BLUE Aug17 Aug03 Jun10 Nov26 Oct29 (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00    
SCR  YACOWLEF (IRE)         (sisterson jack)VELAZQUEZ R 120 10.00    
SCR  LACHAISE Jun25 Jun03 Oct02 Aug04   (maker michael )CASTELLANO J 122 8.00    
SCR  I'M VERY BUSY Jul22 Nov04 Oct02 Aug13   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.50    
SCR  JOKING WAY Aug25 Jun15 Apr29 Mar05 Jan20 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 30.00    
10  ASKARI Jul22 Jun17       (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 13% 6.70    
11  KIGALI Jul16 Jun24 May04 Mar25 Feb18 (bauer a)GEROUX FLORENT 120 30.00    
12  WINTERS LION Jul01 May27 Apr22 Mar04 Jan28 (sharp joe)RIDER TBA 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
13  GILMORE Jul28 Jun10 May06 Apr08 Mar04 (walsh p)ORTIZ JR 122 0.80 63% 0.60    
15  SIGNATOR Aug05 Oct14 Sep16     (mcgaughey clau)CASTELLANO J 122 3.00    
16  MIDNIGHT TROUBLE Jun04 Dec30 Dec03 Oct15 Sep29 (maker j)RIDER TBA 122 10.00    
SCR  INFLATION NATION (IRE) Jul08 May20 Apr22 Nov05 Oct09 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL null      
SCR  WICO (IRE) Jul22 May21 Apr28 Mar25 Oct28 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R null      
 
SAR-6   08/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINNING DRIVE Aug05 Jun24 May26 Mar26 Feb26 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00    
AIR SHOW Aug19 Jul22 Jul08 Apr29 Mar26 (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 115 12.00    
DIGITAL FUTURE Jul22 May19 Apr20 Jan27 Dec17 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50    
NO MORE TALK Aug05 Jul14 Jul02 Jun03 May26 (potts wayne)ORTIZ JR 123 4.00 31% 2.20    
FIRST DEPUTY Jul14 Jul02 Jun03 Apr30 Apr07 (diprima grego)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00    
GHOST GIANT Jul20 Jun17 May28 Apr27 Mar15 (donk david)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00    
PRINTRACK Aug04 Jul23 Jun24 Jun04 May07 (quick patr)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00 6% 15.40    
SOUPER CATCH Aug06 Jul19 May18 Apr30 Mar22 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00 31% 2.30    
MONEY MIKE Aug04 May19 Mar24 Jan15 Dec01 (summers chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
SCR  DONTBELATE Aug05 Jul19 May18 Apr28 Apr01 (persaud)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 10.00    
 
SAR-7   08/30/2023 6270ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FIZZY Jul29 Jun24       (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00    
SCR  TAWARET Jul29 Jul02 Apr28 Mar19   (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00    
ABSOLUTE CONTROL (FR)         (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SHE WILL DANCE (IRE)         (lerman s)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 30.00    
MACHIAVELLIQUE Jul29 Jun24 Jun03 Mar26 Mar04 (albertrani th)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00    
TACITURN Jul15         (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
10  SHE'S MO BUBBLY Jul29 Jun03 Apr08 Feb24 Jan21 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50 75% 0.30    
SCR  LASERJET Jun23         (shirer mat)SANTANA JR 118 20.00    
SCR  WHY WASTE WORDS Jul15         (bond jam)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
14  KATIE'S CHECKRIDE Jul28 Jul07 Mar31     (bond ja)TORRES A 113 15.00    
15  SPELL ON YOU Jun23         (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00    
16  PARIS STYLE (FR) Aug18 Jul15 Apr07     (mcpeek kenneth)GEROUX FLORENT null      
SCR  AKAYLA (IRE) Oct22 Aug28       (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT null      
SCR  KING'S SECRET (GB) Jul15 Mar05 Jan22     (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER null      
SCR  LADY CLAYPOOLE (IRE) Aug12         (maker mich)SANTANA JR null      
SCR  LIBRETTO (IRE) Jul02 Jun03 May07 Mar04 Nov20 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN null      
 
SAR-8   08/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEZZ KOLDAZICE Aug09 Jun29 May27 Apr28 Mar17 (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 126 12.00    
SCR  MOVIE MOXY Jun24 Jun16 May26 Apr16 Mar25 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 126 3.00    
TOUGH STREET Jul29 May18 Mar25 Mar03 Jan22 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 126 6.00    
SIGNAL FROM NOISE Jul30 Jun10 Mar10 Jan11 Nov17 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 5.00 35% 1.90    
LEAVE NO TRACE Mar04 Nov04 Oct02 Sep04 Jul20 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 20% 4.10    
OLGA ISABEL Jul22 Oct29 Oct07 May06 Mar05 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 5.00 19% 4.10    
SCR  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY Aug09 Jul20 May26 Apr30 Apr21 (barrera s)FRANCO MANUEL 126 20.00    
TIZZY IN THE SKY Nov25 Oct28 Sep23 Aug25 Jul01 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00    
PRETTI XTREME Jul20 Apr07 Mar05 Jan28 Dec18 (falcone n)ROSARIO JOEL 122 10.00    
 
SAR-9   08/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 5:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGIC CROSS Aug06 Jul08       (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00    
SCR  GALA BRAND Aug03         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50    
SCR  MADAME MISCHIEF Aug05 Jul02       (delgado jo)SANTANA JR 122 15.00    
VILLI OLENTO Jul22 Jul01 Jun03     (englehart chris)ROSARIO JOEL 118 20.00    
DANCING SPIRIT Aug13 Jul17       (rice adam)ORTIZ L 122 4.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  CYNANE May11         (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 122 6.00    
SCR  BROCKNARDINI Aug02         (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50    
SCR  SHE FEELS PRETTY Jul16         (devaux cheri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00    
TAKEMETOTHEBEACH Jul17         (kintz matt)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 20.00    
SCR  HARD TO JUSTIFY Jul23         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00    
SCR  MIZ SENSE Jul30         (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 33% 2.00    
 
SAR-10   08/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOCIAL SIDEKICK Jul03 Feb24 Oct16 Jul29   (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 118 15.00    
PERFECT OUTCOME Dec31 Dec10       (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00    
SCR  IMPAZIBLE PRINCE Aug09 Jul03 Nov05 Oct06 Sep15 (albright ge)LEPAROUX R 124 12.00    
SCR  FAST STUDY Aug06 Jul01 May13 Jan29 Dec30 (schettino domin)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00    
SCR  CHARMING JIM Jul14         (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 118 20.00    
MUNNY FOR NUTHIN Aug06 Jul01 May06 Apr14   (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 124 20.00    
SILENT RUNNING Aug06 Jun03 May13 Jan01 Nov20 (bond ja)TORRES A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
UTAMARO Jul21 May29       (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
SCR  HARI Jun03         (mott i)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00    
SCR  BARRY THE BUILDER Jul03 Jun03 May13 Nov11 Oct27 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 118 4.00    
SCR  PRIX DE WEST Aug06 Apr27       (mott william)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
12  MYLES May19 Apr22 Mar30     (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 3.50 10% 9.10    
SCR  THATSMYBOXER Jul09 Jun18       (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
14  ATLANTA'S ACUNA Jul30 Jun03 May06 Nov11 Oct27 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00 25% 3.00    
15  I'M JUST Jul04 May29 Apr21 Mar18   (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.00 35% 1.90    
16  UNCLE MARTY May05 Apr07 Nov13 Sep29 Sep05 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.