Handicappers' Race Results
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Saratoga
Friday - August 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (14/15/16) 3 $2.00 $6.00 16 1 1 $3.50 $3.50  
SAR-2   Win (5/3/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $5.30 $5.30  
SAR-3   Win (5/2/3/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $2.70 $2.70  
SAR-4   Win (7/5/13/2/14/12) 6 $2.00 $12.00 11 1 0 $11.60  
SAR-5   Win (1/6/9/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $18.20  
SAR-6   Win (6/1/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
SAR-7   Win (4/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $7.10  
SAR-8   Win (10/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $7.80  
SAR-9   Win (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $10.00  
SAR-10   Win (10/12/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 12 1 1 $8.10 $8.10 0.10
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   08/25/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:25 :49 1:13 1:254   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
16  GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE 7 2 2½ 21 21 1nk 12¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.60 19% 4.20 0.75 W
11  REAL MEN VIOLIN 6 4 31½ 31½ 32½ 32½ 22¾ (mcpeek kenneth )ORTIZ JR 119 10.00 ★ 11.10 P
4  FELTRINELLI 3 1 1½ 11 11 2nk 33 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 ★ 8.30 S
1  RADIO LIBERTY 1 3 42 42 63¾ 44 46½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50 ★ 12.30  
8  VERACRUZIN 4 7 73½ 73 43½ 65¾ 511¾ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00 3.10  
9  SHERIFF JOE 5 6 52½ 52½ 53½ 55½ 611¾ (maker michael )CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 13.80  
3  INHERENT PROMISE 2 5 63 62½ 73¾ 78¼ 714½ (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 20.30  
SCR  WALLEY WORLD               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00    
SCR  UNCLE BO               (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
SCR  TIRELESS               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
SCR  THE HERO CODE               (mcgaughey claude)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
SCR  SPIRIT PRINCE               (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  MOONLIGHT               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  FORTUNE SELLER               (rice kevin)ORTIZ L 119 5.00    
SCR  ZVEREV               (devaux cheri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
SCR  BUFFOON (FR)               (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
 
SAR-2   08/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:112     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  VAX 3 5 4¾ 41½   2½ 1¾ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 11% 8.50 1.65 W
5  TRUST THE NUMBERS 5 2 1nk 1½   1½ 2¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 60% 0.70 1.90 P
1  HANDLE THE TRUTH 1 6 74¾ 75½   45 38¾ (metivie)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 20.00 44.75  
8  QUICK POWER NAP 8 1 3½ 2½   34 411½ (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00 9.60  
2  LA AGUILILLA 2 7 63¾ 53½   55½ 513¾ (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 6% 14.80 6.50  
7  GOODBYE KYLE 7 8 85¼ 810   812 617½ (gaudet lacey)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00 18.20  
4  OUR ROSIE DIAMONDS 4 4 51¾ 64½   711½ 720½ (nevin mich)SANTANA JR 118 5.00 7.70  
6  MO TOWN MADISON 6 3 2nk 3½   610½ 823¼ (joseph saffie )TORRES A 115 12.00 15.80  
 
SAR-3   08/25/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 GOOD Smart Purse ($150K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:221 :45 :56     1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ROSES FOR DEBRA 3 1 32½ 32½   1½ 13¼ (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 124 0.50 53% 0.90 0.35 W
2  BUBBLE ROCK 1 2 21 2½   2½ 23¼ (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.00 8% 10.90 2.85 P
3  TRAIN TO ARTEMUS 2 3 11 1½   3½ 34¼ (breen j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 10.00 7% 12.50 6.60 S
6  TALKIN TIPSY 4 4 43 42½   46½ 413½ (gulick jame)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00 5% 19.00 14.30  
SCR  BLUEFIELD               (joseph a)RIDER TBA 118 1.80    
SCR  CAN'T BUY LOVE               (trombetta micha)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00    
SCR  POPPY FLOWER               (mott i)ORTIZ L 124 5.00 7% 13.70    
SCR  SELF ISOLATION               (jacobson david)RIDER TBA 118 1.40    
 
SAR-4   08/25/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($32K) Purse ($64K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:243 :481 1:122 1:25   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  TRUCULENT 6 5 42¾ 32½ 2½ 1nk 1hd (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 4.80  
9  STYNER 4 3 12½ 11½ 1½ 2nk 2hd (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 5.10  
10  JUST CALL RAY 5 4 32½ 21½ 32½ 42¾ 32 (abreu fernando)TORRES A 115 8.00 17.00  
5  LANDBISCUIT 2 2 54¾ 64 43½ 32½ 42¼ (donk david)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.00 14% 6.30 5.00  
13  DUST DEVIL 8 7 65¼ 54 54 53¼ 53½ (toscano t)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.00 7% 14.40 1.95  
2  HIGH TIDE 1 8 86¾ 76 65 64¼ 64 (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50 6% 15.70 8.30  
12  DATESFREEDOM 7 6 75¾ 86½ 811½ 710¼ 714¾ (delauro j)DAVIS KATIE 123 15.00 5% 19.00 19.30  
6  TOMMY BEE 3 1 22½ 43 79 814¼ 831¼ (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 ★ 6.00  
SCR  ARUBA (IRE)               (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00    
SCR  H P MOON               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  KLICKITAT               (rodriguez gust)TORRES A 113 8.00    
SCR  MICROSECOND               (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00    
SCR  ORIGINAL               (dutrow richard )FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
SCR  SPEEDY HANS               (david a)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 47% 1.10    
 
SAR-5   08/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($75K) Purse ($88K) 3 ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:101     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  MAJOR BLUE 8 3 1½ 1nk   1nk 12½ (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 122 10.00 8.10  
9  DARK VECTOR 9 4 2½ 2nk   2nk 22½ (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 118 4.00 15% 5.90 3.65 P
7  MR BOB 7 2 42 31½   33 33¼ (falcone n)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00 14% 6.30 13.30 S
5  THUNDERIAN 5 7 87¾ 86¾   43½ 43½ (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 7.50  
2  WARRIOR RICHARD 2 6 912¾ 98¾   65¾ 53½ (falcone ro)SANTANA JR 118 12.00 18.10  
3  ALTERNATE REALITY 3 9 1015¾ 1014¾   97¾ 68¼ (englehart chris)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00 9.40  
1  PROVE RIGHT 1 5 65¼ 64¼   53¾ 710 (reynolds patrick )DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 24% 3.20 3.55  
10  HELDISH 10 10 52¼ 52¼   76¼ 812½ (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 15.90  
6  JOKING WAY 6 1 3½ 41¾   86¼ 913½ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 17% 4.90 3.50  
4  STREET SWAGG 4 8 76¼ 76¼   1013¾ 1036½ (miceli michael)GEROUX FLORENT 120 10.00 7% 14.20 28.25  
 
SAR-6   08/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:22 :443 :563     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  FIERCENESS 6 1 11 12½   17 111¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 37% 1.70 1.10 W
1  AIR OF DEFIANCE 1 6 63½ 65   59 211¼ (cox h)SANTANA JR 119 2.50 26% 2.90 5.30 P
7  BILLAL 7 4 21 22½   27 311¼ (mott i)GEROUX FLORENT 119 15.00 24.00  
5  CHANGE OF COMMAND 5 2 31 43½   38 413 (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 5% 19.00 15.90  
8  DAILY GRIND 8 5 52½ 33½   48½ 514½ (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 119 15.00 7.90  
2  ANCHISES 2 7 810 811   815½ 618¾ (mott i)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 15% 5.90 7.70  
3  APOLLO TEN 3 8 76½ 75½   611 719¼ (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 7.20  
4  WAJDA 4 3 42 54   715 831 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00 7.90  
 
SAR-7   08/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:221 :45 :57     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  ONTHEONESANDTWOS 5 1 12 12½   13½ 16¾ (casse norm)SANTANA JR 122 5.00 ★ 2.55  
3  HEADLAND 2 3 22 22½   23½ 26¾ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 1.60 ★ 0.75 P
1  YOU LOOK COLD 1 2 54½ 58½   36 37 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00 21% 3.70 4.10 S
6  EASY TO BLESS 4 5 34 48   59½ 417½ (ferraro james )TORRES A 119 20.00 5% 19.00 16.60  
5  HYDRA 3 4 44 36   48 529¼ (toscano t)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 15.00 9.50  
SCR  FIRST TO ACT               (mcgaughey claud)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  REPEALING               (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 122 6.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  UNSUNG MELODY               (ortiz alexande)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00    
 
SAR-8   08/25/2023 7260ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:133 1:394   2:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ANATOLIAN 2 62½ 62¾ 62½ 41½ 41½ 11¾ (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 2.90  
10  PEAK POPULARITY 6 73½ 73¼ 73 2nk 2nk 21¾ (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 120 1.80 39% 1.50 2.95 P
11  SHE CAUGHT MY EYE 7 52 41½ 41½ 1nk 1nk 35¾ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 2.00 ★ 2.65 S
12  RUN DEVIL 8 2½ 2½ 2½ 31 31 411¾ (rodriguez )SANTANA JR 120 12.00 16.30  
7  MODERN LOVE 5 31 52½ 31½ 74¾ 74¾ 513 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 120 12.00 5% 19.00 6.00  
2  EMBRACE ME 1 86 88¼ 86 63¼ 63¼ 617 (albertrani thomas)CARMOUCHE K 120 20.00 28.00  
5  OUT OF SIGHT 3 1½ 1½ 1½ 51¾ 51¾ 718½ (donk david)TORRES A 120 15.00 22.30  
6  SWEET DUTCHESS 4 41 31½ 52 85¼ 85¼ 822 (mott i)CASTELLANO J 125 3.50 27% 2.60 6.30  
SCR  ANY PORT               (lerman s)GEROUX FLORENT 123 12.00    
SCR  AVENUE NIEL (IRE)               (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 125 2.00    
SCR  LULLABY LAND               (abrams jack)ORTIZ L 123 8.00    
SCR  OLKOVSKHA (FR)               (motion graham)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.00    
SCR  RHOMBIQUE               (ribaudo j)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00    
 
SAR-9   08/25/2023 5940ft DIRT RC14 SLOPPY Personal Ensign Purse ($500K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:44
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:123 1:364   1:491   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IDIOMATIC 1 1 11 11½ 11 11 14 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 4.00  
3  SECRET OATH 3 3 43 43 42 31½ 24 (lukas wayne)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00 5% 19.00 7.20 P
5  NEST 5 4 32½ 32 31½ 21 34¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 124 0.80 40% 1.50 0.75 S
2  MALLOY 2 2 21 21½ 21 48½ 416¼ (catalano m)DAVIS DYLAN 118 50.00 45.50  
6  CLAIRIERE 6 6 65 65½ 64 59 517¾ (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 124 2.50 31% 2.20 3.10  
4  SIXTYTHREECALIBER 4 5 53½ 54 54 611 622 (amoss m)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00 19.50  
 
SAR-10   08/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:18
See original race card.
:214 :444 :571     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  WHITE CHOCOLATE 7 2 11 11   16 15½ (summers chad)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50 24% 3.20 3.05 W
10  ARRASOU 5 6 52½ 33   26 25½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 32% 2.10 2.60 P
5  RISK FREE 2 7 78½ 68½   49 35½ (delauro j)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00 2.85  
11  MILLIE JEAN 6 3 32 43½   510½ 413¼ (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00 7.90  
7  GOING THE DISTANCE 4 5 21 21   38½ 514½ (shirer a)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 5% 19.00 6.10  
6  BOURBON AND HONEY 3 4 66 58½   620½ 644¼ (devaux che)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 17.70  
1  FRAU DIABLO 1 1 42½ 79   732½ 763¼ (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 8.40  
SCR  COWICHAN (IRE)               (ward a)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00    
SCR  MATERIAL WITNESS               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 20.00    
SCR  OOLONG HAI (IRE)               (hennig mark)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
SCR  RIVIERE               (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00    
SCR  WE SHALL SEE               (hemingway michel)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.