The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Saratoga
Friday - August 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (16/1/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 16 1 1 $3.50 $3.50 -2.50
    Exacta (16/1/11)-(16/1/11) 6 $1.00 $6.00 16-11 2 1 $13.30 $13.30 7.30
    Trifecta (16/1/11)-(16/1/11)-(16/1/11) 6 $0.50 $3.00 16-11-4 3 0 $25.87 -3.00
SAR-2   Win (5/3/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $5.30 $5.30 -2.70
    Exacta (5/3/2/8)-(5/3/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 3-5 2 1 $8.10 $8.10 -3.90
    Trifecta (5/3/2/8)-(5/3/2/8)-(5/3/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 3-5-1 3 0 $57.50 -12.00
    Daily Double (5/3/2/8)-(5/3/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 16-3 2 0 $4.75 -16.00
SAR-3   Win (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $2.70 $2.70 -1.30
    Exacta (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 5-2 2 1 $1.90 $1.90 -0.10
    Daily Double (5/3/2/8)-(5/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 3-5 2 1 $4.30 $4.30 -3.70
    Pick Three (16/1/11)-(5/3/2/8)-(5/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 16-3-5 3 1 $5.90 $5.90 -18.10
SAR-4   Win (13/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 11 1 0 $11.60 -8.00
    Exacta (13/2/5/6)-(13/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 11-9 2 0 $29.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (13/2/5/6)-(13/2/5/6)-(13/2/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 11-9-10 3 0 $112.25 -12.00
    Daily Double (5/2)-(13/2/5/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 5-11 2 0 $7.70 -8.00
    Pick Three (5/3/2/8)-(5/2)-(13/2/5/6) 32 $1.00 $32.00 3-5-11 3 0 $17.40 -32.00
SAR-5   Win (1/6/9/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $18.20 -10.00
    Exacta (1/6/9/7/4)-(1/6/9/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 8-9 2 0 $77.00 -20.00
    Trifecta (1/6/9/7/4)-(1/6/9/7/4)-(1/6/9/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 8-9-7 3 0 $411.50 -30.00
    Daily Double (13/2/5/6)-(1/6/9/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 11-8 2 0 $39.50 -20.00
    Pick Three (5/2)-(13/2/5/6)-(1/6/9/7/4) 40 $1.00 $40.00 5-11-8 3 0 $33.75 -40.00
SAR-6   Win (6/1/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -3.80
    Exacta (6/1/2/5)-(6/1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 6-1 2 1 $9.70 $9.70 -2.30
    Trifecta (6/1/2/5)-(6/1/2/5)-(6/1/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 6-1-7 3 0 $55.62 -12.00
    Daily Double (6/1/2/5)-(6/1/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 8-6 2 0 $21.00 -16.00
    Pick Three (6/1/2/5)-(6/1/2/5)-(6/1/2/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 11-8-6 3 0 $80.00 -64.00
SAR-7   Win (1/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 8 1 1 $7.10 $7.10 3.10
    Exacta (1/8)-(1/8) 2 $1.00 $2.00 8-3 2 0 $8.20 -2.00
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 8-3-1 3 0 $7.25 0.00
    Daily Double (6/1/2/5)-(1/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 6-8 2 1 $10.10 $10.10 2.10
    Pick Three (1/8)-(6/1/2/5)-(1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 8-6-8 3 1 $70.50 $70.50 54.50
SAR-8   Win (10/6/11/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $7.80 -8.00
    Exacta (10/6/11/7)-(10/6/11/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 4-10 2 0 $10.70 -12.00
    Trifecta (10/6/11/7)-(10/6/11/7)-(10/6/11/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 4-10-11 3 0 $14.75 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/8)-(10/6/11/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 8-4 2 0 $17.70 -8.00
    Pick Three (6/1/2/5)-(1/8)-(10/6/11/7) 32 $1.00 $32.00 6-8-4 3 0 $38.25 -32.00
SAR-9   Win (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $10.00 -6.00
    Exacta (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-3 2 0 $25.50 -6.00
    Trifecta (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 1-3-5 3 0 $23.50 -3.00
    Daily Double (10/6/11/7)-(5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 4-1 2 0 $15.90 -12.00
    Pick Three (1/8)-(10/6/11/7)-(5/6/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 8-4-1 3 0 $64.25 -24.00
SAR-10   Win (10/12/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 12 1 1 $8.10 $8.10 2.10
    Exacta (10/12/1)-(10/12/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 12-10 2 1 $17.30 $17.30 11.30
    Trifecta (10/12/1)-(10/12/1)-(10/12/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 12-10-5 3 0 $16.37 -3.00
    Daily Double (5/6/3)-(10/12/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 1-12 2 0 $14.80 -9.00
    Pick Three (10/6/11/7)-(5/6/3)-(10/12/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 4-1-12 3 0 $75.00 -36.00

Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   08/25/2023 5610ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 ALL PT- 1:10
:25 :49 1:13 1:254   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
16  GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE 7 2 2½ 21 21 1nk 1(brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.60 52% 0.90 0.75 W
11  REAL MEN VIOLIN 6 4 3 3 3 32(mcpeek kenneth )ORTIZ JR 119 10.00 6% 14.60 11.10 P
FELTRINELLI 3 1 1½ 11 11 2nk 33 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 8.30  
RADIO LIBERTY 1 3 42 42 6 44 4(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50 19% 4.20 12.30  
VERACRUZIN 4 7 7 73 4 6511¾ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00 3.10  
SHERIFF JOE 5 6 5 5 5 5611¾ (maker michael )CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 13.80  
INHERENT PROMISE 2 5 63 6 7 7714½ (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 20.30  
SCR  WALLEY WORLD               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00    
SCR  UNCLE BO               (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
SCR  TIRELESS               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
SCR  THE HERO CODE               (mcgaughey claude)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
SCR  SPIRIT PRINCE               (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00    
SCR  MOONLIGHT               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50    
SCR  FORTUNE SELLER               (rice kevin)ORTIZ L 119 5.00    
SCR  ZVEREV               (devaux cheri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
SCR  BUFFOON (FR)               (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
 
SAR-2   08/25/2023 4620ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
:223 :453 1:112     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VAX 3 5 4¾ 4   2½ 1¾ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 11% 8.50 1.65 W
TRUST THE NUMBERS 5 2 1nk 1½   1½ 2¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 60% 0.70 1.90 P
HANDLE THE TRUTH 1 6 7 7   45 3(metivie)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 20.00 44.75  
QUICK POWER NAP 8 1 3½ 2½   34 411½ (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00 9.60  
LA AGUILILLA 2 7 6 5   5513¾ (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 6% 14.80 6.50  
GOODBYE KYLE 7 8 8 810   812 617½ (gaudet lacey)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00 18.20  
OUR ROSIE DIAMONDS 4 4 5 6   711½ 720½ (nevin mich)SANTANA JR 118 5.00 7.70  
MO TOWN MADISON 6 3 2nk 3½   610½ 823¼ (joseph saffie )TORRES A 115 12.00 15.80  
 
SAR-3   08/25/2023 3630ft TURF GOOD Smart Purse ($150K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:20
:221 :45 :56     1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSES FOR DEBRA 3 1 3 3   1½ 1(clement christo)ORTIZ JR 124 0.50 49% 1.00 0.35 W
BUBBLE ROCK 1 2 21 2½   2½ 2(cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.00 16% 5.20 2.85 P
TRAIN TO ARTEMUS 2 3 11 1½   3½ 3(breen j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 10.00 6.60  
TALKIN TIPSY 4 4 43 4   4413½ (gulick jame)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00 14.30  
SCR  BLUEFIELD               (joseph a)RIDER TBA 118 1.80    
SCR  CAN'T BUY LOVE               (trombetta micha)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00    
SCR  POPPY FLOWER               (mott i)ORTIZ L 124 5.00    
SCR  SELF ISOLATION               (jacobson david)RIDER TBA 118 1.40    
 
SAR-4   08/25/2023 5610ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($32K) Purse ($64K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:52
:243 :481 1:122 1:25   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  TRUCULENT 6 5 4 3 2½ 1nk 1hd (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 4.80  
STYNER 4 3 1 1 1½ 2nk 2hd (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 5.10  
10  JUST CALL RAY 5 4 3 2 3 432 (abreu fernando)TORRES A 115 8.00 17.00  
LANDBISCUIT 2 2 5 64 4 34(donk david)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.00 17% 4.80 5.00  
13  DUST DEVIL 8 7 6 54 54 55(toscano t)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.00 25% 3.00 1.95  
HIGH TIDE 1 8 8 76 65 664 (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50 21% 3.70 8.30  
12  DATESFREEDOM 7 6 7 8 811½ 710¼ 714¾ (delauro j)DAVIS KATIE 123 15.00 19.30  
TOMMY BEE 3 1 2 43 79 814¼ 831¼ (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 13% 6.90 6.00  
SCR  ARUBA               (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00    
SCR  H P MOON               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 3.50    
SCR  KLICKITAT               (rodriguez gust)TORRES A 113 8.00    
SCR  MICROSECOND               (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00    
SCR  ORIGINAL               (dutrow richard )FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
SCR  SPEEDY HANS               (david a)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
 
SAR-5   08/25/2023 4620ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($75K) Purse ($88K) 3 ALL PT- 3:26
:222 :452 1:101     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJOR BLUE 8 3 1½ 1nk   1nk 1(lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 122 10.00 8.10  
DARK VECTOR 9 4 2½ 2nk   2nk 2(weaver george)CASTELLANO J 118 4.00 15% 5.90 3.65 P
MR BOB 7 2 42 3   33 3(falcone n)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00 14% 6.30 13.30 S
THUNDERIAN 5 7 8 8   44(jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 7.50  
WARRIOR RICHARD 2 6 912¾ 9   65(falcone ro)SANTANA JR 118 12.00 18.10  
ALTERNATE REALITY 3 9 1015¾ 1014¾   96(englehart chris)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00 9.40  
PROVE RIGHT 1 5 6 6   5710 (reynolds patrick )DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 24% 3.20 3.55  
10  HELDISH 10 10 5 5   7812½ (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 15.90  
JOKING WAY 6 1 3½ 4   8913½ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 17% 4.90 3.50  
STREET SWAGG 4 8 7 7   1013¾ 1036½ (miceli michael)GEROUX FLORENT 120 10.00 7% 14.20 28.25  
 
SAR-6   08/25/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 ALL PT- 4:00
:22 :443 :563     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIERCENESS 6 1 11 1   17 111¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 37% 1.70 1.10 W
AIR OF DEFIANCE 1 6 6 65   59 211¼ (cox h)SANTANA JR 119 2.50 26% 2.90 5.30 P
BILLAL 7 4 21 2   27 311¼ (mott i)GEROUX FLORENT 119 15.00 24.00  
CHANGE OF COMMAND 5 2 31 4   38 413 (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 5% 19.00 15.90  
DAILY GRIND 8 5 5 3   4514½ (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 119 15.00 7.90  
ANCHISES 2 7 810 811   815½ 618¾ (mott i)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 15% 5.90 7.70  
APOLLO TEN 3 8 7 7   611 719¼ (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 7.20  
WAJDA 4 3 42 54   715 831 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00 7.90  
 
SAR-7   08/25/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
:221 :45 :57     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONTHEONESANDTWOS 5 1 12 1   11(casse norm)SANTANA JR 122 5.00 26% 2.80 2.55 W
HEADLAND 2 3 22 2   22(rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 1.60 0.75  
YOU LOOK COLD 1 2 5 5   36 37 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00 35% 1.80 4.10 S
EASY TO BLESS 4 5 34 48   5417½ (ferraro james )TORRES A 119 20.00 16.60  
HYDRA 3 4 44 36   48 529¼ (toscano t)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 15.00 9.50  
SCR  FIRST TO ACT               (mcgaughey claud)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00    
SCR  REPEALING               (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 122 6.00    
SCR  UNSUNG MELODY               (ortiz alexande)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00    
 
SAR-8   08/25/2023 7260ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
:24 :482 1:133 1:394   2:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANATOLIAN 2 66 6 4 41(maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 2.90  
10  PEAK POPULARITY 6 77 73 2nk 2nk 2(brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 120 1.80 35% 1.80 2.95 P
11  SHE CAUGHT MY EYE 7 52 4 4 1nk 1nk 3(rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 2.00 6% 15.10 2.65 S
12  RUN DEVIL 8 2½ 2½ 2½ 31 31 411¾ (rodriguez )SANTANA JR 120 12.00 16.30  
MODERN LOVE 5 31 5 3 7 7513 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 120 12.00 5% 19.00 6.00  
EMBRACE ME 1 86 8 86 6 6617 (albertrani thomas)CARMOUCHE K 120 20.00 28.00  
OUT OF SIGHT 3 1½ 1½ 1½ 5 5718½ (donk david)TORRES A 120 15.00 22.30  
SWEET DUTCHESS 4 41 3 52 8 8822 (mott i)CASTELLANO J 125 3.50 28% 2.60 6.30  
SCR  ANY PORT               (lerman s)GEROUX FLORENT 123 12.00    
SCR  AVENUE NIEL (IRE)               (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 125 2.00    
SCR  LULLABY LAND               (abrams jack)ORTIZ L 123 8.00    
SCR  OLKOVSKHA (FR)               (motion graham)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.00    
SCR  RHOMBIQUE               (ribaudo j)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00    
 
SAR-9   08/25/2023 5940ft DIRT SLOPPY Personal Ensign Purse ($500K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:44
:243 :484 1:123 1:364   1:491   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IDIOMATIC 1 1 11 1 11 11 14 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 4.00  
SECRET OATH 3 3 43 43 42 324 (lukas wayne)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00 5% 19.00 7.20 P
NEST 5 4 3 32 3 21 3(pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 124 0.80 40% 1.50 0.75 S
MALLOY 2 2 21 2 21 4416¼ (catalano m)DAVIS DYLAN 118 50.00 45.50  
CLAIRIERE 6 6 65 6 64 59 517¾ (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 124 2.50 31% 2.20 3.10  
SIXTYTHREECALIBER 4 5 5 54 54 611 622 (amoss m)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00 19.50  
 
SAR-10   08/25/2023 3630ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:18
:214 :444 :571     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  WHITE CHOCOLATE 7 2 11 11   16 1(summers chad)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50 31% 2.20 3.05 W
10  ARRASOU 5 6 5 33   26 2(brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 40% 1.50 2.60 P
RISK FREE 2 7 7 6   49 3(delauro j)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00 2.85  
11  MILLIE JEAN 6 3 32 4   510½ 413¼ (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00 7.90  
GOING THE DISTANCE 4 5 21 21   3514½ (shirer a)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 6.10  
BOURBON AND HONEY 3 4 66 5   620½ 644¼ (devaux che)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 17.70  
FRAU DIABLO 1 1 4 79   732½ 763¼ (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 5% 18.40 8.40  
SCR  COWICHAN (IRE)               (ward a)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00    
SCR  MATERIAL WITNESS               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 20.00    
SCR  OOLONG HAI (IRE)               (hennig mark)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
SCR  RIVIERE               (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00    
SCR  WE SHALL SEE               (hemingway michel)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.