Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Saratoga
Friday - August 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SAR-1   EXA (14/15/16)-(16/11/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00  16-11 $13.30 $4.30 48%
    TRI (14/15/16)-(16/11/1/4)-(16/11/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00  16-11-4 $25.87 $16.87 187%
    SFT (14/15/16)-(16/11/1/4)-(16/11/1/4)-(16/11/1/4) 18 $0.10 $1.80  16-11-4-1 $20.45 $18.65 1036%
SAR-10   EXA (10/12/1/7)-(10/12/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  12-10 $17.30 $5.30 44%
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   08/25/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:25 :49 1:13 1:254   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
16  GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE 7 2 2½ 21 21 1nk 12¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.60 19% 4.20 0.75 W
  (by TAPIT out of ROSEMONDE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
11  REAL MEN VIOLIN 6 4 31½ 31½ 32½ 32½ 22¾ (mcpeek kennet)ORTIZ JR 119 10.00 ★ 11.10 P
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of MEG FITZ by TAPIT)
4  FELTRINELLI 3 1 1½ 11 11 2nk 33 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 ★ 8.30 S
  (by UNCLE MO out of FANTASTIC STYLE by FIGHTING FIT)
1  RADIO LIBERTY 1 3 42 42 63¾ 44 46½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50 ★ 12.30  
  (by AUDIBLE out of MARY RITA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
8  VERACRUZIN 4 7 73½ 73 43½ 65¾ 511¾ (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00 3.10  
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of MAKE HASTE (GB) by TIZNOW)
9  SHERIFF JOE 5 6 52½ 52½ 53½ 55½ 611¾ (maker michae)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 13.80  
  (by CURLIN out of RECOLLECTION by CHEROKEE RUN)
3  INHERENT PROMISE 2 5 63 62½ 73¾ 78¼ 714½ (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 20.30  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of YEAR OF PROMISE by GIO PONTI)
SCR  WALLEY WORLD               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of FORCED FAMILY FUN by UNCLE MO)
SCR  UNCLE BO               (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of COUNTY CLARE by UNCLE MO)
SCR  TIRELESS               (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of KITTY UNION by UNION RAGS)
SCR  THE HERO CODE               (mcgaughey clau)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
  (by TAPIT out of PHOTOGRAPH by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  SPIRIT PRINCE               (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 30% 2.30    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of DOTTIE'S SPIRIT by CURLIN)
SCR  MOONLIGHT               (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 27% 2.70    
  (by AUDIBLE out of SUNDOWN by VIGORS)
SCR  FORTUNE SELLER               (rice kevin)ORTIZ L 119 5.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of VIOLINIST by REGAL CLASSIC)
SCR  ZVEREV               (devaux che)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of BALANCE by THUNDER GULCH)
SCR  BUFFOON (FR)               (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of AFTER DAWN by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT (IRE))
 
SAR-2   08/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:112     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  VAX 3 5 4¾ 41½   2½ 1¾ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 11% 8.50 1.65 W
5  TRUST THE NUMBERS 5 2 1nk 1½   1½ 2¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 60% 0.70 1.90 P
1  HANDLE THE TRUTH 1 6 74¾ 75½   45 38¾ (metiv)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 20.00 44.75  
8  QUICK POWER NAP 8 1 3½ 2½   34 411½ (rodriguez rudy)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00 9.60  
2  LA AGUILILLA 2 7 63¾ 53½   55½ 513¾ (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 6% 14.80 6.50  
7  GOODBYE KYLE 7 8 85¼ 810   812 617½ (gaudet lacey)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00 18.20  
4  OUR ROSIE DIAMONDS 4 4 51¾ 64½   711½ 720½ (nevin mi)SANTANA JR 118 5.00 7.70  
6  MO TOWN MADISON 6 3 2nk 3½   610½ 823¼ (joseph saffi)TORRES A 115 12.00 15.80  
 
SAR-3   08/25/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 GOOD Smart Purse ($150K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:221 :45 :56     1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ROSES FOR DEBRA 3 1 32½ 32½   1½ 13¼ (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 124 0.50 53% 0.90 0.35 W
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of ESSENTIAL ROSE by BERNARDINI)
2  BUBBLE ROCK 1 2 21 2½   2½ 23¼ (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.00 8% 10.90 2.85 P
  (by MORE THAN READY out of REEF POINT by BON POINT (GB))
3  TRAIN TO ARTEMUS 2 3 11 1½   3½ 34¼ (breen kelly)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 10.00 7% 12.50 6.60 S
  (by TAPIZAR out of PAY DAY KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
6  TALKIN TIPSY 4 4 43 42½   46½ 413½ (gulick ja)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00 5% 19.00 14.30  
  (by GREENPOINTCRUSADER out of TIPSY TOES by L'ENJOLEUR)
SCR  BLUEFIELD               (joseph a)RIDER TBA 118 1.80    
  (by FIELD COMMISSION out of IMTHEBLUES by PENTELICUS)
SCR  CAN'T BUY LOVE               (trombetta mic)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of PAY THE KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  POPPY FLOWER               (mott i)ORTIZ L 124 5.00 7% 13.70    
  (by LEA out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  SELF ISOLATION               (jacobson david)RIDER TBA 118 1.40    
  (by SQUARE EDDIE out of LOAN SAVANT by SPRING AT LAST)
 
SAR-4   08/25/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($32K) Purse ($64K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:243 :481 1:122 1:25   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  TRUCULENT 6 5 42¾ 32½ 2½ 1nk 1hd (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 4.80  
9  STYNER 4 3 12½ 11½ 1½ 2nk 2hd (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 5.10  
10  JUST CALL RAY 5 4 32½ 21½ 32½ 42¾ 32 (abreu fernan)TORRES A 115 8.00 17.00  
5  LANDBISCUIT 2 2 54¾ 64 43½ 32½ 42¼ (donk david)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.00 14% 6.30 5.00  
13  DUST DEVIL 8 7 65¼ 54 54 53¼ 53½ (toscano t)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.00 7% 14.40 1.95  
2  HIGH TIDE 1 8 86¾ 76 65 64¼ 64 (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50 6% 15.70 8.30  
12  DATESFREEDOM 7 6 75¾ 86½ 811½ 710¼ 714¾ (delauro edward )DAVIS KATIE 123 15.00 5% 19.00 19.30  
6  TOMMY BEE 3 1 22½ 43 79 814¼ 831¼ (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 ★ 6.00  
SCR  ARUBA (IRE)               (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00    
SCR  H P MOON               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  KLICKITAT               (rodriguez gu)TORRES A 113 8.00    
SCR  MICROSECOND               (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00    
SCR  ORIGINAL               (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
SCR  SPEEDY HANS               (david a)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 47% 1.10    
 
SAR-5   08/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($75K) Purse ($88K) 3 ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:101     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  MAJOR BLUE 8 3 1½ 1nk   1nk 12½ (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 122 10.00 8.10  
9  DARK VECTOR 9 4 2½ 2nk   2nk 22½ (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 118 4.00 15% 5.90 3.65 P
7  MR BOB 7 2 42 31½   33 33¼ (falcone robert)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00 14% 6.30 13.30 S
5  THUNDERIAN 5 7 87¾ 86¾   43½ 43½ (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 7.50  
2  WARRIOR RICHARD 2 6 912¾ 98¾   65¾ 53½ (falcone )SANTANA JR 118 12.00 18.10  
3  ALTERNATE REALITY 3 9 1015¾ 1014¾   97¾ 68¼ (englehart chris)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00 9.40  
1  PROVE RIGHT 1 5 65¼ 64¼   53¾ 710 (reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 24% 3.20 3.55  
10  HELDISH 10 10 52¼ 52¼   76¼ 812½ (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 15.90  
6  JOKING WAY 6 1 3½ 41¾   86¼ 913½ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 17% 4.90 3.50  
4  STREET SWAGG 4 8 76¼ 76¼   1013¾ 1036½ (miceli micha)GEROUX FLORENT 120 10.00 7% 14.20 28.25  
 
SAR-6   08/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:22 :443 :563     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  FIERCENESS 6 1 11 12½   17 111¼ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 37% 1.70 1.10 W
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of NONNA BELLA by STAY THIRSTY)
1  AIR OF DEFIANCE 1 6 63½ 65   59 211¼ (cox brad)SANTANA JR 119 2.50 26% 2.90 5.30 P
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of FAYPIEN by GHOSTZAPPER)
7  BILLAL 7 4 21 22½   27 311¼ (mott william)GEROUX FLORENT 119 15.00 24.00  
  (by STREET SENSE out of BAMBALINA by BERNARDINI)
5  CHANGE OF COMMAND 5 2 31 43½   38 413 (mcgaughey clau)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 5% 19.00 15.90  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MOI by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
8  DAILY GRIND 8 5 52½ 33½   48½ 514½ (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 119 15.00 7.90  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of WALK CLOSE by TAPIT)
2  ANCHISES 2 7 810 811   815½ 618¾ (mott i)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 15% 5.90 7.70  
  (by BLAME out of SNOOKI by EMPIRE MAKER)
3  APOLLO TEN 3 8 76½ 75½   611 719¼ (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 7.20  
  (by VIOLENCE out of STORMY REGATTA by MIDSHIPMAN)
4  WAJDA 4 3 42 54   715 831 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00 7.90  
  (by LAOBAN out of UNTAPPED SECRET by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
 
SAR-7   08/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:221 :45 :57     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  ONTHEONESANDTWOS 5 1 12 12½   13½ 16¾ (casse no)SANTANA JR 122 5.00 ★ 2.55  
3  HEADLAND 2 3 22 22½   23½ 26¾ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 1.60 ★ 0.75 P
1  YOU LOOK COLD 1 2 54½ 58½   36 37 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00 21% 3.70 4.10 S
6  EASY TO BLESS 4 5 34 48   59½ 417½ (ferraro jame)TORRES A 119 20.00 5% 19.00 16.60  
5  HYDRA 3 4 44 36   48 529¼ (toscano t)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 15.00 9.50  
SCR  FIRST TO ACT               (mcgaughey cla)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  REPEALING               (stall alb)LEPAROUX R 122 6.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  UNSUNG MELODY               (ortiz alexan)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00    
 
SAR-8   08/25/2023 7260ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:133 1:394   2:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ANATOLIAN 2 62½ 62¾ 62½ 41½ 41½ 11¾ (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 2.90  
10  PEAK POPULARITY 6 73½ 73¼ 73 2nk 2nk 21¾ (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 120 1.80 39% 1.50 2.95 P
11  SHE CAUGHT MY EYE 7 52 41½ 41½ 1nk 1nk 35¾ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 2.00 ★ 2.65 S
12  RUN DEVIL 8 2½ 2½ 2½ 31 31 411¾ (rodrigue)SANTANA JR 120 12.00 16.30  
7  MODERN LOVE 5 31 52½ 31½ 74¾ 74¾ 513 (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 120 12.00 5% 19.00 6.00  
2  EMBRACE ME 1 86 88¼ 86 63¼ 63¼ 617 (albertrani thom)CARMOUCHE K 120 20.00 28.00  
5  OUT OF SIGHT 3 1½ 1½ 1½ 51¾ 51¾ 718½ (donk david)TORRES A 120 15.00 22.30  
6  SWEET DUTCHESS 4 41 31½ 52 85¼ 85¼ 822 (mott william)CASTELLANO J 125 3.50 27% 2.60 6.30  
SCR  ANY PORT               (lerman s)GEROUX FLORENT 123 12.00    
SCR  AVENUE NIEL (IRE)               (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 125 2.00    
SCR  LULLABY LAND               (abrams jack)ORTIZ L 123 8.00    
SCR  OLKOVSKHA (FR)               (motion graha)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.00    
SCR  RHOMBIQUE               (ribaudo robert )DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00    
 
SAR-9   08/25/2023 5940ft DIRT RC14 SLOPPY Personal Ensign Purse ($500K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:44
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:123 1:364   1:491   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IDIOMATIC 1 1 11 11½ 11 11 14 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 4.00  
  (by CURLIN out of LOCKDOWN by FIRST DEFENCE)
3  SECRET OATH 3 3 43 43 42 31½ 24 (lukas wayn)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00 5% 19.00 7.20 P
  (by ARROGATE out of ABSINTHE MINDED by QUIET AMERICAN)
5  NEST 5 4 32½ 32 31½ 21 34¼ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 124 0.80 40% 1.50 0.75 S
  (by CURLIN out of MARION RAVENWOOD by A.P. INDY)
2  MALLOY 2 2 21 21½ 21 48½ 416¼ (catalano wayne )DAVIS DYLAN 118 50.00 45.50  
  (by OUTWORK out of HELLO MAGGIE MAY by LEMON DROP KID)
6  CLAIRIERE 6 6 65 65½ 64 59 517¾ (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 124 2.50 31% 2.20 3.10  
  (by CURLIN out of CAVORTING by FOOLISH PLEASURE)
4  SIXTYTHREECALIBER 4 5 53½ 54 54 611 622 (amoss m)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00 19.50  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of CLASSOFSIXTYTHREE by INCLUDE)
 
SAR-10   08/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:18
See original race card.
:214 :444 :571     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  WHITE CHOCOLATE 7 2 11 11   16 15½ (summers chad)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50 24% 3.20 3.05 W
  (by UNKNOWN out of EDITH COURT by POMEROY)
10  ARRASOU 5 6 52½ 33   26 25½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 32% 2.10 2.60 P
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GOIAS by HARD SPUN)
5  RISK FREE 2 7 78½ 68½   49 35½ (delauro edward)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00 2.85  
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of KEEP CROSSING by ISTAN)
11  MILLIE JEAN 6 3 32 43½   510½ 413¼ (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00 7.90  
  (by UNCAPTURED out of ZOOMING BY by CIMARRON SECRET)
7  GOING THE DISTANCE 4 5 21 21   38½ 514½ (shirer a)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 5% 19.00 6.10  
  (by TAPWRIT out of SHEISINITTOWINIT by STUDENT COUNCIL)
6  BOURBON AND HONEY 3 4 66 58½   620½ 644¼ (devaux c)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 17.70  
  (by STREET BOSS out of GRANT PARK by ACTION THIS DAY)
1  FRAU DIABLO 1 1 42½ 79   732½ 763¼ (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 8.40  
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of AUNT ESME by BIRDSTONE)
SCR  COWICHAN (IRE)               (ward wesley )GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00    
  (by KODIAC (GB) out of SHEHILA by ZAMINDAR)
SCR  MATERIAL WITNESS               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 20.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MORE THAN BEAUTY by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  OOLONG HAI (IRE)               (hennig mark)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of SPRING GARDEN by CAPOTE)
SCR  RIVIERE               (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of JULIE'S JEWELRY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  WE SHALL SEE               (hemingway mich)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 15.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of SHARE THE MUSIC by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.