Handicappers' Racing Form
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Saratoga
Friday - August 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (16) 1 $2.00 $2.00
SAR-2   Win (5/3/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-3   Win (5/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-4   Win (5/13/2/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-5   Win (1/6/9/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-6   Win (6/1/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-7   Win (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
SAR-8   Win (10/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-9   Win (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-10   Win (10/12/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
SAR-1   08/25/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 ALL PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RADIO LIBERTY         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50 ★    
SCR  THE HERO CODE         (mcgaughey claude)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
3  INHERENT PROMISE         (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 10.00    
4  FELTRINELLI         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 ★    
SCR  WALLEY WORLD         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00    
SCR  ZVEREV         (devaux cheri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
SCR  TIRELESS         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
8  VERACRUZIN         (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00    
9  SHERIFF JOE Jul15         (maker michael )CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
SCR  BUFFOON (FR)         (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
11  REAL MEN VIOLIN Jul14         (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00 ★    
SCR  FORTUNE SELLER Jul22         (rice kevin)ORTIZ L 119 5.00    
SCR  UNCLE BO Jul22         (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
SCR  SPIRIT PRINCE Jul22         (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  MOONLIGHT Jul29         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 27% 2.70    
16  GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE Jul29         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.60 19% 4.20    
 
SAR-2   08/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HANDLE THE TRUTH Aug09 Jul16 Jun17 May21 Apr27 (metivie)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 20.00    
2  LA AGUILILLA Aug02 Jul13 Jun23 Jun16 May20 (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 6% 14.80    
3  VAX Jul02 May20 Feb17 Jan27 Dec30 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 11% 8.50    
4  OUR ROSIE DIAMONDS Aug09 Jul30 May21 Apr29 Mar05 (nevin mich)SANTANA JR 118 5.00    
5  TRUST THE NUMBERS Mar25 Feb12       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 60% 0.70    
6  MO TOWN MADISON Aug02 Jun18 May21 Apr27 Mar26 (joseph saffie )TORRES A 115 12.00    
7  GOODBYE KYLE Aug04 Jun08 May05 Mar05   (gaudet lacey)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00    
8  QUICK POWER NAP Aug11 Jul08 Jun17 May20 Apr29 (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-3   08/25/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 GOOD Smart Purse ($150K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CAN'T BUY LOVE Aug06 Jul22 Jun24 May28 Oct23 (trombetta micha)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00    
2  BUBBLE ROCK Jul22 Jun09 May07 Apr16 Nov25 (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.00 8% 10.90    
3  TRAIN TO ARTEMUS Aug06 Jul22 Jun24 May19 Apr15 (breen j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 10.00 7% 12.50    
SCR  POPPY FLOWER Jul22 Jun09 May07 Apr14 Sep13 (mott i)ORTIZ L 124 5.00 7% 13.70    
5  ROSES FOR DEBRA Jul22 Jul03 May19 Oct13 Sep21 (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 124 0.50 53% 0.90    
6  TALKIN TIPSY Jul22 Jun17 May20 Apr22 Mar15 (gulick m)SAEZ LUIS 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SELF ISOLATION Aug06 Jul01 Jun16 May28 Mar17 (jacobson david)RIDER TBA 118 1.40    
SCR  BLUEFIELD Jul07 May28 Mar31 Jan22 Dec09 (joseph a)RIDER TBA 118 1.80    
 
SAR-4   08/25/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($32K) Purse ($64K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MICROSECOND Jul27 May22 Apr14 Jan19 Apr16 (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00    
2  HIGH TIDE Jul27 Jun04 Jul14 May13 May06 (martin f)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 6% 15.70    
SCR  ORIGINAL Jun04 Feb05 Jan18 Dec30 Oct27 (dutrow richard )FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
SCR  KLICKITAT Jul27 Jun17 May14 Nov18 Oct22 (rodriguez gust)TORRES A 113 8.00    
5  LANDBISCUIT Jul27 Jun17 May20 May14 Jun23 (donk david)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.00 14% 6.30    
6  TOMMY BEE Jul27 May11 Aug06 Jul02 May18 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 ★    
SCR  SPEEDY HANS Jul27 May25 May11 Feb11 Dec16 (david a)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  ARUBA (IRE) Jul28 Jul08 May05 Mar25 Jan22 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00    
9  STYNER Jul24 Jun26 May10 Apr03 Jan15 (englehart s)RIDER TBA 118 10.00    
10  JUST CALL RAY Aug02 Jul22 Jun25 May27 May12 (abreu fernando)TORRES A 115 8.00    
11  TRUCULENT Aug10 Jun24 Jun16 Mar26 Feb26 (kantarmaci mertkan)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00    
12  DATESFREEDOM Aug10 Jul03 Jun13 May27 May05 (delauro j)RIDER TBA 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
13  DUST DEVIL Jul13 Jun25 May27 Apr14 Mar25 (toscano t)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.00 7% 14.40    
SCR  H P MOON Aug13 May20 Mar18 Mar04 Jan22 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-5   08/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($75K) Purse ($88K) 3 ALL PT- 3:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROVE RIGHT Jul28 Jul01 May20 Apr08 Mar31 (reynolds j)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 24% 3.20    
2  WARRIOR RICHARD Jul28 Jul04 May27 Apr23 Mar31 (falcone ro)SANTANA JR 118 12.00    
3  ALTERNATE REALITY Jul01 May27 Apr21 Mar10 Jan21 (englehart chris)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00    
4  STREET SWAGG Jul28 Jun11 Apr12 Mar16 Nov03 (miceli michael)GEROUX FLORENT 120 10.00 7% 14.20    
5  THUNDERIAN Aug12 Jul13 Jun25 Jun09 May27 (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
6  JOKING WAY Jun15 Apr29 Mar05 Jan20 Nov26 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 17% 4.90    
7  MR BOB Feb04 Jan01 Nov26 Oct28 Aug25 (falcone n)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00 14% 6.30    
8  MAJOR BLUE Aug04 Jul21 Jul08 Jun11 May29 (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 122 10.00    
9  DARK VECTOR Jul08 Jun10 May21 Apr28 Mar30 (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 118 4.00 15% 5.90    
10  HELDISH Aug05 Jun17 May19 Apr15 Mar25 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
 
SAR-6   08/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 ALL PT- 4:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AIR OF DEFIANCE         (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 26% 2.90    
2  ANCHISES Jul21         (mott i)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 15% 5.90    
3  APOLLO TEN         (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
4  WAJDA         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00    
5  CHANGE OF COMMAND         (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  FIERCENESS         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 37% 1.70    
7  BILLAL         (mott i)GEROUX FLORENT 119 15.00    
8  DAILY GRIND Jul22         (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 119 15.00    
 
SAR-7   08/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOU LOOK COLD Jul29 May12 Mar31 Feb26 Jan28 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  UNSUNG MELODY Jul14 Jun18 May05 Mar11 Feb11 (ortiz alexande)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00    
3  HEADLAND Jul21 Jun23 May29 Apr21 Mar02 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 1.60 ★    
SCR  REPEALING Dec17 Nov20 Aug21 Jul23 Jun18 (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 122 6.00 30% 2.30    
5  HYDRA Jul28 Jun24 May12 Apr07 Feb10 (toscano t)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 15.00    
6  EASY TO BLESS May14 Apr29 Apr07 Mar11 Feb10 (ferraro james )TORRES A 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FIRST TO ACT Jul22 Nov04 Oct09 Aug19 Jul10 (mcgaughey claud)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00 15% 5.50    
8  ONTHEONESANDTWOS Jul29 Jun18 May28 May06   (casse norm)SANTANA JR 122 5.00 ★    
 
SAR-8   08/25/2023 7260ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AVENUE NIEL (IRE) Jul26         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 125 2.00    
SCR  OLKOVSKHA (FR) Jul04         (motion graham)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.00    
2  EMBRACE ME Jul26 Jun29 May29 Apr14 Feb10 (albertrani thomas)CARMOUCHE K 120 20.00    
SCR  ANY PORT Apr02 Mar03 Jan04 Dec10 Nov04 (lerman s)GEROUX FLORENT 123 12.00    
4  ANATOLIAN Jul26 Jul04 Jun01 Apr21 Jul08 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00    
5  OUT OF SIGHT Jul26 Jul04 May29 May07 Oct30 (donk david)TORRES A 120 15.00    
6  SWEET DUTCHESS Jul09 Jun03 Apr23 Apr02 Mar11 (mott i)CASTELLANO J 125 3.50 27% 2.60    
7  MODERN LOVE Jul14 Mar08 Jan14 Nov20   (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LULLABY LAND Jul30 Jul04 Jun01 Apr21 Mar12 (abrams jack)ORTIZ L 123 8.00    
SCR  RHOMBIQUE Jul26 Jul04 Nov27 Nov18 Oct23 (ribaudo j)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00    
10  PEAK POPULARITY Jun29 Apr29 Mar26 Aug21   (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 120 1.80 39% 1.50    
11  SHE CAUGHT MY EYE Jul29 Jul20 Jun01 May04 Apr13 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 2.00 ★    
12  RUN DEVIL Aug03 Jun02 May11 Mar26 Mar18 (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 120 12.00    
 
SAR-9   08/25/2023 5940ft DIRT RC14 SLOPPY Personal Ensign Purse ($500K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IDIOMATIC Jul08 Jun03 May06 Mar25 Feb16 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00    
2  MALLOY Jul13 Apr01 Oct08 Aug07 Jul02 (catalano m)DAVIS DYLAN 118 50.00    
3  SECRET OATH Jun10 May05 Apr15 Mar11 Nov05 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SIXTYTHREECALIBER Jul19 Jun24 Jun03 May05 Jan28 (amoss m)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00    
5  NEST Jul23 Nov05 Oct09 Aug20 Jul23 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 124 0.80 40% 1.50    
6  CLAIRIERE Jul23 Jun10 Apr15 Mar11 Nov05 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
 
SAR-10   08/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRAU DIABLO Jul30         (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  COWICHAN (IRE) Apr23 Sep01 Aug04 Jun30 May20 (ward a)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00    
SCR  MATERIAL WITNESS Jul30 Oct14       (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 20.00    
SCR  RIVIERE Jul30 Jun10       (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00    
5  RISK FREE Jul30 Jul08 Jun24 May28 Apr30 (delauro j)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
6  BOURBON AND HONEY Jul19         (devaux che)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
7  GOING THE DISTANCE Mar26 Mar01       (shirer a)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WE SHALL SEE         (hemingway michel)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 15.00    
SCR  OOLONG HAI (IRE) Jun10 Apr02 Mar05 Jan22 Dec18 (hennig mark)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
10  ARRASOU Jul30         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 32% 2.10    
11  MILLIE JEAN Feb18         (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00    
12  WHITE CHOCOLATE Dec15         (summers chad)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 24% 3.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.