The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Sunday - October 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (6/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $13.22 -6.00
KEE-2   Win (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $6.74 $6.74 0.74
KEE-3   Win (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $9.94 $9.94 5.94
KEE-4   Win (7/1/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $67.32 -8.00
KEE-5   Win (2/1/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $23.04 -8.00
KEE-6   Win (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $21.76 -6.00
KEE-7   Win (9/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $6.76 -6.00
KEE-8   Win (11/4/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 11 1 1 $7.58 $7.58 -0.42
KEE-9   Win (3/10/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $6.32 $6.32 0.32

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   10/22/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($150K) Purse ($69K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
:231 :471 1:13 1:41   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOOTPRINT 3 4 66 66 4 11(mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 5.61  
TIS CHARMING 7 5 4 56 2 22(mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 12.57  
TOWN HALL 5 3 1 12 1 3311¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.00 64% 0.60 1.94 S
TITLE CONTENDER 4 6 5 4 54 4416¾ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 3.78  
STONE HARBOR 1 1 2 22 33 510 524½ (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00 7.42  
T B TWELVE ALWAYS 6 7 7 78 711 618 650 (sweezey ke)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 8% 12.30 4.98  
MIDNITE LUMBERJACK 2 2 3 34 6 720 764 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 5% 19.00 6.61  
SCR  THIS TIME BLUE               (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00    
 
KEE-2   10/22/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:32
:242 :49 1:134 1:394   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLASHY LASS 4 7 7 6 5 111 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 1.80 30% 2.30 2.37 W
MEDAGLIA FOREVER 2 4 4 4 4 221 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50 1.72  
COLETTE'S JOY 5 3 3 3 3 54 3(d'amato phil)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 4.22  
SASSY WALKER 1 1 1nk 1½ 1nk 34(d'amato philip)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 6.00 26% 2.90 12.13  
STAGFLATION 3 2 2nk 2½ 2nk 4512¾ (baker james)LEPAROUX R 121 5.00 16% 5.40 23.10  
MISINTENTION 7 5 6 7 6 67 613¼ (mott i)GRAHAM J 121 15.00 4.72  
PERCEPTIVE 6 6 5 5 7 7714½ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 121 20.00 22.05  
 
KEE-3   10/22/2023 5940ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
:25 :494 1:14 1:39   1:523   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLEGE 4 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 1nk 1nk (margolis stephe)GARCIA MARTIN 122 6.00 39% 1.50 3.97 W
THE REDS 5 5 32 32 32 32 2nk (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 0.83  
KOUFAX 1 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 2nk 31 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 2.50 3.64  
DEVIL VISION 3 4 4 4 4 49 4(robertson )SANTANA JR 122 12.00 16% 5.10 8.33  
DERBY CODE 2 3 56 56 511 510 58 (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 122 12.00 7.25  
SCR  ETHICAL JUDGEMENT               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.60    
SCR  ICARUS               (simms jr)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00    
 
KEE-4   10/22/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
:221 :464 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INSIGHTFUL MISS 3 3 5 54   2nk 1(newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 121 15.00 32.66  
SOULFUL TARA 4 4 2½ 1   1nk 2(miller f)COURT K 121 10.00 17.69  
BELLE OF THE BALL 6 7 7 8   43(walden william)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.80 48% 1.10 2.26 S
10  MRS. SPEAKER 9 6 67 4   33 4(hartman chris)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 15.00 11.79  
MAMBA OUT 7 2 8 7   56 5(hill f)CANUTO THIAGO 121 12.00 5% 19.00 9.16  
TESHIMA 8 8 4 6   7613¾ (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 7% 13.40 3.47  
LADY ROBO 2 9 9 9   9715 (holden darra)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 20.00 29.13  
CHANEL POINT 5 5 3 32   6818¾ (catalano wa)LEPAROUX R 121 6.00 17.10  
MY BEST DAY EVER 1 1 1½ 2   8922 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 15% 5.70 2.20  
SCR  BIRDIE ROSE               (bahena ismael)CHUAN MARTIN 121 8.00    
 
KEE-5   10/22/2023 3630ft TURF GOOD Allowance Purse ($140K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
:204 :442 :564     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL THAT MAGIC 3 6 6 7   21(crook-demasi kathle)SAEZ LUIS 125 6.00 10.52  
MARISSA'S LADY 5 3 5 5   53 2(morey e)BEJARANO R 121 12.00 20% 3.90 5.86 P
GOIN' GOOD 8 9 8 8   42 32 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.50 6.39  
CARIMBA 2 2 1 1   142 (hernandez rey)MOJICA O 123 4.00 21% 3.70 2.02  
TOP GUN GIRL 1 4 3 4   32 5(ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 123 5.00 20% 3.90 4.10  
QUEROBIN DOURADA 7 7 7 6   663 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 8.00 7.65  
CURRENT CLIMATE 4 8 9 910¼   97(foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 121 8.00 8.10  
10  OPENING BUZZ 9 5 4 2   8811 (engler jeff)MACHADO LUAN 121 10.00 8% 12.10 19.58  
MINER'S QUEEN 6 1 2 3   76 912 (hernandez rey)NAVAS YOEL 114 20.00 44.52  
SCR  LADY GOLDSTART               (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 121 15.00    
SCR  WHISKEY AND RYE               (robb john )SANTANA JR 121 20.00    
 
KEE-6   10/22/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
:234 :472 1:121 1:384   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ESCAPOLOGIST 5 6 610 6 52 1nk 1nk (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00 9.88  
LEADING CONTENDER 4 3 4 4 3½ 2nk 2nk (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.40 39% 1.60 1.04 P
GRAND ASPEN 2 2 3 3 4 3½ 3¼ (pletcher tod)CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00 8.07  
REDEEMER 3 5 5 56 68 65 4(brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 11% 7.80 5.14  
MOREAU 1 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 45(mckeever andrew)VELAZQUEZ R 118 5.00 26% 2.80 2.49  
SEEKING UNITY 6 4 2½ 2½ 2nk 5611¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00 19.05  
SCR  BLACK RAIN               (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.00    
 
KEE-7   10/22/2023 7920ft TURF FIRM Rood Purse ($300K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
:242 :484 1:14 1:392 2:05 2:294   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROMAGNA MIA (GB) 4 66 5 5 1nk 13 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 121 6.00 2.38  
TRANSIENT (GB) 7 52 21 2½ 1½ 2nk 23 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 40% 1.50 4.19 P
LOVED REIKO 5 77 73 7 533 (arnold geor)LEPAROUX R 121 12.00 19.60  
LOVELY PRINCESS 6 35 31 3 64(mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 14% 6.30 5.50  
VERGARA 2 2½ 31 6 6 31 5(motion graham)ROSARIO JOEL 123 1.80 21% 3.90 2.63  
HENRIETTA TOPHAM 1 1½ 11 1½ 2½ 46(mulcahy geoff)GRAHAM J 121 20.00 12.73  
PERSONAL BEST 3 42 4 4 4 777 (mcgaughey claude)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 4.00 5.57  
SCR  BE UP               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 20.00    
SCR  VIVA LA RED               (biancone pa)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 30.00    
 
KEE-8   10/22/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 4:44
:221 :461 1:113     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  AGOO 10 2 54 4   21 1(beckman whitw)CANNON DECLAN 119 5.00 39% 1.50 2.79 W
MYSTIK DAN 4 3 1½ 1½   11 2(mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 12.83  
LINEBACKER 8 10 1010½ 87   432 (blair jordan)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 15.00 22.35  
DROPTOP CADDY 2 8 6 6   57 4(arnold geor)LEPAROUX R 119 20.00 29.59  
LEGALIZE 1 5 42 3   35(devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 2.38  
ETHAN ENERGY 6 11 1111 10   811½ 69 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 19% 4.20 4.23  
12  GOLDENTOWN 11 6 99 9   913 711½ (forster t)GRAHAM J 119 20.00 47.92  
MANFREDI 7 9 8 77   711½ 813 (reed r)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 30.00 5% 19.00 34.51  
SKELLY ROAD 5 4 2½ 2½   610 917 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 7.53  
CALL PROTECTION 3 7 78 11   1117 1017¼ (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 20% 4.10 8.06  
10  MAINTAIN 9 1 3 53   1014 1118 (mccutchen ro)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 30.00 59.51  
SCR  EMPIRE'S CLASSIC               (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00    
SCR  KING ANTHONY               (hernandez a)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 15.00    
SCR  NO JUDGMENT               (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 119 8.00    
SCR  PHANTOM SPEED               (stidham michael)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00    
SCR  SHAKIN LOOSE               (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 10.00    
 
KEE-9   10/22/2023 3630ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
:214 :45 :57     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN OF THE MUD (IRE) 3 3 4 52   44 1½ (motion graham)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 43% 1.30 2.16 W
JUST A CARE (IRE) 5 2 1nk 1½   12 2½ (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 2.59 P
HURRICANE DEBBIE 2 7 73 63   22 31 (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00 22.06 S
PROUD MARY 1 6 5 4   342 (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 5% 19.00 6.72  
12  FIRING BULLETS 11 10 11 117   85(casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00 16.25  
ALL I WANT IS YOU 6 1 84 95   66 6(correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 8.00 10.17  
10  GET TWISTED 10 11 105 84   97(navarrete an)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00 31% 2.30 5.49  
EMPIRE OF MY OWN 9 8 31 31   54 86 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 10.00 28.45  
CORNER KICK 4 9 95 105   109(rone mike)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 40.93  
JENNIFER MY LOVE 7 4 6 7   11109 (davis christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 120 12.00 22.72  
D'ORO STREET 8 5 2nk 2½   711(diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 118 20.00 44.60  
SCR  DEVINE CHARGER               (blair jordan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.50    
SCR  DULCIA               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
SCR  KENDAL GRACE               (acevedo israel)BEJARANO R 121 30.00    
SCR  MY SWEET AFFAIR               (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50    
SCR  UP TO SOMETHING               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.