Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Keeneland
Sunday - October 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
KEE-2   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $6.74 $0.74 12%
KEE-3   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $9.94 $5.94 149%
    DD (4/1/3)-(5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-5 $21.35 $15.35 256%
KEE-9   TRI (3/10/1)-(3/10/5/1/2)-(3/10/5/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00  3-5-2 $48.95 $30.95 172%
    SFT (3/10/1)-(3/10/5/1/2)-(3/10/5/1/2)-(3/10/5/1/2) 72 $0.10 $7.20  3-5-2-1 $42.10 $34.90 485%
    DD (11/4/7/8)-(3/10/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  11-3 $12.72 $0.72 6%
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   10/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($150K) Purse ($69K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:13 1:41   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FOOTPRINT 3 4 66 66 43½ 12½ 13¾ (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 5.61  
8  TIS CHARMING 7 5 44½ 56 22½ 22½ 23¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 12.57  
6  TOWN HALL 5 3 11½ 12 12½ 33½ 311¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.00 64% 0.60 1.94 S
4  TITLE CONTENDER 4 6 55½ 44½ 54 48½ 416¾ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 3.78  
1  STONE HARBOR 1 1 21½ 22 33 510 524½ (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00 7.42  
7  T B TWELVE ALWAYS 6 7 77½ 78 711 618 650 (sweezey j )GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 8% 12.30 4.98  
2  MIDNITE LUMBERJACK 2 2 33½ 34 65½ 720 764 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 5% 19.00 6.61  
SCR  THIS TIME BLUE               (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00    
 
KEE-2   10/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:134 1:394   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  FLASHY LASS 4 7 74¾ 62¾ 53¾ 12½ 11 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 1.80 30% 2.30 2.37 W
  (by STREET SENSE out of OPEN HOUSE by DEPUTY MINISTER)
2  MEDAGLIA FOREVER 2 4 41¾ 41½ 41¾ 22½ 21 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50 1.72  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of FOREVER UNBRIDLED by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
5  COLETTE'S JOY 5 3 31½ 31½ 31½ 54 39¼ (d'amato ph)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 4.22  
  (by CONNECT out of SOLE PROPRIETOR by BINALONG)
1  SASSY WALKER 1 1 1nk 1½ 1nk 32½ 49¾ (d'amato phili)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 6.00 26% 2.90 12.13  
  (by MUNNINGS out of SASINI by FASTNET ROCK)
3  STAGFLATION 3 2 2nk 2½ 2nk 43½ 512¾ (baker jam)LEPAROUX R 121 5.00 16% 5.40 23.10  
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of REAL POINT by POINT OF ENTRY)
7  MISINTENTION 7 5 63¾ 73¼ 64¾ 67 613¼ (mott i)GRAHAM J 121 15.00 4.72  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CROWNED by BERNARDINI)
6  PERCEPTIVE 6 6 51¾ 52½ 76¼ 78½ 714½ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 121 20.00 22.05  
  (by HONOR CODE out of HONE IN by SMART STRIKE)
 
KEE-3   10/22/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:25 :494 1:14 1:39   1:523   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ALLEGE 4 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 1nk 1nk (margolis step)GARCIA MARTIN 122 6.00 39% 1.50 3.97 W
6  THE REDS 5 5 32 32 32 32 2nk (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 0.83  
1  KOUFAX 1 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 2nk 31 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 2.50 3.64  
4  DEVIL VISION 3 4 44½ 44½ 49½ 49 47¾ (robertso)SANTANA JR 122 12.00 16% 5.10 8.33  
2  DERBY CODE 2 3 56 56 511 510 58 (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 122 12.00 7.25  
SCR  ETHICAL JUDGEMENT               (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.60    
SCR  ICARUS               (simms j)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00    
 
KEE-4   10/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:221 :464 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  INSIGHTFUL MISS 3 3 54½ 54   2nk 12¼ (newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 121 15.00 32.66  
5  SOULFUL TARA 4 4 2½ 11½   1nk 22¼ (miller f)COURT K 121 10.00 17.69  
7  BELLE OF THE BALL 6 7 77½ 86½   44½ 32¼ (walden william)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.80 48% 1.10 2.26 S
10  MRS. SPEAKER 9 6 67 43½   33 43½ (hartman chri)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 15.00 11.79  
8  MAMBA OUT 7 2 89½ 76½   56 57¾ (hill f)CANUTO THIAGO 121 12.00 5% 19.00 9.16  
9  TESHIMA 8 8 44½ 64½   76¾ 613¾ (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 7% 13.40 3.47  
3  LADY ROBO 2 9 99¾ 99½   98¾ 715 (holden dar)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 20.00 29.13  
6  CHANEL POINT 5 5 31½ 32   66½ 818¾ (catalano )LEPAROUX R 121 6.00 17.10  
1  MY BEST DAY EVER 1 1 1½ 21½   86¾ 922 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 15% 5.70 2.20  
SCR  BIRDIE ROSE               (bahena ismael)CHUAN MARTIN 121 8.00    
 
KEE-5   10/22/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($140K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:204 :442 :564     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ALL THAT MAGIC 3 6 65¾ 76¼   21½ 11½ (crook-demasi kath)SAEZ LUIS 125 6.00 10.52  
6  MARISSA'S LADY 5 3 54¾ 54¼   53 21½ (morey e)BEJARANO R 121 12.00 20% 3.90 5.86 P
9  GOIN' GOOD 8 9 87¾ 88¼   42 32 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.50 6.39  
2  CARIMBA 2 2 11½ 11½   11½ 42 (hernandez rey)MOJICA O 123 4.00 21% 3.70 2.02  
1  TOP GUN GIRL 1 4 31½ 41¾   32 52¼ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 123 5.00 20% 3.90 4.10  
8  QUEROBIN DOURADA 7 7 76¼ 65¾   64½ 63 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 8.00 7.65  
5  CURRENT CLIMATE 4 8 99¾ 910¼   96¼ 76¾ (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 121 8.00 8.10  
10  OPENING BUZZ 9 5 41¾ 21½   86¼ 811 (engler jeff)MACHADO LUAN 121 10.00 8% 12.10 19.58  
7  MINER'S QUEEN 6 1 21½ 31½   76 912 (hernandez rey)NAVAS YOEL 114 20.00 44.52  
SCR  LADY GOLDSTART               (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 121 15.00    
SCR  WHISKEY AND RYE               (robb joh)SANTANA JR 121 20.00    
 
KEE-6   10/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:121 1:384   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ESCAPOLOGIST 5 6 610 66¼ 52 1nk 1nk (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00 9.88  
4  LEADING CONTENDER 4 3 42½ 41½ 3½ 2nk 2nk (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.40 39% 1.60 1.04 P
2  GRAND ASPEN 2 2 32½ 31½ 41½ 3½ 3¼ (pletcher t)CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00 8.07  
3  REDEEMER 3 5 59½ 56 68 65 41½ (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 11% 7.80 5.14  
1  MOREAU 1 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 41½ 57½ (mckeever andr)VELAZQUEZ R 118 5.00 26% 2.80 2.49  
6  SEEKING UNITY 6 4 2½ 2½ 2nk 53½ 611¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00 19.05  
SCR  BLACK RAIN               (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.00    
 
KEE-7   10/22/2023 7920ft TURF RC12 FIRM Rood Purse ($300K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:14 1:392 2:05 2:294   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ROMAGNA MIA (GB) 4 63½ 63¼ 51½ 52½ 1nk 13 (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 121 6.00 2.38  
  (by UNKNOWN out of WASHINGTON BLUE by RIP VAN WINKLE (IRE))
9  TRANSIENT (GB) 7 52 21 2½ 1½ 2nk 23 (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 40% 1.50 4.19 P
  (by SEA THE STARS (IRE) out of AUTUMN LEAVES by MUHTATHIR (GB))
7  LOVED REIKO 5 74½ 75¼ 73 73¼ 51¾ 33 (arnold ge)LEPAROUX R 121 12.00 19.60  
  (by TAPIT out of ODELIZ by FALCO)
8  LOVELY PRINCESS 6 31½ 51¾ 31 31½ 61¾ 45½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 14% 6.30 5.50  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of PRINCESS MARIAH by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  VERGARA 2 2½ 31 62½ 62¾ 31 55¾ (motion graha)ROSARIO JOEL 123 1.80 21% 3.90 2.63  
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of FIGURE OF BEAUTY by STREET CRY (IRE))
1  HENRIETTA TOPHAM 1 1½ 11 1½ 2½ 41¼ 66¾ (mulcahy geoff)GRAHAM J 121 20.00 12.73  
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of MISS SILVER BROOK by COZZENE)
5  PERSONAL BEST 3 42 41½ 41½ 41½ 74¼ 77 (mcgaughey clau)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 4.00 5.57  
  (by TAPIT out of WAR FLAG by WAR FRONT)
SCR  BE UP               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 20.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of EMERALD BEECH by MARIA'S MON)
SCR  VIVA LA RED               (biancone )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 30.00    
  (by TEXAS RED out of PATRIOTIC VIVA by WHYWHYWHY)
 
KEE-8   10/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:221 :461 1:113     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  AGOO 10 2 54 42½   21 11¼ (beckman whi)CANNON DECLAN 119 5.00 39% 1.50 2.79 W
  (by MUNNINGS out of GRANDACIOUS by GRAND SLAM)
5  MYSTIK DAN 4 3 1½ 1½   11 21¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 12.83  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of MA'AM by COLONEL JOHN)
9  LINEBACKER 8 10 1010½ 87   46½ 32 (blair jordan)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 15.00 22.35  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of JINNY JUMP UP by JUMP START)
3  DROPTOP CADDY 2 8 66½ 65½   57 46¼ (arnold ge)LEPAROUX R 119 20.00 29.59  
  (by UNCLE MO out of JUMBY BAY by CITY ZIP)
2  LEGALIZE 1 5 42 31½   34½ 56¼ (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 ★ 2.38  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of ALLEZ MARIE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
7  ETHAN ENERGY 6 11 1111 108¾   811½ 69 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 19% 4.20 4.23  
  (by UNCLE MO out of SASS AND CLASS by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
12  GOLDENTOWN 11 6 99 97¼   913 711½ (forster t)GRAHAM J 119 20.00 47.92  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of MEDAGLIA GOLD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
8  MANFREDI 7 9 88½ 77   711½ 813 (reed r)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 30.00 5% 19.00 34.51  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of LEMON SUGAR by LEMON DROP KID)
6  SKELLY ROAD 5 4 2½ 2½   610 917 (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 7.53  
  (by MITOLE out of RODE WARRIOR by QUALITY ROAD)
4  CALL PROTECTION 3 7 78 119¾   1117 1017¼ (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 20% 4.10 8.06  
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of CONQUEST BAD UNCLE by UNCLE MO)
10  MAINTAIN 9 1 31½ 53   1014 1118 (mccutchen )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 30.00 59.51  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of RELAX by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  EMPIRE'S CLASSIC               (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of PRINCESS ROI by ROI CHARMANT)
SCR  KING ANTHONY               (hernandez)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 15.00    
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of GEM GEM by TAPIT)
SCR  NO JUDGMENT               (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 119 8.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of NO VACANCY by QUALITY ROAD)
SCR  PHANTOM SPEED               (stidham michae)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of GHOSTSLAYER by PRINCE OF FAME)
SCR  SHAKIN LOOSE               (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 10.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of NEW SHAKER by BERNSTEIN)
 
KEE-9   10/22/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:214 :45 :57     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  QUEEN OF THE MUD (IRE) 3 3 41¼ 52   44 1½ (motion graha)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 43% 1.30 2.16 W
5  JUST A CARE (IRE) 5 2 1nk 1½   12 2½ (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 ★ 2.59 P
2  HURRICANE DEBBIE 2 7 73 63   22 31 (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00 ★ 22.06 S
1  PROUD MARY 1 6 51¼ 41½   32½ 42 (thomas jonat)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 5% 19.00 6.72  
12  FIRING BULLETS 11 10 117½ 117   86¾ 53¾ (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00 16.25  
6  ALL I WANT IS YOU 6 1 84 95   66 64½ (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 8.00 10.17  
10  GET TWISTED 10 11 105 84   96¾ 75½ (navarrete )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00 31% 2.30 5.49  
9  EMPIRE OF MY OWN 9 8 31 31   54 86 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 10.00 28.45  
4  CORNER KICK 4 9 95 105   108¼ 98¾ (rone mike)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 40.93  
7  JENNIFER MY LOVE 7 4 62¾ 73½   119¾ 109 (davis christop)ROSARIO JOEL 120 12.00 22.72  
8  D'ORO STREET 8 5 2nk 2½   76½ 119¼ (diodoro )SANTANA JR 118 20.00 44.60  
SCR  DEVINE CHARGER               (blair jorda)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.50    
SCR  DULCIA               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
SCR  KENDAL GRACE               (acevedo israel)BEJARANO R 121 30.00    
SCR  MY SWEET AFFAIR               (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50    
SCR  UP TO SOMETHING               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.