Handicappers' Race Results
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Ellis Park
Saturday - August 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 0.40
ELP-2   Win (5/3/7/9/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $4.84 $4.84  
ELP-3   Win (5/6/13/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $7.90 $7.90  
ELP-4   Win (9/10/4/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $9.82 $9.82  
ELP-5   Win (9/5/2/13/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $5.32 $5.32  
ELP-6   Win (7/8/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $4.90 $4.90  
ELP-7   Win (1/2/10/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $5.12 $5.12  
ELP-8   Win (10/3/5/11/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $3.76 $3.76  
ELP-9   Win (7/3/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $10.76 $10.76 2.76
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   08/05/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:22 :444 1:092     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ANGKOR 4 1 2nk 2nk   1½ 15½ (bauer a)BEJARANO R 122 1.80 22% 3.60 1.20 W
2  FAVORITE OUTLAW 2 2 1nk 1nk   2½ 25½ (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 2.00 48% 1.10 0.68 P
1  FIRE BABY 1 4 31 42   44 38¼ (ortiz a)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 9.64  
3  OVERBORE 3 3 41½ 31   33 48½ (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 122 10.00 13.32  
SCR  LAMUTANAATTY               (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 6.00    
SCR  SPEND BENJAMINS               (shorter aar)TORRES A 122 6.00    
 
ELP-2   08/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 1:17
See original race card.
:222 :454 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BELLA HAZE 4 2 21 21   1nk 13¾ (santamaria car)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 3.50 28% 2.60 1.42 W
3  FUNDAMENTALLY 2 6 44½ 42½   32 23¾ (brown chad )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.00 24% 3.10 4.57 P
2  GLORIETTE 1 1 11 11   2nk 35¼ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 10.74  
9  SHE'S COOL 7 3 66 54½   44½ 47¼ (stewart dall)ASMUSSEN J 119 10.00 5% 19.00 19.08  
10  SINGSATIONAL 8 10 78½ 66½   67 59 (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 5.00 3.41  
7  SWEET MIMI 6 5 32½ 32½   56½ 610¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 22% 3.50 6.47  
11  FASTA LAVISTA BABY 9 9 1012 89½   710½ 712½ (wilkes r)LANERIE J 119 15.00 27.05  
12  YAMMY YAMMY BELLA 10 7 810½ 913   916½ 825½ (bahena ismael)CHUAN MARTIN 119 20.00 5% 19.00 16.46  
4  SHARPER GAL 3 8 55 77   814½ 928¾ (lovell michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 30.00 43.33  
6  VIVIS IN FRONT 5 4 910½ 1015   1019½ 1032½ (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 30.00 81.32  
SCR  C C GRAND               (lyster s)GRAHAM J 119 20.00    
SCR  GALLOP D'HERMES               (zanelli dante)CHUAN MARTIN 119 20.00    
SCR  RETAIL THERAPY               (ortiz a)CORRALES GERARDO 119 20.00    
SCR  WAMPUS KITTEN               (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 119 4.50    
 
ELP-3   08/05/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($74K) 3 F PT- 1:48
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:103 1:223   1:343   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  NOM DE PLUME 4 3 32 42½ 31½ 31 11 (lobo paulo )TORRES A 120 5.00 44% 1.30 2.95 W
7  BRU NA BOINNE 6 4 52¼ 53 51¾ 42 21 (calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 12.00 9% 9.50 11.85 P
11  WORK OF FICTION 10 5 21 21 2nk 1nk 31¼ (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 120 10.00 10.86  
13  STORM BAY 11 8 86¼ 105¾ 95 53 43½ (devaux cherie)RAMOS D 120 6.00 10% 9.10 14.06  
9  HOLY FOLEY 8 10 118½ 126¼ 117½ 95¼ 53¾ (lynch a)GRAHAM J 122 10.00 3.81  
6  PRIVATE CREDIT 5 2 11 11 1nk 2nk 64½ (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 10% 9.00 2.85  
2  BEYOND DOUBT 2 11 96¾ 85 83½ 63¼ 74¾ (cox h)CHUAN MARTIN 120 3.50 19.82  
3  MAGIC BUBBLES 3 7 63¾ 63 62¼ 74¾ 86½ (asmussen ste)CORRALES GERARDO 115 12.00 5% 19.00 11.10  
8  PEDIGEEK 7 12 128½ 116¼ 106 106¼ 97¾ (casse mark)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 12.00 36.06  
10  MISS PEABODY 9 6 42 32 41¾ 84¾ 108½ (newton troy)BEJARANO R 120 20.00 15.71  
1  TWO MINUTE DRILL 1 1 73¾ 74 73¼ 117¼ 119¼ (barkley jason)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 20.00 68.93  
15  LEXA (FR) 12 9 107 95¼ 128½ 128¾ 1211¼ (beckman whitw)CANNON DECLAN 120 12.00 30.52  
SCR  C C CRUISE CONTROL               (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 120 4.00    
SCR  CLEVER JOKE               (catalano m)GRAHAM J 120 5.00    
SCR  CLOAK OF MERCY               (ortiz a)CORRALES GERARDO 120 20.00    
SCR  SANDRA D               (margolis stephen )COHEN DAVID 120 15.00    
 
ELP-4   08/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 2:22
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:122 1:244   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  WEST SARATOGA 8 4 11 1½ 12 13 11¼ (demeritte larry)BEJARANO R 119 3.00 56% 0.80 3.91 W
8  GENEROUS TIPPER 7 2 31½ 72 32½ 23 21¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 5% 19.00 5.74 P
10  DJANGO 9 10 75 51¾ 63¾ 47 315 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 5.00 10% 9.20 2.22 S
3  THANKS FRANK 2 3 42½ 3½ 22 36 415¾ (von donni)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00 10.70  
6  TOWN HALL 5 8 85½ 61¾ 75¼ 57½ 516¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 2.91  
1  FIRST OF HIS NAME 1 5 64 83½ 86¼ 710 616¾ (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 119 20.00 14.60  
4  COASTAL BRINK 3 1 21 41½ 43½ 69½ 727¾ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 8.00 7% 12.80 28.84  
7  MONEYSHOT 6 7 52½ 2½ 53½ 812½ 829 (puhich mike)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00 19.10  
5  HALLELUJAH HARRIS 4 6 108 109 914¼ 915½ 931¾ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 5% 19.00 24.03  
11  GOTTA HAVE DREAMS 10 9 96½ 96½ 1014¼ 1019 1041 (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 43.36  
SCR  IN FORM               (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 4.00    
 
ELP-5   08/05/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:53
See original race card.
:24 :47 1:102 1:221   1:342   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SAND AND SEA 2 2 2½ 2½ 11½ 2½ 11¼ (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 3.00 11% 7.90 1.66 W
9  SAHLABIYA 7 4 43 32 21½ 1½ 21¼ (walsh brendan )BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 3.50 31% 2.20 2.64 P
5  MUSICAL SCORE 4 3 33 42½ 31½ 32 31¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 21% 3.70 3.25 S
11  ALWAYS AT EASE 9 5 86¾ 86 63¾ 42½ 41¾ (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00 14.03  
3  MUSTANG LADY 3 10 108¾ 107¾ 75¼ 65 54¼ (newton troy)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 24.36  
12  MILLION DOLLAR CAT 10 7 54½ 54 53½ 52½ 64¾ (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00 17.48  
1  YO PUEDO 1 6 65½ 65 85¾ 76½ 78¾ (medina rober)CORRALES GERARDO 123 20.00 51.73  
10  KLIMT'S MUSE 8 11 1110¾ 119¼ 118¾ 99¼ 89¼ (humphries thomas)MACHADO LUAN 123 15.00 20.12  
7  DAWNY 5 8 98¾ 97½ 97¾ 89 914¼ (jones larr)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 15.00 7% 12.60 45.40  
8  SEDUCE 6 1 1½ 1½ 43 1111¼ 1018 (mott i)GRAHAM J 123 10.00 31.16  
13  SCARLET STRIPE 11 9 76½ 76 107¾ 1011¼ 1118¼ (beckman whit)RAMOS D 123 12.00 8% 10.90 19.29  
SCR  CHARLEY RUDE               (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 15.00    
SCR  HARVEY'S PRINCESS               (west w)MORALES EDGAR 123 20.00    
SCR  JENNY LIND               (asmussen s)RODRIGUEZ A 113 15.00    
SCR  LAY THE GROUNDWORK               (mott riley)TORRES A 123 6.00    
SCR  NOMADIC PRIDE               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00    
 
ELP-6   08/05/2023 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:123 1:373   1:502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CARCANO 8 4 42½ 42½ 32 1nk 12¼ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 2.50 21% 3.70 1.45 W
7  CONCERTED 7 3 1½ 1½ 11 2nk 22¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 124 1.80 38% 1.70 1.06 P
4  TIZ WICKED STRONG 4 10 107 108¼ 98¼ 55½ 38 (baker james)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 19.61 S
1  ACTIVE DUTY (FR) 1 1 31½ 31½ 42 32½ 49 (stewart dallas)BESCHIZZA ADAM null   11.42  
5  ICE TIME 5 5 85 85¼ 76 66 511 (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 8.00 21.53  
3  SPEED INSTITUTE 3 7 2½ 2½ 21 44½ 611¾ (miller jerom)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00 67.11  
10  TEXAS PRIDE 10 9 96 96¾ 86¼ 77½ 713¼ (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 30.00 53.96  
2  ENOUGH ALREADY 2 8 63½ 53 54 88 819½ (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 124 10.00 21% 3.80 18.28  
9  BOBWHITE BOBBY 9 6 74½ 75 65½ 910½ 921½ (von donni)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00 43.36  
6  CREATIVE WAY 6 2 53½ 65 108¼ 1012½ 1021¾ (sharp joe)LANERIE J 118 15.00 23.79  
 
ELP-7   08/05/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM KY Downs Preview Mint Ladies T Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:214 :434 :552     1:011   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAY STORM 1 3 42½ 42   2nk 1¼ (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 122 1.60 37% 1.70 1.56 W
10  QUARIA COMET 8 5 53 52½   5¾ 2¼ (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 4.00 16% 5.40 2.19 P
3  GOIN' GOOD 3 2 21 21   3½ 31½ (cox h)TORRES A 122 5.00 5.68  
4  LINGUISTIC 4 4 31½ 31   4¾ 42¾ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 122 20.00 5% 19.00 10.07  
2  LOVE AND MONEY 2 1 11 11   1nk 53½ (devaux cherie)RAMOS D 124 4.50 22% 3.50 5.81  
9  SEMBLE JUSTE (IRE) 7 6 66 67½   64¼ 65 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 122 30.00 39.04  
7  SOUPER MUNNINGS 5 8 77 77¾   74¾ 75¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 12.00 23.53  
8  NEW BOSS 6 7 87 89¾   86¼ 87½ (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 10.00 16.54  
SCR  MINER'S QUEEN               (hernandez rey)BEJARANO R 122 20.00    
SCR  SHOWGIRL LYNNE B               (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 118 30.00    
 
ELP-8   08/05/2023 5940ft TURF RC11 FIRM KY Downs Preview Dueling Groun Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:232 :461 1:093 1:341   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  WADSWORTH 9 10 95¾ 75¾ 63¼ 1½ 1nk (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.60 32% 2.10 0.88 W
1  HIGHWAY ROBBER 1 3 106¾ 118¾ 115 51¼ 2nk (lynch brian )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00 14.14  
7  ANGLOPHILE 7 6 85¼ 107¼ 73¼ 3½ 3¼ (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00 12.14  
11  DESERT DUKE 10 9 54 65½ 83½ 72¼ 42¼ (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 8% 10.90 8.68  
8  TALL BOY 8 8 42½ 44 31 2½ 53½ (o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00 36.97  
5  LINCOLN HIGHWAY 5 7 117 86¼ 94½ 83¼ 64½ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 18% 4.70 10.83  
6  ACT A FOOL 6 5 21 22 2nk 4¾ 78¾ (rivelli lar)TORRES A 118 15.00 7.39  
12  SHARAR 11 11 75¼ 55½ 51¾ 94¾ 810½ (pletcher a)GRAHAM J 118 10.00 17.20  
2  GOLDEN BANDIT 2 2 32½ 33½ 41½ 61¾ 911 (rosin w)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 5% 19.00 25.62  
3  HIDDEN PATH 3 1 65 96¾ 105 106¾ 1012¾ (pletcher a)LANERIE J 118 6.00 21% 3.80 9.58  
4  WORTHINGTON 4 4 11 12 1nk 117¼ 1115 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00 53.76  
SCR  GEORGIE W               (walden william)ACHARD ALEX 118 12.00    
SCR  MANCIATA D'ORO               (cox h)CHUAN MARTIN 118 15.00    
 
ELP-9   08/05/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM KY Downs Preview Mint Millions Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:07
See original race card.
:243 :481 1:111 1:223   1:341   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  HOZIER 5 1 52 51¼ 41¾ 51¾ 1½ (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 122 12.00 5% 19.00 4.38 W
7  FUERTEVENTURA 6 2 31 3.2 2nk 1nk 2½ (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 124 2.50 39% 1.50 5.04 P
3  BIG DREAMING 3 3 2nk 1nk 1nk 2nk 3¾ (catalano m)GRAHAM J 122 10.00 35% 1.90 8.17 S
4  GRAY'S FABLE 4 8 93¼ 113½ 115½ 104½ 41¼ (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 122 3.00 2.53  
8  GREYES CREEK 7 11 103¾ 92½ 73¼ 41½ 51¼ (lobo h)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 20.00 5% 19.00 15.02  
12  MAX K. O. 11 7 41½ 4¼ 3.2 31 63 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 124 6.00 ★ 8.81  
11  UNDERDRESSED 10 9 82¾ 81½ 62¼ 73¾ 73¼ (hernandez rey)BEJARANO R 122 15.00 18.46  
1  MINNESOTA READY 1 5 1nk 2nk 84¼ 63¼ 84 (pessin l)LANERIE J 122 20.00 7.97  
2  TRAFALGAR 2 6 62¼ 71½ 105½ 94 94½ (hartman chris)MORALES EDGAR 122 30.00 61.31  
9  PLAY ACTION PASS 8 4 72¼ 61½ 51¾ 83¾ 105¾ (medina robert)RAMOS D 122 8.00 9.54  
10  SANTOS DUMONT 9 10 114 103 95¼ 116 119½ (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00 30.93  
SCR  HEAVEN STREET               (maker micha)TORRES A 122 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.