Handicappers' Racing Form

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Ellis Park
Saturday - August 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ELP-1   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
ELP-2   Win (5/3/7/9/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-3   Win (5/6/13/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-4   Win (9/10/4/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-5   Win (9/5/2/13/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-6   Win (7/8/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-7   Win (1/2/10/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-8   Win (10/3/5/11/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-9   Win (7/3/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
ELP-1   08/05/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRE BABY Jul13 Jun27 Jun06 May08 Jul12 (ortiz a)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00    
FAVORITE OUTLAW Jun23 Apr29 Apr01 Mar05 Sep14 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 2.00 48% 1.10    
OVERBORE Jul09 Jun17 Apr28 Aug24 Aug13 (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 122 10.00    
ANGKOR May21 May03 Mar25 Feb24 Dec18 (bauer a)BEJARANO R 122 1.80 22% 3.60    
SCR  SPEND BENJAMINS Jul09 Jun10 May06 Apr22 Mar26 (shorter aar)TORRES A 122 6.00    
SCR  LAMUTANAATTY Jun23 Jun10 May06 Apr22 Apr02 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 6.00    
 
ELP-2   08/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 1:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WAMPUS KITTEN         (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 119 4.50    
GLORIETTE May19 Apr19       (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00    
FUNDAMENTALLY         (brown chad )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.00 24% 3.10    
SHARPER GAL         (lovell michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 30.00    
BELLA HAZE Jun30         (santamaria car)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 3.50 28% 2.60    
VIVIS IN FRONT         (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 30.00    
SWEET MIMI Jul07         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  RETAIL THERAPY         (ortiz a)CORRALES GERARDO 119 20.00    
SHE'S COOL         (stewart dall)ASMUSSEN J 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  SINGSATIONAL         (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 5.00    
11  FASTA LAVISTA BABY         (wilkes r)LANERIE J 119 15.00    
12  YAMMY YAMMY BELLA Jul06         (bahena ism)RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GALLOP D'HERMES Aug04         (zanelli dante)CHUAN MARTIN 119 20.00    
SCR  C C GRAND         (lyster s)GRAHAM J 119 20.00    
 
ELP-3   08/05/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($74K) 3 F PT- 1:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO MINUTE DRILL Jul07 Dec26 Dec02 Oct28 Sep30 (barkley jason)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 20.00    
BEYOND DOUBT Mar11 Jan22 Dec02 Sep26   (cox h)CHUAN MARTIN 120 3.50    
MAGIC BUBBLES Jun29 Jun02 Apr29 Apr07 Mar17 (asmussen s)RODRIGUEZ A 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CLOAK OF MERCY Jul08 Jun15 Apr29 Mar26   (ortiz a)CORRALES GERARDO 120 20.00    
NOM DE PLUME Feb03 Dec11       (lobo paulo )TORRES A 120 5.00 44% 1.30    
PRIVATE CREDIT Nov27 Sep02 Aug04     (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 10% 9.00    
BRU NA BOINNE Jun29 Mar25 Feb17 Jan28 Dec23 (calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 12.00 9% 9.50    
PEDIGEEK Jun17 Apr07 Mar12 Jan29 Dec11 (casse mark)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 12.00    
HOLY FOLEY Jul09 May29 May03 Apr01 Feb16 (lynch a)GRAHAM J 122 10.00    
10  MISS PEABODY Jun24 Jun02 Apr27 Mar04 Feb03 (newton troy)BEJARANO R 120 20.00    
11  WORK OF FICTION Jun25 May17 Apr19 Feb18 Jan15 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 120 10.00    
SCR  SANDRA D Jul08 Jun13 Apr23 Mar25 Mar01 (margolis stephen )COHEN DAVID 120 15.00    
13  STORM BAY Jun08 May06       (devaux cherie)RAMOS D 120 6.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  CLEVER JOKE Jul23 May12 Mar09 Dec03 Aug28 (catalano m)GRAHAM J 120 5.00    
15  LEXA (FR) Jul05 May24 Apr13 Dec22 Nov12 (beckman whitw)CANNON DECLAN 120 12.00    
SCR  C C CRUISE CONTROL Jul15 Jun21 May29 May12 Apr14 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 120 4.00    
 
ELP-4   08/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 2:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST OF HIS NAME         (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 119 20.00    
SCR  IN FORM         (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 4.00    
THANKS FRANK Jun29         (von donni)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00    
COASTAL BRINK Jun18 Jun08       (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 8.00 7% 12.80    
HALLELUJAH HARRIS Jun30         (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
TOWN HALL         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00    
MONEYSHOT         (puhich mike)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00    
GENEROUS TIPPER Jul14         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
WEST SARATOGA Jul21 Jun04 May11 Apr07   (demeritte larry)BEJARANO R 119 3.00 56% 0.80    
10  DJANGO Jul01         (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 5.00 10% 9.20    
11  GOTTA HAVE DREAMS         (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00    
 
ELP-5   08/05/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YO PUEDO Jun16 Apr27 Mar12 Jul21 Jun10 (medina rober)CORRALES GERARDO 123 20.00    
SAND AND SEA Jul07 Jun02 Apr07 Jan29 May15 (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 3.00 11% 7.90    
MUSTANG LADY Jun29 May12 Apr07 Jan12 Nov27 (newton troy)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
SCR  HARVEY'S PRINCESS Jul12 May10 Oct01 Aug25 Jul20 (west w)MORALES EDGAR 123 20.00    
MUSICAL SCORE May06         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  JENNY LIND Jul15 Jun08 May12 Feb23 Feb01 (asmussen s)RODRIGUEZ A 113 15.00    
DAWNY Jul14 May25 Apr08 Mar26 Feb25 (jones larr)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 15.00 7% 12.60    
SEDUCE Sep15 Aug13 Jun15 May26   (mott i)GRAHAM J 123 10.00    
SAHLABIYA Jun24 Apr28 Mar12 Jul24 Jun17 (walsh brendan )BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 3.50 31% 2.20    
10  KLIMT'S MUSE Jul07 Jun16 May20 Apr23 Mar31 (humphries thomas)MACHADO LUAN 123 15.00    
11  ALWAYS AT EASE Jul16 Mar25 Feb11 Jan08 Nov25 (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00    
12  MILLION DOLLAR CAT Jun30 May24       (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00    
13  SCARLET STRIPE Jun18 May04 Dec29 Nov27 Oct28 (beckman whitw)CANNON DECLAN 123 12.00 8% 10.90    
SCR  CHARLEY RUDE Jul16 May03 Mar11 Feb08 Dec17 (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 15.00    
SCR  LAY THE GROUNDWORK May18 Apr30 Mar23 Feb26 Jan25 (mott riley)TORRES A 123 6.00    
SCR  NOMADIC PRIDE Jun29 May29 Mar25 Feb24 Dec01 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00    
 
ELP-6   08/05/2023 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACTIVE DUTY (FR) Jun10 Jun18 May20     (stewart dallas)BESCHIZZA ADAM null      
ENOUGH ALREADY Jul14 Jun26 May05 Apr09 Feb12 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 124 10.00 21% 3.80    
SPEED INSTITUTE Jul16 Jun23 Oct21 Sep17   (miller jerom)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00    
TIZ WICKED STRONG Jul07 May14       (baker james)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
ICE TIME Jun13 May25 May02 Feb25 Feb02 (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 8.00    
CREATIVE WAY Jun22 May25       (sharp joe)LANERIE J 118 15.00    
CONCERTED Jun04 Jun05       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 124 1.80 38% 1.70    
CARCANO Jul02 Dec24 Nov19 Oct21 Sep24 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 2.50 21% 3.70    
BOBWHITE BOBBY Jun10         (von donni)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00    
10  TEXAS PRIDE Jul16 Jun25 May06 Apr02 Jan28 (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 30.00    
 
ELP-7   08/05/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM KY Downs Preview Mint Ladies T Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAY STORM Jun09 May05 Feb18 Feb04 Dec31 (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 122 1.60 37% 1.70    
LOVE AND MONEY Jul07 May27 Mar02 Jan18 Dec01 (devaux cherie)RAMOS D 124 4.50 22% 3.50    
GOIN' GOOD Jul07 Jun09 May07 Apr14 Feb21 (cox h)TORRES A 122 5.00    
LINGUISTIC Jun22 May28 Apr07 Feb03 Oct06 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MINER'S QUEEN Jul07 Jun10 May05 Apr15 Feb21 (hernandez rey)BEJARANO R 122 20.00    
SCR  SHOWGIRL LYNNE B Jun17 May20 Mar25 Jan07 Dec03 (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 118 30.00    
SOUPER MUNNINGS Jun16 May27 Mar17 Feb25 Jun04 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 12.00    
NEW BOSS Jun16 May05 Mar25 Feb21 Jan14 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 10.00    
SEMBLE JUSTE (IRE) Dec10 Oct22 Sep06 Jul09 Jun30 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 122 30.00    
10  QUARIA COMET May27 Mar17 Feb23 Jan26 Dec29 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 4.00 16% 5.40    
 
ELP-8   08/05/2023 5940ft TURF RC11 FIRM KY Downs Preview Dueling Groun Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 4:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGHWAY ROBBER Jul09 May28 Nov26 Sep23   (lynch brian )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00    
GOLDEN BANDIT Jun21 Jun07 May06 Apr08 Mar25 (rosin w)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
HIDDEN PATH Jul01 Jun01 May04 Mar31   (pletcher a)LANERIE J 118 6.00 21% 3.80    
WORTHINGTON Jun21 May17 Mar25 Feb11 Jan07 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00    
LINCOLN HIGHWAY Jun24 May28 Apr08     (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 18% 4.70    
ACT A FOOL Jun25 Jun04 Apr09 Mar05 Jan13 (rivelli lar)TORRES A 118 15.00    
ANGLOPHILE Jul16 Jun17 May06 Apr01 Jul30 (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00    
TALL BOY Jul09 Jun10 May06 Dec17 Nov26 (o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00    
SCR  GEORGIE W Jul08 Jun15 May11     (walden william)ACHARD ALEX 118 12.00    
10  WADSWORTH Jul01 May17 Mar25 Feb11 Dec31 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.60 32% 2.10    
11  DESERT DUKE Jul01 Jun03 May06 Apr15 Feb25 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 8% 10.90    
12  SHARAR Jul01 Jun03       (pletcher a)GRAHAM J 118 10.00    
SCR  MANCIATA D'ORO Jul03 May25       (cox h)CHUAN MARTIN 118 15.00    
 
ELP-9   08/05/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM KY Downs Preview Mint Millions Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:07
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINNESOTA READY Jun22 May14 Apr16 Mar16 Jan26 (pessin l)LANERIE J 122 20.00    
TRAFALGAR Jul01 May25 Apr22 Apr02 Feb11 (hartman chris)MORALES EDGAR 122 30.00    
BIG DREAMING Nov20 Jun11 Feb19     (catalano m)GRAHAM J 122 10.00 35% 1.90    
GRAY'S FABLE Jun01 May04 Apr01 Feb10 Oct08 (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 122 3.00    
SCR  HEAVEN STREET Jul04 Jun01 May06 Apr02 Sep10 (maker micha)TORRES A 122 10.00    
HOZIER Jul01 Jun01 Apr07 Dec17 Nov13 (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
FUERTEVENTURA Jun21 May29 Oct29 Sep14 Sep03 (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 124 2.50 39% 1.50    
GREYES CREEK Jun01 Apr07 Jan28 Dec01 Oct15 (lobo h)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
PLAY ACTION PASS Jul01 Jun01 Nov27 Oct29 Sep14 (medina robert)RAMOS D 122 8.00    
10  SANTOS DUMONT Jun30 May27 Jul04 Jun04 May01 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00    
11  UNDERDRESSED Jul08 Jun01 May03 Feb09 Jan07 (hernandez rey)MOJICA O 122 15.00    
12  MAX K. O. Jun21 May14 Apr02 Feb26 Jan21 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 124 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.