Handicappers' Race Results
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Keeneland
Saturday - October 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
KEE-1   Win (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $7.30 $7.30 1.30
KEE-2   Win (1/3/7/13/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 13 1 1 $8.98 $8.98  
KEE-3   Win (4/5/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $8.70 $8.70 0.70
KEE-4   Win (6/1/5/13/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $3.84 $3.84  
KEE-5   Win (3/9/2/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 0 $21.36  
KEE-6   Win (8/2/11/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 0 $25.66  
KEE-7   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $5.76  
KEE-8   Win (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $25.02  
KEE-9   Win (9/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $3.52 $3.52  
KEE-10   Win (5/1/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $6.58 $6.58  
KEE-11   Win (1/7/6/10/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $12.20 $12.20 2.20
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   10/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:222 :453 1:113     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DEBATE 4 3 64¾ 64¼   62¾ 11¼ (drury jr)ROSARIO JOEL 121 3.00 24% 3.10 2.65 W
4  CAPTAIN JACK 3 2 2nk 3.2   1½ 21¼ (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 111 3.50 6.02  
6  A LA CARTE 5 4 41¾ 4¾   3½ 32½ (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.00 17% 5.00 1.37 S
3  PENNY'S PROSPECT 2 5 52¼ 51¾   51¾ 42¾ (sims a)ACHARD ALEX 118 8.00 10.89  
8  FAN THE FIRE 6 1 3.2 2nk   4¾ 56 (brion keri)CORRALES GERARDO 121 12.00 7.62  
1  MASTER OF ARMS 1 6 1nk 1nk   2½ 66¼ (moquett e)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 10.00 16% 5.20 5.54  
SCR  GUNNER BAY               (margolis stephen)ELLIOTT JANE 118 20.00    
SCR  POWER ALLEY               (forster gra)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 10.00    
 
KEE-2   10/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:221 :453 :582     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  BERGEN 12 1 63¼ 64   32 1¾ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 13% 6.70 3.49 W
1  LINZER 1 4 2½ 1½   11 2¾ (stidham michael)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00 21% 3.80 3.55 P
5  VESTURE 5 11 108¼ 88   43½ 31½ (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 119 6.00 4.30  
7  HONKY TONK HIGHWAY 7 3 51¾ 42   21 42½ (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00 13% 6.70 10.96  
4  PROMISSIO 4 12 1211 910½   85¼ 56¼ (o'neill doug)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 8.57  
9  MOONLIGHT ROAD 9 2 41½ 53½   74¼ 67¾ (wilkes r)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00 30.64  
3  KNOW WHO YOU ARE 3 6 3½ 2½   64 78¼ (cowans d)ACHARD ALEX 119 4.50 21% 3.80 13.88  
10  WORKISLIFE 10 9 74¼ 76   54 89 (o'donnell marcus)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00 9% 10.20 41.51  
11  CAMARO Z 11 10 86¼ 1013   109¼ 913½ (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00 55.84  
8  TOOLPUSHER 8 8 1110¾ 1116   1110¼ 1013½ (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 36.49  
2  SURF CITY 2 5 1½ 3½   98¼ 1117 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 15.08  
6  GALLANT MISCHIEF 6 7 98¼ 1217½   1213¼ 1220 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 5.99  
SCR  ATOMIC               (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
SCR  HIGGINSVILLE               (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00    
SCR  PERFECT PRANKSTER               (harty eoin)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 15.00    
 
KEE-3   10/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:223 :451 1:11     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  THREE POLKS 6 3 1½ 1½   11 12 (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 121 4.00 11% 8.20 3.35 W
7  INSENSITIVE 7 1 63 56½   21 22 (anderson do)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 3.50 2.69  
1  CRUSHED ICE 1 4 41 46   31 35½ (quartarolo antho)ORTIZ L 121 8.00 7.72  
4  TAKE TIME TO DREAM 4 5 73½ 78½   44½ 47¾ (falcone robert )VELAZQUEZ R 121 3.00 35% 1.80 5.20  
3  RAGGITY SAND 3 8 86 89   54¾ 511 (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 20.00 16.31  
5  ICICLES 5 6 31 2½   65¼ 622 (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 121 6.00 26% 2.90 5.40  
2  DEVIL BLUE DRESS 2 7 52 67½   79¾ 724½ (romans dale)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.50 4.79  
8  DREAM ON STORMY 8 2 2½ 34½   816¼ 835¾ (winston d)CASTANON L 121 10.00 7% 12.40 33.84  
 
KEE-4   10/07/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:114 1:351   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SAFFRON MOON 4 3 43 43½ 31½ 1nk 12¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 20% 4.00 0.92 W
1  WILLAKIA 1 1 53¼ 54 52¾ 41½ 22¾ (motion gra)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 23% 3.40 3.54 P
11  WATCH THIS BIRDIE 9 9 65¼ 64½ 62¾ 52 33½ (correas iv)GRAHAM J 120 12.00 19.70  
13  I'M SO SORRY 10 10 96½ 96¼ 85¼ 74 45½ (maker j)ORTIZ L 124 4.00 6% 15.90 8.73  
8  ZAWISH 7 5 2nk 1nk 1nk 3½ 57 (pitts helen)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00 26.69  
6  QUALITY STAR 5 7 86¼ 106¼ 106½ 96 67¾ (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 6.00 28% 2.50 6.86  
2  LADY ARSINOE 2 6 106½ 75½ 74¼ 85 78¼ (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 122 12.00 25.78  
7  CUPID'S STRIKE 6 4 1nk 2nk 2nk 2nk 88½ (farrior anthony)VELAZQUEZ R 122 10.00 5% 19.00 27.92  
4  MUSIC FESTIVAL 3 2 31½ 32½ 41¾ 63 99 (ortiz alexande)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00 25.46  
9  GIRL NAMED CHARLIE 8 8 75¼ 86 96¼ 106¼ 1010 (amoss thoma)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00 32.98  
SCR  BEECHNUT TROPHY               (joseph a)ORTIZ L 122 12.00    
SCR  LILLY LANE               (vaughan edw)TORRES A 120 30.00    
SCR  MAMMAS GIRL (GB)               (delgado jo)SANTANA JR 118 15.00    
SCR  MORGS WORLD               (robertson mc)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00    
 
KEE-5   10/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($110K) 2 ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:214 :452 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORMANDY HERO 1 3 31 41½   1½ 11 (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 122 6.00 9.68  
4  VALENTINE CANDY 4 4 1nk 1nk   2½ 21 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 122 3.00 4.33  
9  HAUL 9 2 61¾ 31   32 34½ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 24% 3.20 3.67 S
5  RACCOON RODEO 5 10 109 910¼   78 46½ (maker j)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 15.00 21.72  
2  BAXLEY 2 7 41½ 51¾   43½ 59 (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.50 15% 5.70 6.61  
8  DUNPHY 8 9 74¼ 75¾   68 613 (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 120 20.00 73.63  
7  STORMQUIST 7 5 94½ 88¼   89½ 714 (claire alexi)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00 7% 12.60 29.40  
10  LET'S GO MARK 10 1 2nk 2nk   56 816 (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 122 30.00 65.05  
3  ALDER 3 6 51¾ 63¾   910 917½ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.00 31% 2.20 1.24  
6  GENERAL BATTLE AXE 6 8 84½ 1014¼   1015½ 1025 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 30.00 5% 19.00 73.95  
 
KEE-6   10/07/2023 3630ft TURF RC13 FIRM Woodford Purse ($350K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:21 :433 :553     1:013   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ARZAK 5 7 53¾ 54   32 12 (trombetta michae)ROSARIO JOEL 120 15.00 11.83  
8  OUR SHOT 8 8 86¾ 89   75½ 22 (terranova jo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.50 27% 2.80 3.76 P
11  BEER CAN MAN 11 2 65¼ 78½   85¾ 32 (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00 14% 6.20 6.12 S
2  LIVE IN THE DREAM (IRE) 2 4 1nk 1nk   12 43¼ (west adam)KIRRANE SEAN 124 3.00 25% 3.00 3.59  
1  BAD BEAT BRIAN 1 5 42¼ 32   22 53¼ (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 120 6.00 8% 11.00 8.23  
3  LET MY PEOPLE GO 3 9 76¼ 66½   65 63½ (oliver victoria)VELAZQUEZ R 120 10.00 18.03  
6  OLYMPIC RUNNER 6 6 98¾ 910½   96¾ 73½ (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00 14.44  
7  COPPOLA 7 11 1211¾ 1214¾   129¾ 86¼ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 120 12.00 32.80  
9  KAUFYMAKER 9 3 32 42½   53½ 96¾ (ward a)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00 5% 19.00 4.62  
12  KAVOD 12 10 108¾ 1010¾   108¾ 107¼ (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 20.00 96.92  
4  EYE WITNESS 4 12 1110¾ 1113¼   119¼ 118½ (ward a)ORTIZ L 118 20.00 10.43  
10  FOXTROTANNA 10 1 2nk 2nk   42½ 129¼ (wojczynski ju)PETERSON FERRIN 120 50.00 70.99  
 
KEE-7   10/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC13 FAST Thoroughbred Club Purse ($350K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:221 :452 :572     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  YUUGIRI 6 1 2nk 1nk   2nk 1hd (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.00 1.88  
1  WICKED HALO 1 4 31½ 3½   1nk 2hd (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 39% 1.50 1.40 P
3  LAST LEAF 3 2 51¾ 43   43 35 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 12.32  
2  FIRE ON TIME 2 5 63¼ 66   53¼ 46 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 120 8.00 17.22  
5  HAPPY SOUL 5 3 1nk 2nk   32 56¼ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 8.00 13% 6.70 6.19  
4  STATIC FIRE 4 6 41¾ 54½   66¾ 616¾ (lynch brian)TORRES A 120 3.50 17% 4.80 6.19  
7  BE LIKE WATER 7 7 75¾ 79   78¾ 718 (oliver victoria)MORALES EDGAR 120 30.00 48.10  
 
KEE-8   10/07/2023 5280ft TURF RC14 FIRM First Lady Purse ($750K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:43
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:101 1:214   1:334   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GINA ROMANTICA 1 1 62¾ 62¾ 55 41¾ 1nk (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 10.00 11.51  
3  IN ITALIAN (GB) 3 3 11 11 11½ 11½ 2nk (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 124 0.80 45% 1.20 0.45 P
8  EVVIE JETS 8 7 52¾ 52¾ 43 21½ 33¾ (kantarmaci mertk)ORTIZ L 124 10.00 20.34  
2  WHITEBEAM (GB) 2 2 31 21 21½ 31½ 44¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.00 30% 2.40 3.32  
5  GAM'S MISSION 5 5 74¾ 73¾ 67 65¼ 57¼ (devaux cherie)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 15.00 5% 19.00 37.62  
4  JUMBLY (GB) 4 4 41¼ 41¼ 31½ 52¼ 67½ (o'brien joseph )VELAZQUEZ R 124 6.00 ★ 12.99  
7  NEW YEAR'S EVE 7 8 85¼ 84¼ 78½ 78¼ 718¼ (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 124 15.00 26.82  
6  THISNAMEISOKAY 6 6 21 31 810½ 812¼ 824½ (cooper steve)ROCCO S 124 30.00 77.05  
 
KEE-9   10/07/2023 5610ft DIRT RC14 FAST Claiborne Breeders' Futurity Purse ($600K) 2 ALL PT- 5:14
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:132 1:382   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  LOCKED 8 7 73¾ 64 62¼ 1nk 1½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 122 1.40 24% 3.10 0.76 W
1  THE WINE STEWARD 1 1 52¼ 42 2nk 2nk 2½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 18% 4.60 3.96 P
6  GENEROUS TIPPER 5 5 85¼ 86¼ 73¼ 42¼ 34¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00 17.35  
8  NORTHERN FLAME 7 6 42 52½ 4¾ 32 44½ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 122 20.00 49.27  
5  WEST SARATOGA 4 4 31 31½ 3.2 54¾ 511 (demeritte la)CORRALES GERARDO 122 20.00 17% 4.90 17.51  
7  JUST STEEL 6 8 21 1nk 1nk 67¼ 616 (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 122 12.00 16.93  
3  AWESOME ROAD 2 2 63¾ 74¼ 84¾ 78¾ 718½ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 21% 3.70 3.40  
4  BAYTOWN CHATTERBOX 3 3 11 2nk 51¼ 816¾ 834¼ (mcentee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 122 50.00 89.39  
SCR  TIMBERLAKE               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.50    
 
KEE-10   10/07/2023 5280ft TURF RC14 FIRM Coolmore Turf Mile Purse ($1000K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:102 1:221   1:341   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  UP TO THE MARK 5 8 85¼ 85½ 63¾ 33 1hd (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 126 2.50 33% 2.00 2.29 W
1  MASTER OF THE SEAS (IRE) 1 5 75 75 41¾ 21½ 2hd (appleby charles)DOYLE JAMES 126 2.00 20% 4.00 1.23 P
4  SET PIECE (GB) 4 9 96¾ 96½ 95½ 97 33 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 5.00 9% 9.90 8.68 S
9  ANNAPOLIS 9 7 2½ 2½ 1nk 11½ 43½ (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 6.00 16% 5.10 4.33  
6  ENGLISH BEE 6 3 63½ 53½ 73¾ 75 55¾ (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 126 30.00 40.93  
8  HARLAN ESTATE 8 6 53½ 64 84 85½ 65¾ (beckman whitwo)ROSARIO JOEL 126 20.00 52.45  
3  STITCHED 3 1 31½ 31½ 31½ 54 77 (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 126 15.00 29.85  
7  ATONE 7 4 42 42½ 52¼ 64½ 87½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 126 10.00 18.33  
2  INDESTRUCTIBLE (IRE) 2 2 1½ 1½ 2nk 43 99 (delgado jo)SANTANA JR 123 8.00 45.78  
 
KEE-11   10/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 6:18
See original race card.
:222 :45 :57     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BOOTH 6 2 11½ 12½   13 15¼ (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 4.00 24% 3.20 5.10 W
1  NASH 1 4 21½ 22½   23 25¼ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 28% 2.60 1.71 P
4  RAPOPORT 3 9 107 711   47 39¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 4.50 6.91  
5  MIYAGI 4 10 63¾ 45½   35 412 (catalano way)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 2.47  
13  GOLDBRICK 11 1 85¼ 811   79 513¾ (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00 23.89  
6  KITTY HAWK (GB) 5 3 31½ 34½   69 614½ (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00 14% 5.90 14.33  
3  HAMMERSTEIN 2 7 53¼ 57   58 715¾ (lynch brian)TORRES A 119 8.00 13.57  
10  POKER RUN 9 6 73¾ 912½   811 816¼ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 30.00 5% 19.00 75.03  
9  WHO'S THE KING 8 8 117 1013½   911¼ 917¼ (casse mark)ROSARIO JOEL 119 20.00 36.98  
11  LATTA 10 11 96¾ 1114   1013¾ 1018¾ (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00 5% 19.00 65.21  
8  STARSCAPE 7 5 41¾ 69   1114¼ 1121½ (hernandez rey)MOJICA O 119 15.00 66.63  
SCR  AGOO               (beckman whitwo)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00    
SCR  ALWAYSINTOMISCHIEF               (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
SCR  CORSO'S PICK               (o'neill doug)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00    
SCR  TAP ANCHOR               (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.