Handicappers' Racing Form
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Keeneland
Saturday - October 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
KEE-1   Win (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-2   Win (1/3/7/13/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-3   Win (4/5/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-4   Win (6/1/5/13/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-5   Win (3/9/2/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-6   Win (8/2/11/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-7   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-8   Win (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-9   Win (9/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-10   Win (5/1/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-11   Win (1/7/6/10/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
KEE-1   10/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASTER OF ARMS Mar10 Feb17 Sep24 Jul08 Jun18 (moquett e)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 10.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  GUNNER BAY Sep16 Aug03 Jul07 Jun04   (margolis stephen)ELLIOTT JANE 118 20.00    
3  PENNY'S PROSPECT Aug15 Jul01 May26 Dec09   (sims a)ACHARD ALEX 118 8.00    
4  CAPTAIN JACK Sep14 Aug26 Apr12 Mar19 Feb04 (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 111 3.50    
5  DEBATE Sep16 May28 Apr28 Jan08 Nov27 (drury jr)ROSARIO JOEL 121 3.00 24% 3.10    
6  A LA CARTE Aug19 Jul22 Jun01 Apr28 Mar12 (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  POWER ALLEY Sep24 Aug30 Jul30 Jul01 May03 (forster gra)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 10.00    
8  FAN THE FIRE         (brion keri)CORRALES GERARDO 121 12.00    
 
KEE-2   10/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LINZER Aug25 Jul26       (stidham michael)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00 21% 3.80    
2  SURF CITY         (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
3  KNOW WHO YOU ARE Aug27         (cowans d)ACHARD ALEX 119 4.50 21% 3.80    
4  PROMISSIO         (o'neill doug)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
5  VESTURE Sep01         (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 119 6.00    
6  GALLANT MISCHIEF         (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
7  HONKY TONK HIGHWAY Aug20         (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00 13% 6.70    
8  TOOLPUSHER         (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 12.00    
9  MOONLIGHT ROAD         (wilkes r)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00    
10  WORKISLIFE Sep17         (o'donnell marcus)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00 9% 10.20    
11  CAMARO Z         (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00    
SCR  PERFECT PRANKSTER         (harty eoin)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 15.00    
13  BERGEN         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 13% 6.70    
SCR  ATOMIC         (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
SCR  HIGGINSVILLE         (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00    
 
KEE-3   10/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRUSHED ICE Sep03 Aug18       (quartarolo antho)ORTIZ L 121 8.00    
2  DEVIL BLUE DRESS         (romans dale)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.50    
3  RAGGITY SAND Sep02 Jun10 Apr29 Mar25 Jan21 (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 20.00    
4  TAKE TIME TO DREAM Sep15 Aug18       (falcone robert )VELAZQUEZ R 121 3.00 35% 1.80    
5  ICICLES Dec19 Nov24       (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 121 6.00 26% 2.90    
6  THREE POLKS Sep15         (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 121 4.00 11% 8.20    
7  INSENSITIVE Jun24 May27 Apr22 Apr02 Feb10 (anderson do)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 3.50    
8  DREAM ON STORMY Sep15 Sep03       (winston d)CASTANON L 121 10.00 7% 12.40    
 
KEE-4   10/07/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILLAKIA Sep16 Jul27 Feb26 Apr15   (motion gra)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 23% 3.40    
2  LADY ARSINOE Aug31 Jul01 May27 Apr26 Apr01 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 122 12.00    
SCR  MAMMAS GIRL (GB) Sep02         (delgado jo)SANTANA JR 118 15.00    
4  MUSIC FESTIVAL Aug18 Apr22 May28 Apr30 Feb20 (ortiz alexande)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00    
5  SAFFRON MOON Aug17 Dec24 Apr27     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 20% 4.00    
6  QUALITY STAR Sep10 May27 Apr13 Jan04 Nov25 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 6.00 28% 2.50    
7  CUPID'S STRIKE Aug19 Jul15 Jun18 Oct20 Sep18 (farrior anthony)VELAZQUEZ R 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  ZAWISH Sep10 May05 Jul23 Jul02 May14 (pitts helen)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00    
9  GIRL NAMED CHARLIE Sep10 Aug13 Jul01 Jun03 May05 (amoss thoma)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00    
SCR  BEECHNUT TROPHY Aug31 Apr22 Mar25 Dec29 Sep05 (joseph a)ORTIZ L 122 12.00    
11  WATCH THIS BIRDIE Sep16 Aug12 Jul13 May19 Apr15 (correas iv)GRAHAM J 120 12.00    
SCR  LILLY LANE Sep15 Aug26 Aug05 Jun22 Nov10 (vaughan edw)TORRES A 120 30.00    
13  I'M SO SORRY Sep18 Sep01 Jul26 May27 Apr16 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.00 6% 15.90    
SCR  MORGS WORLD Sep02 Aug05 Jul12 Jun18 Nov11 (robertson mc)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00    
 
KEE-5   10/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($110K) 2 ALL PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORMANDY HERO Sep15 Aug12 Jul01     (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 122 6.00    
2  BAXLEY Sep03         (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.50 15% 5.70    
3  ALDER Aug20 Jul15       (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.00 31% 2.20    
4  VALENTINE CANDY Sep04 Jul22       (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 122 3.00    
5  RACCOON RODEO Sep19 Aug09 Jul21 Jun17   (maker j)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 15.00    
6  GENERAL BATTLE AXE Sep09 Jul23 Jul01     (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
7  STORMQUIST Sep20 May18       (claire alexi)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00 7% 12.60    
8  DUNPHY Aug31 Aug13 Jul22 Jun04 May11 (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 120 20.00    
9  HAUL Aug12 Jul09       (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 24% 3.20    
10  LET'S GO MARK Aug13 Jun24 May03 Apr13   (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 122 30.00    
 
KEE-6   10/07/2023 3630ft TURF RC13 FIRM Woodford Purse ($350K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAD BEAT BRIAN Sep09 Aug06 May26 May06 Apr08 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 120 6.00 8% 11.00    
2  LIVE IN THE DREAM (IRE)         (west adam)KIRRANE SEAN 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
3  LET MY PEOPLE GO Sep03 Aug06 Jun25 May29 Apr16 (oliver victoria)VELAZQUEZ R 120 10.00    
4  EYE WITNESS Aug13 May20 Mar25 Jan01 Sep23 (ward a)ORTIZ L 118 20.00    
5  ARZAK Aug23 Jul26 Jun16 May14 Nov27 (trombetta michae)ROSARIO JOEL 120 15.00    
6  OLYMPIC RUNNER Sep09 Aug05 Apr29 Mar04 Jan20 (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00    
7  COPPOLA Sep20 Aug23 Jul26 Jun10 May20 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 120 12.00    
8  OUR SHOT Sep02 Jul26 Jun18 Apr26 Mar03 (terranova jo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.50 27% 2.80    
9  KAUFYMAKER Aug02 May28 Apr07 Oct16   (ward a)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  FOXTROTANNA Sep13 Aug11 Jul13     (wojczynski ju)PETERSON FERRIN 120 50.00    
11  BEER CAN MAN Sep02 Aug04 May20 Apr22 Feb20 (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00 14% 6.20    
12  KAVOD Sep20 Jul27 Mar09 Jan28 Jan06 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 20.00    
 
KEE-7   10/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC13 FAST Thoroughbred Club Purse ($350K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WICKED HALO Sep16 Jul23 Jun17 May06 Mar31 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 39% 1.50    
2  FIRE ON TIME Sep16 Jul07 May29 May12 Mar11 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 120 8.00    
3  LAST LEAF Sep07 Jul23 May29 Apr29 Mar11 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50    
4  STATIC FIRE Aug31 Dec24 Oct13 Sep13 Jul15 (lynch brian)TORRES A 120 3.50 17% 4.80    
5  HAPPY SOUL Aug31 Aug02 May27 Apr15 Oct08 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 8.00 13% 6.70    
6  YUUGIRI Sep16 Aug14 Jul07 May07 Apr08 (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.00    
7  BE LIKE WATER Aug13 Jun24 Apr14 Mar11 Nov06 (oliver victoria)MORALES EDGAR 120 30.00    
 
KEE-8   10/07/2023 5280ft TURF RC14 FIRM First Lady Purse ($750K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GINA ROMANTICA Aug12 Jun17 Oct15 Sep18 Aug25 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 10.00    
2  WHITEBEAM (GB) Jul15 May20 Apr16     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.00 30% 2.40    
3  IN ITALIAN (GB) Jul15 Jun09 Apr15 Nov05 Oct08 (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 124 0.80 45% 1.20    
4  JUMBLY (GB) Aug24         (o'brien joseph )VELAZQUEZ R 124 6.00 ★    
5  GAM'S MISSION Aug24 Jul22 Apr16 Mar11 Jun05 (devaux cherie)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  THISNAMEISOKAY Sep09 Aug12 Jul22 Jun24 Jun03 (cooper steve)ROCCO S 124 30.00    
7  NEW YEAR'S EVE Sep09 Aug06 Jun09 May05 Mar25 (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 124 15.00    
8  EVVIE JETS Aug24 Aug02 Jul02 May07 Apr16 (kantarmaci mertk)ORTIZ L 124 10.00    
 
KEE-9   10/07/2023 5610ft DIRT RC14 FAST Claiborne Breeders' Futurity Purse ($600K) 2 ALL PT- 5:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE WINE STEWARD Aug27 Jul02 May28     (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  TIMBERLAKE Sep04 Jul21 Jun15     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.50    
3  AWESOME ROAD Aug27         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 21% 3.70    
4  BAYTOWN CHATTERBOX Sep04 Aug13 Jul12 Jun24 May29 (mcentee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 122 50.00    
5  WEST SARATOGA Sep16 Aug05 Jul21 Jun04 May11 (demeritte la)CORRALES GERARDO 122 20.00 17% 4.90    
6  GENEROUS TIPPER Aug28 Aug05 Jul14     (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00    
7  JUST STEEL Sep04 Aug05 Jul15 Jun17   (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 122 12.00    
8  NORTHERN FLAME Sep15 Aug28 Jul21     (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 122 20.00    
9  LOCKED Sep01 Aug05       (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 122 1.40 24% 3.10    
 
KEE-10   10/07/2023 5280ft TURF RC14 FIRM Coolmore Turf Mile Purse ($1000K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASTER OF THE SEAS (IRE) Sep16         (appleby charles)DOYLE JAMES 126 2.00 20% 4.00    
2  INDESTRUCTIBLE (IRE)         (delgado jo)SANTANA JR 123 8.00    
3  STITCHED Sep02 Jul01 Jun01 May04 Apr08 (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 126 15.00    
4  SET PIECE (GB) Aug12 Jul01 Jun03 May04 Nov26 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 126 5.00 9% 9.90    
5  UP TO THE MARK Jun10 May06 Apr14 Mar04 Jan28 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 126 2.50 33% 2.00    
6  ENGLISH BEE Aug31 Jul15 Jun01 May04 Mar04 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 126 30.00    
7  ATONE Sep02 Aug12 May20 Mar25 Jan28 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 126 10.00    
8  HARLAN ESTATE Aug31 Aug03 Jul01 Jun03 May11 (beckman whitwo)ROSARIO JOEL 126 20.00    
9  ANNAPOLIS Sep02 Aug12 Jul15 May04 Nov05 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 6.00 16% 5.10    
 
KEE-11   10/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 6:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NASH         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  ALWAYSINTOMISCHIEF         (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
3  HAMMERSTEIN         (lynch brian)TORRES A 119 8.00    
4  RAPOPORT         (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 4.50    
5  MIYAGI         (catalano way)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
6  KITTY HAWK (GB) Aug27 Jul30       (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00 14% 5.90    
7  BOOTH         (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 4.00 24% 3.20    
8  STARSCAPE         (hernandez rey)MOJICA O 119 15.00    
9  WHO'S THE KING         (casse mark)ROSARIO JOEL 119 20.00    
10  POKER RUN         (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
11  LATTA         (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CORSO'S PICK         (o'neill doug)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00    
13  GOLDBRICK         (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00    
SCR  AGOO Sep17         (beckman whitwo)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00    
SCR  TAP ANCHOR         (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.