Handicappers' Race Results
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Belmont At The Big A
Friday - September 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
BAQ-1   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $3.30 $3.30  
BAQ-2   Win (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
BAQ-3   Win (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $13.60  
BAQ-4   Win (5/10/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $27.40  
BAQ-5   Win (5/12/7/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 0 $9.60  
BAQ-6   Win (4/5/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $14.80 $14.80 6.80
BAQ-7   Win (6/8/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $19.20 $19.20 11.20
BAQ-8   Win (8/5/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $11.80  
BAQ-9   Win (8/1/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $6.60 $6.60  
Simulator Race results
 
BAQ-1   09/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:002     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MAGGIE 2 4 41½ 31½   3.2 12½ (begg bentle)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.80 46% 1.20 0.65 W
5  BABY SOX 4 3 31 2½   1nk 22½ (rodriguez rudy )IORIO MELISSA 113 4.50 18% 4.60 4.60 P
1  SERENADE SOLDIER 1 1 11 1½   2nk 33½ (englehart chris)SILVERA RUBEN 121 6.00 4.70  
3  PHINNEYS HARBOR 3 2 21 42   46¼ 411¼ (hennig mark)RIVERA R 115 6.00 5.50  
6  GOODBYE KYLE 5 5 52½ 58   511¼ 516½ (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00 10.20  
SCR  CHAMPAGNE POETRY               (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 121 2.00    
 
BAQ-2   09/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:36
See original race card.
:251 :50 1:153 1:284   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MUCHO MAMA MIA 4 4 41½ 31 52 2½ 13½ (englehart jerem)ORTIZ JR 124 2.50 26% 2.80 1.40 W
6  SHOTGUN PATSY 5 2 2nk 2nk 11 1½ 23½ (mott william )MARTINEZ R 120 5.00 23% 3.30 9.40 P
7  MONTAUK MYSTIQUE 6 5 51¾ 51¾ 31 41 33¾ (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 7.60  
8  CAUSE I'M ELEGANT 7 1 31 41¼ 41½ 3½ 44½ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 17.10  
2  STRANGE FRUIT 2 6 64¼ 65¾ 65½ 54 59¼ (reynolds patrick)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 3.75  
1  UNHOLY 1 3 1nk 1nk 21 64½ 610 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 16% 5.10 2.50  
3  MAXING THE BANK 3 7 7100 7100 7100 7100 7100 (parker joseph)BAILEY O 120 20.00 69.00  
SCR  POWER AND GLORY               (thompson glenn )IORIO MELISSA 117 10.00    
 
BAQ-3   09/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
See original race card.
:224 :462 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAY ZONE 1 1 15 15   14 11¾ (kantarmaci mertk)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00 5.80  
2  TENEBRIS 2 2 45¼ 45½   24 21¾ (tessore bruno)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.50 21% 3.80 2.40 P
5  CLUBHOUSE 5 3 25 35½   34 32½ (rodriguez gustav)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00 4.60  
4  BUILT TO LAST (BRZ) 4 4 57¼ 57½   57 45½ (englehart chris)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.00 14% 5.90 7.30  
3  BARON'S LEGACY 3 6 67¼ 68   69½ 59 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 24% 3.10 6.60  
6  TIVY 6 5 35 25   46½ 69¾ (antonucci jena)CASTELLANO J 120 1.80 2.05  
 
BAQ-4   09/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:39
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:122 1:363   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  OCALA DREAM 8 7 811 75½ 52¼ 4¾ 11¾ (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 12.70  
2  AGENT CREED 2 8 911½ 87 84¼ 72¼ 21¾ (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 122 4.50 9% 10.50 3.60 P
5  LET'S GO BIG BLUE 4 1 31½ 31½ 31 3½ 32 (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 30% 2.30 1.35 S
7  KING OF COMEDY 6 6 44 42½ 41¼ 51¼ 42¼ (maker michael )CASTELLANO J 120 12.00 10.10  
6  STRAIGHT ARROW 5 9 710 97½ 95¼ 62¼ 52½ (dini mike)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00 9.30  
1  KLICKITAT 1 3 66½ 65 73¾ 83¼ 64 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 20.00 5% 19.00 41.25  
10  ROUGH DRAFT 9 4 2½ 21 2nk 1nk 74 (duggan p)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00 29% 2.40 7.80  
8  CITIZEN K 7 5 54 52½ 62¾ 93½ 84½ (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 11.80  
3  RINALDI 3 2 1½ 11 1nk 2nk 94¾ (bond james)DAVIS KATIE 122 6.00 12.00  
SCR  BATTLE SCARS               (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 124 20.00    
SCR  BIG BOBBY               (arenas marcelo)RIDER TBA 122 8.00    
SCR  BREW PUB               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 122 3.00    
SCR  COLLOQUY               (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 124 3.50    
SCR  THRILL OF IT               (terranova p)ORTIZ L 122 4.50    
 
BAQ-5   09/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 3:11
See original race card.
:23 :491 1:153 1:394   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  AWESOME CZECH 3 3 42½ 43 42 21 11 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 3.80  
2  BOXED WINE 1 11 74 75 73½ 51¾ 21 (antonacci phil)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00 9.10  
5  RUN FOR YOUR HONEY 5 8 85 85½ 84½ 62¼ 31¾ (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 33% 2.00 5.60 S
12  ALITTLEBITNAUGHTY 12 7 96 97½ 96 84¾ 42¾ (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 19% 4.20 6.70  
6  BOSSY JEANS 6 5 31½ 32½ 31 11 53¼ (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 47.75  
7  ONCE AN EAGLE 7 1 53½ 64 53 73¼ 64¼ (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 13% 6.80 2.55  
8  SHE IS ALL BUSINES 8 12 1211½ 1211 1210 126½ 75 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 5.00 10% 9.10 8.40  
9  FREE FOR ME 9 10 119½ 119½ 118 105¾ 85½ (abreu r)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 14.60  
11  BERTRILLE 11 9 107½ 108 107½ 116 96 (brown r)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 30.00 75.50  
1  DENVER'S ALLEY 2 4 1½ 11 1½ 41½ 108¼ (duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00 13.40  
4  CONEY 4 2 2½ 21 2½ 31½ 1110¼ (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00 5% 19.00 24.25  
10  BORNFORGREATNESS 10 6 63½ 54 63½ 95¾ 1211¾ (hills timo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00 76.50  
SCR  BROKEN BANKER               (david a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00    
SCR  BUONA SALUTE               (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT CONCERTO               (mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00    
SCR  SARATOGA SMOKESHOW               (martin carlos)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00    
 
BAQ-6   09/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:122     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  THOUGHT EXPERIMENT 8 1 54½ 46½   3.2 1nk (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 12% 7.60 6.40 W
5  RISK FREE 5 5 67 58   1nk 2nk (delauro j)ROSARIO JOEL 121 8.00 24% 3.20 6.10 P
3  PARTY AT GRANTS 3 8 713 713   64¾ 33 (englehart jeremi)LEZCANO JOSE 121 10.00 17.10  
2  TAKE TIME TO DREAM 2 6 43½ 36½   53¾ 43¼ (falcone robert )VELAZQUEZ R 121 15.00 17.10  
6  LA GIRVINA 6 3 21½ 25½   2nk 53½ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 121 4.50 17% 4.70 2.05  
4  ONLOOKER 4 7 814½ 814½   87¼ 66¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 121 2.50 24% 3.20 5.40  
7  PUT THE CRAZY AWAY 7 2 32½ 68½   76¾ 710½ (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 6.00 9.10  
1  FEATHERING 1 4 11½ 15½   4¾ 812½ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 4.50 3.45  
 
BAQ-7   09/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:17
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:111     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  NY TRAFFIC 5 1 4¾ 31½   2nk 12½ (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 121 4.50 41% 1.50 8.60 W
7  KINETIC SKY 6 3 62¼ 52   52¾ 22½ (dutrow richard )FRANCO MANUEL 121 5.00 7% 13.90 2.75 P
4  SHERIFF BIANCO 4 7 72¼ 63½   42¾ 32¾ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 6.00 9% 10.00 5.30 S
8  ROTKNEE 7 2 3.2 1½   1nk 42¾ (maker j)LEZCANO JOSE 125 3.50 11% 8.00 2.35  
3  HE'SMYHONEYBADGER 3 5 1nk 42   63¼ 53¼ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 125 10.00 17.20 DH
9  PROVOCATEUR 8 4 2nk 2½   3.2 53¼ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 6.00 4.90 DH
2  WILLY BOI 2 8 51¾ 73¾   77¼ 76¾ (giddings melanie)ROSARIO JOEL 121 20.00 22.50  
1  SYNTHESIS 1 6 87¾ 810¾   811¼ 810¾ (jacobson david)CASTELLANO J 123 4.00 8.60  
SCR  AMUNDSON               (kantarmaci mertka)DAVIS DYLAN 125 12.00    
SCR  COLONEL BOWMAN               (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 125 4.00    
 
BAQ-8   09/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Winter Memories Purse ($135K) 3 F PT- 4:49
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:12 1:234   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SACRED WISH 3 3 43½ 53¼ 33½ 32 11¼ (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00 4.90  
5  SILVER SKILLET 4 2 21½ 31½ 22 21½ 21¼ (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 124 5.00 12% 7.10 4.10 P
7  SOVIET EXCESS 6 9 89 97¾ 76½ 54½ 31¾ (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 ★ 8.20 S
1  LIGURIA 1 1 99½ 86¾ 87 43½ 41¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00 ★ 3.30  
10  LADY BETH 9 5 11½ 11½ 12 11½ 52 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00 6.70  
8  TAX IMPLICATIONS (GB) 7 7 78 76¼ 97½ 75½ 64 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 58% 0.70 5.30  
9  JUNIPERMARSHMALLOW 8 6 64½ 64¼ 66 85½ 74½ (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 120 20.00 5% 19.00 23.80  
6  SWEETLOU'SGOTACES 5 4 53½ 43 55 65 86 (motion grah)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 8.00 14.90  
2  BOLIVIE (IRE) 2 10 1014 108¼ 108½ 99½ 99¼ (walsh p)LEZCANO JOSE 124 12.00 16.50  
14  GET YOUR KICKS 10 8 32 21½ 44½ 1011½ 1013½ (brown c)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 20.80  
SCR  BALPOOL               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00    
SCR  ICHIBAN               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 4.50    
SCR  LIFELOVENLAUGHTER               (trombetta mich)CASTELLANO J 120 20.00    
SCR  NEECIE MARIE               (reid e)ADORNO ABNER 124 15.00    
SCR  PLENTITUDE               (clement christop)ORTIZ L 120 15.00    
SCR  STEPHANIE'S CHARM               (jimenez jose )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 30.00    
 
BAQ-9   09/15/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 5:21
See original race card.
:23 :47 :584     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEING BETTY 1 4 1½ 2nk   2nk 1¾ (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 119 3.00 26% 2.80 2.30 W
10  STORMY DISCO 10 7 41½ 1nk   1nk 2¾ (dini mike)CARMOUCHE K 119 5.00 11.00  
5  NEEDED 5 5 52 51¾   33½ 32¼ (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00 14.90  
2  SUPERSTARSUSAN 2 9 96½ 83¾   44 43 (duggan p)ORTIZ L 119 12.00 6.50  
6  PRETTY UP 6 8 84 73¾   65¼ 53½ (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00 7.00  
8  GIOIA MIA 8 6 73½ 41½   55 67¼ (donk david)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 45% 1.20 3.20  
4  SUN AND WIND 4 1 2½ 3½   75¼ 77¾ (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 ★ 8.90  
9  FOLLOW YOUR ARROW 9 3 31½ 62¾   88¼ 89¾ (summers chad)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 7% 14.40 7.50  
7  MOTHER MARY 7 2 62½ 94¼   910¾ 911¾ (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00 45.00  
3  MASTERY'S SECRET 3 10 1011½ 108¾   1015¾ 1019¼ (barrera)HERNANDEZ OMAR 112 20.00 68.50  
SCR  BANK ON BELLE               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 119 8.00    
SCR  BOOK OF WISDOM               (mott i)RIDER TBA 119 1.20    
SCR  DANCING LIANA               (ryerson t)RIDER TBA 119 5.00    
SCR  ELUSIVE FASHION               (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00    
SCR  HOLDER CLOSE               (ferraro w)RIDER TBA 119 12.00    
SCR  MEL'S ANGEL               (giddings m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.