Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Belmont At The Big A
Friday - September 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00  2-5 $5.20 $3.20 160%
BAQ-2   EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-6 $16.20 $10.20 170%
BAQ-6   WIN (4/5/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $14.80 $6.80 85%
    EXA (4/5/6/8)-(4/5/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  8-5 $22.80 $10.80 90%
BAQ-7   WIN (6/8/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $19.20 $11.20 140%
    EXA (6/8/4/7)-(6/8/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-7 $51.50 $39.50 329%
    TRI (6/8/4/7)-(6/8/4/7)-(6/8/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  6-7-4 $92.25 $80.25 669%
    SFT (6/8/4/7)-(6/8/4/7)-(6/8/4/7)-(6/8/4/7) 24 $0.10 $2.40  6-7-4-8 $58.55 $56.15 2340%
    DD (4/5/6/8)-(6/8/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00  8-6 $52.50 $36.50 228%
Simulator Race results
 
BAQ-1   09/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:002     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MAGGIE 2 4 41½ 31½   3.2 12½ (begg bent)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.80 46% 1.20 0.65 W
5  BABY SOX 4 3 31 2½   1nk 22½ (rodriguez rud)IORIO MELISSA 113 4.50 18% 4.60 4.60 P
1  SERENADE SOLDIER 1 1 11 1½   2nk 33½ (englehart chr)SILVERA RUBEN 121 6.00 4.70  
3  PHINNEYS HARBOR 3 2 21 42   46¼ 411¼ (hennig mar)RIVERA R 115 6.00 5.50  
6  GOODBYE KYLE 5 5 52½ 58   511¼ 516½ (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00 10.20  
SCR  CHAMPAGNE POETRY               (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 121 2.00    
 
BAQ-2   09/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:36
See original race card.
:251 :50 1:153 1:284   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MUCHO MAMA MIA 4 4 41½ 31 52 2½ 13½ (englehart jer)ORTIZ JR 124 2.50 26% 2.80 1.40 W
6  SHOTGUN PATSY 5 2 2nk 2nk 11 1½ 23½ (mott willia)MARTINEZ R 120 5.00 23% 3.30 9.40 P
7  MONTAUK MYSTIQUE 6 5 51¾ 51¾ 31 41 33¾ (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 7.60  
8  CAUSE I'M ELEGANT 7 1 31 41¼ 41½ 3½ 44½ (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 17.10  
2  STRANGE FRUIT 2 6 64¼ 65¾ 65½ 54 59¼ (reynolds patri)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 3.75  
1  UNHOLY 1 3 1nk 1nk 21 64½ 610 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 16% 5.10 2.50  
3  MAXING THE BANK 3 7 7100 7100 7100 7100 7100 (parker josep)BAILEY O 120 20.00 69.00  
SCR  POWER AND GLORY               (thompson glen)IORIO MELISSA 117 10.00    
 
BAQ-3   09/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
See original race card.
:224 :462 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAY ZONE 1 1 15 15   14 11¾ (kantarmaci mer)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00 5.80  
2  TENEBRIS 2 2 45¼ 45½   24 21¾ (tessore bruno)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.50 21% 3.80 2.40 P
5  CLUBHOUSE 5 3 25 35½   34 32½ (rodriguez gust)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00 4.60  
4  BUILT TO LAST (BRZ) 4 4 57¼ 57½   57 45½ (englehart chris)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.00 14% 5.90 7.30  
3  BARON'S LEGACY 3 6 67¼ 68   69½ 59 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 24% 3.10 6.60  
6  TIVY 6 5 35 25   46½ 69¾ (antonucci je)CASTELLANO J 120 1.80 2.05  
 
BAQ-4   09/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:39
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:122 1:363   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  OCALA DREAM 8 7 811 75½ 52¼ 4¾ 11¾ (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 12.70  
2  AGENT CREED 2 8 911½ 87 84¼ 72¼ 21¾ (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 122 4.50 9% 10.50 3.60 P
5  LET'S GO BIG BLUE 4 1 31½ 31½ 31 3½ 32 (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 30% 2.30 1.35 S
7  KING OF COMEDY 6 6 44 42½ 41¼ 51¼ 42¼ (maker michae)CASTELLANO J 120 12.00 10.10  
6  STRAIGHT ARROW 5 9 710 97½ 95¼ 62¼ 52½ (dini mike)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00 9.30  
1  KLICKITAT 1 3 66½ 65 73¾ 83¼ 64 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 20.00 5% 19.00 41.25  
10  ROUGH DRAFT 9 4 2½ 21 2nk 1nk 74 (duggan david )ORTIZ JR 122 5.00 29% 2.40 7.80  
8  CITIZEN K 7 5 54 52½ 62¾ 93½ 84½ (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 11.80  
3  RINALDI 3 2 1½ 11 1nk 2nk 94¾ (bond jam)DAVIS KATIE 122 6.00 12.00  
SCR  BATTLE SCARS               (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 124 20.00    
SCR  BIG BOBBY               (arenas marcelo)RIDER TBA 122 8.00    
SCR  BREW PUB               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 122 3.00    
SCR  COLLOQUY               (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 124 3.50    
SCR  THRILL OF IT               (terranova john)ORTIZ L 122 4.50    
 
BAQ-5   09/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 3:11
See original race card.
:23 :491 1:153 1:394   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  AWESOME CZECH 3 3 42½ 43 42 21 11 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 3.80  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of MARVELOUS MARTINA by AWESOME AGAIN)
2  BOXED WINE 1 11 74 75 73½ 51¾ 21 (antonacci ph)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00 9.10  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of TEMPER MINT PATTY by CONGRATS)
5  RUN FOR YOUR HONEY 5 8 85 85½ 84½ 62¼ 31¾ (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 33% 2.00 5.60 S
  (by TAPIZAR out of GRACEFUL RAGE by TIZNOW)
12  ALITTLEBITNAUGHTY 12 7 96 97½ 96 84¾ 42¾ (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 19% 4.20 6.70  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of REACHFORTHEHEAVENS by PULPIT)
6  BOSSY JEANS 6 5 31½ 32½ 31 11 53¼ (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 47.75  
  (by LAOBAN out of IN THE JEANS by UNION RAGS)
7  ONCE AN EAGLE 7 1 53½ 64 53 73¼ 64¼ (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 13% 6.80 2.55  
  (by TONALIST out of DERRIANNE by COZZENE)
8  SHE IS ALL BUSINES 8 12 1211½ 1211 1210 126½ 75 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 5.00 10% 9.10 8.40  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of ELUSIVE RUMOUR by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
9  FREE FOR ME 9 10 119½ 119½ 118 105¾ 85½ (abreu r)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 14.60  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
11  BERTRILLE 11 9 107½ 108 107½ 116 96 (brown bruce )CASTILLO ISAAC 119 30.00 75.50  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of SILLY SISTER by BROKEN VOW)
1  DENVER'S ALLEY 2 4 1½ 11 1½ 41½ 108¼ (duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00 13.40  
  (by ALGORITHMS out of HUG DOC by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  CONEY 4 2 2½ 21 2½ 31½ 1110¼ (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00 5% 19.00 24.25  
  (by DESTIN out of BROOKLYN BITES by GRAYDAR)
10  BORNFORGREATNESS 10 6 63½ 54 63½ 95¾ 1211¾ (hills ti)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00 76.50  
  (by SOLOMINI out of RAGING DIVA by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
SCR  BROKEN BANKER               (david a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of BROKEN BORDER by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  BUONA SALUTE               (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of THOUGHTLESS by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
SCR  MIDNIGHT CONCERTO               (mcpeek kenn)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of MIDNIGHT IN GIADA by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
SCR  SARATOGA SMOKESHOW               (martin carl)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00    
  (by DESTIN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
BAQ-6   09/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:122     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  THOUGHT EXPERIMENT 8 1 54½ 46½   3.2 1nk (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 12% 7.60 6.40 W
  (by GUN RUNNER out of APPEALING MUSIC by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
5  RISK FREE 5 5 67 58   1nk 2nk (delauro edward)ROSARIO JOEL 121 8.00 24% 3.20 6.10 P
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of KEEP CROSSING by ISTAN)
3  PARTY AT GRANTS 3 8 713 713   64¾ 33 (englehart jere)LEZCANO JOSE 121 10.00 17.10  
  (by SUPER SAVER out of DRFERRYTOTHEFINISH by AFLEET ALEX)
2  TAKE TIME TO DREAM 2 6 43½ 36½   53¾ 43¼ (falcone rober)VELAZQUEZ R 121 15.00 17.10  
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of MAGESTIC STINGER by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
6  LA GIRVINA 6 3 21½ 25½   2nk 53½ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 121 4.50 17% 4.70 2.05  
  (by GIRVIN out of LIBBYRIS by ALGORITHMS)
4  ONLOOKER 4 7 814½ 814½   87¼ 66¼ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 121 2.50 24% 3.20 5.40  
  (by STREET SENSE out of FLAUNTED by TALE OF THE CAT)
7  PUT THE CRAZY AWAY 7 2 32½ 68½   76¾ 710½ (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 121 6.00 9.10  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of MONTANA NATIVE by YES IT'S TRUE)
1  FEATHERING 1 4 11½ 15½   4¾ 812½ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 4.50 3.45  
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of CURLS IN PLACE by CURLIN)
 
BAQ-7   09/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:17
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:111     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  NY TRAFFIC 5 1 4¾ 31½   2nk 12½ (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 121 4.50 41% 1.50 8.60 W
7  KINETIC SKY 6 3 62¼ 52   52¾ 22½ (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 121 5.00 7% 13.90 2.75 P
4  SHERIFF BIANCO 4 7 72¼ 63½   42¾ 32¾ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 6.00 9% 10.00 5.30 S
8  ROTKNEE 7 2 3.2 1½   1nk 42¾ (maker michael )LEZCANO JOSE 125 3.50 11% 8.00 2.35  
3  HE'SMYHONEYBADGER 3 5 1nk 42   63¼ 53¼ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 125 10.00 17.20 DH
9  PROVOCATEUR 8 4 2nk 2½   3.2 53¼ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 6.00 4.90 DH
2  WILLY BOI 2 8 51¾ 73¾   77¼ 76¾ (giddings melan)ROSARIO JOEL 121 20.00 22.50  
1  SYNTHESIS 1 6 87¾ 810¾   811¼ 810¾ (jacobson dav)CASTELLANO J 123 4.00 8.60  
SCR  AMUNDSON               (kantarmaci mert)DAVIS DYLAN 125 12.00    
SCR  COLONEL BOWMAN               (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 125 4.00    
 
BAQ-8   09/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Winter Memories Purse ($135K) 3 F PT- 4:49
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:12 1:234   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SACRED WISH 3 3 43½ 53¼ 33½ 32 11¼ (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00 4.90  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of INDIAN WISH by INDIAN CHARLIE)
5  SILVER SKILLET 4 2 21½ 31½ 22 21½ 21¼ (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 124 5.00 12% 7.10 4.10 P
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of CATCHA RISING STAR by RED GIANT)
7  SOVIET EXCESS 6 9 89 97¾ 76½ 54½ 31¾ (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 ★ 8.20 S
  (by UNCLE MO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
1  LIGURIA 1 1 99½ 86¾ 87 43½ 41¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00 ★ 3.30  
  (by WAR FRONT out of LERICI by WOODMAN)
10  LADY BETH 9 5 11½ 11½ 12 11½ 52 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00 6.70  
  (by HARD SPUN out of BOREALE by MAKFI (GB))
8  TAX IMPLICATIONS (GB) 7 7 78 76¼ 97½ 75½ 64 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 58% 0.70 5.30  
  (by MEHMAS out of COUNTRY MADAM by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
9  JUNIPERMARSHMALLOW 8 6 64½ 64¼ 66 85½ 74½ (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 120 20.00 5% 19.00 23.80  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of ELITISTE by DANEHILL DANCER (IRE))
6  SWEETLOU'SGOTACES 5 4 53½ 43 55 65 86 (motion gr)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 8.00 14.90  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of KAYCE LU by LONHRO (AUS))
2  BOLIVIE (IRE) 2 10 1014 108¼ 108½ 99½ 99¼ (walsh brendan )LEZCANO JOSE 124 12.00 16.50  
  (by UNKNOWN out of BURMA SUN by RIP VAN WINKLE (IRE))
14  GET YOUR KICKS 10 8 32 21½ 44½ 1011½ 1013½ (brown c)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 20.80  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of CALI THIRTY SEVEN by ESKENDEREYA)
SCR  BALPOOL               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of REMINGTON ROSE by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
SCR  ICHIBAN               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 4.50    
  (by STREET SENSE out of COVER GIRL ELLE by OUT OF PLACE)
SCR  LIFELOVENLAUGHTER               (trombetta mi)CASTELLANO J 120 20.00    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of TOO FOOFOO FOR YOU by FREUD)
SCR  NEECIE MARIE               (reid e)ADORNO ABNER 124 15.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of LODE LADY by POSSE)
SCR  PLENTITUDE               (clement christ)ORTIZ L 120 15.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of YELLOW AGATE by GEMOLOGIST)
SCR  STEPHANIE'S CHARM               (jimenez jos)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 30.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of VOYELLE by BROKEN VOW)
 
BAQ-9   09/15/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 5:21
See original race card.
:23 :47 :584     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEING BETTY 1 4 1½ 2nk   2nk 1¾ (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 119 3.00 26% 2.80 2.30 W
  (by WEEKEND HIDEAWAY out of LADY JOAN by COURAGEOUS CAT)
10  STORMY DISCO 10 7 41½ 1nk   1nk 2¾ (dini mike)CARMOUCHE K 119 5.00 11.00  
  (by DISCO PARTNER out of SCATCAPADE by SCAT DADDY)
5  NEEDED 5 5 52 51¾   33½ 32¼ (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00 14.90  
  (by BRETHREN out of NECESSARY by STROLL)
2  SUPERSTARSUSAN 2 9 96½ 83¾   44 43 (duggan p)ORTIZ L 119 12.00 6.50  
  (by HARD SPUN out of ELLIE'S SMILE by TAPIT)
6  PRETTY UP 6 8 84 73¾   65¼ 53½ (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00 7.00  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of DANCING FOR GLORY by EXCHANGE RATE)
8  GIOIA MIA 8 6 73½ 41½   55 67¼ (donk david)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 45% 1.20 3.20  
  (by KANTHAROS out of SAYTHREEHAILMARY'S by REPENT)
4  SUN AND WIND 4 1 2½ 3½   75¼ 77¾ (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 ★ 8.90  
  (by FREUD out of SOLAR VORTEX by ORB)
9  FOLLOW YOUR ARROW 9 3 31½ 62¾   88¼ 89¾ (summers chad)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 7% 14.40 7.50  
  (by BAL A BALI out of COYOTE PRETTY by UNION RAGS)
7  MOTHER MARY 7 2 62½ 94¼   910¾ 911¾ (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00 45.00  
  (by ZOFFANY out of COOLNAGREE by DARK ANGEL)
3  MASTERY'S SECRET 3 10 1011½ 108¾   1015¾ 1019¼ (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 112 20.00 68.50  
  (by MASTERY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  BANK ON BELLE               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 119 8.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  BOOK OF WISDOM               (mott i)RIDER TBA 119 1.20    
  (by SOLOMINI out of TAPPIN'AT THE DOOR by TAPIT)
SCR  DANCING LIANA               (ryerson t)RIDER TBA 119 5.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of FAVORABLY by FLYING PASTER)
SCR  ELUSIVE FASHION               (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00    
  (by CONNECT out of FASHION FORWARD by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  HOLDER CLOSE               (ferraro w)RIDER TBA 119 12.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of ADRIATIC DREAM by WILD DESERT (IRE))
SCR  MEL'S ANGEL               (giddings)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 10.00    
  (by LEOFRIC out of ANGEL WAVE by MALIBU MOON)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.