Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belmont At The Big A
Friday - September 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BAQ-2   Win (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-3   Win (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-4   Win (5/10/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-5   Win (5/12/7/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-6   Win (4/5/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-7   Win (6/8/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-8   Win (8/5/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-9   Win (8/1/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BAQ-1   09/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SERENADE SOLDIER Aug11 Dec31 Nov19 Jan01   (englehart chris)SILVERA RUBEN 121 6.00    
MAGGIE Jul30 Jul16 Jun15 Nov19 Oct24 (begg bentle)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.80 46% 1.20    
PHINNEYS HARBOR Aug10 Jun15 May04 Apr08 Mar12 (hennig mark)RIVERA R 115 6.00    
SCR  CHAMPAGNE POETRY Jul30 May18 Apr22 Feb24 Jan29 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 121 2.00    
BABY SOX Sep04 Aug02 Jul02 Jun03 May12 (rodriguez rudy )IORIO MELISSA 113 4.50 18% 4.60    
GOODBYE KYLE Aug25 Aug04 Jun08 May05 Mar05 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00    
 
BAQ-2   09/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNHOLY Jul02 May21       (nevin michell)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.50 16% 5.10    
STRANGE FRUIT Aug24 Aug10 Jul16 Jun01 May06 (reynolds patrick)ORTIZ L 120 3.50    
MAXING THE BANK Jun24 Jun16       (parker joseph)BAILEY O 120 20.00    
SCR  POWER AND GLORY Aug24 Jul13 Jun23 Jun01 May04 (thompson glenn )IORIO MELISSA 117 10.00    
MUCHO MAMA MIA Aug19 Jul17 May18 Apr27 Feb26 (englehart jerem)ORTIZ JR 124 2.50 26% 2.80    
SHOTGUN PATSY Aug24 Jul15 Jul02     (mott william )MARTINEZ R 120 5.00 23% 3.30    
MONTAUK MYSTIQUE Aug10 Jul15 Jun16     (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
CAUSE I'M ELEGANT Aug24 Aug10 Jul16 Jun15 Feb12 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00    
 
BAQ-3   09/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAY ZONE Aug17 Aug10 Jul21 May25 Apr15 (kantarmaci mertk)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00    
TENEBRIS Aug31 Jun11 Jun03 May21 Feb11 (tessore bruno)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.50 21% 3.80    
BARON'S LEGACY Jan06         (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 24% 3.10    
BUILT TO LAST (BRZ) Jun11 Apr29 Apr15 Mar10 Jan01 (englehart chris)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.00 14% 5.90    
CLUBHOUSE Aug17 Aug09 Jul08 Mar04 Feb11 (rodriguez gustav)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00    
TIVY Aug31 Jul27 May20 Mar23 Mar04 (antonucci jena)CASTELLANO J 120 1.80    
 
BAQ-4   09/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:39
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KLICKITAT Jul27 Jun17 May14 Nov18 Oct22 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
AGENT CREED Aug17 Jul20 Jun23 May28 Nov05 (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 122 4.50 9% 10.50    
RINALDI May29 Oct30 Apr09     (bond james)DAVIS KATIE 122 6.00    
SCR  BATTLE SCARS Aug17 Jun23 May28 May14 Apr08 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 124 20.00    
LET'S GO BIG BLUE Aug17 Aug03 Jun10 Nov26 Oct29 (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 30% 2.30    
STRAIGHT ARROW Aug23 Aug05 Jul02 Jun11   (dini mike)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00    
KING OF COMEDY Aug17 Jul02 Jun10 May14 Nov11 (maker michael )CASTELLANO J 120 12.00    
CITIZEN K Aug17 Jul20 May29 Apr13 Sep04 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00    
OCALA DREAM Aug27 Jul20 May29 May06 Dec04 (maker michael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00    
10  ROUGH DRAFT Aug17 Jul13 Jun17 Apr15 Nov18 (duggan p)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  BIG BOBBY Aug24 Jul07 Oct30 Sep24 Aug26 (arenas marcelo)RIDER TBA 122 8.00    
SCR  COLLOQUY Jul28 Jul03 May13 Apr13 Mar24 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 124 3.50    
SCR  THRILL OF IT Aug23 Jul23 Jun22 Apr30 Mar24 (terranova p)ORTIZ L 122 4.50    
SCR  BREW PUB Aug05 Jul01 May21 Apr30 Mar11 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 122 3.00    
 
BAQ-5   09/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 3:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DENVER'S ALLEY Aug16         (duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00    
SCR  BUONA SALUTE Aug24         (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00    
BOXED WINE Aug17         (antonacci phil)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00    
AWESOME CZECH Aug24 Jul14       (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
CONEY         (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
RUN FOR YOUR HONEY Aug16 Aug02 Jul14 Jun15   (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 33% 2.00    
BOSSY JEANS Aug16 Jun29       (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00    
ONCE AN EAGLE Aug16 Aug02       (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 13% 6.80    
SHE IS ALL BUSINES         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 5.00 10% 9.10    
FREE FOR ME         (abreu r)ORTIZ L 119 10.00    
10  BORNFORGREATNESS Aug13         (hills timo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00    
11  BERTRILLE Aug16 Jul19       (brown r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 30.00    
12  ALITTLEBITNAUGHTY         (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 19% 4.20    
SCR  MIDNIGHT CONCERTO Sep01         (mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00    
SCR  SARATOGA SMOKESHOW Jul26         (martin carlos)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00    
SCR  BROKEN BANKER Aug19         (david a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00    
 
BAQ-6   09/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEATHERING Jul20         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 4.50    
TAKE TIME TO DREAM Aug18         (falcone robert )VELAZQUEZ R 121 15.00    
PARTY AT GRANTS Jul29 May02 Mar16     (englehart jeremi)LEZCANO JOSE 121 10.00    
ONLOOKER         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 121 2.50 24% 3.20    
RISK FREE Aug25 Jul30 Jul08 Jun24 May28 (delauro j)ROSARIO JOEL 121 8.00 24% 3.20    
LA GIRVINA Aug18         (rice linda)ORTIZ L 121 4.50 17% 4.70    
PUT THE CRAZY AWAY         (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 6.00    
THOUGHT EXPERIMENT         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 12% 7.60    
 
BAQ-7   09/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SYNTHESIS Aug26 Jul29 Jul01 Jun10 May18 (jacobson david)CASTELLANO J 123 4.00    
SCR  COLONEL BOWMAN Aug11 Jul23 May27 May13 Apr28 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 125 4.00    
WILLY BOI Aug13 Jul01 May20 Mar26 Feb11 (giddings melanie)ROSARIO JOEL 121 20.00    
HE'SMYHONEYBADGER Aug13 Jun30 May14 Mar18 Feb11 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 125 10.00    
SHERIFF BIANCO Aug11 Jul16 Jul01 May29 Apr30 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 6.00 9% 10.00    
SCR  AMUNDSON Aug23 Jun09 Apr30 Mar05 Jan22 (kantarmaci mertka)DAVIS DYLAN 125 12.00    
NY TRAFFIC Aug12 Jul30 Jun17 Apr29 Mar05 (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 121 4.50 41% 1.50    
KINETIC SKY Jun15 Apr30 Mar04 Feb02 Jan01 (dutrow richard )FRANCO MANUEL 121 5.00 7% 13.90    
ROTKNEE Aug11 Jun09 May19 Apr21 Mar04 (maker j)LEZCANO JOSE 125 3.50 11% 8.00    
PROVOCATEUR Aug11 Oct22 Sep24 Aug06 Jun11 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 6.00    
 
BAQ-8   09/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Winter Memories Purse ($135K) 3 F PT- 4:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIGURIA Jul21 Jun24 May05 Dec03 Oct22 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00    
BOLIVIE (IRE) Aug13 May12 Mar25     (walsh p)LYNCH FEARGAL 124 12.00    
SACRED WISH Aug19 Jul22 Jun16 May19 Apr01 (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00    
SCR  NEECIE MARIE Aug21 Jul24 Jul12 Jun07 May08 (reid e)ADORNO ABNER 124 15.00    
SILVER SKILLET Aug16 Jul15 Jun10 May11 Dec16 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 124 5.00 12% 7.10    
SWEETLOU'SGOTACES Jun11 Apr27 Mar04 Feb04 Nov27 (motion grah)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00    
SOVIET EXCESS Aug19 Jun24 May28 Apr30 Mar05 (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
TAX IMPLICATIONS (GB) Aug19 Jul21 Jun24 Oct28 Sep11 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 58% 0.70    
JUNIPERMARSHMALLOW Aug19 Dec10 Oct16     (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  LADY BETH May27 Feb05       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00    
SCR  LIFELOVENLAUGHTER Aug13 Jul14 Jun22 May20 Nov27 (trombetta mich)CASTELLANO J 120 20.00    
SCR  PLENTITUDE Jul15 Jun16 Apr28     (clement christop)ORTIZ L 120 15.00    
SCR  STEPHANIE'S CHARM Sep01 Jul14 Jun22 May13 Mar11 (jimenez jose )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 30.00    
14  GET YOUR KICKS May13 Apr01 Feb12     (brown c)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00    
SCR  BALPOOL Jul01 May19 Apr29 Apr07 Mar10 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00    
SCR  ICHIBAN Aug27 Jul26 Jul15 Jun25 Apr15 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 4.50    
 
BAQ-9   09/15/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 5:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEING BETTY Jul26         (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 119 3.00 26% 2.80    
SUPERSTARSUSAN Aug10         (duggan p)ORTIZ L 119 12.00    
MASTERY'S SECRET Aug24         (barrera)HERNANDEZ OMAR 112 20.00    
SUN AND WIND Aug24 Jul19 Jun23     (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
NEEDED Jul26         (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00    
PRETTY UP Aug10         (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
MOTHER MARY Sep01         (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00    
GIOIA MIA Aug27         (donk david)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 45% 1.20    
FOLLOW YOUR ARROW Jul26 Jun15 May12     (summers chad)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 7% 14.40    
10  STORMY DISCO Sep01         (dini mike)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 5.00    
SCR  MEL'S ANGEL Jul26         (giddings m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 10.00    
SCR  ELUSIVE FASHION Aug13         (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00    
SCR  BANK ON BELLE         (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 119 8.00    
SCR  DANCING LIANA         (ryerson t)RIDER TBA 119 5.00    
SCR  BOOK OF WISDOM Aug10 Jul14       (mott i)RIDER TBA 119 1.20    
SCR  HOLDER CLOSE Aug24         (ferraro w)RIDER TBA 119 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.