The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Churchill Downs
Sunday - September 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $3.54 $3.54 -0.46
CD-2   Win (7/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -4.00
CD-3   Win (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $10.28 $10.28 4.28
CD-4   Win (12/7/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 1 $48.02 $48.02 42.02
CD-5   Win (1/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $3.94 -6.00
CD-6   Win (3/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $29.82 $29.82 21.82
CD-7   Win (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $10.12 -6.00
CD-8   Win (4/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $5.48 -6.00
CD-9   Win (5/8/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $9.26 -8.00
CD-10   Win (5/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $8.10 -8.00

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   09/24/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
:241 :474 1:12     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATTACHE 1 1 54 5   3½ 11 (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 118 1.40 53% 0.90 0.77 W
POWER ALLEY 2 2 31 42   41 21 (forster gra)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 6.00 6.69  
FOREVER COOL 5 5 21 21   1nk 3(scherer marianne)LANERIE J 123 2.50 5.73  
SEAS OF NORMANDY 3 4 42 32   53 4(jones larr)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.00 16% 5.40 2.07  
EL MUCHO 4 3 11 11   2nk 54 (rodriguez h)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00 20.89  
 
CD-2   09/24/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
:233 :471 1:122 1:38   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CENTURION 7 2 54 45 32 13 18 (schultz lindsa)TORRES A 117 2.50 57% 0.80 1.00 W
LEVY 2 5 66 6 6 23 28 (moquett ronald )CANNON DECLAN 122 4.00 14% 6.00 4.04 DQ↓5
PUNCTUALITY 3 6 3 33 4 439 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 6.68  
PLATINUM GHOST 8 4 4 55 5 68 415½ (hansen scott)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.50 7.41  
THANKGODNGREYHOUND 1 1 1 11 1 33 516 (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 120 10.00 9.74  
IZEONDEC 6 7 7 810 7 7616 (rodriguez ed)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 10.00 5% 19.00 14.90  
LEMONADEATTHELATCH 4 8 89 7 89 810 717¼ (mendieta ale)MICHEL MICKAELLE 122 20.00 42.23  
TIME TO MEDDLE 5 3 2 21 2 5817½ (forster t)LANERIE J 122 6.00 5% 19.00 10.54  
 
CD-3   09/24/2023 3630ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
:221 :452 :564     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARIMBA 7 1 1 11   12 1(hernandez rey)MOJICA O 121 6.00 30% 2.40 4.14 W
GOIN' GOOD 3 4 32 21   22 2(cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00 31% 2.20 0.55 P
MINER'S QUEEN 6 2 2 32   33(hernandez rey)NAVAS YOEL 114 15.00 35.26  
LINGUISTIC 4 3 4 44   45 4(foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 121 4.00 17% 4.90 7.01  
BABY NO WORRIES 2 7 7 77   79 510½ (girten tim)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 12.00 21.19  
NEW BOSS 1 6 65 66   57 610¾ (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 5.00 7.14  
READY FOR CHANGE 5 5 54 55   6711¾ (pessin l)LANERIE J 121 15.00 17.66  
SCR  STAR DEVINE (IRE)               (maker michael )TORRES A 116 3.00    
 
CD-4   09/24/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
:214 :452 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANGELICO 7 3 21 2½   1½ 1¾ (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 30.00 5% 19.00 23.01 W
BACK TO REALITY 3 7 52 44   42¾ (hartman chris)TORRES A 116 5.00 4.56 P
COLONEL BARTON 5 8 6 5   55 33 (puhich mike)MICHEL MICKAELLE 124 12.00 12% 7.60 17.23 S
CHITWOOD 1 6 11 1½   2½ 4(foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 8.00 2.48  
10  BLUES ADMIRAL 8 4 3 3   354 (moquett ronald )CANNON DECLAN 121 4.50 4.61  
SAVAGE KISS 4 2 8 98   767 (heitzman er)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 22.23  
11  AZTECA STAR 9 5 7 8   67 7(kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 121 15.00 8.58  
VALUABLE CARGO 2 9 9 7   88 89 (miller f)COURT K 121 15.00 18.30  
PROSECUTION 6 10 1010¾ 1012   912½ 915 (claire alexis)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 12.00 7.26  
12  OFF THE CUFF 10 1 4 67   1013 1024 (humphries thoma)MORALES EDGAR 124 4.00 65% 0.50 5.63  
SCR  BAYOU SPIRIT               (lynch brian )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 8.00    
SCR  HIJACK THE PARTY               (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 121 8.00    
SCR  PLAY THE BLUES               (rednour joh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 30.00    
SCR  SHADY DAREDEVIL               (casse norm)SANTANA JR 121 3.50    
 
CD-5   09/24/2023 4950ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
:23 :46 1:223     1:291   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIGHTING BACK 3 7 6 31   117 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00 0.97  
GUADALAJARA 6 3 4 6   55 27 (stewart dallas)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 8.00 5% 19.00 9.36 P
SPEED INSTITUTE 4 6 53 2nk   338 (miller jerom)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 8.00 5.02  
UNWRAPPED 5 2 1 1nk   248 (engler jef)RODRIGUEZ A 121 12.00 12.41  
AWAY FROM HOME 2 1 32 4   44 5(romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 124 5.00 4.10  
BATTLE BORN 7 4 2 5   65 610 (king l)TORRES A 119 20.00 5% 19.00 22.00  
ROUNDBALL ROCK 1 5 7 7   7710¼ (caramori ca)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 3.00 71% 0.40 6.78  
SCR  PRESIDER               (caramori ca)LEPAROUX R 121 4.00    
 
CD-6   09/24/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 3:18
:231 :483 1:134 1:391   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GORILLA TREK 7 9 108 9 9 51¼ (bauer phili)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 5% 19.00 13.91 W
MO CALIENTE 8 3 32 4 31 1½ 2¼ (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00 9.91  
UNO MAS BOURBON 1 1 6 6 7 3½ 31 (wilkes r)LANERIE J 119 15.00 25.29  
SNEAD 4 11 11 119 11 94(walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 6.00 18% 4.60 7.24  
GREERS FERRY 2 2 1½ 1nk 2nk 2½ 5(lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 3.50 7.46  
CREEK 5 5 5 5 52 66(mott i)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 10.00  
12  POLAR BEAR PLUNGE 12 10 8 8 63 87(casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 21.46  
SMOKEY SMOKEY 3 4 2½ 2nk 1nk 4¾ 8(maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 57% 0.80 1.43  
10  VERACRUZIN 10 8 42 3 4 79(mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 7.15  
GLENBROOK GERRY 6 7 96 10 10 101010¾ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00 5% 19.00 39.33  
YO DADDY 9 6 7 7 8 1110¾ 1119¾ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 20.00 42.78  
11  ASPIRING COMEDIAN 11 12 1212½ 1213½ 1213¾ 1217¼ 1235¼ (pletcher tod)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 15.62  
SCR  ALL ABOUT TONITE               (maker michael )TORRES A 114 6.00    
SCR  DASHMAN               (lynch brian )MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00    
SCR  I'M YOUR MAN               (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 10.00    
SCR  TIZZY INDY               (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 119 20.00    
 
CD-7   09/24/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
:224 :46 1:104     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHANIAH 6 1 3 3½   11(tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 122 4.50 4.06  
ALSANAH 3 4 75 66   52(rone mike)CORRALES GERARDO 122 8.00 13.17  
SISTER KISSES 1 7 4 43   33(rosin coty )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 2.00 54% 0.80 1.14 S
YOLANDA WHO 4 3 11 1nk   24(amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 11% 8.20 3.69  
SHIP IT 5 2 21 2nk   44 5(asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 3.50 11% 8.00 5.27  
TONE ELISE 7 6 6 54   68 613¼ (duffy sean)ASHTON GAVIN 122 10.00 11.42  
SILVER SEA 2 5 5 7   713 729¾ (cano m)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00 39.03  
SCR  SONADOR               (hernan)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 5.00    
 
CD-8   09/24/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
:214 :454 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUPER EXPLOSIVE 1 7 53 4   31 11 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 1.74  
10  FOXFIRE 8 2 2½ 3½   2nk 21 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00 13.25  
MUSICAL PRAYER 6 8 42 2½   1nk 3(vaccarezza carlo)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 12.00 4.28  
FAST N HAPPY 2 6 8 6   444 (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 121 3.00 43% 1.30 3.31  
UPSWELL 4 3 63 7   55(mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 15.00 22.16  
GOLDENSHUGA 3 4 3 5   6611 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 121 4.00 3.71  
CAUSE I'M WILD 7 5 7 8   8715¼ (morse l)CHUAN MARTIN 121 12.00 5% 19.00 14.55  
SAUCY SECRET 5 1 1½ 1½   7816¼ (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 121 20.00 25.89  
SCR  COBALAMIN               (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 121 12.00    
SCR  PORT TOWNSEND               (devaux cheri)CORRALES GERARDO 121 4.50 28% 2.50    
 
CD-9   09/24/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
:234 :474 1:121 1:362   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAQEEL 6 1 21 2½ 1½ 12 13 (diodoro rob)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 3.50 3.63  
TEN DAYS LATER 3 2 6 53 4 323 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 118 10.00 5% 19.00 6.14 P
HIGHLAND FALLS 5 7 75 76 7 533 (cox h)CHUAN MARTIN 120 4.00 35% 1.80 2.36 S
ARRO SMASH 2 5 32 32 3 22 4(bauer philip)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00 8.50  
BRAMITO 8 6 5 6 53 44 5(asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 30% 2.30 10.76  
DAI VERNON 9 9 9 9 8 76(cox h)SANTANA JR 118 4.50 9% 9.80 3.85  
HONED 7 3 4 42 63 89 711 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 13.94  
NIGHT EFFECT 4 4 11 1½ 2½ 6812¾ (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 10.00 16.30  
SECRET POCKET 1 8 86 8 96 9913½ (peitz c)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00 25.24  
 
CD-10   09/24/2023 3630ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
:223 :454 :572     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURRENT CLIMATE 9 6 3½ 3.2   11 1½ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 121 3.00 3.05  
LADY GOLDSTART 5 9 7 4   21 2½ (morey e)CHUAN MARTIN 121 2.50 42% 1.40 1.64 P
MAJESTIC D'ORO 1 7 8 83   53(walsh p)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 4.00 9% 9.90 6.84 S
LITTLE JEWEL 6 4 5 62   64(vaccarezza carl)CANNON DECLAN 121 4.00 26% 2.90 3.75  
LAURA'S CHARM 3 3 1½ 1nk   31 5(kerrick lacy)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 5.00 7.43  
SHOWGIRL LYNNE B 7 1 2½ 2nk   42 64 (sharp joe)TORRES A 113 20.00 25.44  
MIMAJOON 8 2 6 5   77(evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 121 20.00 48.12  
PROMISE OF HOPE 4 8 9 9   98(amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 5% 19.00 17.44  
FRANKEL BABY 2 5 4 72   89(mcewen bill)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 30.00 53.85  
SCR  ALTERED SHOT               (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00    
SCR  FASHION RAGE               (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 121 3.50    
SCR  PIPELINE GIRL               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.