Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Sunday - September 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-3   WIN (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $10.28 $4.28 71%
    EXA (3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  7-3 $25.34 $13.34 111%
    DD (7/2/5/6)-(3/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-7 $21.70 $9.70 81%
    PK3 (1/3)-(7/2/5/6)-(3/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-7-7 $19.16 $7.16 60%
CD-4   WIN (12/7/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00  9 $48.02 $42.02 700%
    EXA (12/7/9)-(12/7/10/4/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00  9-4 $364.66 $340.66 1419%
    TRI (12/7/9)-(12/7/10/4/9)-(12/7/10/4/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00  9-4-7 $888.15 $870.15 4834%
    DD (3/7/4)-(12/7/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00  7-9 $182.46 $173.46 1927%
    PK3 (7/2/5/6)-(3/7/4)-(12/7/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00  7-7-9 $121.18 $103.18 573%
CD-6   WIN (3/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $29.82 $21.82 273%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:12     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATTACHE 1 1 54 53½   3½ 11 (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 118 1.40 53% 0.90 0.77 W
2  POWER ALLEY 2 2 31 42   41 21 (forster g)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 6.00 6.69  
5  FOREVER COOL 5 5 21 21   1nk 31½ (scherer mariann)LANERIE J 123 2.50 5.73  
3  SEAS OF NORMANDY 3 4 42 32   53 43½ (jones la)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.00 16% 5.40 2.07  
4  EL MUCHO 4 3 11 11   2nk 54 (rodriguez)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00 20.89  
 
CD-2   09/24/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:122 1:38   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CENTURION 7 2 54 45 32 13 18 (schultz lind)TORRES A 117 2.50 57% 0.80 1.00 W
2  LEVY 2 5 66 67½ 65½ 23 28 (moquett ronal)CANNON DECLAN 122 4.00 14% 6.00 4.04 DQ↓5
3  PUNCTUALITY 3 6 32½ 33 42½ 43½ 39 (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 6.68  
8  PLATINUM GHOST 8 4 43½ 55 53½ 68 415½ (hansen scot)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.50 7.41  
1  THANKGODNGREYHOUND 1 1 11½ 11 11½ 33 516 (hiles je)SANTANA JR 120 10.00 9.74  
6  IZEONDEC 6 7 78½ 810 78½ 79½ 616 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 122 10.00 5% 19.00 14.90  
4  LEMONADEATTHELATCH 4 8 89 79½ 89 810 717¼ (mendieta a)MICHEL MICKAELLE 122 20.00 42.23  
5  TIME TO MEDDLE 5 3 21½ 21 21½ 56½ 817½ (forster t)LANERIE J 122 6.00 5% 19.00 10.54  
 
CD-3   09/24/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:221 :452 :564     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CARIMBA 7 1 11½ 11   12 14½ (hernandez rey)MOJICA O 121 6.00 30% 2.40 4.14 W
3  GOIN' GOOD 3 4 32 21   22 24½ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00 31% 2.20 0.55 P
6  MINER'S QUEEN 6 2 21½ 32   32½ 34¾ (hernandez rey)NAVAS YOEL 114 15.00 35.26  
4  LINGUISTIC 4 3 43½ 44   45 44¾ (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 121 4.00 17% 4.90 7.01  
2  BABY NO WORRIES 2 7 77½ 77   79 510½ (girten ti)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 12.00 21.19  
1  NEW BOSS 1 6 65 66   57 610¾ (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 5.00 7.14  
5  READY FOR CHANGE 5 5 54 55   68½ 711¾ (pessin l)LANERIE J 121 15.00 17.66  
SCR  STAR DEVINE (IRE)               (maker michae)TORRES A 116 3.00    
 
CD-4   09/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:214 :452 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  ANGELICO 7 3 21 2½   1½ 1¾ (williamso)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 30.00 5% 19.00 23.01 W
4  BACK TO REALITY 3 7 52 44   43½ 2¾ (hartman chri)TORRES A 116 5.00 ★ 4.56 P
7  COLONEL BARTON 5 8 63½ 55½   55 33 (puhich mik)MICHEL MICKAELLE 124 12.00 12% 7.60 17.23 S
2  CHITWOOD 1 6 11 1½   2½ 43¼ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 8.00 2.48  
10  BLUES ADMIRAL 8 4 31½ 31½   32½ 54 (moquett ronal)CANNON DECLAN 121 4.50 ★ 4.61  
6  SAVAGE KISS 4 2 85¾ 98   77½ 67 (heitzman )HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 22.23  
11  AZTECA STAR 9 5 73¾ 87½   67 77¼ (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 121 15.00 8.58  
3  VALUABLE CARGO 2 9 96¼ 77½   88 89 (miller f)COURT K 121 15.00 18.30  
8  PROSECUTION 6 10 1010¾ 1012   912½ 915 (claire alex)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 12.00 7.26  
12  OFF THE CUFF 10 1 41½ 67   1013 1024 (humphries tho)MORALES EDGAR 124 4.00 65% 0.50 5.63  
SCR  BAYOU SPIRIT               (lynch bria)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 8.00    
SCR  HIJACK THE PARTY               (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 121 8.00    
SCR  PLAY THE BLUES               (rednour j)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 30.00    
SCR  SHADY DAREDEVIL               (casse no)SANTANA JR 121 3.50    
 
CD-5   09/24/2023 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:223     1:291   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FIGHTING BACK 3 7 63½ 31   12½ 17 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00 0.97  
7  GUADALAJARA 6 3 42½ 64¼   55 27 (stewart dall)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 8.00 5% 19.00 9.36 P
4  SPEED INSTITUTE 4 6 53 2nk   33½ 38 (miller jer)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 8.00 5.02  
6  UNWRAPPED 5 2 11½ 1nk   22½ 48 (engler j)RODRIGUEZ A 121 12.00 12.41  
2  AWAY FROM HOME 2 1 32 41½   44 58¼ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 124 5.00 4.10  
8  BATTLE BORN 7 4 21½ 51¾   65 610 (king l)TORRES A 119 20.00 5% 19.00 22.00  
1  ROUNDBALL ROCK 1 5 73½ 74¼   77½ 710¼ (caramori )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 3.00 71% 0.40 6.78  
SCR  PRESIDER               (caramori )LEPAROUX R 121 4.00    
 
CD-6   09/24/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:231 :483 1:134 1:391   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GORILLA TREK 7 9 108 96½ 94¾ 52¼ 1¼ (bauer phi)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 5% 19.00 13.91 W
  (by CURLIN out of MONKEYS UNCLE by UNCLE MO)
8  MO CALIENTE 8 3 32 41¾ 31 1½ 2¼ (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00 9.91  
  (by UNCLE MO out of KALLIO by SCAT DADDY)
1  UNO MAS BOURBON 1 1 64¼ 64¼ 73¼ 3½ 31 (wilkes r)LANERIE J 119 15.00 25.29  
  (by MACHO UNO out of CAMIELEE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
4  SNEAD 4 11 118½ 119 116¾ 94¼ 42¼ (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 119 6.00 18% 4.60 7.24  
  (by NYQUIST out of RAFFLE TICKET by NUMEROUS)
2  GREERS FERRY 2 2 1½ 1nk 2nk 2½ 52¼ (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 3.50 ★ 7.46  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of DEE DEE BERTIE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
5  CREEK 5 5 52¼ 52¼ 52 62¾ 63¾ (mott william )MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 10.00  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of GULF by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
12  POLAR BEAR PLUNGE 12 10 84½ 84½ 63 83¾ 75½ (casse mar)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 21.46  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of LET IT SNOW by FROSTY THE SNOWMAN)
3  SMOKEY SMOKEY 3 4 2½ 2nk 1nk 4¾ 85¾ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 57% 0.80 1.43  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of WEAPONRY by WAR FRONT)
10  VERACRUZIN 10 8 42 31½ 41½ 73¾ 99¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 7.15  
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of MAKE HASTE (GB) by TIZNOW)
6  GLENBROOK GERRY 6 7 96 106½ 105¼ 106¼ 1010¾ (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00 5% 19.00 39.33  
  (by DIALED IN out of URQUIA by SCAT DADDY)
9  YO DADDY 9 6 74¼ 74¼ 83¾ 1110¾ 1119¾ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 20.00 42.78  
  (by YOSHIDA out of ELLE STORMIN' by TALE OF THE CAT)
11  ASPIRING COMEDIAN 11 12 1212½ 1213½ 1213¾ 1217¼ 1235¼ (pletcher t)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 15.62  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of AFLEET LOVER by NORTHERN AFLEET)
SCR  ALL ABOUT TONITE               (maker michae)TORRES A 114 6.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of CATCHY TUNE by BERNSTEIN)
SCR  DASHMAN               (lynch bria)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of FLY BY by JOHAR)
SCR  I'M YOUR MAN               (casse no)SANTANA JR 119 10.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of COUP DE COEUR by EXCHANGE RATE)
SCR  TIZZY INDY               (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 119 20.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of TIZZY FEVER by TIZNOW)
 
CD-7   09/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:104     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SHANIAH 6 1 31½ 3½   11½ 13½ (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 122 4.50 4.06  
3  ALSANAH 3 4 75 66   55½ 23½ (rone mike)CORRALES GERARDO 122 8.00 13.17  
1  SISTER KISSES 1 7 41½ 43   33½ 34½ (rosin cot)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 2.00 54% 0.80 1.14 S
4  YOLANDA WHO 4 3 11 1nk   21½ 44¾ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 11% 8.20 3.69  
5  SHIP IT 5 2 21 2nk   44 59¾ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 3.50 11% 8.00 5.27  
8  TONE ELISE 7 6 63½ 54   68 613¼ (duffy sean)ASHTON GAVIN 122 10.00 11.42  
2  SILVER SEA 2 5 52½ 77½   713 729¾ (cano juan)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00 39.03  
SCR  SONADOR               (hern)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 5.00    
 
CD-8   09/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:214 :454 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUPER EXPLOSIVE 1 7 53 42½   31 11 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 1.74  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of INDIAN SAFARI by INDIAN CHARLIE)
10  FOXFIRE 8 2 2½ 3½   2nk 21 (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00 13.25  
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of SAFWAH by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
8  MUSICAL PRAYER 6 8 42 2½   1nk 33½ (vaccarezza car)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 12.00 4.28  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of RIVER'S PRAYER by DEVON LANE)
4  FAST N HAPPY 2 6 84½ 63¾   42½ 44 (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 3.00 43% 1.30 3.31  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of ONE FAST FROG by FIRST SAMURAI)
6  UPSWELL 4 3 63 74¼   53½ 56½ (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 15.00 22.16  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of UPHOLDER by HENNY HUGHES)
5  GOLDENSHUGA 3 4 31½ 52¾   65½ 611 (casse no)SANTANA JR 121 4.00 ★ 3.71  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SHORE THING by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
9  CAUSE I'M WILD 7 5 73½ 86¼   88¼ 715¼ (morse l)CHUAN MARTIN 121 12.00 5% 19.00 14.55  
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of WILD POPPY by EL PRADO (IRE))
7  SAUCY SECRET 5 1 1½ 1½   75¾ 816¼ (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 121 20.00 25.89  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of TIZ MIZ SUE by TIZNOW)
SCR  COBALAMIN               (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 121 12.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of TAURINE by FLATTER)
SCR  PORT TOWNSEND               (devaux che)CORRALES GERARDO 121 4.50 28% 2.50    
  (by UNCLE MO out of QUIET PLACE by TAPIZAR)
 
CD-9   09/24/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:121 1:362   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SAQEEL 6 1 21 2½ 1½ 12 13 (diodoro r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 3.50 3.63  
3  TEN DAYS LATER 3 2 63½ 53 42½ 32½ 23 (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 118 10.00 5% 19.00 6.14 P
5  HIGHLAND FALLS 5 7 75 76 74½ 54½ 33 (cox h)CHUAN MARTIN 120 4.00 35% 1.80 2.36 S
2  ARRO SMASH 2 5 32 32 31½ 22 43¼ (bauer phil)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00 8.50  
8  BRAMITO 8 6 53½ 63½ 53 44 54¼ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 30% 2.30 10.76  
9  DAI VERNON 9 9 97½ 98¼ 85½ 76½ 65½ (cox brad)SANTANA JR 118 4.50 9% 9.80 3.85  
7  HONED 7 3 42½ 42 63 89 711 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 13.94  
4  NIGHT EFFECT 4 4 11 1½ 2½ 64½ 812¾ (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 10.00 16.30  
1  SECRET POCKET 1 8 86 86¼ 96 99¼ 913½ (peitz c)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00 25.24  
 
CD-10   09/24/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:223 :454 :572     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  CURRENT CLIMATE 9 6 3½ 3.2   11 1½ (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 121 3.00 3.05  
5  LADY GOLDSTART 5 9 72¼ 41¾   21 2½ (morey william )CHUAN MARTIN 121 2.50 42% 1.40 1.64 P
1  MAJESTIC D'ORO 1 7 82¾ 83   52½ 31¼ (walsh brendan)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 4.00 9% 9.90 6.84 S
6  LITTLE JEWEL 6 4 51¾ 62   62¾ 42¼ (vaccarezza ca)CANNON DECLAN 121 4.00 26% 2.90 3.75  
3  LAURA'S CHARM 3 3 1½ 1nk   31 53½ (kerrick la)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 5.00 7.43  
7  SHOWGIRL LYNNE B 7 1 2½ 2nk   42 64 (sharp joe)TORRES A 113 20.00 25.44  
8  MIMAJOON 8 2 61¾ 51¾   74¾ 75½ (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 121 20.00 48.12  
4  PROMISE OF HOPE 4 8 93¼ 93½   98¼ 88¾ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 5% 19.00 17.44  
2  FRANKEL BABY 2 5 41½ 72   87¼ 98¾ (mcewen bi)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 30.00 53.85  
SCR  ALTERED SHOT               (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00    
SCR  FASHION RAGE               (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 3.50    
SCR  PIPELINE GIRL               (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.