Handicappers' Race Results
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Churchill Downs
Sunday - September 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $3.54 $3.54  
CD-2   Win (7/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
CD-3   Win (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $10.28 $10.28 4.28
CD-4   Win (12/7/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 1 $48.02 $48.02 42.02
CD-5   Win (1/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $3.94  
CD-6   Win (3/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $29.82 $29.82 21.82
CD-7   Win (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $10.12  
CD-8   Win (4/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $5.48  
CD-9   Win (5/8/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $9.26  
CD-10   Win (5/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $8.10  
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:12     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATTACHE 1 1 54 53½   3½ 11 (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 118 1.40 53% 0.90 0.77 W
2  POWER ALLEY 2 2 31 42   41 21 (forster gra)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 6.00 6.69  
5  FOREVER COOL 5 5 21 21   1nk 31½ (scherer marianne)LANERIE J 123 2.50 5.73  
3  SEAS OF NORMANDY 3 4 42 32   53 43½ (jones larr)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.00 16% 5.40 2.07  
4  EL MUCHO 4 3 11 11   2nk 54 (rodriguez h)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00 20.89  
 
CD-2   09/24/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:122 1:38   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CENTURION 7 2 54 45 32 13 18 (schultz lindsa)TORRES A 117 2.50 57% 0.80 1.00 W
2  LEVY 2 5 66 67½ 65½ 23 28 (moquett ronald )CANNON DECLAN 122 4.00 14% 6.00 4.04 DQ↓5
3  PUNCTUALITY 3 6 32½ 33 42½ 43½ 39 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 6.68  
8  PLATINUM GHOST 8 4 43½ 55 53½ 68 415½ (hansen scott)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.50 7.41  
1  THANKGODNGREYHOUND 1 1 11½ 11 11½ 33 516 (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 120 10.00 9.74  
6  IZEONDEC 6 7 78½ 810 78½ 79½ 616 (rodriguez ed)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 10.00 5% 19.00 14.90  
4  LEMONADEATTHELATCH 4 8 89 79½ 89 810 717¼ (mendieta ale)MICHEL MICKAELLE 122 20.00 42.23  
5  TIME TO MEDDLE 5 3 21½ 21 21½ 56½ 817½ (forster t)LANERIE J 122 6.00 5% 19.00 10.54  
 
CD-3   09/24/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:221 :452 :564     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CARIMBA 7 1 11½ 11   12 14½ (hernandez rey)MOJICA O 121 6.00 30% 2.40 4.14 W
3  GOIN' GOOD 3 4 32 21   22 24½ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00 31% 2.20 0.55 P
6  MINER'S QUEEN 6 2 21½ 32   32½ 34¾ (hernandez rey)NAVAS YOEL 114 15.00 35.26  
4  LINGUISTIC 4 3 43½ 44   45 44¾ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 121 4.00 17% 4.90 7.01  
2  BABY NO WORRIES 2 7 77½ 77   79 510½ (girten tim)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 12.00 21.19  
1  NEW BOSS 1 6 65 66   57 610¾ (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 5.00 7.14  
5  READY FOR CHANGE 5 5 54 55   68½ 711¾ (pessin l)LANERIE J 121 15.00 17.66  
SCR  STAR DEVINE (IRE)               (maker michael )TORRES A 116 3.00    
 
CD-4   09/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:214 :452 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  ANGELICO 7 3 21 2½   1½ 1¾ (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 30.00 5% 19.00 23.01 W
4  BACK TO REALITY 3 7 52 44   43½ 2¾ (hartman chris)TORRES A 116 5.00 ★ 4.56 P
7  COLONEL BARTON 5 8 63½ 55½   55 33 (puhich mike)MICHEL MICKAELLE 124 12.00 12% 7.60 17.23 S
2  CHITWOOD 1 6 11 1½   2½ 43¼ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 8.00 2.48  
10  BLUES ADMIRAL 8 4 31½ 31½   32½ 54 (moquett ronald )CANNON DECLAN 121 4.50 ★ 4.61  
6  SAVAGE KISS 4 2 85¾ 98   77½ 67 (heitzman er)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 22.23  
11  AZTECA STAR 9 5 73¾ 87½   67 77¼ (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 121 15.00 8.58  
3  VALUABLE CARGO 2 9 96¼ 77½   88 89 (miller f)COURT K 121 15.00 18.30  
8  PROSECUTION 6 10 1010¾ 1012   912½ 915 (claire alexis)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 12.00 7.26  
12  OFF THE CUFF 10 1 41½ 67   1013 1024 (humphries thoma)MORALES EDGAR 124 4.00 65% 0.50 5.63  
SCR  BAYOU SPIRIT               (lynch brian )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 8.00    
SCR  HIJACK THE PARTY               (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 121 8.00    
SCR  PLAY THE BLUES               (rednour joh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 30.00    
SCR  SHADY DAREDEVIL               (casse norm)SANTANA JR 121 3.50    
 
CD-5   09/24/2023 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:223     1:291   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FIGHTING BACK 3 7 63½ 31   12½ 17 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00 0.97  
7  GUADALAJARA 6 3 42½ 64¼   55 27 (stewart dallas)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 8.00 5% 19.00 9.36 P
4  SPEED INSTITUTE 4 6 53 2nk   33½ 38 (miller jerom)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 8.00 5.02  
6  UNWRAPPED 5 2 11½ 1nk   22½ 48 (engler jef)RODRIGUEZ A 121 12.00 12.41  
2  AWAY FROM HOME 2 1 32 41½   44 58¼ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 124 5.00 4.10  
8  BATTLE BORN 7 4 21½ 51¾   65 610 (king l)TORRES A 119 20.00 5% 19.00 22.00  
1  ROUNDBALL ROCK 1 5 73½ 74¼   77½ 710¼ (caramori ca)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 3.00 71% 0.40 6.78  
SCR  PRESIDER               (caramori ca)LEPAROUX R 121 4.00    
 
CD-6   09/24/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:231 :483 1:134 1:391   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GORILLA TREK 7 9 108 96½ 94¾ 52¼ 1¼ (bauer phili)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 5% 19.00 13.91 W
8  MO CALIENTE 8 3 32 41¾ 31 1½ 2¼ (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00 9.91  
1  UNO MAS BOURBON 1 1 64¼ 64¼ 73¼ 3½ 31 (wilkes r)LANERIE J 119 15.00 25.29  
4  SNEAD 4 11 118½ 119 116¾ 94¼ 42¼ (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 6.00 18% 4.60 7.24  
2  GREERS FERRY 2 2 1½ 1nk 2nk 2½ 52¼ (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 3.50 ★ 7.46  
5  CREEK 5 5 52¼ 52¼ 52 62¾ 63¾ (mott i)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 10.00  
12  POLAR BEAR PLUNGE 12 10 84½ 84½ 63 83¾ 75½ (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 21.46  
3  SMOKEY SMOKEY 3 4 2½ 2nk 1nk 4¾ 85¾ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 57% 0.80 1.43  
10  VERACRUZIN 10 8 42 31½ 41½ 73¾ 99¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 7.15  
6  GLENBROOK GERRY 6 7 96 106½ 105¼ 106¼ 1010¾ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00 5% 19.00 39.33  
9  YO DADDY 9 6 74¼ 74¼ 83¾ 1110¾ 1119¾ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 20.00 42.78  
11  ASPIRING COMEDIAN 11 12 1212½ 1213½ 1213¾ 1217¼ 1235¼ (pletcher tod)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 15.62  
SCR  ALL ABOUT TONITE               (maker michael )TORRES A 114 6.00    
SCR  DASHMAN               (lynch brian )MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00    
SCR  I'M YOUR MAN               (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 10.00    
SCR  TIZZY INDY               (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 119 20.00    
 
CD-7   09/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:104     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SHANIAH 6 1 31½ 3½   11½ 13½ (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 122 4.50 4.06  
3  ALSANAH 3 4 75 66   55½ 23½ (rone mike)CORRALES GERARDO 122 8.00 13.17  
1  SISTER KISSES 1 7 41½ 43   33½ 34½ (rosin coty )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 2.00 54% 0.80 1.14 S
4  YOLANDA WHO 4 3 11 1nk   21½ 44¾ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 11% 8.20 3.69  
5  SHIP IT 5 2 21 2nk   44 59¾ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 3.50 11% 8.00 5.27  
8  TONE ELISE 7 6 63½ 54   68 613¼ (duffy sean)ASHTON GAVIN 122 10.00 11.42  
2  SILVER SEA 2 5 52½ 77½   713 729¾ (cano m)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00 39.03  
SCR  SONADOR               (hernan)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 5.00    
 
CD-8   09/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:214 :454 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUPER EXPLOSIVE 1 7 53 42½   31 11 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 1.74  
10  FOXFIRE 8 2 2½ 3½   2nk 21 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00 13.25  
8  MUSICAL PRAYER 6 8 42 2½   1nk 33½ (vaccarezza carlo)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 12.00 4.28  
4  FAST N HAPPY 2 6 84½ 63¾   42½ 44 (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 121 3.00 43% 1.30 3.31  
6  UPSWELL 4 3 63 74¼   53½ 56½ (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 15.00 22.16  
5  GOLDENSHUGA 3 4 31½ 52¾   65½ 611 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 121 4.00 ★ 3.71  
9  CAUSE I'M WILD 7 5 73½ 86¼   88¼ 715¼ (morse l)CHUAN MARTIN 121 12.00 5% 19.00 14.55  
7  SAUCY SECRET 5 1 1½ 1½   75¾ 816¼ (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 121 20.00 25.89  
SCR  COBALAMIN               (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 121 12.00    
SCR  PORT TOWNSEND               (devaux cheri)CORRALES GERARDO 121 4.50 28% 2.50    
 
CD-9   09/24/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:121 1:362   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SAQEEL 6 1 21 2½ 1½ 12 13 (diodoro rob)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 3.50 3.63  
3  TEN DAYS LATER 3 2 63½ 53 42½ 32½ 23 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 118 10.00 5% 19.00 6.14 P
5  HIGHLAND FALLS 5 7 75 76 74½ 54½ 33 (cox h)CHUAN MARTIN 120 4.00 35% 1.80 2.36 S
2  ARRO SMASH 2 5 32 32 31½ 22 43¼ (bauer philip)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00 8.50  
8  BRAMITO 8 6 53½ 63½ 53 44 54¼ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 30% 2.30 10.76  
9  DAI VERNON 9 9 97½ 98¼ 85½ 76½ 65½ (cox h)SANTANA JR 118 4.50 9% 9.80 3.85  
7  HONED 7 3 42½ 42 63 89 711 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 13.94  
4  NIGHT EFFECT 4 4 11 1½ 2½ 64½ 812¾ (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 10.00 16.30  
1  SECRET POCKET 1 8 86 86¼ 96 99¼ 913½ (peitz c)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00 25.24  
 
CD-10   09/24/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:223 :454 :572     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  CURRENT CLIMATE 9 6 3½ 3.2   11 1½ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 121 3.00 3.05  
5  LADY GOLDSTART 5 9 72¼ 41¾   21 2½ (morey e)CHUAN MARTIN 121 2.50 42% 1.40 1.64 P
1  MAJESTIC D'ORO 1 7 82¾ 83   52½ 31¼ (walsh p)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 4.00 9% 9.90 6.84 S
6  LITTLE JEWEL 6 4 51¾ 62   62¾ 42¼ (vaccarezza carl)CANNON DECLAN 121 4.00 26% 2.90 3.75  
3  LAURA'S CHARM 3 3 1½ 1nk   31 53½ (kerrick lacy)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 5.00 7.43  
7  SHOWGIRL LYNNE B 7 1 2½ 2nk   42 64 (sharp joe)TORRES A 113 20.00 25.44  
8  MIMAJOON 8 2 61¾ 51¾   74¾ 75½ (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 121 20.00 48.12  
4  PROMISE OF HOPE 4 8 93¼ 93½   98¼ 88¾ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 5% 19.00 17.44  
2  FRANKEL BABY 2 5 41½ 72   87¼ 98¾ (mcewen bill)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 30.00 53.85  
SCR  ALTERED SHOT               (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00    
SCR  FASHION RAGE               (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 121 3.50    
SCR  PIPELINE GIRL               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.