Handicappers' Race Results
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Churchill Downs
Wednesday - September 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $6.28  
CD-2   Win (7/1/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $5.40  
CD-3   Win (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $47.70  
CD-4   Win (4/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $11.44  
CD-5   Win (10/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 10 1 1 $3.12 $3.12  
CD-6   Win (7/1/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $7.12  
CD-7   Win (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $3.38  
CD-8   Win (5/9/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
CD-9   Win (5/12/4/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 12 1 1 $6.12 $6.12  
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:214 :453 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DOGWOODSMILLIEJANE 2 5 42½ 31½   2nk 1¾ (taylor brent)BEJARANO R 121 6.00 2.14  
1  TAMARA'S WAY 1 4 54½ 53   31½ 2¾ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 20% 4.00 4.41 P
3  SHES A SECRET 3 3 31½ 41½   41¾ 32¼ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50 1.48  
4  SOCIAL MANDATE 4 2 1nk 1½   1nk 43½ (hancock a)CANNON DECLAN 121 6.00 38% 1.60 3.43  
7  COOL CAROL 5 1 2nk 2½   52¾ 512½ (green troy)NAVAS YOEL 114 20.00 11.23  
SCR  GOLDBLOODED               (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.00    
SCR  OATH OF ALLEGIANCE               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00    
 
CD-2   09/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:252 :502 1:143 1:392   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PUCKERED 6 4 11 1½ 1½ 15 112½ (stall albert)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 1.70  
5  CHOCTAW GRACE 5 7 21 2½ 2½ 25 212½ (humphries thoma)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.00 2.43  
3  AUTISM COMPASSION 3 2 32 31½ 33½ 39 312¾ (engler jeff)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 17% 4.80 11.95 S
2  ROSE DARLING 2 6 86 86¼ 79 410 415¾ (humphries thomas)NAVAS YOEL 112 15.00 36.33  
7  WRECK IT RUBY 7 1 42½ 52 46 512½ 520¼ (holsapple hutch)HEARD TYLER 119 3.50 43% 1.30 6.50  
1  JAYCE AND LIAM 1 5 64½ 64½ 56 613 623¼ (englehart j)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 17% 4.80 22.53  
8  ESPERE 8 8 75 74¾ 67½ 715½ 725¾ (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 119 12.00 5% 19.00 12.54  
4  DOOBLAY 4 3 53 42 89¼ 816½ 827¾ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 5.00 4.00  
SCR  SCARLET MISS               (macias adolfo)BEJARANO R 119 2.50    
 
CD-3   09/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:134 1:38   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CALL ME GUSTO 3 1 11 11½ 12½ 12 1½ (huffman pat)CORRALES GERARDO 122 12.00 22.85  
7  SANT' ANTIMO 7 7 32 32½ 32½ 22 2½ (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 120 4.00 17% 4.80 5.30 P
4  COASTAL DEFENSE 4 2 53½ 53 54½ 33½ 34¼ (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 3.50 1.99  
2  LONG CROW 2 4 75 74½ 77 56 46½ (shorter aar)TORRES A 122 5.00 9.61  
6  MASTER GAME 6 6 63½ 63½ 65 45 56¾ (forster t)GRAHAM J 122 3.00 12% 7.20 1.89  
5  NAVY CROSS 5 5 21 21½ 22½ 67½ 613¾ (engler jeff)LANERIE J 118 12.00 19.73  
1  TREATY 1 3 42½ 42½ 43½ 79½ 714½ (barrett rod)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 2.50 35% 1.90 4.26  
 
CD-4   09/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:114 1:373   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CREATIVE WAY 8 6 31½ 2½ 2nk 12 15½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 4.72  
1  HONOR GOLD 1 2 76¼ 75½ 65¾ 54½ 25½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 4.73  
2  BOOSTER SHOT 2 3 63¾ 53 42½ 32 35½ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 10.00 26% 2.90 2.73 S
6  GORDY'S LABEL 6 9 87¾ 98¼ 87¾ 88 49 (stall m)GRAHAM J 120 5.00 5.53  
9  GENERATION (GB) 9 7 11½ 1½ 1nk 22 59¼ (simms jr)GEROUX FLORENT 120 15.00 17.78  
4  MY BROTHER KEITH 4 1 43 43 55½ 66½ 69¼ (diodoro rob)TORRES A 124 3.50 33% 2.00 3.94  
7  SOLEVO 7 5 21½ 31½ 32 43½ 710 (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 120 5.00 8.63  
3  SPUNS SON 3 4 97¾ 88 77¾ 77 811½ (hill f)CANNON DECLAN 124 10.00 11% 8.30 21.82  
5  SCOTCH NO ROCKS 5 8 53½ 64½ 913¾ 921 939½ (roberson de)HERNANDEZ J 124 20.00 6% 16.30 24.64  
 
CD-5   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:214 :453 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  STORMQUIST 8 1 42½ 41½   2nk 1hd (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 1.20 48% 1.10 0.56 W
9  WECALLEMFUNCOUPONS 7 2 31 2nk   1nk 2hd (englehart j)LEPAROUX R 119 6.00 ★ 7.46 P
8  DEBT PAID 6 3 53½ 52½   42½ 32¼ (diodoro rob)TORRES A 119 10.00 9.69  
4  JACKSON D 3 5 21 1nk   31 46¾ (stewart dallas)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00 5% 19.00 8.37  
6  WALDRIP 5 8 74¾ 63½   65 57¾ (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 26% 2.90 8.06  
1  NOTORIOUS SIXOHTWO 1 6 11 31   54 69 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 20.05  
5  EAST FROM WEST 4 4 64½ 75½   77½ 713¼ (vance d)LANERIE J 119 8.00 13.16  
3  VINO FA DANZA 2 7 810¾ 811½   811 819½ (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 119 12.00 30.42  
SCR  REDHEADEDSTRANGER               (nesbitt amy)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 116 20.00    
SCR  WAUHATCHIE               (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 15.00    
 
CD-6   09/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:103     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MISCHIEVOUS GAL 2 5 51¼ 31½   11 12¼ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00 2.56  
6  MEAN SUE 6 2 2nk 2nk   21 22¼ (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 4.50 15% 5.80 5.95 P
5  BALL GOWN 5 1 1nk 1nk   31 34½ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 121 5.00 8.82  
7  BEAUXS ARTES 7 7 31 52¾   44 48½ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 121 3.50 32% 2.10 2.68  
3  MENDED WE STAND 3 4 62¼ 64¼   64¾ 58½ (bahena ismael)BEJARANO R 120 10.00 7.90  
1  WIKI LIO 1 3 41¼ 42½   54¼ 69 (calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00 28% 2.60 4.35  
9  CANDY KICK 8 8 72¾ 74¼   77¾ 716½ (mason ingrid)ASHTON GAVIN 121 8.00 5% 19.00 10.14  
4  MY BLUE VALENTINE 4 6 83¾ 87¼   812¾ 826¼ (hill f)CANNON DECLAN 121 15.00 37.54  
SCR  SUMMER OF MISCHIEF               (o'connor robert )MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00    
 
CD-7   09/20/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:22 :443       :57   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COPPOLA 1 2 2½ 2½   2½ 1nk (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 121 1.80 0.69  
5  BODENHEIMER 5 1 1½ 1½   1½ 2nk (lund valorie)WADE LYNDIE 123 5.00 4.69  
6  KAVOD 6 5 42½ 43   32 31¼ (hartman chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 24% 3.20 7.92 S
4  VULCAN 4 3 31 33   42½ 43¼ (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 5.00 11.34  
2  SHIMMER ME TIMBERS 2 4 53½ 55   54 53¾ (gorostieta cir)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 2.50 50% 1.00 3.58  
3  JOHNNY UNLEASHED 3 6 66 67   66 67½ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00 5% 19.00 28.20  
 
CD-8   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($134K) 3 ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:211 :442 :562     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GIANT MISCHIEF 4 6 41¼ 4¼   11½ 12¾ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 51% 1.00 1.40 W
8  TWO EAGLES RIVER 6 5 61¾ 51¼   21½ 22¾ (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 5.80  
4  BROMLEY 3 7 83½ 62¾   43 35 (lobo paulo )TORRES A 118 12.00 11.93  
11  LARK'S MISCHIEF 9 1 3.2 1nk   31½ 45¼ (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 120 10.00 5% 19.00 20.64  
1  BRITERDAYZAHEAD 1 9 96 74¼   64¾ 57½ (sharp joe)LANERIE J 118 6.00 ★ 5.13  
10  MAJOR BLUE 8 2 2nk 2nk   53¼ 68½ (lukas wayne)TORRES A 113 12.00 15.21  
7  OLAZABAL 5 4 51¾ 86¾   88¾ 713 (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 118 30.00 62.88  
3  BLUE LIGHT 2 8 73¼ 99¼   99¼ 813½ (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 4.02  
9  RETAINED 7 3 1nk 3.2   76¼ 914¼ (morey e)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 18% 4.50 10.62  
SCR  CORTESE               (hernandez ar)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 30.00    
SCR  ELITE FORCES               (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 5.00    
SCR  RELEASE MCCRAKEN               (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00    
 
CD-9   09/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:111 1:234   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  SHIMMERING ALLURE 12 9 31 52¼ 31 1nk 12¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50 25% 3.00 2.06 W
5  UP ON THE EDGE 5 2 1nk 11 11 2nk 22¼ (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 119 3.50 31% 2.30 3.86 P
4  PROMISEMEANEMPIRE 4 1 41¼ 41¼ 21 31½ 33¼ (diodoro rob)TORRES A 119 5.00 12% 7.60 6.71 S
10  WEE BIT O MISCHIEF 10 8 73¾ 85¼ 63¾ 53¾ 45¼ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 12.00 5% 19.00 19.37  
11  NAUGHTY MISS 11 10 85¼ 63¾ 43 43½ 56 (roberson de)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 44.63  
8  ROCK STAR DOCTOR 8 11 107¾ 107¼ 75¾ 66¼ 68½ (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 12.00 17.42  
7  LOST LOVE 7 7 96¾ 96¾ 87¾ 79¼ 715¼ (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00 60.31  
3  CHIQUITA REINA 3 5 1111¼ 118¼ 98¾ 89¼ 815¼ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 50.04  
1  INDY LABEL 1 4 63¼ 73¾ 1111¾ 912¾ 920¼ (barkley jason)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00 28.52  
9  DESPO'S DREAM 9 6 2nk 21 109¾ 1013¼ 1022¼ (puhich mike)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 12% 7.60 3.04  
2  GOLD DEL MAR 2 3 51¾ 31 53¼ 1113½ 1122½ (bahena ismael)MORALES JOSHUA 109 6.00 14.81  
6  STERLING LUCK 6 12 1214¼ 1217¼ 1217¾ 1217 1225½ (forster t)GRAHAM J 119 20.00 21.36  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.