Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Churchill Downs
Wednesday - September 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CD-9   SFT (5/12/4/9/10)-(5/12/4/9/10)-(5/12/4/9/10)-(5/12/4/9/10) 120 $0.10 $12.00  12-5-4-10 $38.28 $26.28 219%

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOGWOODSMILLIEJANE   (taylor brent)BEJARANO R 121 6.00 2.14  
TAMARA'S WAY   (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 20% 4.00 4.41 P
SHES A SECRET   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50 1.48  
SOCIAL MANDATE   (hancock john )CANNON DECLAN 121 6.00 38% 1.60 3.43  
COOL CAROL   (green troy)NAVAS YOEL 114 20.00 11.23  
SCR  GOLDBLOODED   (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.00    
SCR  OATH OF ALLEGIANCE   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00    
 
CD-2   09/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 1:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PUCKERED   (stall albe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 1.70  
CHOCTAW GRACE   (humphries tho)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.00 2.43  
AUTISM COMPASSION   (engler jeff)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 17% 4.80 11.95 S
ROSE DARLING   (humphries thomas)NAVAS YOEL 112 15.00 36.33  
WRECK IT RUBY   (holsapple hutch)HEARD TYLER 119 3.50 43% 1.30 6.50  
JAYCE AND LIAM   (englehart)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 17% 4.80 22.53  
ESPERE   (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 119 12.00 5% 19.00 12.54  
DOOBLAY   (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 5.00 4.00  
SCR  SCARLET MISS   (macias adolfo)BEJARANO R 119 2.50    
 
CD-3   09/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALL ME GUSTO   (huffman pa)CORRALES GERARDO 122 12.00 22.85  
SANT' ANTIMO   (hiles je)SANTANA JR 120 4.00 17% 4.80 5.30 P
COASTAL DEFENSE   (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 3.50 1.99  
LONG CROW   (shorter a)TORRES A 122 5.00 9.61  
MASTER GAME   (forster t)GRAHAM J 122 3.00 12% 7.20 1.89  
NAVY CROSS   (engler jeff)LANERIE J 118 12.00 19.73  
TREATY   (barrett r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 2.50 35% 1.90 4.26  
 
CD-4   09/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CREATIVE WAY   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 4.72  
HONOR GOLD   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 4.73  
BOOSTER SHOT   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 10.00 26% 2.90 2.73 S
GORDY'S LABEL   (stall m)GRAHAM J 120 5.00 5.53  
GENERATION (GB)   (simms j)GEROUX FLORENT 120 15.00 17.78  
MY BROTHER KEITH   (diodoro r)TORRES A 124 3.50 33% 2.00 3.94  
SOLEVO   (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 120 5.00 8.63  
SPUNS SON   (hill f)CANNON DECLAN 124 10.00 11% 8.30 21.82  
SCOTCH NO ROCKS   (roberson )HERNANDEZ J 124 20.00 6% 16.30 24.64  
 
CD-5   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  STORMQUIST   (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 1.20 48% 1.10 0.56 W
WECALLEMFUNCOUPONS   (englehart)LEPAROUX R 119 6.00 7.46 P
DEBT PAID   (diodoro r)TORRES A 119 10.00 9.69  
JACKSON D   (stewart dall)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00 5% 19.00 8.37  
WALDRIP   (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 26% 2.90 8.06  
NOTORIOUS SIXOHTWO   (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 20.05  
EAST FROM WEST   (vance d)LANERIE J 119 8.00 13.16  
VINO FA DANZA   (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 119 12.00 30.42  
SCR  REDHEADEDSTRANGER   (nesbitt a)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 116 20.00    
SCR  WAUHATCHIE   (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 15.00    
 
CD-6   09/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISCHIEVOUS GAL   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00 2.56  
MEAN SUE   (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 4.50 15% 5.80 5.95 P
BALL GOWN   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 5.00 8.82  
BEAUXS ARTES   (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 121 3.50 32% 2.10 2.68  
MENDED WE STAND   (bahena ismael)BEJARANO R 120 10.00 7.90  
WIKI LIO   (calhoun w)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00 28% 2.60 4.35  
CANDY KICK   (mason ingrid)ASHTON GAVIN 121 8.00 5% 19.00 10.14  
MY BLUE VALENTINE   (hill f)CANNON DECLAN 121 15.00 37.54  
SCR  SUMMER OF MISCHIEF   (o'connor rober)MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00    
 
CD-7   09/20/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COPPOLA   (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 121 1.80 0.69  
BODENHEIMER   (lund valorie)WADE LYNDIE 123 5.00 4.69  
KAVOD   (hartman ch)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 24% 3.20 7.92 S
VULCAN   (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 5.00 11.34  
SHIMMER ME TIMBERS   (gorostieta c)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 2.50 50% 1.00 3.58  
JOHNNY UNLEASHED   (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00 5% 19.00 28.20  
 
CD-8   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($134K) 3 ALL PT- 4:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIANT MISCHIEF   (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 51% 1.00 1.40 W
TWO EAGLES RIVER   (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 5.80  
BROMLEY   (lobo paul)TORRES A 118 12.00 11.93  
11  LARK'S MISCHIEF   (asmussen)SANTANA JR 120 10.00 5% 19.00 20.64  
BRITERDAYZAHEAD   (sharp joe)LANERIE J 118 6.00 5.13  
10  MAJOR BLUE   (lukas wayn)TORRES A 113 12.00 15.21  
OLAZABAL   (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 118 30.00 62.88  
BLUE LIGHT   (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 4.02  
RETAINED   (morey e)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 18% 4.50 10.62  
SCR  CORTESE   (hernandez )MURRILL MITCHELL 120 30.00    
SCR  ELITE FORCES   (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 5.00    
SCR  RELEASE MCCRAKEN   (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00    
 
CD-9   09/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 4:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  SHIMMERING ALLURE   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50 25% 3.00 2.06 W
  (by ENTICED out of SHIMMERING TALE by WILD AGAIN)
UP ON THE EDGE   (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 119 3.50 31% 2.30 3.86 P
  (by UPSTART out of GOLD EDGE by EDDINGTON)
PROMISEMEANEMPIRE   (diodoro r)TORRES A 119 5.00 12% 7.60 6.71 S
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of PROMISE ME MORE by MORE PLEASURE)
10  WEE BIT O MISCHIEF   (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 12.00 5% 19.00 19.37  
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of LA CANELA by CONGRATS)
11  NAUGHTY MISS   (roberson )HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 44.63  
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of INCLUDING by INCLUDE)
ROCK STAR DOCTOR   (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 12.00 17.42  
  (by CONNECT out of ANSIBLE by STREET SENSE)
LOST LOVE   (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00 60.31  
  (by AUDIBLE out of GIBBY by TIZWAY)
CHIQUITA REINA   (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 50.04  
  (by TAPITURE out of ARTIC QUEEN by MR. GREELEY)
INDY LABEL   (barkley jason)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00 28.52  
  (by TONALIST out of SWEET AUGUST LADY by CITY ZIP)
DESPO'S DREAM   (puhich mik)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 12% 7.60 3.04  
  (by MITOLE out of POINTE CLASS by ARCH)
GOLD DEL MAR   (bahena ismae)MORALES JOSHUA 109 6.00 14.81  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of DEL MAR BABE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
STERLING LUCK   (forster t)GRAHAM J 119 20.00 21.36  
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of CARA DURA by WAR FRONT)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.