Handicappers' Racing Form

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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Churchill Downs
Wednesday - September 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CD-2   Win (7/1/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-3   Win (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-4   Win (4/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-5   Win (10/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-6   Win (7/1/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-7   Win (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-8   Win (5/9/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-9   Win (5/12/4/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CD-1   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAMARA'S WAY Sep03 Aug04 Jul16 Jun18 May26 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 20% 4.00    
DOGWOODSMILLIEJANE Jun11 May02 Feb15 Dec02 Nov20 (taylor brent)BEJARANO R 121 6.00    
SHES A SECRET Aug04 Jun24 Jun02 Sep21 Aug06 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50    
SOCIAL MANDATE Jun24 May27 Apr27 Apr08 Feb22 (hancock a)CANNON DECLAN 121 6.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  OATH OF ALLEGIANCE Aug11 May19 Feb17 Jan20 Dec31 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00    
SCR  GOLDBLOODED Aug27 Jul02 May20 Jan20 Dec31 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.00    
COOL CAROL Jul03 Jan25 Nov10 Sep23 Aug24 (green troy)NAVAS YOEL 114 20.00    
 
CD-2   09/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 1:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAYCE AND LIAM Aug01         (englehart j)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 17% 4.80    
ROSE DARLING Aug12         (humphries thomas)NAVAS YOEL 112 15.00    
AUTISM COMPASSION Aug01         (engler jeff)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00 17% 4.80    
DOOBLAY Aug12 Jul19 Jul09     (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 5.00    
CHOCTAW GRACE Aug11         (humphries thoma)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.00    
PUCKERED Aug01         (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 5.00    
WRECK IT RUBY Aug20 Aug01 May27 May12   (holsapple hutch)HEARD TYLER 119 3.50 43% 1.30    
ESPERE Jul01         (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SCARLET MISS Sep02         (macias adolfo)BEJARANO R 119 2.50    
 
CD-3   09/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TREATY Aug06 Jun15 Mar19 Feb12 Jan14 (barrett rod)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 2.50 35% 1.90    
LONG CROW Aug26 Aug04 Jun24 May26 May11 (shorter aar)TORRES A 122 5.00    
CALL ME GUSTO Jul19 Jun17 May22 Jul05 Jun23 (huffman pat)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 12.00    
COASTAL DEFENSE Aug06 Jun22 May06 Mar04 Nov23 (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 3.50    
NAVY CROSS Aug23 Jul27 Jun16 May20 May06 (engler jeff)LANERIE J 118 12.00    
MASTER GAME Jul21 Jun22 May11 Apr15 Feb21 (forster t)GRAHAM J 122 3.00 12% 7.20    
SANT' ANTIMO Aug26 Jul31 Jun29     (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 120 4.00 17% 4.80    
 
CD-4   09/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONOR GOLD Aug20 Aug01 Jul02     (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00    
BOOSTER SHOT Jul07 Jun16 May30 Apr29 Mar09 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 10.00 26% 2.90    
SPUNS SON Sep01 Aug18 Jul31 Jul07 May29 (hill f)CANNON DECLAN 124 10.00 11% 8.30    
MY BROTHER KEITH Aug20 Dec21       (diodoro rob)TORRES A 124 3.50 33% 2.00    
SCOTCH NO ROCKS Aug31 Aug09 Jul14 Jun22 Jun10 (roberson de)HERNANDEZ J 124 20.00 6% 16.30    
GORDY'S LABEL Jul23 Dec03 Oct30     (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00    
SOLEVO Apr22         (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 120 5.00    
CREATIVE WAY Aug05 Jun22 May25     (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00    
GENERATION (GB) Aug26 Aug09       (simms jr)GEROUX FLORENT 120 15.00    
 
CD-5   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOTORIOUS SIXOHTWO Aug11         (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00    
SCR  WAUHATCHIE         (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 15.00    
VINO FA DANZA         (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 119 12.00    
JACKSON D         (stewart dallas)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
EAST FROM WEST         (vance d)LANERIE J 119 8.00    
WALDRIP         (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  REDHEADEDSTRANGER Aug20 May12       (nesbitt amy)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 116 20.00    
DEBT PAID         (diodoro rob)TORRES A 119 10.00    
WECALLEMFUNCOUPONS         (englehart jef)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00    
10  STORMQUIST May18         (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 1.20 48% 1.10    
 
CD-6   09/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WIKI LIO Aug26 Jun18 May12 Mar26 Mar03 (calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00 28% 2.60    
MISCHIEVOUS GAL Aug28 Aug12 Jul08 Apr23 Mar18 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00    
MENDED WE STAND Aug26 Aug09 Jun02 Apr23 Mar05 (bahena ismael)BEJARANO R 120 10.00    
MY BLUE VALENTINE Aug28 Aug01 Jun23 May14   (hill f)CANNON DECLAN 121 15.00    
BALL GOWN Aug01 Jul11 Jun11 May27 May03 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 121 5.00    
MEAN SUE May11 Apr14 Mar10 Jan04 Nov25 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 4.50 15% 5.80    
BEAUXS ARTES Aug26 Jun11 May25 May04 Mar23 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 121 3.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  SUMMER OF MISCHIEF Dec31 Nov25 Oct21 Sep17 Aug21 (o'connor robert )MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00    
CANDY KICK Aug03 Dec30 Oct29 Sep30 Aug14 (mason ingrid)ASHTON GAVIN 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-7   09/20/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COPPOLA Aug23 Jul26 Jun10 May20 May02 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 121 1.80    
SHIMMER ME TIMBERS Aug19 Jul21 Jul07 May23 Apr18 (gorostieta cir)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 2.50 50% 1.00    
JOHNNY UNLEASHED Jun01 Apr26 Apr08 Feb17 Jan01 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
VULCAN Aug04 Jun30 May05 Mar17 Feb25 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 5.00    
BODENHEIMER Aug24 Jul20 Jul03 Jun11 Dec14 (lund valorie)WADE LYNDIE 123 5.00    
KAVOD Jul27 Mar09 Jan28 Jan06 Dec10 (hartman chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 24% 3.20    
 
CD-8   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($134K) 3 ALL PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRITERDAYZAHEAD Jul16 Jun23 May21 Apr16 Sep03 (sharp joe)LANERIE J 118 6.00    
SCR  ELITE FORCES Aug20 Jun25       (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 5.00    
BLUE LIGHT Aug13 Jun25 May21 Apr08 Mar11 (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00    
BROMLEY Mar04 Jan21 Dec28 Nov19   (lobo paulo )TORRES A 118 12.00    
GIANT MISCHIEF Feb25 Dec17 Nov04 Sep22   (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 51% 1.00    
SCR  RELEASE MCCRAKEN Aug13 Jul08 Apr29 Mar25 Dec03 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00    
OLAZABAL Aug13 Aug04 May06 Apr16 Mar25 (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 118 30.00    
TWO EAGLES RIVER Jun04 Apr22 Apr01 Feb19 Jan14 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00    
RETAINED Aug10 Jun22 May19 Apr18 Feb11 (morey e)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 18% 4.50    
10  MAJOR BLUE Aug25 Aug04 Jul21 Jul08 Jun11 (lukas wayne)TORRES A 113 12.00    
11  LARK'S MISCHIEF Jul30 Jun23 May28 Apr08 Mar03 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CORTESE Aug30 Aug09 Jul20 Nov02 Oct02 (hernandez ar)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 30.00    
 
CD-9   09/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INDY LABEL Aug04         (barkley jason)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00    
GOLD DEL MAR Sep03 Jul23 Jun29     (bahena ismael)BURNHAM MATILDA 109 6.00    
CHIQUITA REINA         (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
PROMISEMEANEMPIRE Aug26         (diodoro rob)TORRES A 119 5.00 12% 7.60    
UP ON THE EDGE Aug11 Jul16       (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 119 3.50 31% 2.30    
STERLING LUCK         (forster t)GRAHAM J 119 20.00    
LOST LOVE         (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00    
ROCK STAR DOCTOR Aug13         (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 12.00    
DESPO'S DREAM Aug04         (puhich mike)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 12% 7.60    
10  WEE BIT O MISCHIEF Aug11 Jul16 Jun10     (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  NAUGHTY MISS Aug11 Jul16 Jun25     (roberson de)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
12  SHIMMERING ALLURE Aug13 Jul16 Jun10     (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50 25% 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.